Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第10页

Retraction notice to “The factors behind block-chain technology that boost the circular economy: An organizational perspective” [Technological Forecasting & Social Change 200 (2024) 123194] 关于“区块链技术推动循环经济的背后因素：一个组织视角”的撤回通知[技术预测与社会变革200 (2024)123194]

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123591

Sohail Ahmad Javeed , Umair Akram

引用次数: 0

Sharing and exchange dynamics in entrepreneurial spaces: a systematic literature review and conceptualization 创业空间中的分享与交换动态：系统的文献回顾与概念化

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124185

Lukas Schnell, Elisabeth S.C. Berger

{"title":"Sharing and exchange dynamics in entrepreneurial spaces: a systematic literature review and conceptualization","authors":"Lukas Schnell, Elisabeth S.C. Berger","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124185","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124185","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past decade, the rise of shared spaces such as coworking spaces, makerspaces, and incubators, collectively known as <em>Entrepreneurial Spaces</em>, has significantly shaped scholarly discourse and entrepreneurial activities. Within these spaces, sharing is paramount, as it fundamentally shapes the dynamics of collaboration, innovation, resource utilization, and the distribution of knowledge, skills, and resources among entrepreneurs. As these spaces evolve, the complexity of sharing mechanisms - ranging from simple resource sharing to complex knowledge and skill exchanges - increased. To address the conceptual inconsistencies of entrepreneurial spaces and understand the dynamics of sharing and exchange within them, we analyzed 68 articles on entrepreneurial spaces.</div><div>Based on our analysis, we develop a framework that categorizes entrepreneurial spaces based on the institutionalization of interaction and the level of sharing into <em>Shared Entrepreneurial Spaces</em> and <em>Exchange Entrepreneurial Spaces</em>. The insights gained advance our understanding of sharing and exchange mechanisms and help clarify the motivational factors influencing engagement in these spaces. It also sets a research agenda for exploring social dynamics, potential conflicts, and transforming spaces into places. This research deepens the discourse on entrepreneurial spaces, refines categorization criteria, and develops frameworks to enhance their management and utility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124185"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144072350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Distance to frontier: From imitation to innovation 距离前沿：从模仿到创新

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124170

Ayaz Zeynalov

{"title":"Distance to frontier: From imitation to innovation","authors":"Ayaz Zeynalov","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124170","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124170","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper empirically assesses the role of imitation and innovation in driving economic growth across countries at different stages of development. The literature suggests that countries farther from the technological frontier benefit from the advantages of backwardness, whereas economies closer to the frontier experience growth increasingly driven by “innovation-based” rather than “imitation-based” economic policies. A novel measurement of “distance to the frontier” is proposed, using an economic complexity index at the country level, which offers advantages over the “total factor productivity” metric commonly used in the literature. The endogeneity of economic growth is addressed using a dynamic panel data estimator applied to data from 95 countries spanning 1995 to 2019. The empirical findings validate the existence of two distinct threshold levels: one where the contribution of imitation to growth falls below that of innovation, and another where imitation begins to hinder growth. Evidence also suggests that several developing countries may be nearing the threshold associated with the middle-income trap. Finally, the research highlights that the role of institutional governance in technological adaptation is stage-dependent.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124170"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143947281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring the impact of metaverse adoption on sustainability outcomes in retail organizations: A dynamic capabilities view perspective 探讨零售组织中采用元数据对可持续性结果的影响：动态能力视角

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124189

Thanos Papadopoulos , Sirsha Pattanayak , M. Ramkumar

{"title":"Exploring the impact of metaverse adoption on sustainability outcomes in retail organizations: A dynamic capabilities view perspective","authors":"Thanos Papadopoulos , Sirsha Pattanayak , M. Ramkumar","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124189","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124189","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The metaverse presents an opportunity for retailers' sustainability in how its value can be created with efficient resources, inclusivity, and less waste. Nevertheless, the relationship between metaverse adoption and sustainability outcomes is not sufficiently explored in the literature. Building on the Dynamic Capability View (DCV) and employing a two-study mixed method approach, it is examined how metaverse adoption affects the economic, environmental, and social aspects of sustainability performance, emphasizing the role of technology infrastructure. A qualitative study (Study 1) based on interviews' thematic analysis revealed that metaverse-enabled dynamic capabilities of collaboration, business process optimization, realignment with stakeholders' empowerment, and pro-environmental practices are key mediators in this relationship, whereas technological infrastructure shapes these dynamic capabilities. A quantitative approach (Study 2) using PLS-SEM provided empirical support for Study 1. The findings suggest that collaboration enhances social and environmental sustainability; business process optimization enhances economic sustainability; stakeholder empowerment enhances economic, social, and environmental sustainability; and pro-environment practices enhance economic and environmental sustainability. Furthermore, technology infrastructure strongly moderates the relationship between metaverse adoption and dynamic capabilities, including collaboration, stakeholder empowerment, and pro-environmental practices. Finally the study yields a strategic roadmap for the retail sector to harmonize innovation with long-term sustainability objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124189"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143931711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Emerging technologies for basic human needs: A TCCM approach to systematically reviewing metaverse intervened wellness 满足人类基本需求的新兴技术：一种系统回顾元宇宙干预健康的TCCM方法

