Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-05-12DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00290-w
Luis C. A. Gutiérrez-Negrín
{"title":"Evolution of worldwide geothermal power 2020–2023","authors":"Luis C. A. Gutiérrez-Negrín","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00290-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00290-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Only 32 countries in the world have geothermal power plants in operation, with a combined capacity of 16,318 MW installed in 198 geothermal fields with 673 individual power units. Almost 37% of those units are of flash type with a combined capacity of 8598 MW (52.7% of total), followed by binary ORC type units with 25.1% of the installed capacity. The select list of geothermal power countries continues to be headed by the US, followed by Indonesia, the Philippines and Türkiye, and generated 96,552 GWh of electricity, at an average annual capacity factor of 67.5%, which represented 0.34% of the worldwide electric generation. Electricity from geothermal origin represented more than 10% of the total generated in at least seven countries, headed by Kenya, Iceland, and El Salvador. Practically, all geothermal fields in operation are harnessing resources from hydrothermal, conventional reservoirs, through an estimate of 3700 production wells at an annual average production of almost 3 MWh per well. Things could be similar in the next few years if the current trend continues, but all can change due to the world urgency to maintain global warming below the 1.5 °C threshold in the following years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00290-w","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140914582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Curie point depth, thermal gradient and heat flow along the Ethiopia Rift System and adjacent plateaus using spectral evaluation approach: implications for geothermal resources","authors":"Samson Hilemichaeil, Tigistu Haile, Gezahegn Yirgu","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00291-9","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00291-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Ethiopia Rift System (ERS) is a section of the East African Rift System within Ethiopia extending from the Afar in the northeast to the Kenya border in the southwest. It is apparent that magmatism and magmatic intrusions influence the crustal shape in the ERS resulting in its thinning and the shallowing of magmatic sources at various locations within it. As a consequence, more than 31 volcanoes hosting hydrothermal structures with a conceivable potential to generate massive quantities of geothermal energy have been identified along the ERS. In this study, we map the Curie Point Depth (CDP) over the ERS based on the analysis of aeromagnetic data extracted from the World Digital Magnetic Anomaly Map. Spectral evaluation method was used to estimate the boundaries (top and bottom) of the magnetized crust. Reduced-to-pole (RTP) aeromagnetic records have been divided into 105 (50% overlap) square blocks of 200 × 200 km size. The Curie temperature (580 °C) of magnetite was used to determine the thermal gradient and the heat drift in the area. The depths obtained for the bottom of the magnetized crust are assumed to correspond to the Curie Depths, where the magnetic layer loses all its magnetization. The determined values of Curie Point Depth, geothermal gradient and heat flow for the 50% overlapped 105 blocks, respectively, range from 8.85 to 55.85 km, 10.38 to 65.54 °C/km and 25.96 to 163.84 mW/m<sup>2</sup>. Lower CPD (< 20 km) in the ERS was obtained between Mille and Gewane (southwest Afar), between Adama (Nazret) and Yerer (NMER) and between Wendo Genet and Koti (SMER) localities. These areas, showing low CPD, exhibit excessive geothermal gradient and high heat flow all of which indicate the presence of significant geothermal potential.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00291-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140902649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-05-10DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00293-7
Hamid-Reza Bahrami, Marc A. Rosen
{"title":"Exergoeconomic evaluation and multi-objective optimization of a novel geothermal-driven zero-emission system for cooling, electricity, and hydrogen production: capable of working with low-temperature resources","authors":"Hamid-Reza Bahrami, Marc A. Rosen","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00293-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00293-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Geothermal energy is an abundant natural resource in many regions around the world. However, in some areas, the temperature of the geothermal energy resource is too low to be efficiently harvested. Organic Rankine cycles (ORCs) are known for recovering heat from low-temperature resources and generating electricity. Furthermore, half-effect absorption chillers (HEACs) are designed to produce cooling with low-temperature resources. This study proposes a novel configuration that utilizes an ORC for electricity generation, a HEAC for cooling production, and a PEM electrolysis system to produce hydrogen. The power section consists of two turbines, one driven by the vapor produced from the geothermal flow expansion, which powers the PEM section, while the other turbine in the ORC is used to drive pumps and electricity production. First, the system is thermoeconomically analyzed for an initial set of inputs. Then, various parameters are analyzed to determine their influences on system performance. The analyses reveal that the system can work with geothermal source temperatures as low as 80 °C, but the exergy and energy (thermal) efficiencies decrease to around 17% under the base settings. Furthermore, the system is capable of working with resource temperatures up to 170 °C. Ten parameters are found to affect the system’s efficiency and effectiveness. To optimize the system, the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) is implemented to find the optimum conditions. The objective functions are exergy efficiency and unit polygeneration cost (UPGC), which can conflict. The optimization shows that the exergy efficiency of the system can reach 48% in the optimal conditions (for a heat source temperature of 112 °C and a mass flow rate of geothermal fluid of 44 kg/s), with a hydrogen production rate of 1.1 kg/h.