Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第2页

Using social media for opportunity exploration in social enterprises: Sensemaking and signaling perspectives 利用社会媒体探索社会企业的机会：意义制造和信号视角

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124367

Dhruba Borah , Jihye Kim , Nicolas Li

{"title":"Using social media for opportunity exploration in social enterprises: Sensemaking and signaling perspectives","authors":"Dhruba Borah , Jihye Kim , Nicolas Li","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124367","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124367","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates how social enterprises leverage social media (SM) for opportunity exploration. Using a multiple case study design, we conducted 51 interviews across 15 South Korean social enterprises and applied the Gioia methodology for thematic analysis. Drawing on sensemaking theory, our findings highlight the central role of public SM platforms, particularly Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn, X, and YouTube, in enabling both individual and collective sensemaking around social problems and potential solutions. We show that individual sensemaking is supported through scanning of content posted on external actors' SM profiles, while collective sensemaking occurs via sourcing interactions with external actors on SM. Additionally, anchoring signaling theory, we show how social enterprises strategically manage their own SM content to communicate their capabilities and identity, including those of their founders, to an external audience, thereby encouraging their engagement in the collective sensemaking process. Our study contributes to developing an in-depth understanding for social enterprises to utilize SM for opportunity exploration, distinguishing between opportunity identification and evaluation stages, and outlining the associated challenges.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124367"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Press to pay: The power of biometrics in financial transactions investigated by PLS-SEM, fsQCA, and NCA 按下支付：生物识别技术在金融交易中的作用，由PLS-SEM， fsQCA和NCA调查

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124365

Francisco Liébana-Cabanillas , Ali Abbasi Ghazanfar , Elena Higueras-Castillo , Ralf Wagner

{"title":"Press to pay: The power of biometrics in financial transactions investigated by PLS-SEM, fsQCA, and NCA","authors":"Francisco Liébana-Cabanillas , Ali Abbasi Ghazanfar , Elena Higueras-Castillo , Ralf Wagner","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124365","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124365","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The financial sector is undergoing rapid transformation driven by technological innovation and the digitization of financial transactions. Biometric Payment Cards (BPCs) represent a disruptive solution that combines traditional payment methods with biometric authentication—primarily through fingerprints—to improve security and the user experience. This study explores the adoption of BPCs using an integrated theoretical framework that combines the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology 2 (UTAUT2), Perceived Risk Theory (PRT), and Trust Theory (TT). Data were collected from 342 users a tripartite approach using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM), fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA), and Necessary Condition Analysis (NCA). The results reveal that effort expectation is the strongest positive predictor of adoption, followed by trust and hedonic motivation, while perceived risk acts as a significant inhibitor. The fsQCA analysis identifies multiple sufficient configurations—such as high trust combined with low perceived risk—that lead to high usage intention, and the NCA confirms that trust is a necessary condition. These findings contribute to both theory and practice by integrating linear and configurational approaches to technology adoption. In practical terms, the study highlights the importance of simplifying user interfaces, improving biometric reliability, and fostering user trust to promote widespread adoption of biometric payment technologies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124365"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How the Metaverse reshapes new venture emergence 虚拟世界如何重塑新企业的出现

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124364

Sima Sajadi , Yabo Octave Niamie , Fabiano Armellini

{"title":"How the Metaverse reshapes new venture emergence","authors":"Sima Sajadi , Yabo Octave Niamie , Fabiano Armellini","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124364","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124364","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Metaverse, an emerging virtual universe powered by advancements in virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), and blockchain technologies, presents new avenues for reshaping the entrepreneurial landscape. This study explores the Metaverse's multifaceted roles as an enabler, a market offering (output), and a contextual environment, emphasizing its influence across the prospecting, development, and exploitation stages of new venture emergence. Utilizing a Theory Synthesis approach grounded in a systematic search and critical review (SSCR), the research integrates fragmented insights from entrepreneurial process theory and digital technology frameworks to develop a conceptual understanding of the Metaverse's transformative impact.</div><div>The findings show that the Metaverse facilitates immersive prototyping, market validation, and global collaboration, while reshaping entrepreneurial contexts through mechanisms that reduce uncertainty, accelerate development, and enable new forms of value creation. By highlighting mechanisms, the study moves beyond descriptive accounts and establishes the basis for stage-specific propositions.</div><div>The study contributes theoretically by clarifying how and when the Metaverse influences different stages of venture creation. By linking its multifaceted roles to a staged model of entrepreneurship, the paper refines existing theories of venture emergence. It extends digital entrepreneurship research and offers insights for entrepreneurs and policymakers seeking Metaverse-driven strategies for innovation and sustainable growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124364"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Do multinational technology alliances promote enterprises' innovation quality or quantity in emerging markets? - evidence from China 跨国技术联盟促进新兴市场企业创新的质量还是数量？——来自中国的证据