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124190

Pawandeep Kaur , Gyan Prakash , Reeti Agarwal , Naveen Virmani , Rsha Alghafes

{"title":"Emerging technologies for basic human needs: A TCCM approach to systematically reviewing metaverse intervened wellness","authors":"Pawandeep Kaur , Gyan Prakash , Reeti Agarwal , Naveen Virmani , Rsha Alghafes","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124190","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124190","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study offers a comprehensive review of metaverse intervened wellness using the Theory-Context-Constructs-Methodology (TCCM) framework and bibliometric coupling on 49 articles selected systematically applying inclusion and exclusion criteria. Studies measuring virtual well-being were clustered and manually themed starting with bibliometric coupling. This results in six themes as: 1) Virtually enhanced user experience and well-being; 2) Enriching holistic well-being through material and virtual consumption integration; 3) Multifaceted exergames' experience: motivations, engagement, and impacts; 4) Embodied realities: traversing virtual vs 2D and physical landscapes; 5) Extended selves through transformative experiences; and 6) Drivers of intention and continued usage of AR games. Further, theories(T), contexts(C), constructs(C), and research methods(M) framework revealed the dominance of single theory application, socialization, and presence constructs using experiment designs. The review highlights the need for artificial intelligence (AI) integration in developing customer knowledge management to offer personalized wellness solutions in the metaverse. Additionally, the need to explore psychological theories and constructs has been outlined for future scholars.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124190"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143923747","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Antecedents of consumers' acceptance of central bank digital currency: The role of technology perceptions, social influence and personal traits 消费者接受央行数字货币的前因：技术认知、社会影响和个人特质的作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124192

Xin Liu , Jiaqi Wu , Chenghu Zhang

{"title":"Antecedents of consumers' acceptance of central bank digital currency: The role of technology perceptions, social influence and personal traits","authors":"Xin Liu , Jiaqi Wu , Chenghu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124192","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124192","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Central bank digital currency (CBDC) has recently been a hot topic in both theory and practice. However, previous studies have focused minimally on consumers' CBDC acceptance behavior, which is the precondition of CBDC's successful implementation. This study aims to investigate antecedents of consumers' CBDC acceptance behavior. To this end, this study constructs a holistic conceptual framework that considers consumers' technology perceptions, social influence, and personal traits based on the technology acceptance model (TAM). Survey data on 621 potential CBDC consumers were analyzed using partial least square structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) and deep learning-based artificial neural networks (ANN). The PLS-SEM results indicate that perceived compatibility, perceived ease of use, perceived security, perceived usefulness, and absorptive capacity all positively influence consumers' CBDC usage intention. Subjective norms indirectly affect consumers' CBDC usage intention via perceived usefulness. Personal innovativeness does not affect consumers' CBDC usage intention. The ANN results demonstrate that technology perceptions (perceived compatibility, perceived ease of use, perceived security, and perceived usefulness) are more important than personal traits (absorptive capacity) and social influence (subjective norms). This study extends the TAM to comprehensively comprehend consumers' CBDC acceptance behavior and furnishes major implications to promote CBDC applications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124192"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143923749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Moral decision-making in AI: A comprehensive review and recommendations 人工智能中的道德决策：全面审查和建议

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124150

Jiwat Ram

{"title":"Moral decision-making in AI: A comprehensive review and recommendations","authors":"Jiwat Ram","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increased reliance on artificial intelligence (AI) systems for decision-making has raised corresponding concerns about the morality of such decisions. However, knowledge on the subject remains fragmentary, and cogent understanding is lacking. This study addresses the gap by using Templier and Paré's (2015) six-step framework to perform a systematic literature review on moral decision-making by AI systems. A data sample of 494 articles was analysed to filter 280 articles for content analysis. Key findings are as follows: (1) Building moral decision-making capabilities in AI systems faces a variety of challenges relating to human decision-making, technology, ethics and values. The absence of consensus on what constitutes moral decision-making and the absence of a general theory of ethics are at the core of such challenges. (2) The literature is focused on narrative building; modelling or experiments/empirical studies are less illuminating, which causes a shortage of evidence-based knowledge. (3) Knowledge development is skewed towards a few domains, such as healthcare and transport. Academically, the study developed a four-pronged classification of challenges and a four-dimensional set of recommendations covering 18 investigation strands, to steer research that could resolve conflict between different moral principles and build a unified framework for moral decision-making in AI systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124150"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143912543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An empirical investigation of critical success factors in implementing digital transformation 实施数字化转型的关键成功因素的实证调查

