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Assessing the impact of artificial geotextile covers on glacier mass balance and energy fluxes
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.007
Yi-Da Xie , Fei-Teng Wang , Hui Zhang , Wen-Tao Du , Wei-Bo Zhao
{"title":"Assessing the impact of artificial geotextile covers on glacier mass balance and energy fluxes","authors":"Yi-Da Xie ,&nbsp;Fei-Teng Wang ,&nbsp;Hui Zhang ,&nbsp;Wen-Tao Du ,&nbsp;Wei-Bo Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global warming accelerates, leading to the retreat of glaciers, the effectiveness of artificial coverings, in particular geotextiles, in reducing glacier ablation has emerged as a topic of increasing concern. Nevertheless, a critical gap in knowledge persists regarding the specific physical processes involved in the mitigation provided by these coverings. This study explores the underlying mechanisms that govern the interaction through field observations and COSIPY model simulations at Bailanghe Glacier No. 21 in the Qilian Mountains from 26 June to September 17, 2023. It compares covered and uncovered areas to evaluate differences in mass and energy balance fluxes. It was discovered that geotextiles could decrease ice melt by up to 1000 mm w.e. in comparison to the surface of glaciers without cover, primarily because of a 23% increase in albedo compared to ice, leading to a decrease in net short-wave radiation and available melt energy. The effect of covering the entire glacier with a geotextile, which has varying albedo properties, was also simulated. It was found that, with every 5% increase in the albedo of the geotextile, ablation was reduced by 10%–25%, resulting in a decrease in ice volume loss of approximately 2.5 × 10<sup>5</sup> m<sup>3</sup>. While artificially covering glaciers can reduce ablation rates, it faces challenges such as high costs, environmental risks, and issues with replicability. Ultimately, this study aims to analyze the feasibility of glacier coverage from a mechanistic perspective for glacier management amidst ongoing climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1147-1159"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342412","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Detection, attribution and projection of changes in the extreme temperature range in the Northern Hemisphere
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.006
Xiao-Fan Feng , Cheng Qian
{"title":"Detection, attribution and projection of changes in the extreme temperature range in the Northern Hemisphere","authors":"Xiao-Fan Feng ,&nbsp;Cheng Qian","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The extreme temperature range (ETR) is the span between the highest and lowest temperature of a given year, and is a manifestation of extreme temperature variability. It is regarded as having significant environmental and societal impacts, but the influences of human activities on changes in the ETR remain unclear. Here we performed a detection and attribution analysis of the changes in the ETR over the land areas of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) for the period 1960–2018, based on the optimal fingerprinting approach. We found that anthropogenic forcing could be detected and separated from natural forcing, and greenhouse gas forcing could be detected and separated from anthropogenic aerosol forcing, in the spatiotemporal pattern of the NH and in the regional average of the high latitudes. It is estimated that anthropogenic forcing (greenhouse gas emissions) contributed to 129% (152%) of the significant decreasing trend in the NH-averaged ETR. Moreover, compared to the average of 1999–2018, the NH (North America)-averaged ETR was projected to further significantly decrease by 6.7 °C (14.0 °C) in 2081–2100 under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, based on attribution-constrained projection, the magnitude of which was larger than in the models’ raw outputs. In contrast, the ETR was projected to increase significantly in the Mediterranean and adjacent regions under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and in Central Europe, West Africa, Central Asia, South Asia, and parts of China under the SSP1-1.9 scenario. These results have important implications for understanding and predicting the effects of human activities on changes in extreme temperature variability and for adaptation to these changes in the future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 989-1002"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of ambient temperatures on Alzheimer's disease and other dementia mortality among elderly patients aged 60 years and older in China
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.002
Rui Zhang , Lu Sun , Ai-Nan Jia , Si-Yuan Wu , Yu Wang , Song-Wang Wang , Qing Guo , Yu-Jie Meng , Juan Liang , Wan Huang , Yong-Hong Li , Jing Wu
