Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

{"title":"Tackling food waste and loss through digitalization in the food supply chain: A systematic review and framework development","authors":"Hongda An,&nbsp;Carlos Galera-Zarco","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124175","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124175","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With growing concern about food security in recent years, the use of digitalization to address food waste and loss (FWL) events has become an increasing focus of academic research. Most current FWL studies however are fragmented and dispersed, focusing only on specific digital technologies applied to the food supply chain (FSC). This study utilizes a systematic literature review (SLR) approach to analyze 4277 abstracts and titles, along with 129 full-text papers on the topic (111 papers finally included) from 2014 to 2024. It provides a unified and comprehensive overview of how state-of-the-art digital technologies are being used to tackle complex FWL events within the FSC. This review identifies and integrates the potential of 16 digital technologies, examining their application methods, the corresponding FWL events and deployment phases within the FSC (i.e. Production, Handling &amp; Storage, Processing &amp; Packaging, Distribution &amp; Retail, and Consumption). Based on the findings of this review, a digital FWL network management framework is developed. This framework describes the relationships among drivers, actors, causes, actions, time, and places involved in addressing FWL, aiming to simulate the real-world process of how digitalization can tackle complex FWL events. Furthermore, this review investigates the research trend, sustainable impact, potential drawbacks, and deployment obstacles of digital technologies in reducing FWL, and subsequently identifies future research directions. Overall, this study adopts a promising multiple-technology perspective to systematically illustrate how different digital technologies can address FWL events at various phases of the FSC.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124175"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143906205","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Quality-by-design as the pharmaceutical innovation paradigm: mapping the field and proposing a conceptual framework","authors":"Alfonso Hernandez-Vivanco ,&nbsp;Vesna Vlaisavljevic ,&nbsp;Laura Gonzalez-Moragas ,&nbsp;Mónica Santana","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124182","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124182","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Quality management (QM) and innovation practices are essential for business competitiveness, yet they often conflict when striving for radical advancements within complex innovation ecosystems. Amid this debate, the concept of Quality-by-Design (QbD) remains underexplored in management literature, despite its extensive development in technical fields. Taking the case of QbD in the pharmaceutical sector, this study aims at researching into its relationship with innovation, considering the interactions within the innovation ecosystem. We perform a bibliometric study, a selective content analysis combined with an assessment of the regulatory framework and relevant examples from the industry. Using the duality of the science-push and market-pull approach as the lens of our analysis and its integration with regulatory push, we propose a conceptual framework and illustrate its application using a case study on the development of COVID-19 vaccines. We propose that regulatory agencies and multinationals play a key role in fostering the adoption of QbD. Besides, we suggest that firms benefit from QbD implementation in terms of continuous improvement and, through the latter, radical innovation. This study contributes to the literature by identifying QbD as an ecosystem-based innovation strategy that enables pursuing more radical advances. Our study also inspires a future research agenda.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124182"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Optimizing natural resource management and global supply chains through digital innovation","authors":"Imran Khan ,&nbsp;Mohd Ziaur Rehman ,&nbsp;Inayat Khan","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124187","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124187","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the significant impacts of digitalization on natural resource management and global supply chains, contributing to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDG 9 on industry innovation and infrastructure and SDG 12 on responsible consumption and production. It highlights the roles of resource management effectiveness (RM) and supply chain efficiency (SC) in adopting sustainable practices across economic, social, and environmental dimensions in diverse nations from developed, emerging, and developing countries. This study employs mixed-method approaches to examine the effects of digital connectivity (DC), technological integration (TI), and investment in innovation (II) against control variables including economic prosperity (EP), regulatory quality (RQ), environmental sustainability (ES), and political stability (PS). The analysis spans data from 2000 to 2022 for RM and from 2007 to 2022 for SC, offering insights into the role of technology across various stages of economic growth within diverse economic frameworks. Through rigorous econometric analysis, including first and second-generation unit root tests and FMOLS models, the study confirms the robustness of DC and TI to improve RM and SC. The findings reveal that a 1 unit increase in both DC and RQ improves RM by 0.484 and 8.404 units and SC by 0.025 and 0.398 units, respectively. The finding also reflects the positive and significant impacts of EP on both RM and SC. The findings further reveal that ES has negative impacts on RM in both short-run and long-run with coefficients of −11.334 and − 6.599, respectively. This research provides valuable insights for policymakers and industry leaders by