Qi Zhu , Hua-Dong Guo , Lu Zhang , Dong Liang , Zhe-Rong Wu , Zhuo-Ran Lyu , Xiao-Bing Du
{"title":"Investigating the dynamics and interactions of surface features on Pine Island Glacier using remote sensing and deep learning","authors":"Qi Zhu , Hua-Dong Guo , Lu Zhang , Dong Liang , Zhe-Rong Wu , Zhuo-Ran Lyu , Xiao-Bing Du","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Pine Island Glacier (PIG), the largest glacier in the Amundsen Sea Embayment of West Antarctica, has contributed to over a quarter of the observed sea level rise around Antarctica. In recent years, multiple observations have confirmed its continuous retreat, ice flow acceleration and profound surface melt. Understanding these changes is crucial for accurately monitoring ice mass discharge and future Antarctic contributions to sea level rise. Therefore, it is essential to investigate the complex interactions between these variables to comprehend how they collectively affect the overall stability of the intricate PIG system. In this study, we utilized high-resolution remote sensing data and deep learning method to detect and analyze the spatio-temporal variations of surface melt, ice shelf calving, and ice flow velocity of the PIG from 2015 to 2023. We explored the correlations among these factors to understand their long-term impacts on the glacier's stability. Our findings reveal a retreat of 26.3 km and a mass loss of 1001.6 km<sup>2</sup> during 2015–2023. Notably, extensive surface melting was observed, particularly in the 2016/2017 and 2019/2020 melting seasons. Satellite data vividly illustrate prolonged and intense melting periods, correlating with a significant retreat in the glacier's terminus position in 2019/2020. Furthermore, the comprehensive analysis of surface melting and the cumulative retreat of the ice shelf from 2017 to 2020 on the PIG shows a temporal relationship with subsequent significant changes in ice flow velocity, ranging from 10.9 to 12.2 m d<sup>−1</sup>, with an average acceleration rate of 12%. These empirical findings elucidate the intricate relationship among surface melt, ice flow velocity, and consequential glacier dynamics. A profound understanding of these interrelationships holds paramount importance in glacier dynamic changes and modeling, providing invaluable insights into potential glacier responses to global climate change.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 609-622"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001114/pdfft?md5=f7ec04ab175ec6809d7d3afd9e7ba09d&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001114-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142151953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Thermal and hydrological processes in permafrost slope wetlands affect thermosyphon embankment stability","authors":"Bo-Wen Tai , Qing-Bai Wu , Xiao-Ming Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To ensure the long-term service performance of infrastructure such as railways, highways, airports and oil pipelines built on permafrost slope wetland sites, it is imperative to systematically uncover the long-term heat‒water changes of soil in slope wetlands environment under climate warming. More specifically, considering valuable field data from 2001 to 2019, the long-term heat and water changes in active layers of the slope wetland site along the Qinghai–Xizang Railway (QXR) are illustrated, the effect of thermosyphon measures in protecting the permafrost environment is evaluated, and the influences of climate warming and hydrological effects on the stability of slope wetland embankments are systematically discussed. The permafrost at the slope wetland site is rapidly degrading, demonstrating a reduction in active layer thickness of >3.7 cm per year and a permafrost temperature warming of >0.006 °C per year. The thermosiphon embankment developed by QXR has a specific cooling period; thus, to mitigate the long-term impacts of climate warming on the thermal stability of permafrost foundation, it is essential to implement strengthening measures for the thermosiphon embankment, such as adding a crushed-rock layer or sunshade board on the slope of thermosiphon embankment to creating a composite cooling embankment. Short-term seasonal groundwater seepage intensifies frost damage to the slope wetland embankment, while long-term seasonal supra-permafrost water and groundwater seepage exacerbates uneven transverse deformation of slope wetland embankment. Long-term climate warming and slope effects have altered the surface water and groundwater hydrological processes of slope wetlands, potentially leading to an increased occurrence of slope embankment instability. These results are crucial for improving our understanding of heat and water variation processes in the active layer of slope wetland sites located in permafrost regions and ensuring long-term service safety for the QXR.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 680-694"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001102/pdfft?md5=6d68ee00b4c0a91884b54afbff4803c7&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001102-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142151941","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hang Su , Xin-Yue Zhong , Bin Cao , Yuan-Tao Hu , Lei Zheng , Tingjun Zhang
