Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第2页

How do politics, news media and the public frame the discourse on coal mining? Implications for the legitimacy, (de)stabilisation and transition of an industry regime 政治、新闻媒体和公众如何构建关于煤矿开采的话语？对行业制度的合法性、（去）稳定性和转型的影响

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124217

Jan Henrik Gruenhagen , Stephen Cox

{"title":"How do politics, news media and the public frame the discourse on coal mining? Implications for the legitimacy, (de)stabilisation and transition of an industry regime","authors":"Jan Henrik Gruenhagen , Stephen Cox","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124217","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124217","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The use of coal for energy generation is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, adversely affecting the climate and attempts to achieve net zero. Yet coal mining is also an important pillar of national economies such as Australia, provoking a contested discourse about the legitimacy of coal mining. We conceptualise the framing of coal mining as reflecting legitimacy pressures through discourse and agenda setting in the economic and socio-political environment that may lead to changes in industry regimes. We thereby examine how coal mining is framed within different arenas of discourse, and how this framing has changed over time. Specifically, we apply natural language processing and topic modelling to analyse and compare a large amount of text data capturing parliamentary documents and debates, news media reports and debates in the broader public over a period of more than 30 years. Our findings reveal that the discourse on coal mining among policymakers is dominated by economic framing, as opposed to a strong socio-political framing in the broader public. This suggests a mismatch between how coal mining is viewed by policymakers focussing on economic benefits versus parts of the broader public raising concerns over environmental and climate issues. Framing of the discourse in news media is more balanced. Our analysis demonstrates that the framing of coal mining has remained remarkably consistent, overall suggesting continuous legitimacy and a relatively stable industry regime.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124217"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Understanding digital capabilities and their impacts on Australian agri-food supply chain resilience: Engineering vs. socio-ecological thinking 理解数字能力及其对澳大利亚农业食品供应链弹性的影响：工程与社会生态思维

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124191

Firouzeh Rosa Taghikhah , Daniel D Prior , Reza Hafezi , Derek Baker , Petr Matous

{"title":"Understanding digital capabilities and their impacts on Australian agri-food supply chain resilience: Engineering vs. socio-ecological thinking","authors":"Firouzeh Rosa Taghikhah , Daniel D Prior , Reza Hafezi , Derek Baker , Petr Matous","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124191","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124191","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many agri-food supply chains (SCs) are vulnerable to sudden disruptions (i.e., shocks), which can have devastating impacts. SC member firms’ digital capabilities (as routinized and integrated resource bundles) have the potential to address these challenges, yet their nature and differentiated impacts on engineering versus socio-ecological resilience are not well understood in the present literature. The purpose of this study is to address these gaps. First, a comprehensive taxonomy of five digital capabilities (labelled LogisticsTech, SecureData, ClientValue, InsightDecision, and InnovateTech) is developed, along with a set of nine resilience criteria/sub-criteria useful for resiliency evaluation. This was achieved through using a narrative literature review, a content analysis, validated by a Delphi study, and semi-structured interviews. Second, the relative impacts of these capabilities on resilience are assessed through pairwise comparison, network analysis, and system dynamics modelling across six Australian agri-food SCs (Grains, Red Meat, Dairy, Horticulture, Seafood, and Wine). The study findings reveal that Australian agri-food SC members’ digital capabilities play distinct but interconnected roles in enhancing resilience, with their impact varying across persistence (engineering), adaptation, and transformation (socio-ecological) over different time frames. LogisticsTech is crucial for short-term, while SecureData safeguards long-term persistence. Moreover, InsightDecision supports immediate adaptation, ClientValue facilitates long-term adaptation, and InnovateTech drives systemic transformation and future-ready SCs. The study offers strategic insights for managers and policymakers to align digital technology adoption with resilience objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124191"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Interplay between manufacturers’ blockchain adoption strategy and retailers’ online channel introduction strategy in the presence of counterfeits 在假货存在的情况下，制造商的区块链采用策略与零售商的在线渠道引入策略之间的相互作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124163

