Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

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Informal intervention, information availability and innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises 国有企业的非正式干预、信息可用性和创新效率
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149
Yao Wang, Nannan Yu
{"title":"Informal intervention, information availability and innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises","authors":"Yao Wang,&nbsp;Nannan Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Innovation management studies have focused on improving innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Given the close relationship between government and SOEs, whether government intervention can impact firm innovation efficiency is an interesting question but underexplored. This study introduces a unique form of informal government intervention based on social connections between government leaders and firm managers and examines its impact on innovation efficiency using local SOEs innovation data during the 2008–2019 period. Our findings demonstrate that informal government intervention can enhance SOEs' innovation efficiency, mainly by improving SOEs' information availability. Moreover, the connection-based information availability has greater efficiency-enhancing impacts when the information providers (politicians) possess more external knowledge, and when the information receivers (SOE managers) belong to less technology-intensive industries. These findings illuminate how informal government intervention helps SOEs improve innovation efficiency by reducing agency risks. They also provide valuable policy insights for improving innovation efficiency in SOEs through strengthening institutional arrangements on information transparency.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124149"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143858811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social acceptability of innovation: A systematic literature review and future research directions 创新的社会可接受性:系统文献综述及未来研究方向
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131
Julie Jammes , Pauline Folcher , Gilles N'Goala
{"title":"Social acceptability of innovation: A systematic literature review and future research directions","authors":"Julie Jammes ,&nbsp;Pauline Folcher ,&nbsp;Gilles N'Goala","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social acceptability of innovation has been a rapidly growing field of study over the past three decades. However, this domain remains characterized by fragmented knowledge, which impedes both theoretical advancements and practical applications. In particular, the absence of a unified framework prevents the integration of diverse perspectives from existing research, limiting our understanding of the mechanisms involved in the innovation evaluation process. To address this gap, this study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) of 169 studies published between 1989 and 2022 across three databases (Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar). Using the SPAR-4-SLR protocol, we collected, organized, and evaluated the literature. Bibliometric analyses were conducted to map the field, revealing five key themes, which were further examined using the TCCM (Theory-Context-Characteristics-Methodology) framework. This integrated approach provides a unified perspective on the field while paving the way for new directions in future research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124131"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of trust-based challenges on user satisfaction in food sharing platforms: A text mining approach 基于信任的挑战对食物分享平台用户满意度的影响:一种文本挖掘方法
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159
Ben Krishna , Praveen Puram
{"title":"The impact of trust-based challenges on user satisfaction in food sharing platforms: A text mining approach","authors":"Ben Krishna ,&nbsp;Praveen Puram","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Food waste is a pressing ethical and environmental challenge. One-third of all food produced is wasted, while 3 billion people are food insecure. Online food-sharing platforms enable the redistribution of surplus food at a community level. Though highly beneficial, these platforms have not witnessed high usage due to multiple challenges, which includes trust. As stakeholders' trust in food-sharing apps is essential to maintain their patronage, this study attempts to obtain trust-based challenges and assess their impact on user satisfaction through a mixed-method study. Using topic modeling, user reviews from popular food-sharing apps are first analyzed to identify eight challenges that impact user experience. These challenges are then aligned with the dimensions of cognition-based trust, experience-based trust, and personality-oriented trust. Further, hypotheses are formulated and tested using linear regression to assess the impact of these challenges on user experience. This study addresses the topics of food waste and food insecurity, which are related to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): SDG-2 (Zero hunger) and SDG-12 (Responsible consumption and production). While some challenges have been explored in the extant literature, others are unique to this study, such as the lack of optimal experience, information quality, perceived privacy, and opportunism. These findings contribute to the food-sharing literature by analyzing user experiences worldwide and assesses trust-related challenges, thereby improving upon the extant literature which mainly explores the motivators, and has a cursory focus on the aspect of ‘trust’. Also, this study informs policy development to address users' trust concerns, thus enhancing food-sharing apps' adoption.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124159"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Leveraging eco-innovation and market knowledge for a circular economy transition: Insights from Spanish manufacturing firms 利用生态创新和市场知识实现循环经济转型:来自西班牙制造企业的见解
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152
A. Triguero, D. Córcoles