{"title":"Comparison of bulk snow density measurements using different methods","authors":"Hang Su , Xin-Yue Zhong , Bin Cao , Yuan-Tao Hu , Lei Zheng , Tingjun Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Snow density is one of the basic properties used to describe snow cover characteristics, and it is critical for remote sensing retrieval, water resources assessment and modeling inputs. There are many instruments available to measure snow density <em>in situ</em>. However, there are measurement errors of snow density for bulk and layers or gravimetric and electronic instruments, which may affect the accuracy of remote sensing retrieval and model simulation. Especially in China, due to the noticeable heterogeneity of snowpacks, it is necessary to evaluate in detail the performance and applicability of snow density instruments in different snowpack conditions. This study evaluated the performance of different snow density instruments: the Federal Sampler, the model VS–43 snow density cylinder (VS–43), the wedge snow density cutter (WC1000 and WC250), and the Snow Fork. The average bulk snow density of all instrument measurements was set as the reference value for evaluation. The results showed that as compared with the reference, the VS–43 cylinder presented the best performance for bulk snow density measurement in the measured range with the lowest RMSE (11 kg m<sup>−3</sup>), BIAS (3 kg m<sup>−3</sup>), and MRE (1.6%). For layer observation, bulk snow density was overestimated by 8.1% with WC1000 and underestimated by 11.4% with Snow Fork which was the worst performance compared with the reference value, and there were greater measurement errors of snow density in the depth hoar than other snow layers. Compared with grassland, the uncertainty of snow density measurements was slightly lower in forests. Overall, the Federal Sampler and VS–43 cylinder are more suitable for bulk snow density measurement in deep snowpack regions across China, and it is recommended to use WC1000, WC250 and Snow Fork to measure the snow density of snow layers in the snow stratigraphy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 658-668"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001059/pdfft?md5=a0854ea767ae2730e730177c84936b5c&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001059-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141715993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ji-Zu Chen , Wen-Tao Du , Shi-Chang Kang , Xiang Qin , Wei-Jun Sun , Li-Hui Luo , Yang Li , Jun-Hua Yang , You-Yan Jiang
{"title":"Mitigation of black carbon emissions could immediately reduce 6.3% of glacier melting in the Qilian Mountains","authors":"Ji-Zu Chen , Wen-Tao Du , Shi-Chang Kang , Xiang Qin , Wei-Jun Sun , Li-Hui Luo , Yang Li , Jun-Hua Yang , You-Yan Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Global warming in tandem with surface albedo reduction caused by black carbon (BC) deposition on glaciers accelerated glacier melting; however, their respective contributions remain unclear. Glaciers in the Qilian Mountains are crucial for the development of oases in the Hexi Corridor; however, their area has decreased by more than 20% over the past half-century. Thus, this study developed a dynamic deposition model for light-absorbing particles (LAPs), coupled with a surface energy and mass balance model. We comprehensively assessed the effects of BC and warming on the melting of a typical glacier in the Qilian Mountains based on the coupled model. BC on the glacier surface caused 13.1% of annual glacier-wide melting, of which directly deposited atmospheric BC reduced the surface albedo by 0.02 and accounted for 9.1% of glacier melting. The air temperature during 2000–2010 has increased by 1.5 °C relative to that during the 1950s, accounting for 51.9% of current glacier melting. Meanwhile, BC emission have increased by 4.6 times compared to those of the early Industrial Revolution recorded in an ice core, accounting conservatively for 6.3% of current glacier melting. Mitigating BC emissions has a limited influence on current glacier melting; however, in the long-term, mitigation should exert a noteworthy impact on glacier melting through the self-purification of glaciers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 725-736"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824000868/pdfft?md5=fca29457ad655a62af5a571cd67bfe93&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824000868-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142151942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jing-Wen Liu , Chuan-Jin Li , Gui-Tao Shi , Yan Liu , Zhi-Heng Du , Ming-Hu Ding , Shao-Peng Gao , Cun-De Xiao , Shi-Chang Kang , Bo Sun
{"title":"Changes of the trace metals in ice core during 1915‒2016 in coastal eastern Antarctica","authors":"Jing-Wen Liu , Chuan-Jin Li , Gui-Tao Shi , Yan Liu , Zhi-Heng Du , Ming-Hu Ding , Shao-Peng Gao , Cun-De Xiao , Shi-Chang Kang , Bo Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Antarctic trace metal records provide important information for grasping the influence of human activities on the environment over the last centuries. The CA2016-75 ice core is located along the East Antarctic Zhongshan Station–Dome A, enhances the record of metals research in the East Antarctic region, and its high-resolution supplies data support for the study of high-frequency climatic drivers and the effect of human activities on the Antarctic environment. A thorough dataset on seven trace metals (Al, Fe, Mn, Cu, Zn, Ba and Pb) in a coastal ice core in eastern Antarctica during the previous 102 years (1915–2016) is presented in this study. Pb has the lowest concentration (9.51 ± 20.95 pg g<sup>−1</sup>), and Ba has the highest concentration (36.57 ± 51.35 ng g<sup>−1</sup>). Notable variations are observed between the pre-1968 AD and post-1968 AD phases for Mn, Zn and Ba. The abrupt, remarkable increase in the concentrations coincided with the change of metal smelting production in the southern hemisphere. In addition to this, it may also be related to local Antarctic scientific research activities. Al and Fe, the primary