Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
Industrial ecosystems: A systematic review, framework and research agenda 工业生态系统:系统回顾、框架和研究议程
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123656
{"title":"Industrial ecosystems: A systematic review, framework and research agenda","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123656","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123656","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>There is confusion surrounding the concept of industrial ecosystems (IEs). This research therefore presents a systematic literature review on the subject of industrial ecosystems and outlines several paths for future research. The paper defines the key characteristics of IEs, identifies three perplexity drivers that contribute to the conceptual ambiguity of IEs, proposes a four-tier integrative IE framework that outlines the core components of IE research, and presents a conceptual model that clarifies how synergetic effects emerge, leading to IE transformation. Articles are categorized into four categories (industrial symbiosis, metabolism, architecture, and orchestration) from which ten propositions are delineated. The study encourages researchers to tap into several areas from the view that this is a broad, but still rather unexplored area of research with high relevance for policy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524004542/pdfft?md5=49637c3c7242e650769f1aa562994d2f&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524004542-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141991193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Employees' training experience in a metaverse environment? Feedback analysis using structural topic modeling 元环境中的员工培训体验?利用结构主题模型进行反馈分析
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123636
{"title":"Employees' training experience in a metaverse environment? Feedback analysis using structural topic modeling","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123636","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123636","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The metaverse has been heralded as the next frontier for fueling strategic business opportunities. A recent surge in business investments in digital technologies-based training applications is witnessed. Metaverse is a technology in training and development landscape that intends to materialize a highly immersive experience by combining the virtual and the real world. Organizations are moving towards a metaverse environment to enhance the interactivity and flexibility of training while maintaining a high quality of their educational content and training plans. However, the existing scholarly work on metaverse tends to be more focused on employees' recruitment and retention functions of human resource, while the training and development function, particularly, the employees' training experience of the metaverse, is largely overlooked. Understanding employees' experiences is critical for businesses to achieve the desired training outcomes. Our study aims to fill this research gap by adopting a novel structural topic model text analysis method to analyze 889 employees' reviews about various training applications in metaverse environment. Specifically, we explored the employees' reviews of leading training platforms STRIVR, Spatial Computing, Mursion, Program ACE, Rewo, Gather, and ARKit. Our initial results reveal 9 topics, of which 5 relate to positive aspects and 4 are potential concerns. In particular, real-time collaboration, enhanced practicality, alignment with technology training, real-time feedback analytics, and customizable learning environments are positive, whereas accessibility and inclusivity, ethical considerations, privacy and security concerns, and cultural resistance are negative aspects. This study highlights the promising potential of the metaverse in improving the training and development functions within human resource management. By leveraging the novel efficiencies that the metaverse confers, firms can use these advancements to gain a competitive advantage.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141991195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corporate incubation for platform growth and the transition to platform scaling: Between a rock and a hard place in the circular economy 企业孵化促进平台成长并向平台规模化过渡:循环经济中的进退维谷
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123651
{"title":"Corporate incubation for platform growth and the transition to platform scaling: Between a rock and a hard place in the circular economy","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123651","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123651","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Digital platforms are arguably instrumental for the Circular Economy (CE), yet they frequently fail to deliver. An increasingly popular strategy for developing digital platforms is corporate incubation, where corporations invest in startups. Prior research has nonetheless paid scant attention to the role of corporate incubation in the evolution of digital platforms over time. To shed light on this, we conducted a qualitative case study of a digital platform incubated by one of the largest construction firms in Europe in the context of corporate incubation. Building on prior research suggesting that platform growth and platform scaling are distinct but often conflated phenomena, our analysis reveals four mechanisms through which corporate incubation enables <em>platform growth</em> and <em>(ii)</em> unpacks its role in transitioning to <em>platform scaling</em>. Drawing on boundary work theory, we offer a model explaining how the boundary work frames of organizational actors involved in corporate incubation influence the evolution of digital platforms over time. Our study contributes to the literature on digital platforms for CE by establishing corporate incubation as a promising yet challenging strategy for achieving platform growth, by deciphering the relational and temporal dynamics that condition platform scaling, and by conceptualizing digital platforms as entities performing boundary work.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524004499/pdfft?md5=995811f565cd1b29ddc074e9a7850a43&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524004499-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141985536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does a rising tide lift all boats? An empirical analysis of the relationship between country digitalization and low-tech SMEs performance 水涨船高?国家数字化与低技术中小型企业绩效之间关系的实证分析
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123632