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124368

Jingjing Li , Xianming Wu , Victor Cui

{"title":"Do multinational technology alliances promote enterprises' innovation quality or quantity in emerging markets? - evidence from China","authors":"Jingjing Li , Xianming Wu , Victor Cui","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124368","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124368","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With emerging market multinational enterprises (EMNEs) increasingly relying on multinational technology alliances (MTAs) to secure competitive advantage, it has become an urgent research priority to understand how MTAs shape the quality and quantity of corporate innovation. Combining resource-based and learning theories with 651 multinational alliances from 2006 to 2020, we find that MTAs significantly affect enterprises' innovation quality. However, this effect does not exist in terms of innovation quantity. The industry similarity between the company and the alliance (ISCA) and the transnational alliance experience positively moderate the relationship between MTAs and enterprises' innovation quality, while ownership concentration positively moderates the relationship between MTAs and enterprises' innovation quantity. Heterogeneity tests show that the positive impact of MTAs disappears for alliances located within China or in non-high-tech industries, but becomes more pronounced for those established abroad and in high-tech sectors. Our research enriches the study of the context under which multinational alliances promote corporate innovation and deepens the existing literature's understanding of corporate learning within multinational alliances.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124368"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Discursively negotiating AI: A social representation theory approach to LLM-based chatbots 话语协商人工智能：基于法学硕士的聊天机器人的社会表征理论方法

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124352

Federico Mangiò , Giuseppe Pedeliento , Philipp Wassler , Nigel Williams

{"title":"Discursively negotiating AI: A social representation theory approach to LLM-based chatbots","authors":"Federico Mangiò , Giuseppe Pedeliento , Philipp Wassler , Nigel Williams","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124352","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124352","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To date, users have not merely interacted with large language model (LLM)-based chatbots. Notably, they collectively discussed about them, flooding the online information ecosystem with a sheer volume of social media posts about LLM-based chatbots. Despite research on users' reception of this equivocal technology is on the rise, it is mainly rooted in positivist and functionalist paradigms, leaving a finer-grained understanding of how early adopters collectively make sense of such novel and unfamiliar technology in dedicated online environments elusive. Drawing upon Social Representation Theory, this study employs a computationally grounded analysis of user-generated content to investigate how the social representations of LLM-based chatbots formed in online communities. Findings reveal that users, through different discursive and emotional anchoring and objectification mechanisms, represent the LLM-based chatbot as a “creative partner”, a “multistable artifact”, a “connective hackaton”, and a “technology of power”. This work contributes to the emerging literature about LLM-based chatbots acceptance by unveiling how users discursively make sense of such unfamiliar social objects, and how they renegotiate the agentic roles of both actants involved in human-chatbot interactions. It showcases an original text-mining protocol to study social representations based on social media data; and it offers managerial implications to AI service providers and policy makers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124352"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Stakeholder involvement in industry-level technology roadmapping: A political perspective 利益相关者参与行业级技术路线图：政治视角

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124358

Edwin J. Nijssen , Swagata Chakraborty , Rianne Valkenburg

引用次数: 0

Blockchain-powered drone deliveries: Embedded governance mechanisms for reducing uncertainty and enhancing consumer behavioral intentions 区块链驱动的无人机交付：减少不确定性和增强消费者行为意图的嵌入式治理机制

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124357

Khizar Hayat , Qingyu Zhang , Maria Jose Sousa , Mudassir Husnain , Khuram Shahzad