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00293-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140902651","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-05-05DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00289-3
Erika Gasperikova, Craig Ulrich, Olufemi A. Omitaomu, Patrick Dobson, Yingqi Zhang
{"title":"Multicriteria screening evaluation of geothermal resources on mine lands for direct use heating","authors":"Erika Gasperikova, Craig Ulrich, Olufemi A. Omitaomu, Patrick Dobson, Yingqi Zhang","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00289-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00289-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Direct use of geothermal energy is the oldest and most versatile form of utilizing geothermal energy. In the last decade, this utilization has significantly increased, especially with the installation of geothermal (ground-source) heat pumps. Many current and inactive mine land sites across the U.S. could be redeveloped with clean energy technologies such as direct use geothermal, which would revitalize former mining communities, help with reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and accelerate the transition to a clean energy economy. We present a multicriteria screening framework to evaluate various aspects of direct-use geothermal projects on mine lands. The criteria are divided into three categories: (1) technical potential, (2) demand and benefits, and (3) regulatory and permitting. We demonstrate the framework using publicly available data on a national scale (continental U.S.). Then, using an example of abandoned coal mines in Illinois and focusing on resource potential, we illustrate how this evaluation can be applied at the state or more local scales when a region’s characteristics drive spatial variability estimates. The strength of this approach is the ability to combine seemingly disparate parameters and inputs from numerous sources. The framework is very flexible—additional criteria can be easily incorporated and weights modified if input data support them. Vice versa, the framework can also help identify additional data needed for evaluating those criteria. The multicriteria screening evaluation methodology provides a framework for identifying potential candidates for detailed site evaluation and characterization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00289-3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140842578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-03-29DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00288-4
Samuel Scott, Alina Yapparova, Philipp Weis, Matthew Houde
{"title":"Hydrological constraints on the potential of enhanced geothermal systems in the ductile crust","authors":"Samuel Scott, Alina Yapparova, Philipp Weis, Matthew Houde","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00288-4","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00288-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Continental crust at temperatures > 400 °C and depths > 10–20 km normally deforms in a ductile manner, but can become brittle and permeable in response to changes in temperature or stress state induced by fluid injection. In this study, we quantify the theoretical power generation potential of an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) at 15–17 km depth using a numerical model considering the dynamic response of the rock to injection-induced pressurization and cooling. Our simulations suggest that an EGS circulating 80 kg s<sup>−1</sup> of water through initially 425 ℃ hot rock can produce thermal energy at a rate of ~ 120 MWth (~ 20 MWe) for up to two decades. As the fluid temperature decreases (less than 400 ℃), the corresponding thermal energy output decreases to around 40 MWth after a century of fluid circulation. However, exploiting these resources requires that temporal embrittlement of nominally ductile rock achieves bulk permeability values of ~ 10<sup>–15</sup>–10<sup>–14</sup> m<sup>2</sup> in a volume of rock with dimensions ~ 0.1 km<sup>3</sup>, as lower permeabilities result in unreasonably high injection pressures and higher permeabilities accelerate thermal drawdown. After cooling of the reservoir, the model assumes that the rock behaves in a brittle manner, which may lead to decreased fluid pressures due to a lowering of thresholds for failure in a critically stressed crust. However, such an evolution may also increase the risk for short-circuiting of fluid pathways, as in regular EGS systems. Although our theoretical investigation sheds light on the roles of geologic and operational parameters, realizing the potential of the ductile crust as an energy source requires cost-effective deep drilling technology as well as further research describing rock behavior at elevated temperatures and pressures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00288-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140328983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-03-27DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00286-6
J. F. Krumbholz, M. Krumbholz, S. H. Wadas, D. C. Tanner
