Geothermal Energy最新文献

{"title":"Chemical and isotopic constraints on fluid origin and genesis of geothermal systems in the Tingri-Tangra Yumco rift, southern Tibetan Plateau","authors":"Wei Liu,&nbsp;Maoliang Zhang,&nbsp;Yi Liu,&nbsp;Lifeng Cui,&nbsp;Yuji Sano,&nbsp;Sheng Xu","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00311-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00311-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Numerous geothermal systems are hosted by extensional rifts that transect the Himalayas and Lhasa block in the Himalayan–Tibetan orogen. However, the relationships between hydrogeological processes and geothermal fluid circulation in different tectonic units remain unclear. Here, we report an integrated dataset of chemical and isotopic compositions (including major and trace elements, δD, δ¹⁸O, and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr) of thermal spring water from the Tingri-Tangra Yumco rift to assess their origins and circulation processes. δ¹⁸O (− 21.3 to − 17.0‰) and δD (− 166 to − 135‰) values of thermal springs indicate dominant recharge of meteoric waters from areas with elevation of &gt; 6000 m and minor addition of magmatic fluids. Meteoric water could infiltrate to depths of about 1700–2900 m along the faults, whereby it is influenced by geothermal gradient and/or conductive heat transfer of magmatic fluids. The thermal spring waters are mainly Na-HCO₃ type and are controlled by dissolution of silicate and carbonate minerals and mixing with deep fluids. The results of chemical and multicomponent geothermometers indicate reservoir temperatures of 115 − 195 ℃, corresponding to a convection heat flux of 3.96 × 10⁵ J/s to 1.78 × 10⁷ J/s from geothermal systems, which are comparable to that of the low-enthalpy geothermal systems in southern Italy. Geochemical modeling is conducted to assess the water–mineral equilibria in the reservoir. Trace elements and ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr data suggest spatially variable controlling factors for the rift-related geothermal systems: (1) interaction with granitoid and carbonate in the Himalayas; (2) cold groundwater mixing with that leaching from granite and volcanic rocks in the Lhasa block; (3) the input of vapors from magmatic degassing. The geochemistry of thermal springs associated with extensional rift is largely induced by the interaction between fluid and different reservoir rocks in the Himalayas and Lhasa block. Based on these findings, a genetic model is proposed for exploration and development of geothermal resources in the Tingri-Tangra Yumco rift.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00311-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142123084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Hydrogeochemical and microbial characterization of a Middle Triassic carbonate aquifer (Muschelkalk) in Berlin and geochemical simulation of its use as a high-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage","authors":"Lioba Virchow,&nbsp;Christian Siever-Wenzlaff,&nbsp;Guido Blöcher,&nbsp;Armando Alibrandi,&nbsp;Jens Kallmeyer,&nbsp;Martin Zimmer,&nbsp;Thomas Wiersberg,&nbsp;Christoph Thielke,&nbsp;Anja Schleicher,&nbsp;Simona Regenspurg","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00309-2","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00309-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The geological formation of the Muschelkalk is widespread in the center of the North German Basin (NGB) and is increasingly attracting interest for application of geothermal energy extraction or high-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage (HT-ATES). This study investigates the Middle Triassic <i>“Rüdersdorfer Schaumkalk”</i>, which was the former injection horizon of the natural gas storage facility in Berlin, Germany. For the first time, detailed chemical and microbiological analyses of formation water of this Lower Muschelkalk limestone formation were conducted and hydrogeochemically characterized. In addition, a hydrogeochemical model was developed to quantify the potential reactions during HT-ATES focusing on calcite dissolution and precipitation. The main objectives of this study are: (1) to determine the origin of the water from the three wells targeting the Muschelkalk aquifer, (2) to understand changes in hydrochemistry after system operation, and (3) to evaluate the long-term sustainability of a potential HT-ATES system with increasing temperature. The target formation is encountered by several wells at about 525 m below the surface with an average thickness of 30 m. Two hydraulic lifting tests including physical, chemical, and microbial groundwater as well as gas monitoring were carried out. In addition, several downhole samples of formation fluid were collected from the aquifer at in situ pressure and temperature conditions. Fluid analysis of the saline formation water indicate a seawater origin within the Muschelkalk with subsequent evaporation and various water–rock interactions with anhydrite/gypsum, dolomite, and calcite. With a salinity of 130 g/L, dominated by Na–Cl, a slightly acidic pH between 6 and 7, and a low gas content of 3%, the formation water fits to other saline deep formation waters of the NGB. Gas concentrations and microbial communities like sulfate-reducing bacteria and methanogenic archaea in the produced water indicate several geochemical alterations and microbial processes like corrosion and the forming of biogenic methane. Geochemical simulations of calcite equilibrium over 10 HT-ATES cycles indicated a pronounced propensity for calcite precipitation up to 31 mg/kgw, within the heat exchanger. At the same time, these models predicted a significant potential for calcite dissolution, with rates up to 21 mg/kgw, in both the cold and hot reservoirs. The results from the carbonate aquifer characterized in this study can be transferred to other sites in the NGB affected by salt tectonics and have provided information on the microbiological-chemical processes to be expected during the initial use of old wells.