Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

{"title":"Mapping pathways to responsible innovation: Configurations of digital economy, effectuation, and firm size in SMEs—A fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis","authors":"Liangxing He ,&nbsp;Jianwen Zheng ,&nbsp;Meijuan Zhao ,&nbsp;Teng Li","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123778","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123778","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digital technology has indubitably brought significant benefits, but has also triggered a series of social problems. Consequently, responsible innovation (RI) is essential to address these social concerns, and exploring mechanisms for corporations to achieve RI in the digital economy is urgently required. This study investigates the assessment of RI by 105 managers of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) using a tracking survey and employs fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis to uncover the various paths through which different principles of effectuation drive corporate RI. The findings indicate that digital-type, alliance-type, and larger firm exploratory-type contingent-driven configurations play equifinal roles in promoting corporate RI. While corporations remain contingent, they need to adopt different paths to achieve RI based on the digital economy environment and their own size. This study contributes to the literature on RI in three ways. First, it extends the research context of existing literature by incorporating the digital economy. Second, it provides new theoretical insights for RI by using different configurations to show the multiple paths corporations can take to achieve RI in the digital economy. Third, by using effectual principles as an intermediate path to bridge the digital economy and RI, this research expands the application scope of effectual principles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123778"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The place of co-production: A physital space for collaborative urban government","authors":"Batel Yossef Ravid ,&nbsp;Meirav Aharon Gutman","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123748","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123748","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many studies investigating urban government co-production focus on definitions and applications and often overlook the physical locations where this co-production occurs. This study introduces \"physital\" spaces—a synthesis of physical and digital elements—to enhance participatory urban governance. The research was guided by the following question: How can a space combining architecture and visualization technologies foster a new culture of collaboration between government and citizens in shaping urban policy? By employing architectural research methodologies that analyze a space's human behavior, the study considers a physital space in the Haifa neighborhood of Hadar with the aim of facilitating collaboration between municipal employees and civil society. The research is a Participatory Action Research (PAR) study and had three stages: <em>designing</em> the physital space; <em>implementing</em> a participation protocol to explore the functionality of the physital space in shaping urban-social policy; and critically <em>reflecting on</em> the emerging cultural dynamics within this innovative setting. The findings indicate that physital space not only fosters effective grouping and community bonding through its oval structure and interactive setup but also motivates participants to engage in dynamic co-production. The study challenges current Smart City paradigms that often limit real community involvement in decision making spaces, demonstrating how physital spaces can bridge the gap between theoretical urban governance and practical, inclusive policy making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123748"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Digitally accessible space: Discovery of the distinctive locational characteristics of restaurants with online reservation","authors":"Chulwoong Park,&nbsp;Youngchul Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123788","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123788","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The widespread adoption of ICT including mobile apps and their online services has significantly reshaped human activities in urban spaces. The complex interaction between ICT on urban space presents challenges in understanding their relationships. This study aims to discover the empirical evidence of the spatial variance of urban space linked to ICT. To pursue this objective, this study defines spaces that leverage ICT-based activities as Digitally Accessible Spaces (DAS), and choose restaurants that provide online reservation services through NAVER, which is the most dominant search engine in South Korea. Based on fundamental measurements in location theory, we stratified the entire area in Seoul into four groups in order of profitability. Using the location quotient (LQ), we quantified the locational characteristics of DAS compared to overall restaurants. Consequently, three measurements, which are density of marketplace, distance from public transit, and proper land use, indicate that the second-tier profitable areas commonly possess the largest portion of DAS. These characteristics provided empirical evidence supporting previous studies highlighting the liberation effect and altered travel behavior resulting from ICT-based activity through qualitative and theoretical approaches. We expect that this study can contribute to further research related to the interaction between digital space and physical space.