{"title":"Leveraging eco-innovation and market knowledge for a circular economy transition: Insights from Spanish manufacturing firms","authors":"A. Triguero,&nbsp;D. Córcoles","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we used a panel of Spanish manufacturing companies to explore the influence of external knowledge from market sources in the context of the circular economy. We distinguished among the three groups of innovative firms by their explicit intention to achieve integrated environmental benefits from their innovations (sustainability orientation). This allowed us to classify firms into pro-circular, transition-circular and non-circular economy innovators. Our findings reveal three key contributions to the literature. First, we show that while external knowledge is crucial for driving any type of innovation, pro-circular firms prioritize external partners vertically integrated into their production chain, such as suppliers and customers. Second, we find that the breadth of external knowledge for pro-circular innovators, compared to firms with lower circularity, is less important than explicit cooperation agreements and internal R&amp;D efforts. Third, we expand the understanding of open innovation strategies to increase the adoption of eco-innovations congruent with the circular economy. These insights contribute to the literature by highlighting that not all information sources hold the same level of importance for circular economy innovations. For managers, the results underscore the importance of fostering strong relationships with vertical partners and investing in internal R&amp;D to drive eco-innovation and sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124152"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143850853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Defensive routines as coping mechanisms against technostress: roles of digital leadership and employee goal orientation 防御常规作为应对技术压力的机制:数字化领导与员工目标导向的作用
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124143
Yumei Yang , Saqib Shamim , Alfredo De Massis , Dehua Gao
{"title":"Defensive routines as coping mechanisms against technostress: roles of digital leadership and employee goal orientation","authors":"Yumei Yang ,&nbsp;Saqib Shamim ,&nbsp;Alfredo De Massis ,&nbsp;Dehua Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124143","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124143","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In today's workplace, the proliferation of digital technologies has transformed work tasks but also led to technostress. This stress, associated with technology use, negatively impacts employees' behavioral outcomes and performance. Despite these effects, research on coping strategies for technostress and mitigation methods for individuals and organizations remains limited. This study utilizes the transactional theory of stress and coping to analyze the process of technostress, specifically focusing on defensive routines as a coping mechanism and technology-enabled performance as an outcome. Additionally, the study draws on Job-Demand Resource model to examine two critical moderators: employees' goal orientations and digital leadership. To gather data, we collected multisource data from 221 salespeople and their line managers in Pakistan. The results demonstrate that defensive routines act as a mediator between technostress creators and technology-enabled performance. Furthermore, we found that digital leadership plays a buffering role, alleviating the negative impact of technostress creators on technology-enabled performance. This research significantly contributes to the existing theories on technostress and routine dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124143"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143843008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Navigating the business model design space: A case of insects as food and feed in Sweden 引导商业模式设计空间:以瑞典的昆虫为食和饲料为例
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124148
Linus Thomson , Chattraporn Chatthong , Thomas Taro Lennerfors
{"title":"Navigating the business model design space: A case of insects as food and feed in Sweden","authors":"Linus Thomson ,&nbsp;Chattraporn Chatthong ,&nbsp;Thomas Taro Lennerfors","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124148","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124148","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Business model innovation (BMI) plays a key role in driving sustainability transitions, yet its interplay with the broader socio-technical system is often overlooked. This study investigates BMI in the emerging niche of insect-based food and feed in Sweden, employing a combined Business Model Design Space (BMDS) and dynamic capabilities perspective. Drawing on interviews with ten insect firms, we examine how firm-level dynamic capabilities shape BMI strategies and interact with the BMDS. Our findings show that firms adopt different strategies to navigate the opportunities and constraints they perceive within the BMDS. We introduce a novel typology that outlines how firms perceive and respond to the BMDS through two dimensions: BMDS Sensing (systematic &amp; intuitive) and BMDS Enactment (fit-and-conform &amp; stretch-and-transform). This typology identifies four distinct BMI seizing modes: Analytical Adaptation, Analytical Shaping, Instinctive Adaptation, and Instinctive Shaping, highlighting how firms interpret and enact the BMDS through BMI. By integrating dynamic capabilities theory with the BMDS framework, we address the gap of accounting for varied perceptions of the BMDS among different actors. We show how firms exercise strategic agency in shaping and responding to system-level dynamics, offering new theoretical insights that bridge firm-level and system-level perspectives on BMI within emerging niches.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124148"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143848679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A novel similarity-based recommendation for identifying potential customers in new markets using an inter-firm transaction network 利用公司间交易网络识别新市场潜在客户的一种新颖的基于相似性的建议
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124151
Kabsoo Jang , Jeongsub Choi , Ho-shin Lee , Byunghoon Kim
