Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第4页

Empirical analysis of workers' perceptions of ESG impacts on corporate sustainability performance: A methodological innovation combining the PLS-SEM, PROMETHEE-ROC and FIMIX-PLS methods

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124091

Anrafel de Souza Barbosa , Maria Cristina Crispim , Luiz Bueno da Silva , Jonhatan Magno Norte da Silva , Aglaucibelly Maciel Barbosa , Lucas Miguel Alencar de Morais Correia , Sandra Naomi Morioka

{"title":"Empirical analysis of workers' perceptions of ESG impacts on corporate sustainability performance: A methodological innovation combining the PLS-SEM, PROMETHEE-ROC and FIMIX-PLS methods","authors":"Anrafel de Souza Barbosa , Maria Cristina Crispim , Luiz Bueno da Silva , Jonhatan Magno Norte da Silva , Aglaucibelly Maciel Barbosa , Lucas Miguel Alencar de Morais Correia , Sandra Naomi Morioka","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124091","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124091","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The perceptions of workers regarding Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria are not only reflective of their immediate work environment but also serve as indicators of broader corporate sustainability performance. This research provides empirical insights into workers' perceptions of ESG impacts on corporate sustainability performance in the Brazilian electrical industry. It demonstrates the methodological strengths of Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), combined with the Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations with the Rank-Order Centroid (PROMETHEE-ROC) and Finite Mixture Partial Least Squares (FIMIX-PLS) methods. A structured questionnaire administered across various sectors of two large companies captured comprehensive data on workers' ESG views. Cluster Analysis (CA) and Factor Analysis (FA) grouped and validated the data, while PLS-SEM assessed associations between latent and observable variables. FIMIX-PLS analyzed sample segmentation, and PROMETHEE-ROC ranked significant ESG criteria. Findings revealed that ESG criteria significantly influence workers' perceptions of corporate sustainability, with multidimensional FA elucidating 71 % of latent traits and PLS-SEM parameters demonstrating strong model fit. This study contributes to theory and practice by validating the PLS-SEM structure for capturing worker perceptions and by introducing a novel methodology combining PLS-SEM, PROMETHEE-ROC, and FIMIX-PLS methods.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124091"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143577053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How and when digital transformation intensity influences employees' safety-related helping behaviors

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124092

Hongxu Lu , Ting Wu , Xin-Miao Yao , Chen-Ming Huangfu

{"title":"How and when digital transformation intensity influences employees' safety-related helping behaviors","authors":"Hongxu Lu , Ting Wu , Xin-Miao Yao , Chen-Ming Huangfu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124092","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124092","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the context of safety management in safety-critical organizations, this study leveraged the job demands–resources model to scrutinize the divergent effects of digitalization on safety-related helping behavior. A two-stage survey of 367 employees from 41 teams in a safety-critical organization revealed that the employees' self-efficacy mediated the positive relationship between the intensity of digital transformation and safety-related helping behavior, whereas ego depletion mediated the negative relationship between the intensity of digital transformation and safety-related helping behavior. In addition, employees' positive perception of the organization's motivation for adopting digitalization amplified the indirect effect of the intensity of digital transformation on safety-related helping behavior via self-efficacy, while diminishing this indirect effect via ego depletion. These findings help to deepen the current understanding of the relationship between digitalization and employees' safety-related helping behaviors, and provide suggestions for managers in safety-critical organizations on how to use digital technologies to encourage employees to help each other in safety management. We emphasize that it is important for organizations to ensure that employees understand that digital transformation are motivated by a desire to help them avoid safety hazards, rather than to supervise them in safety management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124092"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143577052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A framework for research on the automation of work

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124093

Santiago Melián-González, Jacques Bulchand-Gidumal

{"title":"A framework for research on the automation of work","authors":"Santiago Melián-González, Jacques Bulchand-Gidumal","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124093","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124093","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Most research on work automation has been conducted using a job-centered approach, which analyzes whether or not a job can be automated. However, this particular perspective can lead to incorrect conclusions. Research has also examined general work activities that do not accurately represent the tasks that workers do. This study proposes a framework for research on work automation that includes multiple scopes of analysis reflecting the scale of technology being analyzed (from technology in general to specific technologies) and the work descriptor being considered (the labor market, occupations, jobs, duties, or tasks). The scope of the analysis determines the type of effects on work and on workers that will be predicted and the relevance and reliability of these predictions. Based on the proposed framework, we assess the impact of technology on an important job in the hotel industry: chambermaids. Compared to other predictions, the results reflect that worker displacement is improbable in this case. In general, job automation is more likely to occur through a combination of partial job automation and work redesign rather than the replacement of entire jobs by technology.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124093"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143563014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