{"title":"Impact of ambient temperatures on Alzheimer's disease and other dementia mortality among elderly patients aged 60 years and older in China","authors":"Rui Zhang ,&nbsp;Lu Sun ,&nbsp;Ai-Nan Jia ,&nbsp;Si-Yuan Wu ,&nbsp;Yu Wang ,&nbsp;Song-Wang Wang ,&nbsp;Qing Guo ,&nbsp;Yu-Jie Meng ,&nbsp;Juan Liang ,&nbsp;Wan Huang ,&nbsp;Yong-Hong Li ,&nbsp;Jing Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China has a large number of patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and types of other dementia, which places a heavy burden on the public health and medical systems. As global climate change results in more frequent extreme weather events, and there is a current lack of understanding regarding the impact of non-optimal temperatures, especially cold, on AD and other dementia mortality, the study aimed to identify patterns of temperature sensitivity in order to inform targeted public health strategies. The records of 399,214 decedents aged 60 years and older who died due to AD or other dementias from 2013 to 2020 were obtained from the China Cause of Death Reporting System. Using an individual-level time-stratified case-crossover study design, the relationships between ambient temperatures and AD and other dementia mortality were quantified using conditional logistic regression combined with the distributed lag nonlinear model. In addition, the attributable fractions (AFs) of mortality due to non-optimal ambient temperatures were calculated. The study found that both low and high non-optimal temperatures were associated with an increased risk of death from AD and other dementias, with an inverted J-shaped exposure–response curve. Moreover, the AFs of mortality due to full, low and high non-optimal temperatures with lag0–14 were 5.81% (95% empirical confidence interval [eCI]: 4.89%, 6.72%), 5.24% (95% eCI: 4.15%, 6.27%) and 0.58% (95% eCI: 0.27%, 0.90%), respectively. Importantly, AFs varied across administrative regions, influenced by factors such as climate, geography, sociodemographic characteristics and socioeconomic factors. These findings can inform clinical and public health practices to reduce the mortality burden due to non-optimal temperatures on elderly populations with AD and other dementias.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1088-1095"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decadal variations in near-surface wind speed across the Northern Hemisphere on a centennial timescale and their possible causes
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.002
Lin-Wei Li , Jin-Lin Zha , Ting Chuan , Jian Wu , De-Ming Zhao , Wen-Xuan Fan , Yan-Jun Lyu , Hui-Ping Jiang
{"title":"Decadal variations in near-surface wind speed across the Northern Hemisphere on a centennial timescale and their possible causes","authors":"Lin-Wei Li ,&nbsp;Jin-Lin Zha ,&nbsp;Ting Chuan ,&nbsp;Jian Wu ,&nbsp;De-Ming Zhao ,&nbsp;Wen-Xuan Fan ,&nbsp;Yan-Jun Lyu ,&nbsp;Hui-Ping Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The reduction in near-surface wind speed (NSWS), followed by its recent recovery, could be a feature of decadal variations. However, existing studies mainly analyse the characteristics and causes of NSWS changes on regional scales and over short periods. The decadal variations and underlying causes of global NSWS changes over long timescales remain underexplored. In this study, we investigated the characteristics of NSWS changes in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) on a centennial scale (1900–2010) and identify the potential causes of decadal variations by using an information flow technique. The results indicate that NSWS in the NH experienced a remarkable decadal variation, increasing during 1900–1945 and 1970–1980 and decreasing during 1945–1970 and 1980–2010. Furthermore, regional differences in the distribution features and decadal variations of NSWS were observed. Asia and North America showed the highest data overlap compared to other regions, reaching 59.4%. The longest period of decadal variation in NSWS was found in North America (14 years), followed by Europe (11 years), with Asia showing the smallest period (10 years). When determining the effects of large-scale ocean–atmosphere circulation fields or internal climate models on NSWS changes, prioritising causality between the two variables and the study period is essential, rather than relying solely on simple correlation analysis. According to the information flow technique, the decadal variations in NSWS over North America during 1950–2010 were linked with the Western Hemisphere Warm Pool, whereas the North Atlantic Oscillation influenced those in Europe. The Tropical Northern Atlantic was the driver over Asia. This study offers a scientific foundation for understanding NSWS characteristics on a centennial timescale and the primary causes of decadal variations in NSWS across the NH.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1003-1012"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Representative CO2 emissions pathways for China's provinces toward carbon neutrality under the Paris Agreement's 2 °C target