{"title":"A novel similarity-based recommendation for identifying potential customers in new markets using an inter-firm transaction network","authors":"Kabsoo Jang ,&nbsp;Jeongsub Choi ,&nbsp;Ho-shin Lee ,&nbsp;Byunghoon Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124151","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124151","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In a dynamically evolving corporate landscape, it is essential to identify potential customers to ensure the sustainable growth of companies. In this context, potential customers can be identified by predicting the link that foreshadows future transactions between pairs of companies in an inter-firm transaction network. Similarity-based link prediction approaches are popular for predicting links, owing to their interpretability and scalability. However, existing similarity measures have proven inadequate for capturing intermarket similarities. This limitation restricts their applicability to scenarios in which businesses seek to enter new markets. To overcome this limitation, we propose a novel similarity score, designed to capture the similarities between firms in separate markets. The proposed similarity score is utilized to identify potential customers in new markets by leveraging transaction data along with essential firm attributes. We validate our approach through toy network experiments, visually demonstrating its ability to predict potential customers across different markets. Moreover, the proposed method consistently outperforms baseline approaches in terms of the Area Under the Curve (AUC), precision@k, and recall@k. These findings underscore the effectiveness of the proposed method as a valuable tool for businesses seeking to enter new markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124151"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143838984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Towards a sustainable and circular blue bioeconomy: A scoping review 迈向可持续和循环的蓝色生物经济:范围审查
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124157
Ashkan Pakseresht , Alireza Kermani , Carolin Decker-Lange
{"title":"Towards a sustainable and circular blue bioeconomy: A scoping review","authors":"Ashkan Pakseresht ,&nbsp;Alireza Kermani ,&nbsp;Carolin Decker-Lange","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124157","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124157","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores biotechnological innovations based on marine resources in the burgeoning blue bioeconomy, aiming to unlock their potential for valorization for sustainable and circular business models. Using a scoping review to identify key trends in scientific knowledge, we specify four clusters of blue biotechnological innovations: (1) bioenergy, (2) feedstock and fertilizers, (3) biomass for food, and (4) industrial applications. These four clusters offer promising energy, food, and materials alternatives while aligning with sustainability and circular economy principles. This study thus fills a gap in extant management research by integrating ocean biodiversity into considerations of sustainable entrepreneurship and investigating valorization options in the blue bioeconomy for the development of novel business models. The findings pave the way for designing feedstock and regenerative business models that harness the blue bioeconomy's economic, environmental, and social benefits.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124157"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143838985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Core aspects of digital exclusion among the Russian population 俄罗斯人口中数字排斥的核心方面
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124153
Alina Pishnyak, Natalia Khalina, Elena Nazarbaeva
{"title":"Core aspects of digital exclusion among the Russian population","authors":"Alina Pishnyak,&nbsp;Natalia Khalina,&nbsp;Elena Nazarbaeva","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124153","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124153","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digital exclusion has become a new form of poverty creating a gap between different groups of the population. There is no consensus about the proper definition of the phenomenon, however, the core aspects of digital exclusion include the absence of digital devices, poor internet access, lack of digital skills, and problems with access to digital services. Using the results of a large survey conducted in 2022 in Russia, we evaluate the typical digital behavioral patterns for the Russian population. We demonstrate that exclusion in terms of device usage, internet access, and digital skills is relevant, while using online services is not common yet. Significant differences in digital exclusion are seen for different subgroups, the largest gap was between age groups.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124153"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143833756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Digital disruption, knowledge and collaborative networks and green innovation in China manufacturing transformation 中国制造业转型中的数字化颠覆、知识与协同网络与绿色创新
IF 12.9 1区 管理学
Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124120
Yao Xiao , Rong Xiang , Yong-lei Sun , Jin Chen , Yun-hong Hao
{"title":"Digital disruption, knowledge and collaborative networks and green innovation in China manufacturing transformation","authors":"Yao Xiao ,&nbsp;Rong Xiang ,&nbsp;Yong-lei Sun ,&nbsp;Jin Chen ,&nbsp;Yun-hong Hao","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124120","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124120","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green innovation is essential for sustainable development but often incurs high costs, reducing economic returns. Grounded in disruptive innovation and social network theory, this study examines whether disruptive events experienced by Chinese manufacturing firms during their digital transformation can reduce green R&amp;D and manufacturing costs, thereby promoting green innovation. Using patent data from China's high-tech manufacturing sector (2014–2023), the study finds an inverted U-shaped relationship between Digital Disruptive Events (DDE) and Green Innovation (GI). The network structure of knowledge and collaboration plays varying moderating roles in this relationship. Structural holes in a firm's knowledge network negatively moderate the effect of DDE on GI, while degree centrality shows no significant moderation. Conversely, more structural holes and lower degree centrality in collaboration networks positively influence GI. The findings highlight the importance of leveraging multilayered network structures to drive green innovation during digital transformation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"216 ","pages":"Article 124120"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143833122","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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