ISO 14001 and innovation: Environmental management system and signal

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124000

Cesare Antonio Fabio Riillo

{"title":"ISO 14001 and innovation: Environmental management system and signal","authors":"Cesare Antonio Fabio Riillo","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124000","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124000","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The positive association between ISO 14001 and innovation is generally well established. However, the specific mechanisms across the different stages of the innovation process remain unclear. This study argues that ISO 14001 certification acts as a market signal and investigates its impact on various innovation stages, including innovation propensity, investment intensity, and market success. It also explores the relationship between ISO 14001 and different innovation outcomes, such as product, process, organizational, and marketing innovations. Using innovation survey data and certification registers, the study distinguishes the signalling effect of ISO 14001 certification from the implementation of environmental management systems. A structural model evaluates the certification's impact across innovation stages. The analysis shows no significant association between ISO 14001 certification and innovation propensity or investment intensity. However, certification is negatively associated to certain product innovations, particularly radical innovations. Despite this, ISO 14001 certification enhances innovative sales, especially in firms with lower innovation investment. The study highlights that while the standard may have no impact or even a negative impact on pursuing innovation, it can still foster the commercialization of innovative products by serving as a credible market signal. Extensive robustness checks reduce concerns of misclassification, endogeneity and reverse causality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124000"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143551299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How cross-regional collaborative innovation networks affect regional economic resilience: Evidence from 283 cities in China

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124057

Yanan Du , Qingxi Wang , Yan Song , Yueji Xin

{"title":"How cross-regional collaborative innovation networks affect regional economic resilience: Evidence from 283 cities in China","authors":"Yanan Du , Qingxi Wang , Yan Song , Yueji Xin","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of China's cross-regional collaborative innovation networks on economic resilience in different periods after a shock. We find that the deeper a city's participation in a cross-regional collaborative innovation network is, the more beneficial it is to the economy's ability to resist risk and facilitate recovery. This finding has passed a series of robustness tests. During the shock-resistant period, the enhanced network status of core cities, urban agglomeration cities, and cities with higher initial economic levels positively affects economic resilience. The centrality of cities in cross-regional collaborative innovation networks formed by capital-intensive, technology-intensive industries and services significantly enhances economic resilience. During the recovery-adjustment period, the elevated status of core cities, urban agglomeration cities, nonurban agglomeration cities, and cities with higher initial economic levels similarly enhances economic resilience. Regional centrality in collaborative innovation networks formed by labour-intensive, capital-intensive, and technology-intensive industries, as well as services, improves economic resilience. Additionally, the elevated status of the network enhances economic resilience to risk by driving innovation quantity and intensive margin in the technological field, and improves economic resilience to adjustment by driving innovation quantity, innovation quality, margins of intensification and expansion in the technology field.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124057"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143551296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The effect of digital technologies and staff skill sets on hospital resilience: The role of supply chain information integration

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124075

Cristina De Luca, Nunzia Carbonara, Roberta Pellegrino

{"title":"The effect of digital technologies and staff skill sets on hospital resilience: The role of supply chain information integration","authors":"Cristina De Luca, Nunzia Carbonara, Roberta Pellegrino","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124075","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124075","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic have challenged hospitals, critical pillars of healthcare systems, revealing significant variations in their ability to respond effectively. Hospital resilience addresses the urgent need to understand how to enhance hospitals' capacity to respond effectively to crises. While numerous factors have been identified as critical to hospital resilience, they are often studied in isolation, overlooking the synergistic effects among them and lacking robust empirical validation. Grounded in the Resource-Based View, this paper investigates how key resources, namely digital technologies and staff skills, along with the capability of supply chain information integration (SCII), influence hospital resilience. Drawing on survey data from 130 Italian hospitals, the study examines the direct impact of these resources and capabilities on hospital resilience, as well as the mediating role of supply chain information integration, using structural equation modelling. The results reveal that digital technologies and external information integration capability directly affects hospital resilience. Moreover, the study underscores the importance of leveraging digital technologies and enhancing staff skills to foster supply chain information integration, which in turn mediates the relationship between these resources and hospital resilience. This research contributes significantly to theoretical and practical insights in hospital management and resilience strategies. The proposed theoretical framework enhances our understanding of hospital resilience dynamics by elucidating the direct influence of resources and capabilities, while also highlighting the mediating effect of supply chain information integration. These findings offer actionable insights for hospital managers to optimize resource allocation and capabilities amidst uncertainties, thereby fortifying hospital resilience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124075"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143551297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Requirements for trustworthy AI-enabled automated decision-making in the public sector: A systematic review

