Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献_第2页

Balancing through agglomeration: A third path to sustainable development between common prosperity and carbon neutrality in China 通过集聚实现平衡：中国在共同富裕与碳中和之间实现可持续发展的第三条道路

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123737

{"title":"Balancing through agglomeration: A third path to sustainable development between common prosperity and carbon neutrality in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123737","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123737","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Carbon neutrality and common prosperity have been highlighted as key goals for the Chinese government in the coming decades. However, to date, no single study has examined the relationship between common prosperity and carbon emissions. This study addresses this gap by utilizing panel data from 31 provinces in China spanning from 2000 to 2021 and employing a fixed-effect spatial Durbin model to examine the direct and spatial spillover effects of common prosperity on carbon emissions. The results reveal a U-shaped relationship between common prosperity and carbon emissions within a local region, indicating a trade-off between achieving common prosperity and reducing emissions in the long term. Additionally, industrial agglomeration is found to have played a moderating role in this curvilinear relationship. Higher levels of industrial agglomeration can flatten the U-shaped curve and shift the turning point to the right, suggesting the potential for carbon decoupling of common prosperity—a scenario where economic growth and environmental sustainability can be achieved concurrently, making it a critical goal for polixy-makers. Furthermore, the study demonstrates an inverted U-shaped curve for the spatial spillover effect of common prosperity on carbon emissions. Promoting agglomeration in neighboring regions can mitigate the spatial spillover effects of common prosperity on carbon emissions. These findings emphasize the need for collaborative efforts among regions to achieve a win-win outcome of common prosperity and carbon neutrality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Quantile connectedness among digital assets, traditional assets, and renewable energy prices during extreme economic crisis 极端经济危机期间数字资产、传统资产和可再生能源价格之间的量子关联性

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123635

{"title":"Quantile connectedness among digital assets, traditional assets, and renewable energy prices during extreme economic crisis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123635","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123635","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study delves into an exploration of quantile connectedness across the domains of digital and traditional financial assets with the renewable energy prices index. The daily frequency dataset, spanning from January 02, 2018, to December 04, 2023, encapsulates diverse economic crises. Our inquiry elucidates distinctive patterns by employing empirical analyses utilizing quantile connectedness and Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) methodologies. In this context, DeFi assets (Chain-link) emerge as the primary recipient of information shocks, while Bitcoin distinguishes itself as the preeminent transmitter of such shocks within the network. Notably, digital assets manifest heightened volatility in contrast to traditional and energy indices. Furthermore, our findings underscore that the gaming industry, specifically focusing on Non-Fungible Tokens (NFT), presents itself as the most fitting asset for portfolio inclusion. This assertion gains credence from its comparatively lower degree of connectedness with other underlying assets. These findings have significant implications for investors and portfolio managers, furnishing valuable insights into the dynamics of asset interdependencies. Consequently, this aids in cultivating a more discerning approach to investment decision-making.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Healthcare 4.0 value creation – The interconnectedness of hybrid value propositions 医疗保健 4.0 价值创造--混合价值主张的相互关联性

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123718

引用次数: 0

Unlocking employer insights: Using large language models to explore human-centric aspects in the context of industry 5.0 开启雇主洞察力：在工业 5.0 背景下使用大型语言模型探索以人为本的方面

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123719

引用次数: 0

What do firms gain from patenting? The case of the global ICT industry 企业从专利申请中获得了什么？全球信息和通信技术产业案例

