Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第10页

Paving the way to environmental sustainability: A systematic review to integrate big data analytics into high-stake decision forecasting 为环境可持续性铺平道路：将大数据分析整合到高风险决策预测中的系统综述

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124060

Rohit Agrawal , Nazrul Islam , Ashutosh Samadhiya , Vinaya Shukla , Anil Kumar , Arvind Upadhyay

{"title":"Paving the way to environmental sustainability: A systematic review to integrate big data analytics into high-stake decision forecasting","authors":"Rohit Agrawal , Nazrul Islam , Ashutosh Samadhiya , Vinaya Shukla , Anil Kumar , Arvind Upadhyay","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124060","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124060","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Big Data Analytics (BDA) is increasingly gaining interest in supply chain management due to the incorporation of digital technology in a range of operations. It facilitates the movement of commodities and data efficiently. However, despite the numerous benefits associated with BDA, there has been limited research on the extent to which BDA can improve environmental sustainability in supply chains. In an attempt to assess the depth of our knowledge, this study undertakes a bibliometric analysis in which 155 relevant articles are retrieved. The assessment discloses the various factors driving, limiting, and stimulating the adoption of BDA in the digital supply chain through analysis and discussion. Additionally, it suggests a framework linking the factors to achieve environmental sustainability. The outcomes of the evaluation indicate that the adoption of BDA could help in realizing an eco-friendly supply chain by reducing the carbon footprint, increasing product life cycles, minimizing the cost of transportation, and reducing transport-related emissions. This research suggests that policymakers should support BDA technology adoption for the reasons identified - it assists in boosting innovation and resilience in the increasingly competitive, ever changing market and the chaotic economic conditions of some industries. Many decisions made regarding environmental sustainability call for policies that will encourage BDA use to address climate, resources, energy management and sustainability factors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124060"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143487587","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Comparing information completeness in brand-related user-generated content media 比较品牌相关用户生成内容媒体的信息完整性

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124048

Sanghyun Park, Sungjoo Lee

{"title":"Comparing information completeness in brand-related user-generated content media","authors":"Sanghyun Park, Sungjoo Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124048","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124048","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Due to the contemporary globalized environment, business demands have become more dynamic and complex. Companies need to capture such demands to sustain and grow further in the market, for which various sources of information have been exploited. One of these is brand-related media. UGC from the media platform includes rich information on customer opinions and feedback for products and services. Recognizing the value of UGC, previous studies have proposed an approach to extract customer needs from media platforms. However, most of these studies have focused only on a single UGC platform, whereas diverse brand-related media exist and provide heterogeneous information. To address this issue, we develop a framework to evaluate the characteristics of brand-related UGC information and compare four different UGC media, including Amazon, ProQuest, Reddit, and YouTube, in terms of how rich they are in providing semantic, sentimental, and trend information based on a quantitative approach. The research results indicate that brand-related UGC media can have their own distinguishing features in the information they provide and thus need to be carefully adopted for market research. These findings offer meaningful implications for the use of brand-related UGC to identify innovation opportunities based on market needs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124048"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143487586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Recycling through technology diffusion for circular economy in Europe: A decomposed assessment 欧洲循环经济技术扩散中的循环利用：一个分解评估

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124052

Md. Monirul Islam , Md. Mahmudul Alam , Kazi Sohag

引用次数: 0

The impact of population aging on corporate digital transformation: Evidence from China 人口老龄化对企业数字化转型的影响：来自中国的证据