demonstrating the significant role of digital infrastructure and innovation in achieving operational efficiency and environmental sustainability. The findings advocate for targeted policies to align technological advancements with sustainable economic practices, ensuring that digital transformation contributes positively to global economic and environmental goals. Further research is encouraged to explore the comprehensive impacts of digitalization across different economic contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124187"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Artificial intelligence in knowledge management: Identifying and addressing the key implementation challenges","authors":"Mojtaba Rezaei","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124183","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124183","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In today's digital landscape, Knowledge Management (KM) is crucial for organisational competitiveness. Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for KM practices, yet its integration presents multifaceted challenges. This study addresses significant gaps in the literature by identifying and prioritising critical challenges associated with AI integration in KM.</div><div>Employing a tripartite methodological approach, this research combines a literature review on KM and AI’s challenges, a Delphi study with domain experts, and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) across four KM processes. Data from retail sector professionals validate the challenges identified by experts.</div><div>Findings reveal a comprehensive landscape of challenges, categorised into technological, organisational, and ethical domains, with variations across different KM processes. The study contributes to the field by comprehensively exploring AI-related challenges in KM, offering a quantitative ranking, and enhancing understanding of the AI-KM interplay.</div><div>This research provides valuable insights for business leaders, facilitating the development of strategies to foster robust knowledge ecosystems. By addressing these challenges proactively, organisations can enhance their KM practices, leveraging AI to maintain competitiveness in an increasingly digital business environment. The study contributes to theoretical discourse and offers practical implications for organisations navigating AI integration in their KM practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124183"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899790","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The relationship between FinTech and energy markets in China","authors":"Yunying Huang ,&nbsp;Qi Zhou ,&nbsp;Cunyi Yang ,&nbsp;Khaldoon Albitar","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124188","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124188","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the interplay between financial technology (FinTech) and energy transition risks is essential for addressing financial challenges and enabling a smooth energy transition. This study examines the dynamic relationship between FinTech and energy transition risks using the TVP-VAR model, with a time span from July 2017 to April 2024. The results reveal that while FinTech's direct influence on energy transition risks is limited, these risks significantly hinder FinTech's growth. By analyzing three key historical events, we uncover how energy transition risks impede FinTech through mechanisms like energy market volatility and the green electricity market. Unlike conventional static risk assessments, this research offers a dynamic and nuanced perspective on risk management by examining specific measures and market responses during historical events. This approach provides valuable insights for navigating the evolving landscape of FinTech and energy transition, contributing to more effective risk mitigation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124188"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899793","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Team resilience capability in information systems development (ISD) project teams","authors":"Jack Shih-Chieh Hsu ,&nbsp;Kuang-Ting Cheng ,&nbsp;Yuzhu Li ,&nbsp;Ryan Brading","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124186","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124186","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the importance of team resilience capability in the context of ISD project management research. Team resilience capability refers to a team's ability to recover from adverse events and resume progress toward goals. This study identifies three core dimensions of team resilience capability: steadfast acceptance of reality (affective), positive consensus on matters (cognitive), and adaptability to significant changes (behavioral). Grounded in Resource-Based Theory (RBT), we propose that project teams must cultivate two key qualities: information-processing quotient (IPQ) and emotional quotient (EQ). The research model posits that team resilience capability significantly impacts recovery speed, recovery degree, and team morale. Data collected from 153 ISD teams confirm that resilient teams effectively recover from setbacks while maintaining high morale in the workplace. Furthermore, the findings reveal that organizational support and IPQ positively influence all three dimensions of team resilience capability, while EQ has a particularly strong impact on the affective and cognitive dimensions. These results underscore the critical role of resilience capability in ISD teams and offer practical insights for fostering resilience in project management contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124186"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Chronocraft: unveiling enablers and overcoming barriers in Fintech-driven logistics and supply chain management in the digital era","authors":"Varun Chotia ,&nbsp;Rsha Alghafes ,&nbsp;Mahak Sharma ,&nbsp;Naveen Virmani","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124168","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124168","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the