M. Leite, B. Chen-Charpentier, F. Agusto, O. Gaoue, N. Hritonenko
{"title":"Viability of Pentadesma in reduced habitat ecosystems within two climatic regions with fruit harvesting","authors":"M. Leite, B. Chen-Charpentier, F. Agusto, O. Gaoue, N. Hritonenko","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2071489","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2071489","url":null,"abstract":"Habitat loss and harvesting of non-timber forest products (NTFPs) significantly affect the population dynamics. In this paper, we propose a general mathematical modelling approach incorporating the impact of habitat size reduction and non-lethal harvesting of NTFP on population dynamics. The model framework integrates experimental data of Pentadesma butyracea in Benin. This framework allows us to determine the rational non-lethal harvesting level and habitat size to ensure the stability of the plant ecosystem, and to study the impacts of distinct levels of humidity. We suggest non-lethal harvesting policies that maximize the economic benefit for local populations.","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49324637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dynamics of autotroph–mixotroph interactions with the intraguild predation structure","authors":"Ming Chen, Jimin Zhang, Satlykova Ejegul","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2066729","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2066729","url":null,"abstract":"A mathematical model with the intraguild predation structure is proposed to describe the interactions of autotrophs and mixotrophs containing light and nutrients in a well-mixed aquatic ecosystem. The dissipation, existence and stability of equilibria of the model are proved, and the ecological reproductive indexes for the extinction, survival and coexistence of autotrophs and mixotrophs are established. We also consider the influence of Holling type functional responses and abiotic factors on the coexistence and biomass of autotrophs and mixotrophs. It is shown that the intraguild predation structure is beneficial to phytoplankton biodiversity and provides an explanation for the phytoplankton paradox.","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41495816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of spatial dynamics on the behaviour of an environmentally transmitted disease","authors":"Ivy J Hindle, L. Forbes, S. Carver","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2061614","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2061614","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding the spread of pathogens through the environment is critical to a fuller comprehension of disease dynamics. However, many mathematical models of disease dynamics ignore spatial effects. We seek to expand knowledge around the interaction between the bare-nosed wombat (Vombatus ursinus) and sarcoptic mange (etiologic agent Sarcoptes scabiei), by extending an aspatial mathematical model to include spatial variation. S. scabiei was found to move through our modelled region as a spatio-temporal travelling wave, leaving behind pockets of localized host extinction, consistent with field observations. The speed of infection spread was also comparable with field research. Our model predicts that the inclusion of spatial dynamics leads to the survival and recovery of affected wombat populations when an aspatial model predicts extinction. Collectively, this research demonstrates how environmentally transmitted S. scabiei can result in travelling wave dynamics, and that inclusion of spatial variation reveals a more resilient host population than aspatial modelling approaches.","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42169563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comparison of classical tumour growth models for patient derived and cell-line derived xenografts using the nonlinear mixed-effects framework","authors":"Dimitrios Voulgarelis, K. Bulusu, J. Yates","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2061615","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2061615","url":null,"abstract":"In this study we compare seven mathematical models of tumour growth using nonlinear mixed-effects which allows for a simultaneous fitting of multiple data and an estimation of both mean behaviour and variability. This is performed for two large datasets, a patient-derived xenograft (PDX) dataset consisting of 220 PDXs spanning six different tumour types and a cell-line derived xenograft (CDX) dataset consisting of 25 cell lines spanning eight tumour types. Comparison of the models is performed by means of visual predictive checks (VPCs) as well as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). Additionally, we fit the models to 500 bootstrap samples drawn from the datasets to expand the comparison of the models under dataset perturbations and understand the growth kinetics that are best fitted by each model. Through qualitative and quantitative metrics the best models are identified the effectiveness and practicality of simpler models is highlighted","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45993923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impact of information and Lévy noise on stochastic COVID-19 epidemic model under real statistical data","authors":"Peijiang Liu, Lifang Huang, Anwarud Din, Xiangxiang Huang","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2055172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2055172","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we consider the dynamical behaviour of a stochastic coronavirus (COVID-19) susceptible-infected-removed epidemic model with the inclusion of the influence of information intervention and Lévy noise. The existence and uniqueness of the model positive solution are proved. Then, we establish a stochastic threshold as a sufficient condition for the extinction and persistence in mean of the disease. Based on the available COVID-19 data, the parameters of the model were estimated and we fit the model with real statistics. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to support our theoretical results.","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41930966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Persistence and extinction of a modified Leslie–Gower Holling-type II two-predator one-prey model with Lévy jumps","authors":"Yongxin Gao, Fan Yang","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2022.2050313","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2022.2050313","url":null,"abstract":"This paper is concerned with a modified Leslie–Gower and Holling-type II two-predator one-prey model with Lévy jumps. First, we use an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process to describe the environmental stochasticity and prove that there is a unique positive solution to the system. Moreover, sufficient conditions for persistence in the mean and extinction of each species are established. Finally, we give some numerical simulations to support the main results.","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2022-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42210217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jude D Kong, Rinel F Tchuendom, Samuel A Adeleye, Jummy F David, Fikreab Solomon Admasu, Emmanuel A Bakare, Nourridine Siewe
