Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

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Gamification for elderly well-being: Effects on experience and engagement 游戏化对老年人幸福感的影响:对体验和参与的影响
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124155
Yanping Zhang , Nannan Xi , Changyong Liang , Yiming Ma , Wenjia Hong , Xiaoxiao Wang , Juho Hamari
{"title":"Gamification for elderly well-being: Effects on experience and engagement","authors":"Yanping Zhang ,&nbsp;Nannan Xi ,&nbsp;Changyong Liang ,&nbsp;Yiming Ma ,&nbsp;Wenjia Hong ,&nbsp;Xiaoxiao Wang ,&nbsp;Juho Hamari","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124155","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124155","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The aging population and need for elderly health management pose significant global challenges. Emerging technologies such as health tracking applications (HTAs) play a crucial role in promoting smart senior care and improving elderly health management. To enhance motivation and engagement among the elderly in using HTAs, incorporating game elements or ‘gamification’ has attracted growing attention. However, concerns have also emerged regarding the high cognitive demands and potential biases against games, particularly among the Chinese elderly, who represent about 25 % of the global aging population and are deeply influenced by low indulgent culture. Due to a lack of empirical evidence from both research and practice, it remains uncertain whether gamification can bring optimal experiences and enhance elderly engagement with health services, in the same way that it does for younger users. Therefore, we designed and conducted a controlled between-subjects vignette-based experiment among the Chinese elderly (<em>N</em> = 312). Specifically, this study evaluated how three primary types of gamified health HTAs interactive interfaces (i.e., achievement-oriented, social-oriented, and immersion-oriented gamification) lead to a gameful experience (i.e., comfort, engagement, stimulation, dependability, perspicuity, novelty, sociality, and immersion), and how the experiences further affect elderly engagement behaviors such as continued use and word-of-mouth. The overall results indicate that the different types gameful HTAs were able to bring about different mixtures of gameful experiences, and that the improved experiences were positively associated with intentions to use and recommend the application. Peculiarly, but partly expectedly, the perception of novelty, was negatively associated with continuance intentions in the context of elder users.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124155"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143869952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants 论美国科技公司的风险共性:相关性和决定因素
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123968
Valeriya Dinger , Peter Grundke , Kai Rohde
{"title":"On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants","authors":"Valeriya Dinger ,&nbsp;Peter Grundke ,&nbsp;Kai Rohde","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123968","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123968","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Technology firms serve as critical data and service intermediaries, which may pose new challenges to financial stability. We apply market-based systemic risk measures designed initially for financial firms to measure the risk commonality of tech firms included in the S&amp;P 500 index. First, we find that, on average, the level of total risk commonality of tech firms is larger than for non-tech firms/non-banks. The difference between the level of risk commonality of tech firms and non-tech firms/non-banks increases over time. Second, we observe a high intra-group risk commonality for tech firms. Third, we find that the intra-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by exposure to systematic risk factors than this is the case for banks. Fourth, in contrast, there is weak evidence that the inter-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by non-systematic risk factors (e.g., direct business relationships) than this is the case for banks. Fifth, we hardly find balance-sheet or other firm-specific variables that are significantly associated with the level of total risk commonality of tech firms. Our results indicate that regulators should also look for risk accumulation outside the traditional financial world.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 123968"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143869804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The adoption of electric vehicles in public transport services: Space, path dependency and embeddedness: The Venice case 电动汽车在公共交通服务中的应用:空间、路径依赖和嵌入性:威尼斯案例
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124132
Anna Cabigiosu
{"title":"The adoption of electric vehicles in public transport services: Space, path dependency and embeddedness: The Venice case","authors":"Anna Cabigiosu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124132","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124132","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The adoption of electric vehicles in public transport will be essential for the transition of the world's economies toward more sustainable mobility. For this reason, we need an in-depth understanding of the variables that affect the choice of a specific electric technology for public transport: successful implementation of electric transport is highly sensitive to operational context and there could be different types of challenges regarding the electrification of public transport in our cities. This study, by analysing the introduction process of fully electric buses and hybrid vaporetti in the Venice Municipality, contributes to the existing debate on EV adoption. The study explores why and how space can generate path dependency and embeddedness moving from an ICE public transport mobility service toward an electrified mobility service and identifies the specific space attributes that affect the adoption of electric vehicles for public transport. Findings help managers and policymakers in understanding which type of technological innovation, why and how, can support sustainable mobility in each place, while at the same time preserving existing service levels. Interestingly, our findings suggest that space availability in cities can generate barriers of entry for fully electric vehicles, especially for most performing vehicles with higher range.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124132"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143858812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Open social innovation: A systematic literature review and future research agenda 开放式社会创新:系统文献回顾与未来研究议程
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124160
