Diversity and Distributions最新文献

{"title":"How Five Decades of Land-Cover Change Reshaped Suitable Habitat for Puerto Rican Tree Species","authors":"Laura Moro,&nbsp;Pascal Milesi,&nbsp;Eileen H. Helmer,&nbsp;María Uriarte,&nbsp;Robert Muscarella","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70263","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70263","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Human land-use has dramatically altered the amount, quality and connectivity of habitat for species worldwide. Understanding how these changes affect individual species is essential for predicting the overall consequences of land-use change for biodiversity.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The Caribbean island of Puerto Rico. Forest cover on the island increased from about 18% to 45% from the late 1940's to the early 2000's.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Using data on modelled geographic distributions and functional traits for 546 tree species, we evaluated how the gain of modelled potential suitable habitat (i.e., climatically-suitable and forested) was related to species-specific climatic associations and life-history strategies. We estimated species-specific potential suitable habitat (climatically suitable and forested) with species distribution models and data on land cover. We characterized each species' niche breadth (the range of environmental conditions it occupies) and niche position (the environmental conditions it prefers) to compare with the niche characteristics of reforested lands (i.e., those that changed from nonforest to forest land cover).</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Species with relatively more potential suitable habitat in 1951 also had relatively larger gains in potential suitable habitat from 1951 to 2000. Species that tend to occur in conditions different from those common in reforested areas (i.e., associated with more ‘marginal’ habitats) gained relatively less potential suitable habitat and species with broad environmental niches gained more potential suitable habitat. Niche breadth was weakly associated with changes in connectivity among patches.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our results show that Puerto Rico's reforestation preferentially increased potential suitable habitat for species that (1) already had suitable habitat in the landscape and (2) tolerate a wide range of climatic conditions. Our findings illustrate how land-use change in heterogeneous tropical landscapes can generate non-uniform habitat gains across species, which may favour generalist over specialist species and potentially alter community composition.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70263","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148942328","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Not Cryptogenic: Molecular and Historical Evidence Supports Introduction of Asparagopsis taxiformis (Rhodophyta) Into the Galápagos Islands","authors":"Omri Nahor,&nbsp;Álvaro Israel,&nbsp;James T. Carlton,&nbsp;Inti Keith,&nbsp;Tal Luzzatto-Knaan","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70268","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70268","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Identifying the origins of widespread species is crucial for conservation in isolated biodiversity hotspots, where ‘cryptogenic’ status often hinders effective biosecurity. We investigated the genetic identity and introduction history of the red macroalga <i>Asparagopsis taxiformis</i> in the Galápagos Islands to resolve its cryptogenic status.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Galápagos Archipelago, Ecuador.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We conducted the first molecular survey of <i>A. taxiformis</i> across the archipelago, integrating contemporary collections with archival herbarium specimens spanning 40 years (1985–2024). Three genetic markers (<i>cox2-3</i> spacer, <i>rbcL</i> and LSU) were used to identify lineages and assess genetic uniformity over time.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>All successfully sequenced specimens, including historical samples, belong exclusively to the L2 lineage, a clade associated with the Indo-West and Central Pacific. The repeated detection of this single, genetically uniform lineage across four decades is consistent with long-term establishment following introduction.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our findings indicate that <i>A. taxiformis</i> in the Galápagos is most consistent with an introduction via shipping activity, based on the combination of molecular uniformity and historical absence prior to the mid-20th century. This study demonstrates the power of archival DNA in resolving invasion histories. These results underscore the urgent need for ecological risk assessments to safeguard the unique marine biodiversity of the Galápagos from non-native macroalgae.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70268","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148942526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"What Does the Future Hold? Habitat Suitability and Conservation Implications for Rare and Widespread Plant Species Under Climate Change","authors":"Sara Brito Lopes,&nbsp;Sílvia Castro,&nbsp;João Loureiro,&nbsp;Peter Glasnović,&nbsp;Boštjan Surina,&nbsp;Mariana Castro","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70252","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Evaluate how future environmental conditions may reshape plant distributions to identify conservation priorities in a rapidly changing environment, thereby informing effective conservation planning and mitigating the consequences of plant decline for biodiversity, species interactions and ecosystem functioning.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Europe, with particular emphasis on the Iberian Peninsula.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We modelled short-term suitable habitats for rare plant species and their widespread congeners under future climate change scenarios (2041–2060). We used species distribution modelling (SDM) to project future habitat suitability for 22 pairs of congeneric species from 17 plant families, under two climate scenarios, evaluating the overall responses of rare versus widespread taxa. Using SDM, we estimated the future suitable area for each taxon by assessing potential habitat loss, habitat expansion into new areas and stable habitat, as well as the loss of currently occupied areas projected to become environmentally unsuitable under future climate scenarios.