{"title":"Does a rising tide lift all boats? An empirical analysis of the relationship between country digitalization and low-tech SMEs performance","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123632","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123632","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rapid emergence of digital technologies has considerably changed the environment for firms' survival and development, reshaping the way they operate and gain competitiveness in the market. The influence of digitalization on firms has emerged as a critical research topic. Nevertheless, studies on the relationship between digitalization and firms' performance remain scarce. Based on a European sample of 149,645 SMEs operating in the low-tech industries, this paper examines the impact of the country's digital performance (measured by the Digital Economy and Society Index - DESI) on the financial performance of low-tech SMEs and the existence of sector-specific differences over the period 2016–2020. Results reveal that the state of digitalization of the economy and society might significantly affect SMEs' financial performance. Indeed, the higher a country's overall digital performance, the better the financial performance of the SMEs that operate there. Additionally, the paper shows that digitalization positively impacts the performance of SMEs in the agriculture, construction, and wood and leather industry. By contrast, digitalization has a negative impact on the performance of SMEs operating in the publishing and printing industry, as well as in the textile and clothing industry. This study provides several implications for government investment policies and SMEs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979178","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determinants of a digital start-up's access to VC financing in India: A signaling theory perspective 印度数字初创企业获得风险投资的决定因素:信号理论视角
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123631
{"title":"Determinants of a digital start-up's access to VC financing in India: A signaling theory perspective","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123631","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123631","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In recent years, the increased emphasis on digitalization aided by advancements in technology has led to the growth of digital startups. Considering the enhanced uncertainty in the lifecycle of a digital startup and their high failure rates compared to non-digital startups, access to VC financing is a crucial element that influences their survival and scale-up. Leveraging signaling theory in unique ways and using a two-stage financing model, we analyze a sample of 124 digital startups in India and find that during the selection stage, the founders' perception of VCs' ability to contribute non-financial value-added services influences their decision to seek VC financing. But at the decision stage, signals emanating from younger stage entrepreneurs with an education pedigree from premier institutes, startups that are incubated in an incubator or are part of an accelerator program, or those building businesses focusing on digitally enabled business models, are likely to be valued highly by VCs and therefore have a higher likelihood of receiving VC financing. Yet much remains to be done by the policy makers in India for those who do not fall within this spectrum to stimulate the growth of digital startups in the country.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979177","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From virtual voices to real impact: Authenticity, altruism, and egoism in social advocacy by human and virtual influencers 从虚拟声音到真实影响:人类和虚拟影响者社会宣传中的真实性、利他主义和利己主义
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123650
{"title":"From virtual voices to real impact: Authenticity, altruism, and egoism in social advocacy by human and virtual influencers","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123650","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123650","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As the use of AI-powered virtual influencers flourishes in the marketing world, it is unclear how effective these influencers are as advocates for social causes. Through four pre-registered experiments, this study compares the impacts of human and virtual influencers in social advocacy, delineating the mechanisms driving their effectiveness and identifying potential boundary conditions that might influence their relative impact. Specifically, it investigates the perceived authenticity of human versus virtual influencers and how it affects digital activism and altruistic motives. In addition, the study assesses whether the unique characteristics of virtual influencers, such as novelty and autonomy, can counterbalance their perceived deficits in authenticity and egoistic motives to potentially amplify their advocacy effectiveness. The findings suggest that the advantages of virtual influencers in commercial marketing do not necessarily translate to, or enhance their role in, advocacy for social causes. By considering the impact of egoistic motives, this study takes a novel perspective to expand the conceptualization of authenticity in influencer social advocacy. It thus calls for a strategic reevaluation of how virtual influencers are utilized in cause advocacy initiatives. The study makes a significant contribution to the ongoing dialogue on the role of influencers in catalyzing digital activism, offering insights for optimizing influencer engagement in social causes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Digital innovation and corporate social responsibility performance: Evidence from firms' digital patents 数字创新与企业社会责任绩效:来自企业数字专利的证据
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123626
{"title":"Digital innovation and corporate social responsibility performance: Evidence from firms' digital patents","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123626","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123626","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The economic consequences of digital innovation have received increasing attention. However, the non-economic impacts of digital innovation on society have yet to be studied. This study investigates the relationship between digital innovation and corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance. Using text analysis to identify digital patents and measure firms' digital innovation, we find a positive relationship between digital innovation and CSR performance. The result still holds after considering endogeneity issues. In addition, the effect of digital innovation on CSR performance is more pronounced in firms with digital knowledge and high-tech firms. Furthermore, we find that digital innovation improves CSR performance by increasing employee income and reducing environmental pollution. This study contributes to the existing literature on the emerging field of digital innovation and provides new practical methods for firm managers to enhance CSR performance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141964073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of the traffic incident duration using statistical and machine-learning methods: A systematic literature review 使用统计和机器学习方法预测交通事故持续时间:系统文献综述
