Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

{"title":"Towards sustainable business in the automation era: Exploring its transformative impact from top management and employee perspective","authors":"José Andrés Gómez Gandía, Sorin Gavrila Gavrila, Antonio de Lucas Ancillo, María Teresa del Val Núñez","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123908","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123908","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, organisations are in a continuous race in search of business sustainability, becoming a fundamental pillar of the organisation. The aim is to be more effective and efficient by doing more with less by managing all the organisation's resources.</div><div>The ways in which organisations face these economic, social, and environmental challenges vary according to their activity. Globalisation has enabled economic growth, allowing the expansion of markets and access to goods and services worldwide. This has led to an increased level of global competition among organisations and the search for markets in which they have no competitors. In most cases they find markets with several players competing for a market with increasingly lower margins and trying to survive by seeking new competitive advantages.</div></div><div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>The priority objective is to analyse the owner vs employee's perception of artificial intelligence and how it impacts the relationship with the sustainability of the company. For this purpose, a Likert survey has been carried out, which is an effective tool to evaluate this type of perception in a quantitative way. Today it is a strategic area for organisations, and this perception and employee behaviour are key to its proper functioning.</div></div><div><h3>Structure</h3><div>The introductory section explains where the data comes from, explaining what is known, what is new and the aim of the work. This is followed by the research methodology applied, together with the criteria for selecting the data sets and categories. Finally, the conclusions section highlights the results obtained, their implications along with their limitations and possible future directions of the research.</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>Sustainability in organisations is important in the generation and application of ideas and a novel perspective that drives organisational growth and contributes to sustainability, maintaining a balance between the three main dimensions, economic, social, and environmental.</div><div>Innovation generates the creation of products, services or processes that reduce environmental impact, among others, promoting efficiency and the preservation of resources in the search for economic benefits. These technologies include green technologies, recycling strategies and renewable energies.</div><div>The use of advanced technologies by organisations in their quest to achieve higher levels of sustainability offers a range of benefits that would otherwise be inaccessible. The integration of tools such as artificial intelligence (AI) and automation into business processes not only optimises operational efficiency, but also contributes significantly to environmental and economic sustainability. These technologies facilitate data-driven decision-making, improve resource management, and reduce waste, which is crucial for sustainable development. In addition, AI and automation can play a vital role","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123908"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Factors associated with the adoption of eco-innovation and its effect on environmental performance in the US household cleaning sector","authors":"Keith Bothongo,&nbsp;Ali Kinyar","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123898","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123898","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the influence of external and internal factors on eco-innovation and the impact of its adoption on firms' environmental performance. We mainly examined process eco-innovation, which provides eco-friendly alternatives to the raw materials, machines, and energy sources used in the firms' production processes that could harm the environment. Using a survey, we gathered data from 118 publicly listed household cleaning and personal care companies on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Results of the structural equation model revealed that regulatory pressure, consumer demand, and green corporate image could induce the adoption of process eco-innovation, while environmental subsidies do not. In addition, our findings indicated that environmental management systems (EMS), technological capabilities, and managerial environmental concerns spur process eco-innovation adoption. We also found that process eco-innovation can significantly improve firms' environmental performance, indicating that cleaner production processes are important for pollution prevention. This work contributes to existing knowledge of eco-innovation, especially in terms of its regional and industry focus, and provides significant implications for policy and practice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123898"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698152","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact of AI literacy and adaptability on financial analyst skills among prospective Thai accountants: The role of critical thinking","authors":"Narinthon Imjai ,&nbsp;Tanakrit Yordudom ,&nbsp;Zulnaidi Yaacob ,&nbsp;Nor Hasliza Md Saad ,&nbsp;Somnuk Aujirapongpan","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123889","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123889","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examined the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) literacy on the skills of future Thai accountants as financial analysts. It used quantitative methods to survey students from different academic years studying accounting in Thai higher education. The study utilized structural equation modelling to investigate the correlations between AI literacy, adaptability, critical thinking, and financial analyst skills. The results revealed that AI literacy had a significant positive impact on both adaptability and critical thinking, which subsequently led to improvements in financial analysis abilities. Adaptability played a crucial role in facilitating the actual use of AI knowledge. The study then applied stage of change theory to conceptualize the integration of AI into accounting processes, emphasizing a significant transformation in the training of accountants to adapt to the technological environment. The findings emphasize the educational prerequisites for AI in the accounting industry and call for curricular changes to successfully develop AI skills. This study advocates for ongoing educational reforms that are in line with technological improvements to better prepare future accountants for the digital era.