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our findings show that rare species are expected to lose more suitable habitat than they gain and to experience greater overall habitat loss than their widespread counterparts. However, responses varied among congeneric species pairs: 41% of rare species were projected to expand their suitable habitat, while 36% of widespread species were projected to undergo habitat contraction.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study provides a practical tool to support proactive conservation planning, including the identification of priority areas for protection, population monitoring, and assisted colonisation. It also shows that currently widespread species may become vulnerable in the near future, reinforcing the need for dynamic, forward-looking conservation strategies in which SDM projections are interpreted alongside evidence on species' reproductive biology, dispersal capacity and genetic diversity.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70252","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148942114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Native Community Resistance Mediates Plant Invasion Responses to Global Change Along Mediterranean Mountain Roads","authors":"Greta La Bella,&nbsp;Lucia Antonietta Santoianni,&nbsp;Flavio Marzialetti,&nbsp;Andrea De Toma,&nbsp;Claudia Zitarelli,&nbsp;Luigi Cao Pinna,&nbsp;Angela Stanisci,&nbsp;Alicia T. R. Acosta,&nbsp;Fabrizio Bartolucci,&nbsp;Fabio Conti,&nbsp;Marta Carboni","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70264","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70264","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Climate warming, human modification and global connectivity are eroding the abiotic barriers (i.e., climatic filtering and low propagule pressure) that have traditionally limited the spread of non-native species in mountain ecosystems. Meanwhile, these global changes are also reshaping native plant communities, potentially weakening their biotic resistance to invasion. Yet, the role of native community resistance in mediating the upslope spread of non-native species remains largely overlooked, limiting our understanding of the indirect effects of global change on mountain plant invasions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Central Apennines Mountain range, Italy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Following the Mountain Invasion Research Network (MIREN) protocol, we surveyed native and non-native vegetation close and far from roads at 60 sites along three mountain roads. Using current and historical climatic data and aerial images from the 1950s, we quantified climate and land-use changes. Dominant plant traits and functional diversity were used to capture the biotic resistance of native communities. We then applied structural equation modelling to investigate how native biotic resistance mediates the effect of global change drivers, that is, road disturbance and changes in land-use and climate, on the occurrence and cover of non-native species.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We found that, beside climatic filtering, the biotic resistance of native communities is among the strongest drivers of non-native species occurrence and abundance. The changes in land-use occurred over the past 70 years indirectly influenced invasions by altering native community resistance. Agricultural abandonment at low- to middle elevations favoured short-statured native communities, offering low resistance. In contrast, forest expansion strengthened resistance through dominance of conservative native species.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusion</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Native community resistance, alongside climate and disturbance, is a key determinant of invasion patterns along elevational gradients in Mediterranean mountains. Despite global changes facilitating non-native plant upward shifts, native communities can mediate this spread and may still maintain a certain resistance to invasion.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70264","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148942113","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Blind Spots in Traditional Approaches to Conservation Prioritization in a Climate Change Context","authors":"Luiz Bondi,&nbsp;Beatriz Prado-Monteiro,&nbsp;Luiza F. A. de Paula,&nbsp;Bruno H. P. Rosado,&nbsp;Stefan Porembski","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70259","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70259","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Climate change affects biodiversity faster than conservation assessments can be conducted. This issue calls for approaches that support decisions on conservation prioritization, such as species phylogenetic relationships and diversity and endemism metrics. However, these traditional approaches often neglect some important aspects, limiting their effectiveness. We used desiccation-tolerant vascular plants (DT plants) to investigate the effectiveness of such approaches to prioritize species and areas for conservation under climate change.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Global.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>For that, we used climate data to model the distribution of all DT plants recognized to date to evaluate if species phylogenetic relationships can depict similarities in species sensitivity and exposure to climate change, and to evaluate if centres of diversity and endemism for DT plants can correspond to regions prone to climate change.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We found that the species phylogenetic relationships weakly explain species sensitivity to climate change, although it can, to some extent, describe trends in species exposure to climate change. We also found that centres of diversity and endemism for DT plants are not necessarily the most prone ones to climate change.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We suggest a limited effectiveness of phylogenetic relationships and of diversity and endemism metrics for conservation prioritization, once these approaches might overlook vulnerable species and regions exposed to climate change. We discuss that a better understanding of the mechanisms of diversity would help to identify situations in which closely related species show lower ecological differences than distantly related species, when phylogenetic relationships are a more relevant approach in a conservation context. We also suggest that more efficient conservation strategies in centres of diversity and endemism of DT plants should focus on species sensitivity and adaptive capacity to climate change, rather than the magnitude of climate change.