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124076

Olusegun Agbabiaka , Adegboyega Ojo , Niall Connolly

{"title":"Requirements for trustworthy AI-enabled automated decision-making in the public sector: A systematic review","authors":"Olusegun Agbabiaka , Adegboyega Ojo , Niall Connolly","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124076","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124076","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With AI adoption for decision-making in the public sector projected to rise with profound socio-ethical impacts, the need to ensure its trustworthy use continues to attract research attention. We analyze the existing body of evidence and establish trustworthiness requirements for AI-enabled automated decision-making (ADM) in the public sector, identifying eighteen aggregate facets. We link these facets to dimensions of trust in automation and institution-based trust to develop a theory-oriented research framework. We further map them to the OECD AI system lifecycle, creating a practice-focused framework. Our study has theoretical, practical and policy implications. First, we extend the theory on technological trust. We also contribute to trustworthy AI literature, shedding light on relatively well-known requirements like accountability and transparency and revealing novel ones like context sensitivity, feedback and policy learning. Second, we provide a roadmap for public managers and developers to improve ADM governance practices along the AI lifecycle. Third, we offer policymakers a basis for evaluating possible gaps in current AI policies. Overall, our findings present opportunities for further research and offer some guidance on how to navigate the multi-dimensional challenges of designing, developing and implementing ADM for improved trustworthiness and greater public trust.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124076"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143551295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

One size does not fit all: Sustainable innovation, climate policy, and startups' growth aspirations

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124069

Mirko Hirschmann

引用次数: 0

Toward a resilient and smart city: Analysis on enablers for smart city resilience using an integrated DEMATEL–ISM–ANP method 建设具有抗灾能力的智慧城市：利用 DEMATEL-ISM-ANP 综合方法分析智能城市复原力的推动因素

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124081

Rui Li , Yi Lu

{"title":"Toward a resilient and smart city: Analysis on enablers for smart city resilience using an integrated DEMATEL–ISM–ANP method","authors":"Rui Li , Yi Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124081","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124081","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>An integrated strategy that incorporates both smartness and resilience is critical to achieving long-term urban sustainability. A smart city brings both challenges and opportunities for resilience, making the improvement of smart city resilience a key goal in many countries today. This study extracts 21 key enablers that can drive smart city resilience through a literature review and expert opinions, and examines their interrelationships, hierarchies, and priorities by integrating decision making trial and evaluation laboratory, interpretive structural modeling, and analytic network process methods (DEMATEL-ISM-ANP) into a relational model. The results show that financial resource allocation should be prioritized in short-term strategies to support open innovation platform building, ecological protection and disaster risk reduction actions to improve the infrastructural, social, economic and environmental resilience of smart cities. Data reliability, and smart and networked infrastructure are the main transmission enablers, facilitated through technology and governance. Data security, environmental protection, and sustainable resource management are key direct enablers for long-term strategy, facilitated from the bottom up in the structural hierarchy. This research can guide public authorities, practitioners, and academics seeking to advance smart city resilience, and contributes to the building of smart and resilient cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124081"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143534101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Analysis of power battery technology R&D strategies under the supply chain competitive environment in post-subsidy era

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124080

Jinglve Wang, Zhang Liwen, Longfei Song, Chunying Liang, Libiao Bai

{"title":"Analysis of power battery technology R&D strategies under the supply chain competitive environment in post-subsidy era","authors":"Jinglve Wang, Zhang Liwen, Longfei Song, Chunying Liang, Libiao Bai","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124080","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124080","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study comparatively investigates the impact of supply chain competition on the R&D of power battery technology for new energy vehicles. From both horizontal and vertical perspectives, the supply chain competition relationships are classified into four types. By establishing a game-theoretic model, we comparatively analyze the mechanisms and impacts of supply chain competition on the innovation of power battery technologies. The research findings are as follows: (1) The optimal setting of the R&D target level for battery suppliers is the result of the combined effects of cost-effectiveness of technical R&D activities, demand effects, and the demand fluctuations brought about by competition. (2) The impact of different competitive relationships on the R&D decisions of battery suppliers varies. The R&D target level of incumbent enterprises is consistently positively correlated with the intensity of competition. (3) The distribution of the highest R&D target levels under the four competitive relationships is related to the intensity of competition and the market profitability of battery technologies. The results of this study can provide decision-making recommendations for companies involved in power battery technology R&D and offer new perspectives for consumers in choosing suitable new energy vehicles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 124080"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143534102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0