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124161

Yu-Wei Chang , Jiahe Chen

{"title":"An empirical investigation of critical success factors in implementing digital transformation","authors":"Yu-Wei Chang , Jiahe Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124161","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124161","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digital transformation has attracted increasing attention from academia and industry. Although many studies have investigated the factors affecting the success of digital transformation, research on its comprehensive antecedents is lacking. This study employs the people, process, technology (PPT) framework to comprehensively conceptualize the critical factors for achieving digital transformation success. As digital transformation drives innovation and integrates business information and processes, innovation and integration are regarded as indicators of digital transformation success. Data were collected from 212 key users of digital technologies in Taiwan's largest software service company from the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023 and analyzed using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) to validate the proposed research model and hypotheses. The results show that the three people, process, and technology contexts have partial and differential influences on the two types of success that affect organizational performance. We provide academic, practical, and policy suggestions for evaluating digital transformation success.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124161"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143906206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Digital transformation or digital divide? Smes' use of AI during global crisis 数字转型还是数字鸿沟？中小企业在全球危机中对人工智能的使用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124184

Syed Sardar Muhammad , Bidit Lal Dey , Muhammad Mustafa Kamal , Lalnunpuia Samuel , Ebtesam Abdullah Alzeiby

{"title":"Digital transformation or digital divide? Smes' use of AI during global crisis","authors":"Syed Sardar Muhammad , Bidit Lal Dey , Muhammad Mustafa Kamal , Lalnunpuia Samuel , Ebtesam Abdullah Alzeiby","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124184","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124184","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>There is a notable deficiency in empirical research examining how digital transformation, particularly through the adoption of technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), can empower SMEs to navigate the challenges posed by global crises. While new technologies are frequently regarded as solutions, they can coexist with existing systems and potentially exacerbate the digital divide. This paper aims to investigate the factors that either facilitate or hinder digital transformation among SMEs and their impact on either bridging or widening the digital divide. To explore this issue, we employed a maximum variation sampling method and conducted 15 in-depth interviews with SMEs in the restaurant sector – encompassing small, medium, and large establishments – in London. Our findings indicate that technological factors (such as digital inertia), organisational aspects (including perceptions and collaboration), and external environmental influences (like lockdown measures) are critical in determining the extent of digital transformation or the continuation of the digital divide among SMEs during the pandemic. This paper contributes to understanding the interrelationships among innovative technologies, including AI, SMEs, and their external environments in the context of rapid digital transformation. It underscores the adverse effects of technology adoption on the equitable distribution of innovative practices and provides insights into promoting inclusive digital transformation to mitigate the digital divide among SMEs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124184"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143912482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An analysis on the role of artificial intelligence in green supply chains 人工智能在绿色供应链中的作用分析

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124169

Yimin Yang , Chaoqun Yi , Hailing Li , Xuesong Dong , Lulu Yang , Zilong Wang

{"title":"An analysis on the role of artificial intelligence in green supply chains","authors":"Yimin Yang , Chaoqun Yi , Hailing Li , Xuesong Dong , Lulu Yang , Zilong Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124169","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124169","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the retailer’s artificial intelligence (AI) adoption strategies in the green supply chain involving a manufacturer and a retailer. We demonstrate that the decision to introduce AI is influenced by the retailer’s estimation of the consumers’ green preference (CGP) without AI as well as the unit adoption cost of AI. Specifically, irrespective of whether the retailer underestimates or overestimates the CGP without AI, as the estimation bias increases, the retailer becomes more inclined to adopt AI; however, an increase in the unit adoption cost will discourage adoption. Furthermore, we find that if the retailer underestimates the CGP without AI, adopting AI may negatively impact the profits of both the manufacturer and the supply chain, as well as the greenness level, while simultaneously enhancing social welfare. Conversely, if the CGP is overestimated, adopting AI can improve the manufacturer’s profit and the supply chain’s profit but decrease the greenness level and potentially harm social welfare. We extend the model by considering the prediction accuracy of AI, demonstrating that as the prediction accuracy increases, the retailer who underestimates the CGP without AI becomes more inclined to adopt AI; however, this may not hold under certain conditions if the CGP is overestimated.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124169"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143912544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0