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124070

Ping Zhang , Huilin Yang , Chen Chen , Tao Wang , Ximeng Jia

{"title":"The impact of population aging on corporate digital transformation: Evidence from China","authors":"Ping Zhang , Huilin Yang , Chen Chen , Tao Wang , Ximeng Jia","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124070","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124070","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Labor shortages caused by population aging may directly compel enterprises to undergo digital transformation or indirectly pose a continuous challenge owing to insufficient talent reserves. Currently, no studies have explicitly explored the impact of population aging on corporate digital transformation. To clarify this relationship, this study integrates population aging and corporate digital transformation into the same theoretical framework and uses panel data from China's Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies. A multiple linear regression model is employed for theoretical analysis and empirical testing. The findings indicate that, first, population aging promotes corporate digital transformation, a conclusion that remains robust after a series of robustness checks and consideration of endogeneity issues. Second, the impact of population aging on corporate digital transformation exhibits significant heterogeneity across industries and regions. Specifically, the aging population has a more pronounced effect on the digital transformation of labor-intensive enterprises and companies located in the eastern regions, where the degree of aging is more pronounced. The conclusions of this study provide empirical evidence and policy implications for actively responding to population aging and advancing corporate digital transformation in the context of an aging population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124070"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143487577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Antecedent configurations toward radical green innovation: Based on resource orchestration theory 激进绿色创新的先行配置：基于资源协调理论

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124038

Rixiao Cui , Enjun Xia , Xiaoli Guo

引用次数: 0

Climate transition risk and industry returns: The impact of green innovation and carbon market uncertainty 气候转型风险与产业回报：绿色创新与碳市场不确定性的影响

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124056

Qi Zhou , Jiajun Ni , Cunyi Yang

{"title":"Climate transition risk and industry returns: The impact of green innovation and carbon market uncertainty","authors":"Qi Zhou , Jiajun Ni , Cunyi Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124056","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124056","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores how climate transition risk, green innovation, and carbon market uncertainty influence industry returns in economic cycles, providing crucial insights for industry-level low-carbon transition pathways. Utilizing an input-output (IO) life-cycle assessment model, we measure the total carbon emissions and carbon intensity of 28 industries in China from 2002 to 2020, distinguishing between direct and indirect emissions. We investigate the risk premium associated with transition risk and industry returns and analyze the moderating effects of physical risk, carbon market uncertainty, and green innovation. Our findings indicate that higher transition risk correlates with lower industry returns, with physical risk exacerbating this negative impact, while carbon market uncertainty and green innovations mitigate it. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that direct carbon emissions primarily drive the negative premium. Notably, the adverse effect of transition risk on industry returns has diminished since the Paris Agreement and is more evident in industries with lower concentration levels and higher centrality degree. This research offers new evidence on the interplay between climate transition risk and economic cycles, emphasizing the role of green finance and technological innovation in forecasting and navigating future economic developments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124056"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143478603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Can gold hedge against uncertainty in the cryptocurrency and energy markets? 黄金能否对冲加密货币和能源市场的不确定性？

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124050

Meng Qin , Xuefeng Shao , Chengming Hu , Chi Wei Su

{"title":"Can gold hedge against uncertainty in the cryptocurrency and energy markets?","authors":"Meng Qin , Xuefeng Shao , Chengming Hu , Chi Wei Su","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124050","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124050","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Studying gold's ability to shield against uncertainties in energy and cryptocurrency markets could aid investors in refining investment portfolios. A novel wavelet quantile correlation methodology is developed to dissect the relationships between the cryptocurrency policy uncertainty index (CPUI) and gold price (GP), energy-related uncertainty index (ERUI) and GP across various quantiles and time horizons. We find that CPUI mainly correlates positively with GP across most quantiles. Gold offers stronger hedging against cryptocurrency policy uncertainty over medium- to long-term horizons than short-term. ERUI's mixed correlations with GP suggest that gold's ability to hedge against energy-related uncertainty is not permanent. By comparison, CPUI has a stronger link with GP than ERUI, indicating gold's more significant hedging potential during cryptocurrency policy uncertainties. During COVID-19, CPUI positively correlated with GP in the short term but negatively in the medium run, confirming gold's short-term hedging against cryptocurrency policy uncertainty. However, EPUI generally negatively correlates with GP, showing limited hedging capacity against energy-related uncertainty. During the Russia-Ukraine conflict, CPUI and ERUI strongly positively correlated with GP, highlighting gold's safe haven role against these uncertainties. Considering these results, valuable insights are furnished for investors and governments to respond flexibly to changes in financial markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124050"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143487578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A maturity model for assessing the implementation of Industry 5.0 in manufacturing SMEs: learning from theory and practice 制造业中小企业实施工业5.0的成熟度模型：理论与实践的学习