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00309-2","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142091151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Multi-objective optimization and long-time simulation of a multi-borehole ground heat exchanger system","authors":"Saghar Sarshar,&nbsp;Kobra Gharali,&nbsp;Meghdad Saffaripour,&nbsp;Jatin Nathwani,&nbsp;Maurice B. Dusseault","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00310-9","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00310-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Multi-objective optimization and CFD simulation are conducted to optimize the design of a multi-borehole ground heat exchanger (GHE) system and assess its long-time performance. The multi-objective optimization is performed to minimize the entropy generation number (EGN) and total cost rate by using various evolutionary algorithms, including NSGA-II, GDE-3, MOEA/D, PESA-II, SPEA-II, and SMPSO. NSGA-II and GDE-3 algorithms perform best in obtaining Pareto optimal solutions. Three prominent points on the NSGA-II Pareto frontier, representing the results of single-objective thermodynamic, single-objective economic, and multi-objective optimizations, are simulated in three dimensions over three months. The trends of EGN variations extracted from the transient CFD simulation agree well with those from the steady analytical model. The EGN obtained from multi-objective optimization is 58.8% lower than the EGN obtained using single-objective economic optimization and 1.9 times higher than that calculated from single-objective thermodynamic optimization. Likewise, the total cost rate obtained from multi-objective optimization is 64.4% lower than the value obtained from single-objective thermodynamic optimization and four times higher than that calculated using single-objective economic optimization. The proposed optimization approach can be reliably applied to improve the design of multi-borehole GHE systems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00310-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142045151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Model for dimensioning borehole heat exchanger applied to mixed-integer-linear-problem (MILP) energy system optimization","authors":"Tobias Blanke,&nbsp;Holger Born,&nbsp;Bernd Döring,&nbsp;Joachim Göttsche,&nbsp;Ulf Herrmann,&nbsp;Jérôme Frisch,&nbsp;Christoph van Treeck","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00301-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00301-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper introduces three novel approaches to size geothermal energy piles in a MILP, offering fresh perspectives and potential solutions. The research overlooks MILP models that incorporate the sizing of a geothermal borefield. Therefore, this paper presents a new model utilizing a g-function model to regulate the power limits. Geothermal energy is an essential renewable source, particularly for heating and cooling. Complex energy systems, with their diverse sources of heating and cooling and intricate interactions, are crucial for a climate-neutral energy system. This work significantly contributes to the integration of geothermal energy as a vital energy source into the modelling of such complex systems. Borehole heat exchangers help generate heat in low-temperature energy systems. However, optimizing these exchangers using mixed-integer-linear programming (MILP), which only allows for linear equations, is complex. The current research only uses R-C, reservoir, or g-function models for pre-sized borefields. As a result, borehole heat exchangers are often represented by linear factors such as 50 W/m for extraction or injection limits. A breakthrough in the accuracy of borehole heat exchanger sizing has been achieved with the development of a new model, which has been rigorously compared to two simpler models. The geothermal system was configured for three energy systems with varying ground and bore field parameters. The results were then compared with existing geothermal system tools. The new model provides more accurate depth sizing with an error of less than 5 % compared to simpler models with an error higher than 50 %, although it requires more calculation time. The new model can lead to more accurate borefield sizing in MILP applications to optimize energy systems. This new model is especially beneficial for large-scale projects that are highly dependent on borefield size.