{"title":"Characterisation of the fracture- and karst-controlled geothermal reservoir below Munich from geophysical wireline and well information","authors":"J. F. Krumbholz, M. Krumbholz, S. H. Wadas, D. C. Tanner","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00286-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00286-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Upper Jurassic carbonate aquifer in the German Molasse Basin (S Germany) below Munich is the focus of exploitation of geothermal energy. To implement geothermal wells, meaningful prediction of reservoir quality (e.g., volume, temperature, location of aquifers, porosity, permeability) is required. However, permeability of this aquifer is often highly heterogeneous and anisotropic, as in other karst- and fracture systems. Based on geophysical well logs from six wells, a 3D porosity model, and side-wall cores, we provide a comprehensive characterisation of the reservoir. We investigate the correlation between rock porosity and matrix permeability, and the impact of hyper-facies on fractures and karstification. We locate and analyse hydraulic active zones and compare them with hydraulic inactive zones within equivalent depth ranges, to characterise promising exploration targets. We show that fracture system parameters vary strongly between wells and within a single well. However, we observe local trends between the fracture systems and rock properties. For instance, fracture intensities and compressional wave velocity increase, while porosity decreases, in dolomitic reefal build-ups (massive facies). We observed substantial karstification dominantly within the massive facies. The main indicators for hydraulic active zones in the reservoir seem to be karstification, fractures, and fault zones. Although matrix porosity has neglectable impact on permeability, the identified hydraulic active zones appear more frequently in sections with higher porosity. We conclude, similar to previous studies, that the massive facies is a suitable exploitation target. Despite the favourable conditions within the massive facies, the strongest hydraulic active zones are nevertheless in the bedded facies, often considered as aquitard, directly below the top of the reservoir within the lithostratigraphic group of the Purbeck, at the transition between the Jurassic and the Cretaceous.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00286-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140310244","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-03-23DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00287-5
Simon Richter, Katrin Lubashevsky, Jakob Randow, Steve Henker, Jörg Buchwald, Anke Bucher
{"title":"Global sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for design parameters of shallow geothermal systems","authors":"Simon Richter, Katrin Lubashevsky, Jakob Randow, Steve Henker, Jörg Buchwald, Anke Bucher","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00287-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00287-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To improve the design process of geothermal systems, it is important to know which design parameters particularly affect the performance of the system. This article presents investigations on design parameters for borehole heat exchangers in the shallow subsurface. The study is based on numerical simulations with one double U-tube borehole heat exchanger and approximated models obtained using machine learning. As a result of the global sensitivity analysis, relevant parameters are identified and their respective influence on the performance of a borehole heat exchanger is compared. For example, according to this analysis, the three parameters with the highest sensitivity are the initial temperature, the heat demand and the share of the borehole heat exchanger that is surrounded by groundwater flow. Finally, the effects of uncertainties in the parameters identified as relevant for the design of a borehole heat exchanger are considered in an uncertainty quantification for a fictitious site. Uncertainties for regulatory compliance with respect to temperature limits as well as a large probability of oversizing the system were identified for the considered example. The results of the exemplary uncertainty quantification indicate that it has the potential to be a useful tool for planning practice.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00287-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140196058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-03-15DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00285-7
Natalia Cornejo-Triviño, Domenico Liotta, Luigi Piccardi, Andrea Brogi, Michal Kruszewski, M.A Perez-Flores, Jonathan Carrillo, Philippe Calcagno, Ingo Sass, Eva Schill
{"title":"Gravimetric and morpho-structural analyses in the superhot geothermal system Los Humeros: an example from central Mexico","authors":"Natalia Cornejo-Triviño, Domenico Liotta, Luigi Piccardi, Andrea Brogi, Michal Kruszewski, M.A Perez-Flores, Jonathan Carrillo, Philippe Calcagno, Ingo Sass, Eva Schill","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00285-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00285-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The influence of deep and regional geological structures is becoming increasingly important in superhot geothermal systems due to their proximity to the transition between brittleness and ductility. In the Los Humeros geothermal field in Mexico, where subsurface fluids reach temperatures of over 350 °C, the surface structures resulting from the collapse of calderas have so far only been interpreted at the local scale. The aim of this work is to place the recent tectonic and volcano-tectonic geomorphologic evolution and structures in the Los Humeros volcanic area in a regional context. NE- and