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70259","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148943493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Environmental DNA Reveals Distinct Regions of Extraordinary Marine Biodiversity to Inform a Newly Established Marine Park—Exmouth Gulf, Western Australia","authors":"Jessica R. Pearce,&nbsp;Marcelle Ayad,&nbsp;Sallyann Gudge,&nbsp;Karissa Lear,&nbsp;Rebecca L. Bateman-John,&nbsp;Matthew W. Fraser,&nbsp;Bianca Graham,&nbsp;Joshua L. Bonesso","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70258","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70258","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Exmouth Gulf, Western Australia, is a globally significant refuge for many marine megafauna species. The recent designation of a marine park in Exmouth Gulf underscores its environmental, social and cultural significance but remains a site of competing interests. Broadscale biodiversity monitoring to mitigate impact to this largely understudied but highly significant marine bioregion is sorely needed to inform marine park zoning, management and future protection of its environmental assets.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Exmouth Gulf, Western Australia (WA).</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study applied four metabarcoding assays targeting mitochondrial genes 16S (Fish16S), CO1 (CO1-elasmo) and 12S (MiFish-U/E) to surface seawater eDNA samples collected from 19 sites encompassing 3000 km² across four major regions within Exmouth Gulf.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A total of 487 unique taxa were identified, including 440 bony fish, 37 elasmobranchs, 7 birds, 2 mammals and one reptile. Exmouth Gulf exhibited significantly distinct communities between its western, central, southern and eastern regions, driven by bony fish assemblages, although bony fish richness and diversity did not vary. The eastern gulf contained the highest richness of elasmobranchs and threatened species across classes (IUCN Red List), with Tent Island being the most elasmobranch rich and Urala Creek housing the most threatened species of all sites. Globally Critically Endangered (CR; IUCN Red List) species were identified within all four regions, with three out of the four CR species detected in the eastern gulf.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This underscores that Exmouth Gulf in its entirety provides critical habitat for threatened species, holding remarkable conservation value and reasserting the global ecological significance of this bioregion. The evident prominence of the eastern gulf and Urala Creek also highlights how eDNA approaches can be used to help identify fine-scale areas of highest conservation importance to better inform marine spatial planning.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70258","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148943492","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Who's Afraid of the Big Bad Human? Multi-Scale Niche Partitioning Among Wolves And Mesocarnivores in a Human-Dominated Landscape","authors":"Katharina Kasper,&nbsp;Stephanie Kramer-Schadt,&nbsp;Elise Say-Sallaz,&nbsp;Anna J. Kirsch,&nbsp;Monika Gehrke,&nbsp;Paulina A. Szafrańska,&nbsp;Marcin Churski,&nbsp;Maciej Szewczyk,&nbsp;Dries P. J. Kuijper,&nbsp;Aimara Planillo","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70257","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70257","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>To determine whether carnivore sympatry is hierarchically structured across spatial scales, with broad landscape filters constraining distributions and fine-scale behavioral adjustments shaping realized overlap, and to evaluate this framework during large carnivore recolonization in human-dominated landscapes characterized by novel risks and resource subsidies.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Tuchola Forest, northern Poland, Central Europe.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We used a nested camera-trapping design with coarse (10 km) and fine (5 km) grids, integrating Joint Species Distribution Models (JSDMs) with diel activity analyses, to quantify scale-dependent responses and associations within a carnivore community comprising recolonizing grey wolves (<i>Canis lupus</i>) and established mesocarnivores—red foxes (<i>Vulpes vulpes</i>), European badgers (<i>Meles meles</i>), and martens (<i>Martes</i> spp.)—in relation to ungulate prey—red deer (<i>Cervus elaphus</i>) and fallow deer (<i>Dama dama</i>), anthropogenic variables (including pedestrians, vehicles, and environmental modification), and free-ranging domestic cats (<i>Felis catus</i>).</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>At the landscape scale, wolf occurrence was constrained primarily by human variables, yet within occupied areas, wolves prioritized prey tracking while negotiating human risk at finer scales. Mesocarnivores showed little evidence of suppression by wolves or humans and instead converged on human-modified spaces alongside domestic cats. Sympatry relied on temporal offsets, not strict spatial segregation.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Scale-dependent organization is fundamental to understanding carnivore recovery and persistence under human dominance. Although broad anthropogenic constraints limit where species can establish, our results show that human presence does not preclude coexistence when it is structured in predictable ways that allow species to realign activity within human-imposed temporal regimes. Life in human-dominated landscapes thus favours behavioral flexibility and spatiotemporal adaptation over rigid niche constraints.