crustal elements, are essentially obtained from soil dust; Cu shows high crustal enrichment factors (EFc, >10), indicating that it is notably affected by anthropogenic activities. Moreover, the anthropogenic activities in the Southern Hemisphere have had an impact on lead deposition in Antarctica. This study not only enriches the trace metal historical record along the Zhongshan Station–Dome A but also provides a high-resolution ice core record, which is very crucial for the reconstruction of trace metal concentration changes in the last 100 years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 596-608"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001035/pdfft?md5=c71840301199c3a147cea1189ae49ec9&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001035-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141696445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sorely reducing emissions of non-methane short-lived climate forcers will worsen compound flood-heatwave extremes in the Northern Hemisphere","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.05.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.05.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Non-methane short-lived climate forcer (SLCF) or near-term climate forcer (NTCF) emissions, as a significant driver of climate change, can be reduced to improve air quality. These reductions may contribute to additional warming of the climate system in the short term, thereby strongly affecting the likelihood of climate extremes. However, there has been no quantitative assessment of the impact of non-methane SLCF mitigation on compound flood–heatwave extremes (CFHEs). This study quantitatively investigates the changes in future (2031–2050 versus 1995–2014) CFHEs and the resulting population exposure in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) due to non-methane SLCF reductions. We used multi-model ensemble simulations under two future scenarios from the Aerosol and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The two future scenarios share the same greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions but have weak (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 3–7.0) versus strong (SSP3-7.0-lowNTCF) levels of air quality control measures. The results show that future non-methane SLCF reductions during 2031–2050 results in about a 7.3% ± 2.3% increase in grid exposure to CFHEs in the NH relative to the period 1995–2014. The frequency, intensity, and duration of CFHEs increase by varying degrees. During the period 2031–2050, the frequency of CFHEs across the NH increases by 2.9 ± 0.9 events per decade due to non-methane SLCF reductions. The increases in CFHE frequency are more pronounced in East Asia, South Asia, Siberia, and northern and eastern North America. In East and South Asia, the intensities of both heatwaves and floods corresponding to CFHEs increase markedly, where heatwave magnitude (HWM) increases by 0.3 ± 0.2 K in East Asia and weighted average precipitation (WAP) increases by 18.3% ± 15.3% and 12.0% ± 4.5% in East Asia and South Asia, respectively. In other regions, rising temperatures dominate the increase in CFHEs. With regard to the duration of CFHEs, future reductions in non-methane SLCFs increases the duration of CFHEs in the NH by 0.3 ± 0.1 d. Regionally, the sensitivity of CFHE frequency to global warming caused by non-methane SLCF mitigation is 1.2–1.9 times higher than that caused by GHG forcing. Non-methane SLCFs results in NH-averaged increases in population exposure to CFHEs of (5.0 ± 2.0) × 10<sup>5</sup> person·event in the period 2031–2050. This study emphasizes the importance of considering the impacts of cleaner air in future responses to compound extremes and corresponding societal planning.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 737-750"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824000741/pdfft?md5=9d41391329b3fafcb6f7870f36e6e685&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824000741-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141142683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Substantial increase of heat-induced labor and economic loss in China under rapid economic and environmental temperature growth","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Exposure to heat stress causes diminished work performance and leads to economic loss. In the last two decades, China has experienced both rapid economic development and environmental warming; however, the spatiotemporal variations of association between environmental heat and labor loss have been rarely investigated behind this double impact. Here, we evaluated the variation in China's heat-induced labor productivity loss and related economic cost from 2001 to 2019 and investigated the effect of economic development and regional warming. We found that decline in labor productivity because of heat stress increased significantly (<em>p</em> < 0.05 for heavy-intensity work), and the corresponding economic loss also exhibited a drastic increase by 6- to 9-fold. The relative economic loss showed a slight but nonsignificant increase with an average value of 0.54% of the annual total earnings. At the sub-regional and sectoral level, adverse effects were more prominent in the southeast region, and the secondary industry sectors, such as construction and manufacturing, contributed to larger proportions of economic losses. The transformation of industrial structure made economic sectors more vulnerable to heat exposure, and increasingly preventive effects of air-conditioning use were noted on economic damage due to heat-induced productivity decline (36.0% relative economic benefits in 2019 compared to 9.7% in 2001). Our findings could provide a deep insight into heat burden on occupational health and heat adaptation strategies regionally under climate change, especially in developing areas with higher temperature and humidity environment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 708-716"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824000820/pdfft?md5=f27a2eddfa61087d88ca1396137b6d21&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824000820-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141391543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhao-Hua Liu , Shan-Shan Weng , Zhao-Liang Zeng , Ming-Hu Ding , Ya-Qiang Wang , Zhehao Liang