NW-striking dominant structures resulting from a morpho-structural analysis on a regional scale are confirmed by negative and positive anomalies, respectively, after Butterworth filtering of gravity field data with different wavelengths over a local area of about 1000 km<sup>2</sup>. By analyzing the slip and dilation trends of the observed directions, we show the relevance of the regional context for reservoir exploration. The magnitudes of the principal stresses we estimate indicate a trans-tensional fault regime, a combination of strike-slip and normal faulting. The structures derived from the gravity and morpho-structural analyses, which are parallel to the maximum horizontal stress, have the highest potential for tensile and shear failure. Therefore, the corresponding negative gravity anomalies could be related to fracture porosity. Consequently, we hypothesize that these structures near the transition between brittleness and ductility control fluid flow in the Los Humeros geothermal field.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00285-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140139217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-02-15DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00281-x
Yi Yang, Jie Zhang, Xingchun Wang, Mingxing Liang, Dewei Li, Meng Liang, Yang Ou, Dingyu Jia, Xianchun Tang, Xufeng Li
{"title":"Deep structure and geothermal resource effects of the Gonghe basin revealed by 3D magnetotelluric","authors":"Yi Yang, Jie Zhang, Xingchun Wang, Mingxing Liang, Dewei Li, Meng Liang, Yang Ou, Dingyu Jia, Xianchun Tang, Xufeng Li","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00281-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00281-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In order to better understand the crustal shortening and orogenic uplift in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, as well as the geothermal resource effects formed during this process, we used ModEM software to perform 3D MT imaging on broadband magnetotelluric survey points deployed at 710 points in the Gonghe Basin and its surrounding areas. The resistivity model suggests that the Gonghe Basin exhibits a low–high–low overall electrical structure, with high conductivity widely distributed in the middle and lower crust. The resistivity model also reveals a significant discontinuity between high and low resistivity blocks at various depths in the upper and middle crust. These discontinuities are align with the faults observed on the surface related to strong crustal fluctuations, which are connected to high conductors in the middle and upper crust. Using empirical formulas for high-temperature and high-pressure testing of granite, it is estimated that the melting volume of these high conductors ranges from 3 to 43%, demonstrating good \"plasticity\". These high conductors can act as detachment layers for crustal shortening and deformation during the expansion of the Tibetan Plateau towards the northeast edge and can continuously conduct heat energy upwards, creating a high thermal background in the Gonghe Basin.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00281-x","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139750063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Geothermal EnergyPub Date : 2024-02-12DOI: 10.1186/s40517-024-00284-8
Arjan Marelis, Fred Beekman, Jan-Diederik van Wees
{"title":"3D mechanical analysis of geothermal reservoir operations in faulted sedimentary aquifers using MACRIS","authors":"Arjan Marelis, Fred Beekman, Jan-Diederik van Wees","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00284-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00284-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Accurate and efficient predictions of three-dimensional subsurface stress changes are required for the assessment of geothermal operations with respect to fault stability and the potential risk for induced seismicity. This work extends the model capabilities of <b>M</b>echanical <b>A</b>nalysis of <b>C</b>omplex <b>R</b>eservoirs for <b>I</b>nduced <b>S</b>eismicity (MACRIS) to account for high-resolution thermo-elastic stress evaluations in structurally complex (i.e. faulted) and matrix permeability dominated geothermal systems. By adopting a mesh-free approach suitable to industry standard flow simulation models, MACRIS is capable of preserving the complex 3D hydraulic development of the injected cold-water volume and the 3D geometrical complexities of the reservoir model. The workflow has been applied to three-dimensional models with clastic reservoir characteristics representative for low enthalpy geothermal exploitation in the Netherlands. The models are marked by a single fault, subject to no and normal offset. Comparison of simulated stress evolutions in MACRIS with alternative analytical solutions highlight the effects of stress arching involved in the poro- and thermo-elastic stress developments on complex faults intersected by or in direct contact with the cold-water volume. Results are in agreement with previous studies and show the effect of thermal stressing to be dominant, arching of stresses to occur at the rim of the cold-water volume, and in cooling reservoirs, the intersection area of the cold-water volume in direct contact with the fault plane to be the main driver for fault reactivation and subsequent seismic potential. Moreover, results show the effects of stress arching (i) to be enhanced in the case of reservoir throw and flow compartmentalization, and (ii) to be reduced by a relative increase in conductive heat transfer between the reservoir and surrounding formations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00284-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139732246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}