Changes in Agroclimatic Resources of Grain-producing Regions of Russia and Grain Productivity for the New Reference Period of 1991–2020

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
V. N. Pavlova, A. A. Karachenkova
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Abstract

The transition to a new reference period of 1991–2020 requires updating the estimates of agroclimatic resources in agricultural regions. The paper summarizes the results of the annual monitoring of agroclimatic conditions over 1961–1990 and 1991–2020 obtained by both the statistical analysis and the Climate–Soil–Yield simulation system and provides their comparative evaluation. It has been noted that along with growing aridity of the most fertile areas of the steppe and forest-steppe zones, there is an almost universal growth of spring precipitation, which compensates to some extent the negative impact of high summer temperatures on the yield. A significant decrease in the climate-driven productivity of spring wheat from the period of 1961–1990 to the new reference period of 1991–2020 has been revealed for the main grain-producing regions. Estimates of productivity trends for major grain crops, spring and winter wheat, are given in connection with climate change and the development of agricultural technologies. Estimates of changes in the wintering indices and sown areas for winter wheat are also given.

Abstract Image

俄罗斯产粮区农业气候资源的变化和 1991-2020 年新参考期的粮食产量
摘要 向 1991-2020 年新参照期过渡需要更新农业地区农业气候资源的估算。本文总结了通过统计分析和气候-土壤-产量模拟系统获得的 1961-1990 年和 1991-2020 年农业气候条件年度监测结果,并对其进行了比较评估。我们注意到,在草原和森林草原地带最肥沃地区日益干旱的同时,春季降水量几乎普遍增加,这在一定程度上弥补了夏季高温对产量的负面影响。从 1961-1990 年到 1991-2020 年的新参照期,主要粮食生产地区受气候影响的春小麦生产率显著下降。本文结合气候变化和农业技术的发展,对主要粮食作物(春小麦和冬小麦)的生产率趋势进行了估算。此外,还对冬小麦越冬指数和播种面积的变化进行了估算。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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