{"title":"Blockchain-powered drone deliveries: Embedded governance mechanisms for reducing uncertainty and enhancing consumer behavioral intentions","authors":"Khizar Hayat , Qingyu Zhang , Maria Jose Sousa , Mudassir Husnain , Khuram Shahzad","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124357","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124357","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While the role of blockchain technology (BT) in enhancing business value and operational outcomes is well recognized, its capacity to address consumer concerns in adopting drone delivery services (DDS) remains underexplored. Drawing on the Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) theory and a digital governance lens, this study examines how BT attributes, transparency, traceability, and privacy assurance function as embedded governance mechanisms that reduce uncertainty and shape behavioral intentions, including switching, adoption, and intention to continue DDS. Structural equation modeling (SEM) using AMOS and SPSS analyzed survey data. Results confirm significant relationships between BT attributes and uncertainty reduction, with IT knowledge positively moderating these effects. Uncertainty reduction strongly influences behavioral intentions, while user self-efficacy further moderates these relationships. Beyond statistical links, findings reveal deeper socio-technical dynamics: blockchain integration in DDS embeds algorithmic decision-making and digital trust into service operations, shifting logistics governance from institutional to computational regulation. This transformation raises implications for user autonomy, accountability, and regulatory oversight. Therefore, DDS providers should address both technical and governance aspects of BT to build trust and ensure sustained adoption in decentralized, intelligent logistics systems. This study contributes to positioning blockchain attributes as governance mechanisms, offering a nuanced understanding of adoption in emerging, high-uncertainty service contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124357"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

We ARe inspired: How augmented reality empower cultural communication through self-authenticity and subjective well-being 我们受到启发：增强现实如何通过自我真实性和主观幸福感来增强文化交流

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124353

Shuang Chen , Bin Li , Qi Zhou

引用次数: 0

A novel application of flow theory to mobile augmented reality 流动理论在移动增强现实中的新应用

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124359

Lu Xu , Hong Qin , Mohammad Rajon Meah , Jerald Hughes

{"title":"A novel application of flow theory to mobile augmented reality","authors":"Lu Xu , Hong Qin , Mohammad Rajon Meah , Jerald Hughes","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124359","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124359","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Mobile augmented reality (MAR) has been extensively used in marketing services to improve consumer engagement and interaction experiences. Creating a flow experience with MAR is expected to provide an opportunity for the success of online marketing. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the antecedents, experiences, and consequences of flow in MAR. It examines how MAR attributes (service reliability, virtuality, interactivity) affect immersion and privacy concerns which further influence value perceptions and eventually consumer responses in the decision-making process. The findings using 323 usable responses through covariance-based structural equation modeling confirm that the framework grounded on flow theory and MEC theory effectively explains how MAR attributes play a significant role for consumers to establish their value perceptions, including both hedonic and utilitarian, which further lead to their intentions to purchase, continuous use, and recommend MAR apps in the future. This is the first study to examine privacy concerns of MAR apps based on flow theory. This study contributes to the MAR literature and flow theory by incorporating MAR attributes, positive and negative experiences, and perceived values into a consumer decision-making process. The results also provide managerial insights for MAR app developers, as well as retailers and marketers who include MAR within consumer contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124359"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145105735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Beyond technology: A socio-technical lens on Industry 4.0 value-adding across industries 超越技术：工业4.0跨行业增值的社会技术视角

IF 13.3 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124355

Abel Duarte Alonso , Oanh Thi Kim Vu , Trung Q. Nguyen , Robert McClelland , Ngan M. Nguyen , Hoa Thi Ngoc Huynh , Mohammadreza Akbari , Trung Thanh Nguyen

{"title":"Beyond technology: A socio-technical lens on Industry 4.0 value-adding across industries","authors":"Abel Duarte Alonso , Oanh Thi Kim Vu , Trung Q. Nguyen , Robert McClelland , Ngan M. Nguyen , Hoa Thi Ngoc Huynh , Mohammadreza Akbari , Trung Thanh Nguyen","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124355","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124355","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the ever-evolving landscape of Industry 4.0, this research disentangles the intricate dynamics of value addition within an emerging economy. With a backdrop immersed in the socio-technical systems theory, the study draws on the experiences of 112 Vietnamese company leaders collected through semi-structured interviews. The qualitative content analysis and data structure helped delineate 10 conceptual dimensions, portraying Industry 4.0 beyond a technological wave. Indeed, Industry 4.0 emerges as a driver of enhanced performance, a nexus connecting companies and customers, and a sign of reliability. To attain these scenarios, and despite acknowledged barriers, organisations require a combination of human capital, proactive initiatives in asset development, and the utilisation of established customary assets. Thus, the research has profound practical implications for organisations. In addition, the assemblage of the dimensions facilitated the development of a conceptual framework, which contributes conceptually to the Industry 4.0 literature and extends the socio-technical systems theory.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 124355"},"PeriodicalIF":13.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0