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123788"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Exploring the relationship between innovation and corporate governance","authors":"Carlos Estévez-Mendoza ,&nbsp;Ángeles Montoro-Sánchez","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123784","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123784","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Innovation is a significant factor for business sustainability, and, at the same time, corporate governance plays a key role in defining appropriate directions for firms addressing the challenges it implies. We try to understand which are the relevant contributions, topics, and intellectual framework in the existing research literature exploring the relationship between innovation and corporate governance to advance the research in this arena. To that aim, we use bibliometric methods to analyze 766 articles published in the last three decades. We identify different periods in the research works, showing an evolution in terms of the number of articles, the scope they cover, and the variety of related topics. Also, we identify the intellectual framework that underlays the contributions, discuss the main pillars of the research corpus concerning the core themes, identify gaps in research, and point to new avenues of study in this realm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123784"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Testing technological Kuznets curve implications on achieving sustainable development goal 10 in seven Asian countries","authors":"Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki,&nbsp;Elsadig Musa Ahmed","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123785","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123785","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the relationship between technological innovations, financial development, and income inequality implications on achieving Sustainable Development Goal 10 (SDG10) in seven Asian economies via testing the inverted U-shaped hypothesis of technological innovation on income inequality in the concept of technological Kuznets curve hypothesis. The significant contribution of this study is introducing the Technological Kuznets Curve (TKC) as an extension to the Kuznets curve (KC) framework to capture the impact of technological innovation on income inequality. The PMG/ARDL was applied to estimate the coefficients to accomplish the study's objective. The panel cointegration tests confirm that all variables are cointegrated with income inequality. The empirical findings validate the KC hypothesis and demonstrate that technological innovations contribute to reducing income inequality within the Kuznets curve framework in the long run. Financial development (money supply) was negatively correlated with income inequality. The study further validates the TKC hypothesis, revealing an inverted U-shaped relationship between technological innovations and income inequality. Financial development, measured by domestic credit to the private sector, also shows a negative correlation with income inequality within the TKC framework. However, the money supply demonstrates a positive link with income inequality. The study recommended the necessity to prioritize policies that support technological innovation through subsidies, encouragement for research and development, and collaborations between the public and private sectors will greatly lower income inequality and support achieving Sustainable Development Goal 10 (SDG10). Financial development significantly facilitates access to financial services and contributes to diminishing income inequality by building an effective and inclusive banking system (mobile banking services for poor communities), easing access to credit for emerging and small and midsize enterprises (SMEs), and money circulation. Governments should strategically allocate resources toward programs and initiatives that directly address income inequality and promote inclusive growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123785"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427894","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Deterrent effects of central environmental protection inspection on green technology innovation cycles: Evidence from the listed state-owned firms in China","authors":"Peng Gao ,&nbsp;Jie He ,&nbsp;Marek Vochozka ,&nbsp;Shiyang Hu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123783","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123783","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the determinants of green technology innovation cycles using a panel data sample of A-share group-holding state-owned firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2014 to 2021. We assess the effects of the Central Environmental Protection Inspection (CEPI) within business groups. According to the empirical findings, if certain firms undergo the CEPI, it promotes an increase in green technology innovation in other uninspected firms within the business group. We also find that the CEPI on business groups enhances the quality of green technology innovation, promoting technological advancement and influencing the green technological cycle. Social learning and corporate knowledge spillover theories explain the mechanism for promoting green technology innovation in firms. These findings enrich research on corporate green technology innovation in China and provide insights into how policymakers promote green development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123783"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Growing pains during scale-up hypergrowth: Integration and future research agenda","authors":"Kristel Moedt ,&nbsp;Christian Lechner ,&nbsp;Svetlana Khapova","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123779","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123779","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The hypergrowth of technological scale-ups is receiving growing research attention from TIM (Technology and Innovation Management) scholars. While much is researched and written about hypergrowth's strategic topics, scaling of technology, and physical assets, less attention is given to the internal challenges faced by rapidly and massively scaling firms. In this paper, we argue that if TIM scholars focusing on product development and new market entrance are to advance knowledge concerned with hypergrowth of scale-ups, they need to join the conversation with the general management scholars who focus on how to manage people in a rapidly developing context. We build our arguments by drawing on Penrose's theory of firm growth, which emphasizes that growth is a function of management capacity and possession of resources, and which suggests that massive scaling in one type of resource will lead to imbalances of other types of resources. We also draw on the cognitive theory of the firm, which suggests that a firm's priorities are the outcome of its top managers' mental models. Consequently, we put forward that technology-based firms, successful in technology scaling, will create issues and challenges on the human side of organizations. These challenges include HR issues, like hiring and turnover, leadership challenges, and organizational culture, which are often the focus of management research. To inspire new