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.005
Han-Tang Peng , Da Zhang , Jun-Ting Zhong , Li-Feng Guo , Si-Yue Guo , Jun-Ling Huang , De-Ying Wang , Chang-Hong Miao , Xi-Liang Zhang , Xiao-Ye Zhang
{"title":"Representative CO2 emissions pathways for China's provinces toward carbon neutrality under the Paris Agreement's 2 °C target","authors":"Han-Tang Peng ,&nbsp;Da Zhang ,&nbsp;Jun-Ting Zhong ,&nbsp;Li-Feng Guo ,&nbsp;Si-Yue Guo ,&nbsp;Jun-Ling Huang ,&nbsp;De-Ying Wang ,&nbsp;Chang-Hong Miao ,&nbsp;Xi-Liang Zhang ,&nbsp;Xiao-Ye Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. It is essential to develop representative CO<sub>2</sub> emissions pathways at the provincial level that align with the national target to facilitate effective policy implementation and scientific research. To address inconsistencies between provincial aggregate emissions and national estimates, this study compares the 2021 CO<sub>2</sub> emissions estimates of China's provinces from the bottom‒up emissions factor method and the top‒down atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentration inversion method. We find that these methods yield comparable results for the emissions from energy combustion and industrial processes at the provincial level. Based on a review of existing research on CO<sub>2</sub> pathways for China's provinces, we propose a set of representative pathways for China's provinces. These pathways align with past practices of allocating national emissions intensity reduction targets to provinces and are consistent with the national Tsinghua‒CMA pathway. The proposed pathways require provinces to sequentially peak their emissions by 2030, followed by rapid emissions reduction. Compared to a reference scenario without the carbon neutrality target, these pathways would incur an estimated cumulative GDP loss of about 1% between 2020 and 2060. However, there are notable regional variations, with some regions in the northwest potentially experiencing higher economic growth due to the availability of high-quality low-carbon resources. We recommend that China enhance provincial-level CO<sub>2</sub> emissions accounting by cross-validating bottom‒up and top‒down methods. Additionally, careful consideration should be given to aligning provincial targets with national and global commitments when updating pathways toward carbon neutrality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1096-1106"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring grid sensitivity in an ice sheet model: A case study of the Amery Ice Shelf
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.001
Qian-Xi Wang , Teng Li , Xiao Cheng , Chen Zhao , Lei Zheng , Qi Liang
{"title":"Exploring grid sensitivity in an ice sheet model: A case study of the Amery Ice Shelf","authors":"Qian-Xi Wang ,&nbsp;Teng Li ,&nbsp;Xiao Cheng ,&nbsp;Chen Zhao ,&nbsp;Lei Zheng ,&nbsp;Qi Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet are key factors affecting global climate change. To project future sea level changes, ice sheet models are developed based on a discrete grid system, which profoundly impacts the accuracy of numerical simulations. To comprehensively explore the sensitivity of ice modeling performance to grid resolution, this study focused on the Amery Ice Shelf (AmIS), the largest glacial flow system in east Antarctica. Using ten grid resolutions (nine sets of structured grids ranging from 2 to 30 km and one set of adaptive unstructured grid from 1 to 20 km), we conducted a series of inversion experiments and diagnostic perturbation tests. Our findings reveal a high sensitivity of both inversion parameters, the rate factor <span><math><mrow><mi>A</mi></mrow></math></span> and basal slipperiness <span><math><mrow><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>, as well as Grounding Line Flux (GLF) and Volume Above Floatation (VAF), to the grid resolution. We observed that for the AmIS, grid resolutions coarser than 10 km in our model introduce considerable noise and reduce the ability to capture realistic dynamic processes. Additionally, we found that the inversion parameters were transferable between grid systems of different resolutions, and the AmIS exhibited a consistent response to idealized collapse scenarios across these grid systems, particularly for grids with a resolution of 10 km or finer. This study extends the previous ice sheet model intercomparison experiments from synthetic topography to realistic geometry and provides insights for future ice modeling studies on grid systems configurations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1013-1026"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal pattern of ENSO-induced modulation on landscape fires over Pacific Rim from 2001 to 2020
