Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第4页

Government in the digital age: Exploring the impact of digital transformation on governmental efficiency 数字时代的政府：探索数字化转型对政府效率的影响

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123722

引用次数: 0

Synergistic impacts of technological advancement and environmental hazards on social change and human well-being in South Asia 技术进步和环境危害对南亚社会变革和人类福祉的协同影响

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123721

{"title":"Synergistic impacts of technological advancement and environmental hazards on social change and human well-being in South Asia","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123721","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123721","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the challenges in attaining these goals are always an eye-catching research theme for academics, politicians, and stakeholders around the world. Subjective well-being (SWB) is one of the central SDGs but is under-researched so far. Addressing this concern is crucial to maintaining societal welfare and promoting the realization of a sustainable future. Hence, this study explores the determinants of SWB with a particular focus on technological advancement and environmental damage. The paper examines SWB determinants in six South Asian nations from 2005 to 2022 using the cross-sectional augmented auto-regressive distributed lag model. The conclusions demonstrated that technology advancement improved SWB in the long term. Meanwhile, environmental deterioration has no appreciable short-term effects and harms SWB in the long term. This study adds to the field by examining how technological advancement and environmental deterioration explain SWB in South Asian economies. The study recommends policies that aim at improving innovations and reducing CO<sub>2</sub> emissions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142128872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Cycles-specific benefits of smart transport for sustainable investing: Global and regional perspectives with different ethical paradigms 智能交通为可持续投资带来的特定周期效益：从全球和地区角度看不同的道德范式

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123707

{"title":"Cycles-specific benefits of smart transport for sustainable investing: Global and regional perspectives with different ethical paradigms","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123707","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123707","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the impact of light and heavy intelligent transportation systems on sustainable and socially responsible investments. It analyzes ESG, Islamic ethics-screened, and carbon-efficient industries, such as green-steady dividends and aqua-low-carbon Euro-ESG, using quantile-VAR methodologies and causality-in-quantile approaches from July 2013 to April 2023. The findings reveal significant spillover effects of sustainable and responsible investments on light and heavy smart transportation systems, particularly under normal market conditions. Heavy smart transportation systems exhibit a stronger recipient characteristic for investment growth compared to light systems. The study highlights the influence of sustainable and responsible investment opportunities on smart transportation performance across diverse market conditions. Specifically, heavy smart transportation systems demonstrate a notable impact in the middle and upper quantiles of the market. Conversely, light smart transportation systems have potential in stimulating shariah investment prospects, particularly during bear market conditions. Further analysis incorporating carbon-efficient industries refines these findings, showing that light systems generate spillover effects leading to green-steady dividends, while heavy systems act as catalysts for hydro-low-carbon Euro-ESG investments. Overall, the study underscores the pivotal role of smart transportation systems in regional low-carbon industries and provides valuable insights for transportation planners and regulatory authorities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142128893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Key capabilities for closed-loop supply chain: Empirical evidence from manufacturing firms 闭环供应链的关键能力：来自制造企业的经验证据

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123717

引用次数: 0

The role of environmental innovation on ecologic footprint in nations with high technology exports concentrations in international trade 在国际贸易中技术出口高度集中的国家，环境创新对生态足迹的作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123703

{"title":"The role of environmental innovation on ecologic footprint in nations with high technology exports concentrations in international trade","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123703","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123703","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study focuses on four major high-technology exporting countries––the USA, Germany, France, and China––to explore the long and short-run associations among ecological footprint, environmental technology patents, high-technology exports, and economic growth. The sample covering 1988–2019 is subject to a set of structural breaks, including 2009 Global Recession in addition to uncertainty in the order of integration captured by unit root tests, which provide basis for novel Fourier ARDL and Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality methods. The Fourier ARDL findings reveal the importance of environmental technology innovations in dampening the level of ecological footprints and promoting a more sustainable environment in the USA, Germany, and France, whereas more high-technology exports in international trade worsen the ecological footprints in these countries in addition to the negative effects of economic growth in all countries including China. In contrast, high-technology exports appear to mitigate ecological footprint in China, however, eco-friendly technologies fail to reduce ecological footprints as in other analysed nations. The causality tests indicate bidirectional and unidirectional causal relationships among variables with the exception of China where the neutrality hypothesis holds between economic growth and ecological patents and also high-technology exports and ecological patents. These findings provide important insights in achieving sustainable development.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

From conservatism to innovation: The sequential and iterative process of smart livestock technology adoption in Japanese small-farm systems 从保守到创新：日本小型农场系统采用智能畜牧技术的顺序和迭代过程

