Russian Meteorology and Hydrology最新文献_第10页

Climate Change and Its Impact on Agriculture 气候变化及其对农业的影响

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090017

Yu. P. Perevedentsev, A. A. Vasil’ev

引用次数: 0

Changes in Agroclimatic Resources of Grain-producing Regions of Russia and Grain Productivity for the New Reference Period of 1991–2020 俄罗斯产粮区农业气候资源的变化和 1991-2020 年新参考期的粮食产量

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090030

V. N. Pavlova, A. A. Karachenkova

{"title":"Changes in Agroclimatic Resources of Grain-producing Regions of Russia and Grain Productivity for the New Reference Period of 1991–2020","authors":"V. N. Pavlova, A. A. Karachenkova","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923090030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923090030","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>The transition to a new reference period of 1991–2020 requires updating the estimates of agroclimatic resources in agricultural regions. The paper summarizes the results of the annual monitoring of agroclimatic conditions over 1961–1990 and 1991–2020 obtained by both the statistical analysis and the Climate–Soil–Yield simulation system and provides their comparative evaluation. It has been noted that along with growing aridity of the most fertile areas of the steppe and forest-steppe zones, there is an almost universal growth of spring precipitation, which compensates to some extent the negative impact of high summer temperatures on the yield. A significant decrease in the climate-driven productivity of spring wheat from the period of 1961–1990 to the new reference period of 1991–2020 has been revealed for the main grain-producing regions. Estimates of productivity trends for major grain crops, spring and winter wheat, are given in connection with climate change and the development of agricultural technologies. Estimates of changes in the wintering indices and sown areas for winter wheat are also given.</p>","PeriodicalId":49581,"journal":{"name":"Russian Meteorology and Hydrology","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139057526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessment of Changes in the Temperature Regime of Northern Eurasia for the Next Five Years According to the INM RAS Earth System Model Forecasts and Their Possible Consequences for Agriculture 根据 INM RAS 地球系统模式预测评估未来五年欧亚大陆北部气温变化及其对农业的可能影响

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090029

V. M. Khan, R. M. Vil’fand, V. A. Tishchenko, S. V. Emelina, A. S. Gritsun, E. M. Volodin, V. V. Vorobyeva, M. A. Tarasevich

{"title":"Assessment of Changes in the Temperature Regime of Northern Eurasia for the Next Five Years According to the INM RAS Earth System Model Forecasts and Their Possible Consequences for Agriculture","authors":"V. M. Khan, R. M. Vil’fand, V. A. Tishchenko, S. V. Emelina, A. S. Gritsun, E. M. Volodin, V. V. Vorobyeva, M. A. Tarasevich","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923090029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923090029","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>Estimates of future changes in the characteristics of the air temperature regime in Northern Eurasia over a five-year time interval are presented. The estimates are based on the forecasts of the Earth climate model developed at Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The skill of the forecasts for the territory of Northern Eurasia is discussed using standard skill scores for long-range forecasts. Regions where surface air temperature anomalies are likely to exceed the threshold targets of the Paris Agreement are identified. The consequences of a possible change in the growing season and dates of the stable air temperature above 5°C for agriculture are analyzed. The presented estimates of possible changes in the air temperature characteristics in Northern Eurasia over a five-year interval provide a more objective pattern of expected climate change and can be useful to determine optimal solutions for the development of agricultural sector in the changing climate and to minimize possible negative consequences.</p>","PeriodicalId":49581,"journal":{"name":"Russian Meteorology and Hydrology","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139057674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Drought Frequency in Belarus in Connection with Atmospheric Circulation in the Euro-Atlantic Sector 白俄罗斯的干旱频率与欧洲-大西洋扇区大气环流的关系

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090054

I. S. Danilovich, Yu. A. Gledko, I. V. Tarasevich

引用次数: 0

Climate Change on the Territory of the Volga Federal District in the 20th–21st Centuries and Its Consequences for the Agrosphere 20-21 世纪伏尔加河沿岸地区的气候变化及其对农业的影响

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090078

Yu. P. Perevedentsev, K. M. Shantalinskii, N. A. Mirsaeva, A. A. Nikolaev, T. R. Aukhadeev, V. V. Gur’yanov, B. G. Sherstyukov