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.11.001
Fang-Zhou Li , Ning-Ran Li , Martin J. Wooster , Wen-Shi Lin , Tao Xue , Tong Zhu
{"title":"Spatiotemporal pattern of ENSO-induced modulation on landscape fires over Pacific Rim from 2001 to 2020","authors":"Fang-Zhou Li ,&nbsp;Ning-Ran Li ,&nbsp;Martin J. Wooster ,&nbsp;Wen-Shi Lin ,&nbsp;Tao Xue ,&nbsp;Tong Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) modulates landscape fire activities across the Pacific Rim, the detailed patterns and mode-specific variations of these effects remain poorly understood. This study aims to address that gap by systematically assessing the spatiotemporal variations in burned areas from 2001 to 2020 during different modes of ENSO, namely, Eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño, EP La Niña, Central Pacific (CP) El Niño and CP La Niña. We evaluate the modulation patterns using classical correlation and cross-spectrum analyses, focusing on five hotspot regions: Temperate North America (TENA), Southern Hemisphere South America (SHSA), Northern Hemisphere South America (NHSA), Equatorial Asia (EQAS) and Australia and New Zealand (AUST). El Niño and La Niña exhibit asymmetrical opposite effects on burned areas, as expected. The findings reveal spatial non-uniformity in the impact of ENSO on landscape fires, with La Niña enhancing burned areas in TENA and SHSA, whereas El Niño predominantly affects AUST, EQAS and NHSA. CP and EP ENSO events differ in intensity and their large-scale circulation patterns. These differences cause notable variations in the regional burned area. Water vapour redistribution emerges as the key driver. The study emphasises the heterogeneity in ENSO modes in regulating landscape fires, providing insights for future landscape fire risk assessment and prevention efforts under climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1057-1066"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new approach for evaluating regional permafrost changes: A case study in the Hoh Xil on the interior Qinghai‒Tibet Plateau
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.005
Yu-Xin Zhang , Lin Zhao , Chang-Wei Xie , Guo-Jie Hu , Shu-Hua Yang , De-Fu Zou , Yong-Ping Qiao , Xiang-Fei Li , Jia-Jie Peng
{"title":"A new approach for evaluating regional permafrost changes: A case study in the Hoh Xil on the interior Qinghai‒Tibet Plateau","authors":"Yu-Xin Zhang ,&nbsp;Lin Zhao ,&nbsp;Chang-Wei Xie ,&nbsp;Guo-Jie Hu ,&nbsp;Shu-Hua Yang ,&nbsp;De-Fu Zou ,&nbsp;Yong-Ping Qiao ,&nbsp;Xiang-Fei Li ,&nbsp;Jia-Jie Peng","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The current spatial atmospheric forcing data cannot accurately depict the actual conditions of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), where monitoring stations are scarce and unevenly distributed. This deficiency in atmospheric data hinders accurate simulation of plateau permafrost changes on the plateau. In this study, we develop a new approach to evaluate regional permafrost changes, which does not rely on spatially distributed meteorological data but instead uses the regional climate change processes or temperature change rates. Centred on a transient heat conduction permafrost model, this approach was applied to the Qinghai Hoh Xil National Nature Reserve (referred to as Hoh Xil) within the QTP from 1960 to 2015, using the rate of air temperature change provided by the Wudaoliang Meteorological Station, the only national station in Hoh Xil. Simulation results showed that the difference between the simulated and observed change rates of mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) was less than 0.04 °C per decade from 2001 to 2015 at five long-term monitoring sites. The simulated ground temperature profiles in four boreholes from various permafrost zones revealed an error of less than 0.7 °C below 5 m in depth. Model validation demonstrates the reliability of this approach for predicting long-term permafrost changes. Future regional permafrost changes were further simulated based on the latest warming scenarios (BCC-CSM2-MR) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. Predictions revealed significant differences in the regional permafrost degradation rate under different climate warming scenarios. Under the most severe warming scenario (SSP5-8.5), permafrost in the study area is projected to still cover 72.2% of the total area by 2100, with most of the Hoh Xil's permafrost becoming warm (MAGT &gt; −1 °C) permafrost. This approach not only facilitates the simulation of frozen ground changes in areas with few meteorological monitoring stations but also provides a new perspective for using coarse-resolution palaeoclimate data to investigate permafrost formation and evolution over long time scales.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1040-1056"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decoupling effect and influencing factors of carbon emissions in China: Based on production, consumption, and income responsibilities