factors that promote and impede the adoption of financial technology in supply chain management. Previous research about Fintech primarily focuses on Fintech's functions, without delivering a complete examination of enablers and barriers. This study fills this gap and draws from 37 experienced supply chain managers in US and UK who currently use Fintech to uncover three main drivers of fintech adoption: promoting business expansion (through cost reduction, enhanced customer satisfaction, technology upgrades, and innovation), ease of doing business (via streamlined processes and information access), and achieving a competitive edge (through improved efficiency, transparency, and risk management). Conversely, Significant barriers were found in human resources (cultural resistance, skill gaps, and training challenges), financial (high initial investment and training costs), technology (compatibility and integration issues, and awareness challenges), and external factors (stakeholder resistance and regulatory hurdles). By demonstrating how these elements interact, this study offers an advanced view of the Fintech adoption process and useful advice for businesses looking to maximize Fintech integration in their supply chains. The findings deliver novel academic value by providing a comprehensive framework for assessing the dynamics of the Fintech-driven supply chain, assisting in strategic decision-making, and directing further research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124168"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Common institutional ownership and R&D manipulation","authors":"Shihao Wang ,&nbsp;Keyun Wang ,&nbsp;Mengting Guo ,&nbsp;Umer Sahil Maqsood ,&nbsp;Xuezhao Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124167","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124167","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the correlation between common institutional ownership and R&amp;D manipulation by analyzing A-share listed companies in China from 2008 to 2021. Our findings indicate that common institutional ownership significantly reduces R&amp;D manipulation through effective monitoring and governance. Further examinations of investor characteristics reveal that our findings are more pronounced in samples whose common owners are long-term investors or state-owned firms. Finally, we discover that common institutional ownership significantly improves the R&amp;D input and total factor productivity. Overall, our research demonstrates that common institutional ownership has a beneficial impact in reducing misconduct such as R&amp;D manipulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124167"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Solutions and trends of recommendation systems for massive open online courses","authors":"Rodrigo Campos ,&nbsp;Rodrigo Pereira dos Santos ,&nbsp;Jonice Oliveira","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124118","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124118","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) have been widely disseminated due to the arrival of Web 2.0. In recent years, recommendation systems have been applied to support MOOCs users in choosing suitable learning materials (e.g., courses and videos) in this modality. However, implementing such systems remains a challenge since several recommendation aspects should be considered. In this work, we identify and analyze such aspects (e.g., inputs, approaches, and outputs), investigating several implementation possibilities based on the literature. Results show that collaborative filtering and content-based are the most used approaches. More than 60 techniques are used to support recommendations in MOOCs, and most of the studies focus on recommending courses. The main contributions are: (1) a better understanding of the aspects, benefits, and limitations of MOOCs recommendation; and (2) the identification of open issues and research trends, providing an analysis that can support the implementation of emerging recommendation systems for MOOCs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124118"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899794","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Agency of institutional intermediaries in transitions: A study of influences on intermediary practices","authors":"Ingrid Mignon PhD,&nbsp;Lisa Bastås","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124171","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124171","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Traditionally, the literature on socio-technical transitions has predominantly focused on system-level phenomena. However, to fully comprehend the processes of change, it is crucial to understand the roles and practices of individual actors involved in these transitions. This paper examines institutional intermediaries, which are actors with the mission to implement policies. Our objective is to explore how agency influences the practices of institutional intermediaries in operationalizing their policy missions. The paper draws on an interview study of individuals serving as institutional intermediaries, financed by a national energy agency, to support citizens and organizations in adopting sustainable technologies and practices. We introduce an analytical framework highlighting that institutional intermediaries are subject to multiple levels of influence. These include top-down influences, coming from national or local decision-makers, bottom-up influences from local clients, as well as middle-out influences derived from their own agency and interpretation of their institutional role. The latter significantly impacts how institutional intermediaries operationalize their policy missions. Consequently, intermediaries are not merely passive implementers of national policies but also agents with their own agendas. This has important implications for the theoretical understanding of intermediary actors’ behaviors in transitions and for the design of public or governmental employees’ tasks and missions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 124171"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}