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124045

Maria Elena Latino

{"title":"A maturity model for assessing the implementation of Industry 5.0 in manufacturing SMEs: learning from theory and practice","authors":"Maria Elena Latino","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124045","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124045","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digitalization is facing the transition from Industry 4.0 to Industry 5.0, enlarging the technocentric vision of technologies to embrace sustainable, resilience and human-centered design objectives. Although aware of the benefits of digitalization, many companies have not yet undertaken this process or are only at the beginning stages, seeking support and expertise. Firstly, it is important to understand the company's current technological level and, therefore, establish an improvement strategy. Over time, several authors have made efforts to develop maturity models capable of assessing a company's Industry 4.0 technological level. However, given the recent shift toward Industry 5.0, it is necessary to understand how such tools can effectively address the three pillars of Industry 5.0 when evaluating digital maturity. This study contributes to the literature on Industry 5.0 by proposing a tool to assess the maturity of companies in Industry 5.0 practices, focusing on sustainability, resilience and human centricity in manufacturing processes. This Industry 5.0 Maturity Model consists of a self-assessment questionnaire, designed to assess the current maturity level of the company across seven maturity dimensions (double assessment Industry 5.0 integrated and pillar-based), and a roadmap that outlines improvement strategies and operational information to enhance the company’ maturity across these dimensions. The proposed maturity model is applied in a multiple case study to collect empirical evidence from four Italian SMEs operating in the manufacturing industry. The results show a good Industry 5.0 maturity, with differences across the various dimensions influenced by the characteristics of the analyzed sectors and products. The low level of embedded technologies leaves room for future improvements in products and services, aligned with sustainability, resilience and human-centric perspectives. Theoretical and practical implications of the study are also discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124045"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143478600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Collaboration before competition: How smart city entrepreneurs co-create temporary ecosystems to build capacity for learning 竞争之前的合作：智慧城市企业家如何共同创建临时生态系统，以培养学习能力

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124046

Paul G. Oliver , Luca Mora , Jun Zhang

{"title":"Collaboration before competition: How smart city entrepreneurs co-create temporary ecosystems to build capacity for learning","authors":"Paul G. Oliver , Luca Mora , Jun Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124046","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124046","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article explores how smart city entrepreneurs (SCEs) learn to address urban sustainability challenges with innovative digital products and services. SCEs embody social, digital, and urban entrepreneurialism features and play a pivotal role in advancing smart city development. But despite their importance, little is known about the knowledge, skills, and competencies required to become an SCE. Grounded in entrepreneurial learning theory, our study helps fill this gap. Using the city of Edinburgh, UK, as our empirical setting, we examine the learning process of 34 SCEs. Our findings offer three core contributions. First, we show that collaborative learning is a key driver of innovation in the smart city domain. SCEs significantly benefit from collaborative efforts rather than competitive strategies alone. Second, we show that these collaborations develop in temporary ecosystems that contribute to enhancing the innovative capacities of SCEs. Building on these findings, we expand entrepreneurial learning theory, highlighting the critical yet overlooked role of temporary ecosystems and intermediaries in stimulating collaboration and knowledge exchange among SCEs. Third, we provide practical recommendations for policymakers, emphasizing the importance of supporting the development of strategic learning capacities and diverse learning modalities for SCEs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"214 ","pages":"Article 124046"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143478591","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Registers of beneficial owners based on blockchain technology: Implications for the accounting profession 基于区块链技术的受益所有人登记册：对会计行业的启示

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124051

Paul Gilmour , Durgesh Pandey , Doron Goldbarsht

引用次数: 0