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123692

{"title":"From conservatism to innovation: The sequential and iterative process of smart livestock technology adoption in Japanese small-farm systems","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As global demand for animal products is projected to increase significantly by 2050, driven by population growth and increased incomes, smart livestock technologies are essential for improving efficiency, animal welfare, and environmental sustainability. Conducted within the unique agricultural context of Japan, characterized by small-scale, family-run farms and strong government protection policies, our study builds upon traditional theoretical frameworks that often oversimplify farmers' decision-making processes. By employing a scoping review, expert interviews, and a Modified Grounded Theory Approach, our research uncovers the intricate interplay between individual farmer values, farm management policies, social relations, agricultural policies, and livestock industry trends. We particularly highlight the unique dynamics within family-owned businesses, noting the tension between an “advanced management mindset” and “conservatism.” Our study reveals that technology adoption is a sequential and iterative process, influenced by technology availability, farmers' digital literacy, technology implementation support, and observable technology impacts on animal health and productivity. These insights highlight the need for tailored support mechanisms and policies to enhance technology uptake, thereby promoting sustainable and efficient livestock production system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524004906/pdfft?md5=94f3941104515d062b53cbe76acee2be&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524004906-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122625","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Investigating the impact of proactive crisis response orientation on adaptive performance: The roles of strategic learning and digitization 调查积极主动的危机应对导向对适应性绩效的影响：战略学习和数字化的作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123662

{"title":"Investigating the impact of proactive crisis response orientation on adaptive performance: The roles of strategic learning and digitization","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123662","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123662","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>External adversities have induced substantial business disruptions and uncertainties, necessitating enterprises to proactively seek strategies for establishing enduring environmental resilience. This study amalgamates adaptation theory to formulate an analytical framework known as “response-learning-adaptation” (RLA), and aims to elucidate the adaptation process within an organization. Furthermore, it investigates the role of process digitization in enhancing organizational adaptability in response to contemporary demands. Through an analysis of data collected from a sample comprising 421 manufacturing firms, this study validates the favorable influence of the proactive crisis response orientation on organizational adaptive performance, as well as substantiates the presence of strategic knowledge creation and integration, facilitated by the sequential mediation of strategic knowledge implementation. Moreover, the study highlights the moderating effect of process digitization. This study employs adaptation theory to elucidate the specific strategic learning processes and highlights the critical role of internal and external factors in organizational adaptation. It addresses the existing gap in adaptation theory concerning the mechanisms of adaptive behavior, suggesting that adaptation is not merely an independent action but is also influenced by the collective behavior of organizations within the digital economy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How ESG shapes firm value: The mediating role of customer satisfaction 环境、社会和公司治理如何塑造企业价值：客户满意度的中介作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123714

引用次数: 0

Digital transformation of enterprises: Job creation or job destruction? 企业的数字化转型：创造就业还是毁灭就业？

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123733

{"title":"Digital transformation of enterprises: Job creation or job destruction?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123733","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123733","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In recent years, the technological advancements embodied by digital technology have received significant attention from policymakers and researchers because of their profound impacts on the economy and society. In particular, the relationship between digital technology and employment continues to be a subject of considerable debate. This article focuses on the microperspective, and the causal effects and mechanisms of corporate digital transformation on labour employment are examined. With the use of data on Chinese A-share manufacturing companies from 2008– to 2019, text analysis is employed in this study to construct a comprehensive index of corporate digital transformation. We utilise a combination of fixed effects models, difference-in-differences (DiD) models, and instrumental variable methods and demonstrate that digital transformation stimulates enterprise labour demand, a conclusion that remains valid after multiple endogeneity tests and robustness assessments. The heterogeneous results indicate that nonstate-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), nonhigh-tech enterprises, enterprises with low financing constraints, and small enterprises exhibit greater employment creation effects through digital transformation. Mechanistic analysis suggests that digital transformation increases enterprise employment by increasing operational and management efficiency, profitability, and labour productivity levels. Further exploration reveals that digital transformation increases the demand for labour with varying skills and human capital upgrading in enterprises. This article, through the lens of digital technology, enriches the body of research on the nexus between technological progress and employment, provides novel insights into employment fluctuations under the digital paradigm, and outlines significant implications for countries balancing digital economy development, employment growth, and social stability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Evaluation of the potential of infrastructure funds: The case of inland waterways in Germany 评估基础设施基金的潜力：德国内河航道案例

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123711

{"title":"Evaluation of the potential of infrastructure funds: The case of inland waterways in Germany","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123711","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123711","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Given the critical need for sustainable transportation solutions, inland waterways (IWs) constitute a crucial yet underfunded mode of transport. This study examines deficiencies in current infrastructure funding and analyzes infrastructure funds (IFs) as an alternative funding mechanism and potential means to revitalize German waterways.</p><p>Central to this investigation is the analysis of the German population's willingness to pay (WTP) for such funds. To this end, a comprehensive online survey of German households was conducted, and multivariate regression analysis was employed to identify key factors influencing public support for various fund designs.</p><p>The results reveal that personal experiences with flooding significantly affect WTP and underscore the role of socio-economic variables in shaping public attitudes toward infrastructure funding. The findings indicate that well-designed IFs, combined with effective communication strategies to raise awareness of the importance of waterways, could significantly enhance public support. The study demonstrates that IFs have significant potential as a strategic tool for mobilizing public funding, thereby supporting the sustainable development and maintenance of essential yet underfunded infrastructure. IFs present a promising solution to the financial challenges facing critical public goods such as waterways.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524005092/pdfft?md5=b7440f8e353d96df12500a06d27c8728&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524005092-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142117483","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0