Jose Nicolas Pacheco , Andreu Turro , David Urbano
{"title":"Open social innovation: A systematic literature review and future research agenda","authors":"Jose Nicolas Pacheco ,&nbsp;Andreu Turro ,&nbsp;David Urbano","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124160","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124160","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Open Social Innovation (OSI) has garnered significant attention in recent years as a collaborative approach to addressing societal challenges. However, the field remains fragmented, with divergent definitions, methods, and theoretical underpinnings across disciplines. Through bibliometric and multi-level content analysis, we analyze 115 studies to address these tensions and propose a systems-based framework that bridges conceptual and practical divides. We map the intellectual structure and synthesize OSI research's antecedents, processes, relationships, and outcomes. Unlike prior reviews focused on particular OSI initiatives (e.g., Living Labs) or single levels of analysis, our study integrates dispersed knowledge to highlight actionable insights for practitioners and policymakers. Finally, our review establishes a thematic agenda for future research, targeting multi-level investigations into OSI drivers, mechanisms, and impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124160"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143854765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How platform enterprises compete through suppliers: the mediation role of supplier value co-creation between digital platform capabilities and competitive advantage 平台企业如何通过供应商竞争:供应商价值共创在数字平台能力与竞争优势之间的中介作用
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124142
Yue Liu , Xiumei Zhu , Shengliang Deng
{"title":"How platform enterprises compete through suppliers: the mediation role of supplier value co-creation between digital platform capabilities and competitive advantage","authors":"Yue Liu ,&nbsp;Xiumei Zhu ,&nbsp;Shengliang Deng","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124142","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124142","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite growing research interests in a single enterprise-based competition, the existing literature has primarily focused on the emergency of competitive advantage. The digital platform offers unprecedented opportunities for competition between enterprises, with only a limited understanding of whether, how and when digital platform capabilities affect platform enterprises' competitive advantage. This study investigates how the digital platform capabilities of platform enterprises contribute to their competitive advantages through supplier value co-creation. The study also examines how digital market exploration moderates this relationship. Based on an analysis of 386 valid questionnaires, the results indicate that digital platform capability positively affects platform enterprises' competitive advantage, supplier value co-creation mediates the relationship between digital platform capability and platform enterprises' competitive advantage, and digital market exploration positively moderates the relationship between digital platform capability and supplier value co-creation. The findings of this study contribute to a better understanding of why platform enterprises with digital platform capabilities perform better in building competitive advantage and provide new insights on how a platform enterprise can achieve better competitive advantage to address competitive challenges effectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124142"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143854766","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Firewalls or frontlines: Geopolitical tensions and multinationals' digital technology upgrading 防火墙还是前线:地缘政治紧张局势和跨国公司的数字技术升级
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124147
Di Fan , Jiayan Ding , Sihong Wu , Yiyi Su
{"title":"Firewalls or frontlines: Geopolitical tensions and multinationals' digital technology upgrading","authors":"Di Fan ,&nbsp;Jiayan Ding ,&nbsp;Sihong Wu ,&nbsp;Yiyi Su","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124147","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124147","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div><em>How do geopolitical tensions affect digital technology upgrading?</em> Digital technology upgrading is widely recognized as a crucial driver of the Industry 4.0 era. As multinational enterprises (MNEs) increasingly seek to absorb or transfer cutting-edge digital technologies from overseas, the recent escalation of geopolitical tensions has introduced substantial uncertainty into this process. Drawing from the techno-geopolitical uncertainty literature in general and the geographic relational view in particular, this study explores how Chinese MNEs are impacted by the rise of geopolitical tensions in their efforts to transform digitally. Our findings reveal that geopolitical tensions between home and host countries adversely impact the digital technology depth and breadth of the focal firm. Also, these relationships are reinforced by the firm's contextual feature – state ownership. Yet the foreign presence of these MNEs positively moderates the relationship between geopolitical tensions and digital technology depth, but the effect is not observed for digital technology breadth. Our exploration of the interrelationships between geopolitical tensions, digital technologies, and firm governance advances the literature and provides practical implications for policymakers and managers in the new era of geopolitics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124147"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143854767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Informal intervention, information availability and innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises 国有企业的非正式干预、信息可用性和创新效率
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149
Yao Wang, Nannan Yu