Xiaogang Lin , Hailing Huang , Cuiying Sun , Xiong Zhang

{"title":"Interplay between manufacturers’ blockchain adoption strategy and retailers’ online channel introduction strategy in the presence of counterfeits","authors":"Xiaogang Lin , Hailing Huang , Cuiying Sun , Xiong Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124163","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124163","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the interplay between the manufacturer’s blockchain adoption and the retailer’s online channel introduction strategy in the presence of counterfeits. Subsequently, the impact of blockchain adoption and channel selection decisions on consumer surplus is analyzed. We examine four distinct scenarios: with and without blockchain adoption, and in both single-channel and dual-channel settings. The results demonstrate that blockchain adoption significantly impacts the retailer’s channel distribution decisions. With blockchain, the retailer is always willing to add an online store. However, without blockchain, the retailer prefers to launch an online channel only when customer acceptance of the online store is high, or both customer acceptance of the online store and the number of purely online customers are low. Moreover, the retailer’s online channel introduction strategy can, in turn, affect the manufacturer’s blockchain adoption strategy. Specifically, the manufacturer will adopt blockchain only when consumers’ acceptance of the online channel is sufficiently high. Finally, utilizing blockchain can support strategies for expanding online sales channels. And retailers can leverage dual-channel models to enhance profitability and increase consumer surplus, while manufacturers can benefit from increased consumer confidence and expanded sales channels. Furthermore, governments should support blockchain adoption to foster these benefits.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124163"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144131360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Toward smart and green: A sustainable IT-HRM framework 走向智能和绿色：可持续的IT-HRM框架

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124201

Preshita Neha Tudu , Vaibhav Mishra

{"title":"Toward smart and green: A sustainable IT-HRM framework","authors":"Preshita Neha Tudu , Vaibhav Mishra","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124201","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124201","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Universities are adopting modern technologies to become “Smart University”. However, unthoughtful consumption of technology may result in environmental degradation. Green IT focuses on minimizing the impact of IT products and their usage on the environment. So far, previous IT research on sustainability has mostly explored the role of IT in the reduction of energy consumption of firms. The present research is one of the initial studies that goes beyond the reduction of energy consumption. It introduces a framework to promote sustainability at the individual level, and gain sustained competitive advantage in Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) by integrating IT and HRM. 244 usable data, collected from HEIs employees of India, were analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). Results revealed that Green IT knowledge has a direct impact on Green IT practices in HEIs. Further, attitude toward Green IT mediates the relationship between Green IT knowledge and Green IT practices, and green training moderates the relationship between Green IT knowledge and Green IT practices. Green hiring had no significant impact on Green IT practices. The findings suggest policy advices to promote sustainability at HEIs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124201"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144116062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Science for Robot Policy 机器人政策科学

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124202

Eduard Fosch-Villaronga, Mohammed Raiz Shaffique, Marie Schwed-Shenker, Antoni Mut-Piña, Simone van der Hof, Bart Custers

{"title":"Science for Robot Policy","authors":"Eduard Fosch-Villaronga, Mohammed Raiz Shaffique, Marie Schwed-Shenker, Antoni Mut-Piña, Simone van der Hof, Bart Custers","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124202","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124202","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid advancement of service robotics has outpaced regulatory frameworks, leading to gaps and inconsistencies that hinder effective governance. While evidence-based policymaking is well-established in health and consumer protection fields, robotics regulation remains fragmented and reactive. This paper proposes Science for Robot Policy, a structured, evidence-driven model that bridges the disconnect between robotics innovation and regulatory adaptation. Using a Constructive Research Approach, the model integrates scientific experimentation, stakeholder engagement, and knowledge brokering to generate policy-relevant data and transform it into actionable regulatory insights. The model follows a five-step process, beginning with risk identification and prioritization, followed by controlled experimentation in simulators, testing zones, living labs, and real-world markets. The ambition is that insights generated are then translated into policy-relevant information and further refined into knowledge for policymakers, ensuring that empirical evidence informs that robotics regulation is dynamic, anticipatory, and informed. This approach contributes to ongoing discussions on science-for-policy methodologies and fosters iterative regulatory refinement in service robotics. If successful, such a model could allow policymakers to address emerging risks proactively, reduce regulatory uncertainty, enhance user safety, and promote responsible robotics innovation by embedding scientific insights into the policy cycle.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124202"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144125314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Artificial intelligence innovation and environmental performance: Unraveling the complex roles of application and method innovation across enterprise sizes 人工智能创新与环境绩效：揭示跨企业规模的应用和方法创新的复杂角色