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123621
{"title":"Prediction of the traffic incident duration using statistical and machine-learning methods: A systematic literature review","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123621","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123621","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper aims to present a comprehensive review and analysis to demonstrate the main papers, journals, authors, and trends significantly contributing to the scientific output in predicting the traffic incident duration using statistical and ML-based methods. We analyze new methods as well as data resources and characteristics such as incident time phases, data types, incident types, duration time distribution, available data resources, significant influencing factors, and unobserved heterogeneity and randomness. Also, this paper used the VOSviewer® software to conduct a visualization study of knowledge mapping on the literature of predicting traffic incident duration from 2010 to 2022 based on various databases. The contributions of this paper are three-fold. First, this paper undertakes a comprehensive comparison of previous studies in this field. Second, this paper identifies the key conceptual characteristics of analysis and prediction. Third, this paper explores the expected future trends in predicting the traffic incident duration. Furthermore, a key finding from this paper is that the usage of crowdsourcing, social media, and textual data is rare. Considering that future prediction methods of traffic incident duration will likely be utilized in all subfields related to traffic congestion, focusing on a review that summarizes such studies is a timely topic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Extensive growth of inventions: Evidence from U.S. patenting 发明的广泛增长:美国专利申请的证据
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123586
{"title":"Extensive growth of inventions: Evidence from U.S. patenting","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123586","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123586","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Despite the seemingly fast development and wide diffusion of technologies in recent decades, concerns have been raised as to whether invention is slowing down. A question has also arisen as to whether the vast accumulation of technical knowledge, instead of speeding up the productivity of subsequent knowledge creation, has, on the contrary, become a “burden of knowledge” that makes it harder to find new ideas. We engage with these concerns by examining nearly 7 million utility patents granted by the U.S. Patent Office and characterizing the growth process of patenting from 1976 to 2018. Although the rate of patenting has steadily increased, patenting productivity as measured as patents per distinct inventor has continuously declined in utility patents in general and for technological frontier fields of biotechnology, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and artificial intelligence. The rapid growth rate of new patents can be credited to an increase in the number of individuals engaged in inventive activity rather than improved productivity. In the U.S., the proportion of the population engaging in patenting has grown significantly. Nevertheless, the growth of the inventive labor force and new patents relies more heavily on experienced inventors than new inventors. As the size of patenting teams keeps growing, the typical inventor participates in a growing number of patents while representing a declining proportion of the inventive labor responsible for patented inventions. We find evidence that as the stock of accumulated patented inventions grows, patenting productivity declines, suggesting that past invention makes it harder for inventors to find new knowledge. In the language of economics, invention (as tracked by patenting) has experienced <em>extensive</em> growth driven by the increase of the inventive labor force with declining productivity and a growing division of labor.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Green funerals: Technological innovations and societal shifts toward sustainable death care practices 绿色葬礼:技术创新和社会向可持续死亡护理实践的转变
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123644
{"title":"Green funerals: Technological innovations and societal shifts toward sustainable death care practices","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123644","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123644","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The death care industry faces many environmental, societal, and health-related challenges. Green funerals constitute an alternative and more sustainable death care practice, as they use nontoxic preservation techniques and biological material, thereby enabling a reduction in environmental degradation and protecting the well-being of the society. This study investigates the factors influencing consumer behavioral intention in the green funeral industry through a survey of 627 Italian consumers. The findings indicate that, in addition to rational considerations, anticipated negative emotions and personal moral norms significantly affect the adoption intention of green funerals. In addition, the obtained results reflect a broader cultural shift in post-secular societies where, along with a decline in strict adherence to religious dictates, there is a growing openness toward alternative funeral practices that align more closely with environmental values. Based on these outcomes, valuable implications are provided for scholars, green funeral industry players, and policymakers that can foster consumers' adoption of green death practices and a transition toward a more sustainable society. By investigating consumers' intention to adopt green funerals, this study constitutes a meaningful addition to the body of research on sustainable consumption, extending it to unsought product categories and shedding light on a socially relevant phenomenon.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信