{"title":"Informal intervention, information availability and innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises","authors":"Yao Wang,&nbsp;Nannan Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Innovation management studies have focused on improving innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Given the close relationship between government and SOEs, whether government intervention can impact firm innovation efficiency is an interesting question but underexplored. This study introduces a unique form of informal government intervention based on social connections between government leaders and firm managers and examines its impact on innovation efficiency using local SOEs innovation data during the 2008–2019 period. Our findings demonstrate that informal government intervention can enhance SOEs' innovation efficiency, mainly by improving SOEs' information availability. Moreover, the connection-based information availability has greater efficiency-enhancing impacts when the information providers (politicians) possess more external knowledge, and when the information receivers (SOE managers) belong to less technology-intensive industries. These findings illuminate how informal government intervention helps SOEs improve innovation efficiency by reducing agency risks. They also provide valuable policy insights for improving innovation efficiency in SOEs through strengthening institutional arrangements on information transparency.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124149"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143858811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social acceptability of innovation: A systematic literature review and future research directions 创新的社会可接受性:系统文献综述及未来研究方向
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131
Julie Jammes , Pauline Folcher , Gilles N'Goala
{"title":"Social acceptability of innovation: A systematic literature review and future research directions","authors":"Julie Jammes ,&nbsp;Pauline Folcher ,&nbsp;Gilles N'Goala","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social acceptability of innovation has been a rapidly growing field of study over the past three decades. However, this domain remains characterized by fragmented knowledge, which impedes both theoretical advancements and practical applications. In particular, the absence of a unified framework prevents the integration of diverse perspectives from existing research, limiting our understanding of the mechanisms involved in the innovation evaluation process. To address this gap, this study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) of 169 studies published between 1989 and 2022 across three databases (Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar). Using the SPAR-4-SLR protocol, we collected, organized, and evaluated the literature. Bibliometric analyses were conducted to map the field, revealing five key themes, which were further examined using the TCCM (Theory-Context-Characteristics-Methodology) framework. This integrated approach provides a unified perspective on the field while paving the way for new directions in future research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124131"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of trust-based challenges on user satisfaction in food sharing platforms: A text mining approach 基于信任的挑战对食物分享平台用户满意度的影响:一种文本挖掘方法
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159
Ben Krishna , Praveen Puram
{"title":"The impact of trust-based challenges on user satisfaction in food sharing platforms: A text mining approach","authors":"Ben Krishna ,&nbsp;Praveen Puram","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Food waste is a pressing ethical and environmental challenge. One-third of all food produced is wasted, while 3 billion people are food insecure. Online food-sharing platforms enable the redistribution of surplus food at a community level. Though highly beneficial, these platforms have not witnessed high usage due to multiple challenges, which includes trust. As stakeholders' trust in food-sharing apps is essential to maintain their patronage, this study attempts to obtain trust-based challenges and assess their impact on user satisfaction through a mixed-method study. Using topic modeling, user reviews from popular food-sharing apps are first analyzed to identify eight challenges that impact user experience. These challenges are then aligned with the dimensions of cognition-based trust, experience-based trust, and personality-oriented trust. Further, hypotheses are formulated and tested using linear regression to assess the impact of these challenges on user experience. This study addresses the topics of food waste and food insecurity, which are related to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): SDG-2 (Zero hunger) and SDG-12 (Responsible consumption and production). While some challenges have been explored in the extant literature, others are unique to this study, such as the lack of optimal experience, information quality, perceived privacy, and opportunism. These findings contribute to the food-sharing literature by analyzing user experiences worldwide and assesses trust-related challenges, thereby improving upon the extant literature which mainly explores the motivators, and has a cursory focus on the aspect of ‘trust’. Also, this study informs policy development to address users' trust concerns, thus enhancing food-sharing apps' adoption.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124159"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Leveraging eco-innovation and market knowledge for a circular economy transition: Insights from Spanish manufacturing firms 利用生态创新和市场知识实现循环经济转型:来自西班牙制造企业的见解
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152
A. Triguero, D. Córcoles
{"title":"Leveraging eco-innovation and market knowledge for a circular economy transition: Insights from Spanish manufacturing firms","authors":"A. Triguero,&nbsp;D. Córcoles","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we used a panel of Spanish manufacturing companies to explore the influence of external knowledge from market sources in the context of the circular economy. We distinguished among the three groups of innovative firms by their explicit intention to achieve integrated environmental benefits from their innovations (sustainability orientation). This allowed us to classify firms into pro-circular, transition-circular and non-circular economy innovators. Our findings reveal three key contributions to the literature. First, we show that while external knowledge is crucial for driving any type of innovation, pro-circular firms prioritize external partners vertically integrated into their production chain, such as suppliers and customers. Second, we find that the breadth of external knowledge for pro-circular innovators, compared to firms with lower circularity, is less important than explicit cooperation agreements and internal R&amp;D efforts. Third, we expand the understanding of open innovation strategies to increase the adoption of eco-innovations congruent with the circular economy. These insights contribute to the literature by highlighting that not all information sources hold the same level of importance for circular economy innovations. For managers, the results underscore the importance of fostering strong relationships with vertical partners and investing in internal R&amp;D to drive eco-innovation and sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124152"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143850853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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