research, we review research evidence from technology and management literature integrating available evidence concerned with the “growing pains” of hyperscaling firms. We identify at least three important drivers of hypergrowth in technology scale-ups that affect the firm's internal processes: i) time pressure, ii) constant change, and iii) scarcity of resources. These context drivers put the workforce in a stressful situation due to a) expanding job demands, b) massive hiring, c) changing leadership requirements, and d) evolving organizational culture. We integrate our findings into an organizing framework that dynamically relates hypergrowth to effects in organizations. We conclude this paper with suggestions for how the growing pains can be addressed by future research on hypergrowth firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123779"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sectoral innovation policy adopting socio-technical systems (STS) perspectives: The case of autonomous vehicles (AVs) in five leading countries","authors":"Taeyoung Park ,&nbsp;Jeehoon Ki ,&nbsp;Jae-Yun Ho","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123758","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123758","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The advent of the so-called “Fourth Industrial Revolution” technologies has led to increased use of policy to support innovation in particular sectors of emerging technologies; however, limited academic research has been conducted on such sectoral innovation policy. As greater understanding is required of the socio-technical contexts in which such policies are implemented, this study develops a conceptual framework based on the socio-technical systems (STS) perspective. Together with the concept of innovation policy instrument mixes, the proposed framework allows for more effective design and analysis of sector-specific innovation policy for emerging technologies that have high societal impact. The framework is then used in a comparative case study of the autonomous vehicle (AV) sector across five leading countries through a comprehensive review of policy documents. The case study revealed similarities and differences in AV policy across countries, demonstrating the need for sectoral innovation policy that is more tailored in specific socio-technical contexts. The study also provides practical guidelines for innovation policy to support other emerging high-tech sectors. The increasing complexity of policy mixes results in challenges of policy coordination and evaluation hence, policy patching can be a more realistic and beneficial strategy than policy packaging.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123758"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Is FinTech making world more “inclusive”? Evidence from inclusive growth story of China","authors":"Zihao Guo ,&nbsp;Yuetong Wei ,&nbsp;Shuangshuang Fan ,&nbsp;Muhammad Shahbaz","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123780","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123780","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Financial technology (FinTech) functions as a world-recognized vital driver for high-quality development. Different from recent research that merely involves empirical studies of the correlation between FinTech and inclusive growth, we first employ mathematical model analysis to theoretically distinguish the underlying mechanism through which FinTech influences inclusive growth in China. Subsequently, we built a series of mathematical models to deconstruct three effects of FinTech on inclusive growth: entrepreneurship stimulation, human capital investment, and innovation promotion effect, followed by a re-examination of these mechanisms using panel data that covers 281 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2020. The empirical results show a solid positive impact of FinTech on inclusive growth in China. Further mechanism tests confirm that entrepreneurship stimulation, human capital investment, and innovation promotion serve as three plausible economic channels that account for this effect, supporting our theoretical conjecture. Moreover, we adopt machine learning algorithm to simulate different inclusive growth levels in China from 2021 to 2030 under different scenarios and therefore propose policy suggestions to bolster inclusive growth. Overall, these findings shed greater light on the FinTech-inclusive growth nexus and provide new insights into the real effects of FinTech on sustainable development in developing economies that bear resemblance to China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123780"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Green innovation in Norwegian firms: Navigating the complexity of productivity and performance","authors":"Touseef Hameed ,&nbsp;Fikru Kefyalew Alemayehu ,&nbsp;Subal C. Kumbhakar","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123786","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123786","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In an era where sustainability demands are increasing, green innovation (GI) is garnering widespread acclaim for its profound social and environmental benefits. This study explores how GI affects productivity and efficiency in Norwegian service and manufacturing firms, using a state-of-the-art stochastic frontier model (semi-parametric smooth coefficient) tailored to analyze firm-specific impacts essential for competitiveness in a green economy. We identify two main pathways through which GI affects productivity: technological heterogeneity and shifts in inefficiency. The impact on technology is split into neutral (direct) and non-neutral (indirect) effects, with the neutral effect being independent of factor inputs, and the non-neutral effect being influenced by both technology heterogeneity and input levels. We evaluate the marginal effects of GI on productivity through technology and inefficiency. Our GI construct includes innovations such as reduced material/energy use, lower CO2 emissions, noise reduction, hazardous material substitution, and adoption of renewable energy. Analyzing data from 3,130 Norwegian firms, our findings highlight the crucial role of GI in sustainability, underscoring its strategic importance across sectors. We find a positive neutral pathway effect but negatively impacts productivity through non-neutral pathways. GI also positively influences inefficiency, particularly in manufacturing.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123786"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}