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70257","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148848980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Use of a Bayesian Hierarchical Density Surface Model to Estimate Seasonal Distributions of Large Whales Off the East Coast of the United States With an Application to a Wind Energy Area","authors":"Douglas B. Sigourney,&nbsp;Samuel Chavez-Rosales,&nbsp;Elizabeth Josephson,&nbsp;Debra Palka,&nbsp;Lance Garrison","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70209","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Offshore wind energy development off the East Coast of the United States is in the nascent but growing stage with consequences for wildlife. Marine mammals are particularly sensitive to pile driving activity, and therefore, it is critical to provide guidance about where and when impacts are most likely to be minimized. The aim of this study was to develop Bayesian hierarchical density surface models (BHDSMs) for five species of large whales and use model outputs specifically to characterize seasonal abundance within a wind energy area (WEA) off the East Coast of the United States.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Western Atlantic Ocean, USA.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We use eight years of line transect survey data to develop BHDSMs for fin whales (<i>Balaenoptera physalus</i>), humpback whales (<i>Megaptera novaeangliae</i>), minke whales (<i>Balaenoptera acutorostrata</i>), sei whales (<i>Balaenoptera borealis</i>) and sperm whales (<i>Physeter macrocephalus</i>). We produced seasonal maps of densities at a basin-wide scale with associated measures of uncertainty. We then apply our models to a WEA off the Massachusetts-Rhode Island coast and estimate seasonal shifts in abundance and calculate the posterior probability of abundance exceeding user-defined thresholds for each species.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Seasonal distributions were largely consistent with previous studies of large whales for this region. Application to the WEA demonstrated an interaction between seasonal peaks in abundance and species. Posterior probabilities of exceeding the user-defined threshold tracked seasonal changes in abundance, with differences amongst species in the magnitude of the probabilities.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This application of a BHDSM demonstrates the multipurpose use of habitat models to examine both large-scale patterns in density with robust measures of uncertainty and localized variation in abundance in a probabilistic framework that can be used to assess risk. Model outputs can be readily applied to additional areas off the East Coast of the U.S. that are of interest.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70209","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148823268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Cover page","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70266","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70266","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The cover image relates to Research Article https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70241 “Challenges in Conservation Effectiveness on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: An Integrated Assessment Framework for Endemic Plant Species and Spatial Prioritisation” by Zhang et al A ʺsnow rabbitʺ in full bloom – the woolly plant <i>Saussurea medusa</i>, named for the serpentine tangle of its densely woolly leaf lobes that twist and coil like the locks of Medusa – photographed at 4,800 m on the scree slopes of Baima Snow Mountain on the southeastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, where this endemic invests years of silent growth in a single, terminal flowering before surrendering to the cold (Photo Credit: Yazhou Zhang).\u0000\u0000 <figure>\u0000 <div><picture>\u0000 <source></source></picture><p></p>\u0000 </div>\u0000 </figure>\u0000 </p>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70266","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148823376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Future Climate Change and Bioclimatic Suitability of Two Endemic Balkan Water Frogs","authors":"Petr Papežík,&nbsp;Adam Rusinko,&nbsp;İdris Sari,&nbsp;Peter Mikulíček,&nbsp;Jan Brus,&nbsp;Michal Benovics,&nbsp;Mattia Iannella","doi":"10.1111/ddi.70246","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70246","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>To evaluate the impacts of future climate change on the bioclimatic suitability of two endemic water frogs of the southwestern Balkans, focusing on species- and lineage-level responses and implications for conservation.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Southwestern Balkans, including Albania, Greece and Montenegro.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We applied an ensemble bioclimatic suitability modelling framework based on multiple algorithms, using selected bioclimatic predictors to estimate current suitability and to project future distributions under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) for 2050 and 2070. Intraspecific patterns were assessed by integrating mitochondrial lineage data to evaluate stability for both species and lineage levels.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Both species are predicted to experience an overall decline in bioclimatic suitability under future climate scenarios, indicating broadly similar responses to climate change. However, the magnitude of these changes differs substantially. <i>Pelophylax shqipericus</i> is predicted to undergo more pronounced range contraction and fragmentation, whereas <i>P. epeiroticus</i> shows relatively higher spatial persistence, with suitable areas remaining primarily in lowland coastal regions. Lineage-level analyses reveal uneven patterns of vulnerability, with greater losses generally affecting phylogenetic lineages occupying more restricted or environmentally sensitive parts of the range.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Regardless of the differences in their realized bioclimatic niches, both species respond in a similar direction to projected climate change. This suggests that shared climatic constraints outweigh niche differentiation in shaping future distributions. However, differences in the magnitude of response highlight species-specific and lineage-specific sensitivity to environmental change. These findings emphasize the importance of incorporating intraspecific diversity into climate vulnerability assessments and conservation planning in biodiversity hotspots.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51018,"journal":{"name":"Diversity and Distributions","volume":"32 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ddi.70246","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148823267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}