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124211

Weiwei Wu, Yifan Zhang

{"title":"Artificial intelligence innovation and environmental performance: Unraveling the complex roles of application and method innovation across enterprise sizes","authors":"Weiwei Wu, Yifan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124211","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124211","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the complex impact of artificial intelligence innovation (AII) on enterprise environmental performance, addressing a critical gap in understanding its dual effects. Grounded in the Knowledge-Based View, we differentiate between AI application innovation and AI method innovation, analyzing their distinct environmental outcomes using data from Chinese-listed enterprises (2016–2021). Our findings reveal that AI application innovation follows a U-shaped relationship with environmental performance: early stages may lead to increased resource consumption and pollution, while positive effects emerge as adoption scales up. In contrast, AI method innovation consistently enhances environmental performance. The study further identifies the moderating role of enterprise size, showing that larger enterprises experience stronger positive effects from AI method innovation, while the U-shaped relationship of AI application innovation becomes flatter as enterprise size increases. These insights provide a nuanced understanding of AII's environmental implications, contributing to the literature by clarifying both linear and nonlinear effects. The findings offer practical guidance for enterprises to optimize AI strategies and advise policymakers on tailoring support measures to promote sustainable AI adoption across various organizational contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124211"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144106493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Open innovation and environmental sustainability–A systematic literature review from the firm-level perspective 开放式创新与环境可持续性——基于企业视角的系统文献综述

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124196

Agnieszka Janik, Adam Ryszko

引用次数: 0

Projections of Earth’s technosphere: Scenario modeling, worldbuilding, and overview of remotely detectable technosignatures 地球技术圈的预测：情景建模、世界构建和远程可探测技术特征概述

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124194

Jacob Haqq-Misra , George Profitiliotis , Ravi Kopparapu

{"title":"Projections of Earth’s technosphere: Scenario modeling, worldbuilding, and overview of remotely detectable technosignatures","authors":"Jacob Haqq-Misra , George Profitiliotis , Ravi Kopparapu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124194","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124194","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study uses methods from futures studies to develop a set of ten self-consistent scenarios for Earth’s 1000-year future, which can serve as examples for defining technosignature search strategies. We apply a novel worldbuilding pipeline that evaluates the dimensions of human needs in each scenario as a basis for defining the observable properties of the technosphere. Our scenarios include three with zero-growth stability, two that have collapsed into a stable state, one that oscillates between growth and collapse, and four that continue to grow. Only one scenario includes rapid growth that could lead to interstellar expansion. We examine absorption spectral features for a few scenarios to illustrate that nitrogen dioxide can serve as a technosignature to distinguish between present-day Earth, pre-agricultural Earth, and an industrial 1000-year future Earth. Three of our scenarios are spectrally indistinguishable from pre-agricultural Earth, even though these scenarios include expansive technospheres. Up to nine of these scenarios could represent steady-state examples that could persist for much longer timescales, and it remains possible that short-duration technospheres could be the most abundant. Our scenario set provides the basis for further systematic thinking about technosignature detection as well as for imagining a broad range of possibilities for Earth’s future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124194"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144116060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Managerial myopia, technological innovation, and greenwashing: Moderating roles of financing constraints and environmental uncertainty 管理短视、技术创新和漂绿：融资约束和环境不确定性的调节作用

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124210

Jiyang Zhao, Xiaohong Wang

引用次数: 0

The mRNA vaccine contributors: Assessing their impact through a mainstream lens mRNA疫苗贡献者：通过主流视角评估其影响

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124200

Mei Hsiu-Ching Ho , John S. Liu , Weiping Wang , Thomas C. Chuang

引用次数: 0