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00301-w","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142045157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A review of district energy technology with subsurface thermal storage integration","authors":"Nicholas Fry,&nbsp;Philip Adebayo,&nbsp;Rick Tian,&nbsp;Roman Shor,&nbsp;Aggrey Mwesigye","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00308-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00308-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Renewable energies, such as solar and wind, traditionally suffer from temporal incongruity. Society’s energy demand peaks occur at different times of day than the electricity generation potential of a photovoltaic panel or, often, a wind turbine. Heat demand, in particular, is subject to a significant mismatch between the availability of heat (in the summer) and the need for heat (in the winter). Thus, a future energy system design should incorporate underground thermal energy storage (UTES) to avoid this temporal mismatch and emphasize thermal applications. Such a basis of design would introduce new methods of energy arbitrage, encourage the adoption of geothermal systems, and decrease the carbon intensity of society. UTES techniques are becoming increasingly sophisticated. These methods of storage can range from simple seasonal storage for residential structures in a grouted borehole array (BTES), to aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES), deep reservoir storage (RTES) in basins, among others. The method that each of these techniques shares is the use of the earth as a storage medium. UTES can also be characterized for electricity production, but this work largely explores applications in heating and cooling, further limited in scope to sensible heat storage (SHS). Heating and cooling processes—residential, commercial, and industrial—make up large fractions of energy demand in North America. This is also true of other locales. With the increasing concerns of climate change, exacerbated by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, developers and municipal planners are strategizing to decarbonize building heating and cooling at district scales. This review covers the integration of UTES techniques with thermal energy network (TEN) technology across large districts. Though storage has long been in use for conventional district heating networks, designs are rapidly innovating, indicating broader applications of UTES integration with a TEN is advantageous from both an efficiency and economic perspective. This rapid innovation indicates the need for the integrated review offered in this paper.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00308-3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142002570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Correction: Sustainable operation of geothermal power plants: why economics matters","authors":"Fynn V. Hackstein,&nbsp;Reinhard Madlener","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00307-4","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00307-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00307-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944652","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Study on the evolution of mechanical properties of hot dry rocks after supercritical CO2 injection","authors":"Pan Li,&nbsp;Hongxue Zhang,&nbsp;Yu Wu","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00306-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00306-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Characterizing the evolution of mechanical properties of hot dry rock (HDR) after supercritical CO₂ (CO₂(sc)) injection is crucial for assessing the heat extraction rate and reservoir security of CO₂ based enhanced geothermal systems. This study designed the experiments of triaxial seepage and mechanical properties considering no CO₂(sc) injection, CO₂(sc) injection, and alternating injection of water-CO₂(sc) (AIWC) in granite at 150–300 ℃. The experiments can reveal the mechanical properties of HDR in single-phase CO₂ zone, CO₂-water two-phase zone and dissolved CO₂ liquid phase zone in HDR reservoir. The results indicate that the failure mode of the rock samples primarily exhibits sudden instability after no CO₂(sc) injection and AIWC, whereas it predominantly manifests progressive instability after CO₂(sc) injection. Compared with 25 ℃, the uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) after no CO₂(sc) injection at 150–300 ℃ decreased by 13.86%–32.92%. After CO₂(sc) injection, the UCS decreased by 40.79%–59.60%. After AIWC, the UCS decreased by 27.74–40.48%. This shows that the strength of rock mass in the single-phase CO₂ zone is lower than that in the other two zones, and this weakening phenomenon increases with the increase of temperature difference. At the same temperature, the elasticity modulus after AIWC was greater than that after no CO₂(sc) injection and CO₂(sc) injection. With no CO₂(sc) injection, when the temperature was increased to 200 ℃ and 300 ℃, intergranular cracks and transgranular appeared respectively. After AIWC, mineral crystals such as calcite were precipitated on the surfaces of the connected large cracks, accompanied by kaolinite clay minerals. This increases the frictional contact of the mineral particles and enhances the stability of the HDR reservoir.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00306-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A fully coupled thermo-poroelastic model for energy extraction in naturally fractured geothermal reservoirs: sensitivity analysis and flow simulation","authors":"Reda Abdel Azim,&nbsp;Saad Alatefi,&nbsp;Abdulrahman Aljehani","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00305-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00305-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The development of a novel method for modelling fluid flow and heat transfer in naturally fractured geothermal reservoirs represents a significant advancement in geothermal energy research. This Study presents a hybrid approach, which combines discrete fracture and single continuum techniques, to effectively capture the complex interactions between fluid flow and heat transfer in geothermal fractured reservoirs. In addition, the incorporation of the local thermal nonequilibrium method for simulating heat transmission accounts for the disparities in temperature between the rock matrix and the fluid, providing