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123889"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The diffusion of prefabrication technology and its potential for CO2 emissions reduction in China: A combined system dynamics and agent-based study","authors":"Junjie Chen ,&nbsp;Pei Liu ,&nbsp;Borong Lin ,&nbsp;Hao Zhou ,&nbsp;George Papachristos","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123890","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123890","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The building sector is one of the largest CO₂ emitters. Prefabrication technology (PT) shows remarkable potential for reducing CO₂ emissions during the material and construction phases of the building life cycle. However, the diffusion of PT in China is still in its infancy, and more targeted policies are necessary to accelerate the adoption of PT. This study proposes a combined system dynamics and agent-based modeling approach to include the technology adoption behavior of enterprises at the micro level, and the market effects and policies at the macro level. This approach provides a more comprehensive modeling approach and analysis for technology diffusion. Results show that the diffusion of PT has experienced three phases: (i) an initial phase that lasted until 2016, (ii) a mandatory adoption phase from 2016 to 2025, and (iii) a mandatory and market adoption phase that will last from 2025 to 2035 under appropriate policy mixes. A policy mix with moderate intensity is the most efficient in terms of balancing the policy effect and feasibility. The potential of CO₂ reduction depends on both the diffusion rate of PT and the floor area of new buildings. Mandatory adoption is more effective than incentive-based policies in reducing CO₂ emissions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123890"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The spatial effects of green-innovation coupling and coordinated development from the perspective of digital inclusive finance: Evidence from China","authors":"Liming Zhang ,&nbsp;Yuting Zhao ,&nbsp;Liang Liu ,&nbsp;Helin Sun ,&nbsp;Yue Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123884","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123884","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The coupling and coordinated development of green-innovation (GICD) is a critical strategy to overcome the harmonious cohabitation challenge between economic development and ecological environment. Using data from Chinese provinces between 2011 and 2020, we investigate the impact of digital inclusive finance on green innovation by building a green-innovation coupling and coordinated development index evaluation system with coupled and coordinated scheduling and spatial Durbin model. This study conducts empirical tests to explore the mechanisms and nonlinear relationship from the perspectives of economic development level and fiscal decentralization. The findings indicate that digital inclusive finance can improve GICD and demonstrate the existence of spatial spillover effect. Additionally, digital inclusive finance enables the enhancement of GICD through the economic development level and curbs it through fiscal decentralization, and there is a nonlinear relationship between them. This study offers a better understanding of the relationship between digital inclusive finance and the coupling and coordinated development of green-innovation. This study also provides policy recommendations to boost green innovation coordinated development regarding a distinctive digital inclusive finance framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123884"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698149","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Alignment of words and actions? Government environmental attention and enterprise digital transformation","authors":"Peihao Shi ,&nbsp;Qinghua Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123888","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123888","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study employs a unique dataset of A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2021 to investigate the impact of government environmental attention on enterprise digital transformation (EDT) and its underlying mechanisms. Empirical findings document that in response to upholding organizational legitimacy, government environmental attention remarkably favors EDT. This core conclusion remains robust after addressing endogeneity concerns and alternative robustness tests. Mechanism analysis unveils that intensified government environmental attention propels companies to expedite green technology innovation, alleviate financing constraints, and enhance human capital quality, all accelerating EDT. Subsequent investigations indicate that heightened government environmental attention notably impacts EDT more for larger plants and highly polluting industries. In regions with lower financial development, government environmental attention serves as a reliable signaling mechanism, motivating EDT. These findings guide plants in accelerating EDT for enhanced sustainable development while shedding light on the evolving mechanisms of government attention allocation and EDT, which offers insights for future research on the correlation between government actions and corporate environmental governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123888"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142698150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Innovation in internet plus pharmaceutical services model in the health 4.0 context: Evidence from a repeated cross-sectional study","authors":"Runsheng Xie ,&nbsp;Hui Li ,&nbsp;Haoyang Fu ,&nbsp;Ping Xia ,&nbsp;Baifa Ouyang ,&nbsp;Hongbin Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123881","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123881","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the gradual instituted of the separation of dispensing from prescribing policy and the rise of online drug purchasing, an internet plus pharmaceutical services (IPPS) model has emerged. To explore its value, we conducted a repeated cross-sectional study in a regional