{"title":"Climate Change on the Territory of the Volga Federal District in the 20th–21st Centuries and Its Consequences for the Agrosphere","authors":"Yu. P. Perevedentsev, K. M. Shantalinskii, N. A. Mirsaeva, A. A. Nikolaev, T. R. Aukhadeev, V. V. Gur’yanov, B. G. Sherstyukov","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923090078","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923090078","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>The spatial and temporal variability of the main climatic indicators on the territory of the Volga Federal District in the 20th–21st centuries is considered. A general increasing trend in air temperature is revealed, and a heterogeneous pattern of precipitation changes is shown. The temperature variations until the end of the 21st century are analyzed on the example of Kazan using 40 CMIP6 climate models for four anthropogenic scenarios. In the paper, there is an assessment of the dynamics of agroclimatic resources on the territory of the Volga Federal District: the duration of the growing season, the sum of positive temperatures, total precipitation, and photosynthetic radiation. A correlation has been found between the temperature fluctuations in the region and the atmospheric circulation indices (NAO, AO, SCAND, and EAWR). For the territory of Tatarstan, a degree of aridity and waterlogging is evaluated using the agroclimatic indices: the Budyko’s dryness index, the Selyaninov’s hydrothermal coefficient, the Sapozhnikova’s moisture index. It is shown that there is a tendency toward an increase in the duration of the growing season, its heat supply and aridity in the region in summer. A statistical estimation of the dependence of spring wheat yield on the agroclimatic indices on the territory of the Republic of Tatarstan is given.</p>","PeriodicalId":49581,"journal":{"name":"Russian Meteorology and Hydrology","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139057390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Role of Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Increasing Frequency of Summer Droughts in European Russia 大气环流变化在俄罗斯欧洲夏季干旱日益频繁中的作用

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923090042

E. A. Cherenkova

{"title":"The Role of Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Increasing Frequency of Summer Droughts in European Russia","authors":"E. A. Cherenkova","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923090042","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923090042","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>According to the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), most extensive summer droughts in European Russia south of 55° N in 1950–2021 were observed during the extremely negative phases of the Eastern Atlantic/Western Russia (EAWR) and West Pacific (WP) atmospheric circulation patterns characterized by abnormal high atmospheric pressure and an increased frequency of the number of days with atmospheric blocking over European Russia. It is shown that the frequency of droughts in the study area in the years of the negative phases of both circulation indices and their extremes in the summer months as compared to other years was higher by five droughts per decade in the Volga and Central Chernozem regions and by three droughts per decade in the northwestern Caspian region. A statistically significant correlation was found between the EAWR in summer and the multidecadal variability of sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic. It was revealed that the increase in the drought frequency in the study area in recent decades has been caused by the restructuring of atmospheric circulation in the Euro-Atlantic sector accompanying the transition of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) to a positive phase. An increase in the stability of the EAWR and WP atmospheric circulation patterns was observed, as well as a related significant increase in the frequency of extensive droughts in the study area in 2010–2021. They were accompanied by the weakening of zonal atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, the combination of the positive AMO phase and the effects of anthropogenic warming on the atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, including those associated with blocking events.</p>","PeriodicalId":49581,"journal":{"name":"Russian Meteorology and Hydrology","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139057672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spatial Distribution of Precipitation and Its Contribution to the Formation of the Transboundary Zeravshan River Runoff (Tajikistan) 降水空间分布及其对塔吉克斯坦泽拉夫山河跨界径流形成的贡献

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923080058

I. Sh. Normatov, D. S. Azimov, F. A. Sharofzoda

引用次数: 0

Influence of Glaciogenic Seeding on Electrical State and Lightning Activity of a Convective Cloud 冰川生成对对流云电状态和闪电活动的影响

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923080071

N. E. Veremei, M. L. Toropova, Yu. A. Dovgaluk, A. M. Abshaev, Zh. M. Gekkieva, Yu. P. Mikhailovskii, A. A. Sin’kevich

引用次数: 0

Connection of Cyclogenesis in the Gulf of Mexico to the Water Vapor Transport in the Tropical Atlantic According to Satellite Microwave Radiometers 根据卫星微波辐射计分析墨西哥湾气旋形成与热带大西洋水汽输送的关系

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923080034

A. G. Grankov, A. A. Milshin, E. P. Novichikhin

引用次数: 0

Regulation of Precipitation from Convective Clouds by Seeding with Ice Nuclei at the Level of Updraft Formation 通过在上升气流形成层面添加冰核调节对流云降水

IF 0.7 4区地球科学

Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373923080095

L. A. Dinevich

{"title":"Regulation of Precipitation from Convective Clouds by Seeding with Ice Nuclei at the Level of Updraft Formation","authors":"L. A. Dinevich","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923080095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923080095","url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>The author propose a new method for cloud modification that does not involve rockets and aircrafts. It is based on some works in the field of protecting agricultural crops from hail using the rocket technology, as well as the achievements in the cloud modification using ground-based generators in Brazil. The new method is founded on the experimental data and theoretical calculations of the behavior of ice-nucleating particles in case of their generation near the ground and at the height close to the level of free convection during air-mass and frontal precipitation-forming processes. It is proposed to introduce ice-nucleating particles to the level of convective flux formation so that then the particles enter the area of origin and growth of hail in a cloud cell on their own. In the rocket technology, the identification of this area is one of the major difficulties of radiolocation. The proposed technique provides the ice-nucleating particle delivery to the hail area without any use of radiolocation. The method also allows avoiding safety problems arising from launching rockets over densely populated areas.</p>","PeriodicalId":49581,"journal":{"name":"Russian Meteorology and Hydrology","volume":"67 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2023-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138547773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0