a more realistic representation of heat transfer processes. The study also presents a fully coupled thermo-poro-elastic framework that integrates fluid flow and heat transfer to comprehensively evaluate reservoir responses to injection/production scenarios. This coupled approach allows for the prediction of changes in reservoir properties, such as permeability and porosity, under varying fluid pressure and temperature conditions. The application of the proposed model to evaluate a geothermal reservoir’s long-term response to injection/production scenarios provides valuable insights into the reservoir’s behaviour and potential energy production capacity. The sensitivity analysis further enhances the model’s utility by identifying the key reservoir parameters that significantly influence the thermal depletion of the reservoir. Overall, this novel modelling approach holds promise for improving the understanding and management of naturally fractured geothermal reservoirs, contributing to the optimization of geothermal energy extraction strategies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00305-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141729995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Thermal Earth model for the conterminous United States using an interpolative physics-informed graph neural network","authors":"Mohammad J. Aljubran,&nbsp;Roland N. Horne","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00304-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00304-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study presents a data-driven spatial interpolation algorithm based on physics-informed graph neural networks used to develop a thermal Earth model for the conterminous United States. The model was trained to approximately satisfy Fourier’s Law of conductive heat transfer by simultaneously predicting subsurface temperature, surface heat flow, and rock thermal conductivity. In addition to bottomhole temperature measurements, we incorporated other spatial and physical quantities as model inputs, such as depth, geographic coordinates, elevation, sediment thickness, magnetic anomaly, gravity anomaly, gamma-ray flux of radioactive elements, seismicity, electrical conductivity, and proximity to faults and volcanoes. With a spatial resolution of <span>(18 km^2)</span> per grid cell, we predicted heat flow at surface as well as temperature and rock thermal conductivity across depths of <span>(0-7 km)</span> at an interval of <span>(1 km)</span>. Our model showed temperature, surface heat flow and thermal conductivity mean absolute errors of <span>(6.4^circ C)</span>, <span>(6.9 mW/m^2)</span> and <span>(0.04 W/m-K)</span>, respectively. This thorough modeling of the Earth’s thermal processes is crucial to understanding subsurface phenomena and exploiting natural underground resources. Our thermal Earth model is available as web application at https://stm.stanford.edu, feature layers on ArcGIS at https://arcg.is/nLzzT0, and tabulated data on the Geothermal Data Repository at https://gdr.openei.org/submissions/1592.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00304-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141610186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Comparison of simulation tools for optimizing borehole heat exchanger field operation","authors":"Elisa Heim,&nbsp;Phillip Stoffel,&nbsp;Stephan Düber,&nbsp;Dominique Knapp,&nbsp;Alexander Kümpel,&nbsp;Dirk Müller,&nbsp;Norbert Klitzsch","doi":"10.1186/s40517-024-00303-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40517-024-00303-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Model predictive control (MPC) is a promising approach for optimizing the performance of borehole heat exchangers (BHEs) in ground-source heat pump systems. The central element of MPC is the forward model that predicts the thermal dynamics in the ground. In this work, we validate the prediction accuracy of four BHE modeling approaches against real-world measurement data across various operational events and timescales. We simulate the fluid temperature leaving a BHE using a fully discretized 3-D numerical model, a resistance–capacitance model, a g-function model, and a hybrid model. The simulated temperatures are compared to measured temperatures using three validation metrics that quantify temperature offset, noise, and accuracy. The main reason for a mismatch between measured and modeled temperatures is a temperature offset of the simulated temperature. To remove this effect, the models were calibrated for their most sensitive parameter, the ground temperature, and their prediction accuracy over 4 years was evaluated. Thereby, model calibration seems to be a viable solution to account for an unknown load history. The results show that the resistance–capacitance model provides decent predictions in the short term and the g-function model in the long term. However, both models are strongly dependent on accurate calibration. The hybrid model provides the most accurate short and long-term predictions and is less dependent on calibration. Still, its integration into optimization syntax poses challenges compared to the other models. Although not yet applied in model predictive control, the hybrid model stands out as a promising choice for optimizing BHE field operations across various timescales.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48643,"journal":{"name":"Geothermal Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://geothermal-energy-journal.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40517-024-00303-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141561118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}