central pharmacy and a tertiary comprehensive hospital, from October 2016 to December 2020. The study collected over 270 thousand outpatient prescriptions using the IPPS model and &gt;2.4 million outpatient prescriptions using the traditional pharmaceutical services (TPS) model during the same time period, for a total of 17 quarters. Benefits for service providers and recipients were assessed and analyzed using indicators such as satisfaction, waiting time, and service quality. Results showed that the adoption rate of the IPPS model increased rapidly with higher patient satisfaction than the TPS model (99.1 % vs. 96.6 %, <em>P</em> &lt; 0.001). Using the IPPS model, 20.8 min of waiting time can be saved for each outpatient, resulting in a total time cost savings of 166 million CNY. The IPPS model demonstrates significant advantages over the TPS model in terms of improving patient satisfaction and reducing waiting times, while meeting the safety, quality, efficiency and effectiveness requirements of the pharmaceutical services industry in the long term.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123881"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142699172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Robot adoption and firm export: Evidence from China","authors":"Yuanyuan Cao,&nbsp;Shaojian Chen,&nbsp;Heyan Tang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123878","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123878","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Whether the robot adoption can lead to a new competitive advantage in international trade has become an urgent problem for firms that export from China. Using matching data from the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) Database and the China Industrial Enterprises Database and China Customs Database for 2011 to 2013, this study examines the impact of robot adoption on firm export and its mechanism. We find that the robot adoption significantly promotes firm export, including the value and intensity of firm export, mainly owing to an improvement in firm productivity. This effect remains robust after using instrumental variable to account for endogenous factors and replacing core explanatory variables. Heterogeneity analysis shows that, first, robot adoption plays a greater role in promoting firm export by foreign enterprises and private enterprises than by state-owned enterprises. Second, robot adoption has a stronger effect on labor-intensive industries than on non-labor-intensive industries. Third, with the increase of firm scale, innovation and human capital, the promoting effect of robot adoption on firm export increases. Our research provides empirical evidence on the positive impact of robot adoption on firm export and sheds light on how to maintain the competitiveness of manufacturing firms in China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123878"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142699173","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Connectedness among diverse financial assets: Evidence from cryptocurrency uncertainty indices","authors":"Shallu Batra ,&nbsp;Aviral Kumar Tiwari ,&nbsp;Mahender Yadav ,&nbsp;Albert Danso","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123874","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123874","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of cryptocurrency uncertainty indices on green bonds, currency, and commodity markets by using weekly data from January 1, 2014, to December 30, 2022. The study analyzes such relationships employing the time-varying robust Granger-Causality test coupled with the TVP-VAR-DY approach. The empirical findings unfold the heterogeneous effects of uncertainty indices toward diverse financial instruments pronounced during financial or economic turbulence. The DY approach indicates that total connectedness among financial assets varies significantly over time. The green bond market is the net receiver, while ishares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN) and VanEck Low Carbon Energy ETF (SMOG) indices transmit the shocks for the whole period. The findings suggest that holdings in the green bond market after the health crisis offer greater hedging opportunities to investors. The results have significant ramifications for financing, hedging, and policymaking.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123874"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142699171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Roles of related and unrelated external technologies in shaping regional breakthrough technological advantages","authors":"Wei Liao,&nbsp;Jianping Gu,&nbsp;Kaijian Li","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123871","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123871","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Technological innovation serves as an intrinsic driver for regional economic development, particularly wherein breakthrough innovations exert a profound impact on the continuous evolution of regional technologies and industrial upgrading. Given the uneven distribution of innovation resources and technological capabilities across regions, regions should not only focus on indigenous innovation but also consider how to leverage knowledge from outside the region. This approach is crucial for breaking the path dependency of innovation to achieve regional technological breakthrough. Our paper broadens the technological relatedness framework from a local scope to an inter-regional context by introducing the concept of external technological densities. Specifically, we investigate the nuanced roles of external technologies distinguished by relatedness and unrelatedness, in shaping the trajectories of regional breakthrough technological innovation. Our research underscores the crucial role of assimilating knowledge spillovers from related external technologies for catching-up regions, as such integration fosters breakthrough innovations, while the inclusion of unrelated external technologies exhibits adverse effects. Moreover, both external identical technology and external related technology complement local related technology, jointly facilitating breakthroughs in relative technological advantages. However, in high-complexity cities and technological domains, it is more critical to leverage local related and unrelated technologies rather than relying on external knowledge spillovers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 123871"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142660270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}