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123741

{"title":"What do firms gain from patenting? The case of the global ICT industry","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123741","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123741","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the causal relationship between patent grants and firms’ dynamics in the global Information and Communication Technology (ICT) industry, as the latter is a peculiar sector of modern economies, often under the lens of antitrust authorities. We exploit matched financial accounts and patent grants in 2009–2017 by 179,660 companies in 39 countries. Preliminarily, we find that less than 2% of larger firms are responsible for 89% of the grants. We propose a quasi-experimental strategy that first controls for reverse causality and then separates the impact of IPR protection from the innovative content of inventions making use of exogenous variation at the patent offices. We find that patents have a considerable impact on market shares and the size of smaller companies (31.7% and 30.7%, respectively) in the first year after the grants, which is mainly due to IPR protection. Most of the bigger firms’ gains fade away after controlling for reverse causality and endogeneity. Notably, we never observe a direct impact on profitability for any firm size category. Eventually, we argue that IPR reform proposals should consider firms’ heterogeneity and improve IPR access for smaller companies to enhance competition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524005390/pdfft?md5=6c20cf95b0b35864e642255ce4b2a8b3&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524005390-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How do partner selection strategies affect the amount of funding in collaborative research projects? Evidence using the dual-projection approach 合作伙伴选择策略如何影响合作研究项目的资金数额？使用双重投影法的证据

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123744

{"title":"How do partner selection strategies affect the amount of funding in collaborative research projects? Evidence using the dual-projection approach","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123744","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123744","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The selection of partners plays a crucial role in determining the success of collaborative projects. This study makes a valuable contribution to the existing literature on collaborative research and development by examining the impact of different partner selection strategies on the funding received in collaborative research projects. Previous studies have not shown sufficiently how collaborating with new partners as opposed to existing ones influences the amount of funding received. To bridge this gap, we use the innovative dual-projection approach from Social Network Analysis. Specifically, we analyze the network structure of projects funded by Horizon 2020, the eighth European Framework Programme. Our findings show that compared to collaborating with established partners, collaborating with new ones increases the likelihood of securing more funding when entering a new project. Moreover, projects coordinated by private or public organizations rather than research centers and higher education institutions have a higher probability of obtaining greater funding. However, the significance of partner connections diminishes with decreasing proximity to the focal organization. Ultimately, our results offer valuable insights into the effectiveness of the European Research and Technological Development Policy in fostering excellent science through cross-collaboration among a diverse group of actors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524005420/pdfft?md5=27db442707a4294554a7e467b8e4af23&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524005420-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158475","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

EV diffusion promotion analysis under different charging market structure 不同充电市场结构下的电动汽车推广分析

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123730

{"title":"EV diffusion promotion analysis under different charging market structure","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123730","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123730","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A suitable market structure is critical for promoting the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of the electric vehicle market. This paper studies which market structures can best contribute to the development of electric vehicles at various stages. The main findings show that competition is the optimal market structure at each stage if the charging infrastructure layout aims to maximize the number of electric vehicles. Moreover, when the charging infrastructure layout follows profit maximization in the early stages, monopoly is discovered as the optimal charging market structure, but competitive structures would be optimal after the market penetration of electric vehicles reaches some degree. Given these findings, we propose a public-private partnership (PPP) scheme to increase the social acceptance of electric vehicles. Next, apply these models in China and find that an optimal market structure could additionally drive about 30 % of electric vehicle penetration. Despite the PPP scheme's risk of delaying electric vehicle diffusion by 4 years and extending exclusive management rights by 3 years, it only reduces electric vehicle final adoption by 6.56 %. The findings can provide strong theoretical support and policy guidance for authorities in charging market planning and governance to accelerate electric vehicle diffusion and the industry's sustainable development.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How to deal with Big Tech power? The “Big Tech Raj”, a new form of biopower in the digital age 如何应对大科技力量？大科技拉吉"--数字时代生物权力的一种新形式