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.001
Zhi-Lin Lu , Li-Li Wang , Xue-Peng Guo , Jun Pang , Jia-Jia Huan
{"title":"Decoupling effect and influencing factors of carbon emissions in China: Based on production, consumption, and income responsibilities","authors":"Zhi-Lin Lu ,&nbsp;Li-Li Wang ,&nbsp;Xue-Peng Guo ,&nbsp;Jun Pang ,&nbsp;Jia-Jia Huan","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Carbon emissions at the provincial level are mostly calculated based on production responsibility, which ignores the carbon emission accounting perspectives of consumption and income responsibility. However, scientific accounting of carbon emissions from multiple perspectives is crucial to equitably distribute the responsibilities for reducing emissions. This study utilises an input–output model for multi-regional carbon emissions to calculate carbon emissions from production-, consumption- and income-based perspectives for exploring the variability in the responsibilities for reducing emissions at the provincial level. The Tapio decoupling coefficient is used to analyse the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in key provinces, and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model is used to determine the factors promoting or inhibiting the decoupling of carbon emissions under different responsibility perspectives. The results show that, firstly, the national carbon emissions illustrate the following trend: production-based emissions &gt; income-based emissions &gt; consumption-based emissions. Secondly, provinces in strong decoupling states are distributed in a northeast–southwest direction. Carbon emissions and decoupling situations differ among varying responsibility perspectives due to interprovincial transfers of carbon emissions. Thus, a compensation mechanism should be established to promote a fair and orderly peaking in each province. Lastly, carbon emission intensity is a factor promoting decoupling in all three perspectives. In the meantime, output scale, economic development and factor input are the major inhibiting factors for the decoupling of production-, consumption- and income-based emissions, respectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1177-1188"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143341960","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How do gridded meteorological datasets perform in a typical data-scarce cryospheric basin?
IF 6.4 1区 地球科学
Advances in Climate Change Research Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.004
Ya-Ping Chang , Dong-Hui Shangguan , Yong-Jian Ding , Shi-Qiang Zhang , Qiu-Dong Zhao , Jie Wang
{"title":"How do gridded meteorological datasets perform in a typical data-scarce cryospheric basin?","authors":"Ya-Ping Chang ,&nbsp;Dong-Hui Shangguan ,&nbsp;Yong-Jian Ding ,&nbsp;Shi-Qiang Zhang ,&nbsp;Qiu-Dong Zhao ,&nbsp;Jie Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.accre.2024.10.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Gridded meteorological datasets have been widely used in meteorological and hydrological studies, especially in data-scarce regions. However, assessments of these datasets in cryospheric basins, which are highly sensitive to global warming, remain inadequate. Therefore, three representative gridded meteorological datasets, <em>i.e</em>., the China meteorological forcing dataset (CMFD), CN05.1, and the meteorological forcing dataset for the third-pole region (TPMFD), were systematically evaluated in the Nachitai Basin based on comparisons with limited gauge observations, pairwise intercomparisons, and hydrological simulations. All gridded precipitation and temperature datasets were in good agreement with gauge observations on an intra-annual scale, while substantial differences existed among them in terms of precipitation and temperature on an annual scale. Additionally, pairwise correlation analyses indicated that the temporal consistency between the datasets was higher than their spatial consistency. Furthermore, all three datasets achieved satisfactory and reasonable results in simulating glacier area and streamflow variations when used as inputs for the hydrological-hydrodynamic model, exhibiting the robustness of the model in this data-scarce basin. This study provides a more profound understanding of the significance of gridded datasets in data-scarce areas situated on the Tibetan Plateau.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48628,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Climate Change Research","volume":"15 6","pages":"Pages 1027-1039"},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143342368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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