{"title":"SARS-CoV-2 and self-medication in Cameroon: a mathematical model.","authors":"Jude D Kong, Rinel F Tchuendom, Samuel A Adeleye, Jummy F David, Fikreab Solomon Admasu, Emmanuel A Bakare, Nourridine Siewe","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2021.1883130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2021.1883130","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Self-medication is an important initial response to illness in Africa. This mode of medication is often done with the help of African traditional medicines. Because of the misconception that African traditional medicines can cure/prevent all diseases, some Africans may opt for COVID-19 prevention and management by self-medicating. Thus to efficiently predict the dynamics of COVID-19 in Africa, the role of the self-medicated population needs to be taken into account. In this paper, we formulate and analyse a mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 in Cameroon. The model is represented by a system of compartmental age-structured ODEs that takes into account the self-medicated population and subdivides the human population into two age classes relative to their current immune system strength. We use our model to propose policy measures that could be implemented in the course of an epidemic in order to better handle cases of self-medication.</p>","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/17513758.2021.1883130","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"25331303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Threshold dynamics of a HCV model with virus to cell transmission in both liver with CTL immune response and the extrahepatic tissue.","authors":"Xinli Hu, Jianquan Li, Xiaomei Feng","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2020.1859632","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2020.1859632","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, a deterministic model characterizing the within-host infection of Hepatitis C virus (HCV) in intrahepatic and extrahepatic tissues is presented. In addition, the model also includes the effect of the cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) immunity described by a linear activation rate by infected cells. Firstly, the non-negativity and boundedness of solutions of the model are established. Secondly, the basic reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>01</mn></mrow></msub></math> and immune reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>02</mn></mrow></msub></math> are calculated, respectively. Three equilibria, namely, infection-free, CTL immune response-free and infected equilibrium with CTL immune response are discussed in terms of these two thresholds. Thirdly, the stability of these three equilibria is investigated theoretically as well as numerically. The results show that when <math><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>01</mn></mrow></msub><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn></math> , the virus will be cleared out eventually and the CTL immune response will also disappear; when <math><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>02</mn></mrow></msub><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn><mo><</mo><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>01</mn></mrow></msub></math> , the virus persists within the host, but the CTL immune response disappears eventually; when <math><msub><mi>R</mi><mrow><mn>02</mn></mrow></msub><mo>></mo><mn>1</mn></math> , both of the virus and the CTL immune response persist within the host. Finally, a brief discussion will be given.</p>","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/17513758.2020.1859632","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38745440","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Parameter estimation from ICC curves.","authors":"Joceline Lega","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2021.1912419","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2021.1912419","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Incidence vs. Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed compartments. This novel methodology is used to estimate the basic reproduction ratio of recent outbreaks, including those associated with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.</p>","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/17513758.2021.1912419","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"25568516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Obias Mulenga Chimbola, Edward M Lungu, Barbara Szomolay
{"title":"Effect of innate and adaptive immune mechanisms on treatment regimens in an AIDS-related Kaposi's Sarcoma model.","authors":"Obias Mulenga Chimbola, Edward M Lungu, Barbara Szomolay","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2021.1912420","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2021.1912420","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Kaposi Sarcoma (KS) is the most common AIDS-defining cancer, even as HIV-positive people live longer. Like other herpesviruses, human herpesvirus-8 (HHV-8) establishes a lifelong infection of the host that in association with HIV infection may develop at any time during the illness. With the increasing global incidence of KS, there is an urgent need of designing optimal therapeutic strategies for HHV-8-related infections. Here we formulate two models with innate and adaptive immune mechanisms, relevant for non-AIDS KS (NAKS) and AIDS-KS, where the initial condition of the second model is given by the equilibrium state of the first one. For the model with innate mechanism (MIM), we define an infectivity resistance threshold that will determine whether the primary HHV-8 infection of B-cells will progress to secondary infection of progenitor cells, a concept relevant for viral carriers in the asymptomatic phase. The optimal control strategy has been employed to obtain treatment efficacy in case of a combined antiretroviral therapy (cART). For the MIM we have shown that KS therapy alone is capable of reducing the HHV-8 load. In the model with adaptive mechanism (MAM), we show that if cART is administered at optimal levels, that is, 0.48 for protease inhibitors, 0.79 for reverse transcriptase inhibitors and 0.25 for KS therapy, both HIV-1 and HHV-8 can be reduced. The predictions of these mathematical models have the potential to offer more effective therapeutic interventions in the treatment of NAKS and AIDS-KS.</p>","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/17513758.2021.1912420","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"25580917","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}