{"title":"Hourly land surface temperature retrieval over the Tibetan Plateau using Geo-LightGBM framework: Fusion of Himawari-8 satellite, ERA5 and site observations","authors":"Zhao-Hua Liu , Shan-Shan Weng , Zhao-Liang Zeng , Ming-Hu Ding , Ya-Qiang Wang , Zhehao Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is highly sensitive to even minor fluctuations in land surface temperature (LST), which can result in permafrost melting and degradation of alpine grasslands, leading to serious ecological consequences. Therefore, it is crucial to have high-temporal-resolution and seamless hourly estimating and monitoring of LST for a better understanding of climate change on the TP. Here, we employed Himawari-8 satellite, Digital Elevation Model (DEM), ERA5 reanalysis and meteorological station observations data to develop a new LightGBM framework (called Geo-LightGBM) for estimating LST on the TP, and then analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of those LST. Geo-LightGBM demonstrated excellent LST estimation accuracy, with an <em>R</em><sup>2</sup> (coefficient of determination) of 0.971, RMSE (root-mean-square error) of 2.479 °C, and MAE (mean absolute error) of 1.510 °C. The estimated LST values for the year 2020 agreed well with observed values, with remarkable differences in hourly LST variations. Meanwhile, the estimated LST was more accurate than that from FY-4A. Spatially, there were two high LST centers, located in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin and the Qaidam Basin, and a low LST center located in the central TP. The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) and correlation analyses revealed DSCS (the mean ground downward shortwave radiation under clear-sky conditions) to be the most importantly input variable for estimating LST. Spatiotemporal dummy variables (<em>e.g.</em>, longitude, latitude, DEM) were also found to be crucial for model accuracy improvement. Our findings indicate the potential for constructing a high-precision and seamless 24-h LST real-time retrieval and monitoring platform for the TP by combining satellite and China's independently developed CLDAS (China Land Data Assimilation System) data in future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 623-635"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824000832/pdfft?md5=ee24fb3c8996406a446fc1adf3edd53b&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824000832-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142151954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The historical to future linkage of Arctic amplification on extreme precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere using CMIP5 and CMIP6 models","authors":"Jun Liu, Xiao-Fan Wang, Dong-You Wu, Xin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Arctic warming played a dominant role in recent occurrences of extreme events over the Northern Hemisphere, but climate models cannot accurately simulate the relationship. Here a significant positive correlation (0.33–0.95) between extreme precipitation and Arctic amplification (AA) is found using observations and CMIP5/6 multi-model ensembles. However, CMIP6 models are superior to CMIP5 models in simulating the temporal evolution of extreme precipitation and AA. According to 14 optimal CMIP6 models, the maximum latitude of planetary waves and the strength of Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM) will increase with increasing AA, contributing to increased extreme precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP5-8.5, AA is expected to increase by 0.85 °C per decade while the maximum latitude of planetary waves will increase by 2.82° per decade. Additionally, the amplitude of the NAM will increase by 0.21 hPa per decade, contributing to a rise in extreme precipitation of 1.17% per decade for R95pTOT and 0.86% per decade for R99pTOT by 2100.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 573-583"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001084/pdfft?md5=10f6cc332aafc97d9afbdbf8b7b3770d&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001084-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141848059","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Qing-Quan Li , Miao Bi , Song Yang , Qing-Yuan Wu , Yi-Hui Ding , Xin-Yong Shen , Xiao-Ting Sun , Meng-Chu Zhao
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Winter extreme precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau influenced by Arctic sea ice on interdecadal timescale” [Adv. Clim. Change Res. 15 (2024) 42–51]","authors":"Qing-Quan Li , Miao Bi , Song Yang , Qing-Yuan Wu , Yi-Hui Ding , Xin-Yong Shen , Xiao-Ting Sun , Meng-Chu Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.004","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 4","pages":"Pages 766-767"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927824001047/pdfft?md5=f0bc3a8a0b97b621b55de64988ea0e1c&pid=1-s2.0-S1674927824001047-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141689073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}