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123732

{"title":"How to deal with Big Tech power? The “Big Tech Raj”, a new form of biopower in the digital age","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123732","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123732","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Big Tech has profoundly reconfigured societies. With their size, financial power, logics of data extraction and accumulation, social influence, geopolitical role, and accomplishments of state missions, Big Tech firms have quickly gained a reputation as “new digital governments.” However, academic research (notably platform, innovation, and information systems research) is rather uncritical of Big Tech's power. In this conceptual paper, we problematize the nature, meaning, and implications of Big Tech's power by proposing an integrative framework on “biopower” (rooted in “pastoral power,” biopower refers to the subtle and pervasive regulation of life in modern societies). Drawing from Foucault's work, we argue that Big Tech firms produce a new form of biopower in the digital era by virtue of their material configurations (constituted by technology, such as applications, algorithms, AI systems), which create conditions for steering people's conduct. We use the “raj” metaphor (we refer to the ruling power exercised by the British East India Company in 17th century) to characterize Big Tech's power, which we describe as the “Big Tech Raj,” thus detailing the significant evolutions, extensions, and sophistication in the target, scope, relationships, and purpose of classic pastoral power. We discuss the implications of this power (in terms of possible resistance and counter-conducts) and call for more scholarly attention to them.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Unveiling the blueprint for rural digital prosperity: A comparative examination of top 100 digital counties in China 揭开农村数字繁荣的蓝图：中国数字百强县比较研究

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123625

{"title":"Unveiling the blueprint for rural digital prosperity: A comparative examination of top 100 digital counties in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123625","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123625","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The current research focus in the field of digital rural development revolves around achieving high-quality digital rural construction and addressing the digital divide in different regions. This is particularly significant in China, where the issue has grown increasingly prominent. To delineate the pathway for rural digitalization and bridge the digital divide, we have constructed a Technology-Organization-Environment (TOE) framework, drawing upon configuration theory. Utilizing data from China's Top 100 Digital Rural Counties and applying the methods of Necessary Condition Analysis (NCA) and Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA), we identified the configurational paths necessary to achieve high-quality digital rural construction and discerned the nature of the digital divide across various regions. The findings show that: 1) none of the single antecedent conditions is a necessary condition for achieving a high level of digital rural construction. 2) There are four configurational paths for high-quality digital rural construction: technology-organization combination, technology-organization optimization, technology-organization symbiosis, and environmental integration. 3) Further analyses show that the configurational path for high-quality rural digitalization in the southeast coastal areas is organization-led, multi-coordinated, and technology-environment driven. In contrast, for inland provinces, it is technology-led, technology-innovation, and technology-external pressure. Moreover, a comparative analysis of regional differences shows that the high-quality digital rural construction in the southeast coastal provinces presents a well-rounded development type, whereas for the inland provinces it demonstrates a development mode of technology-driven under government leadership. The findings provide valuable insights for rural digitalization research and shed light on bridging the digital divide.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A multicriteria approach to ranking Latin-American universities based on region-specific criteria 基于地区特定标准的拉丁美洲大学排名多标准方法

IF 12.9 1区管理学

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123725

{"title":"A multicriteria approach to ranking Latin-American universities based on region-specific criteria","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123725","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123725","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>University rankings have become a widespread tool for assessing and comparing the performance of higher education institutions worldwide. Over time, these rankings have evolved into crucial references for both students and academic institutions when making decisions. Several well-established university rankings, such as the QS and Scimago Ranking, utilize various evaluation criteria to classify universities. However, these criteria may adversely affect universities in different regions, including Latin America. In this study, we aim to address the unique reality of Latin American universities, considering their specific characteristics and challenges. Our focus will be on a comprehensive review of the evaluation criteria used in these two renowned rankings and their impact on the region, including how they influence the performance of universities. We propose a novel ranking model using the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to counter these potential biases and regional disparities. This multicriteria optimization approach enables us to evaluate and compare universities based on multiple criteria, considering their similarities to the ideal solution and differences from the anti-ideal solution. By adopting the TOPSIS method, we aim to create a more robust and balanced approach incorporating carefully selected criteria. It allows us to include economic and inclusion criteria often overlooked in conventional rankings. Our study seeks to establish a fairer, more relevant university ranking system tailored to Latin America's needs and aspirations. Our proposed TOPSIS-based model aims to contribute significantly to the ongoing discussions on higher education excellence in Latin America by providing a comprehensive evaluation considering the region's specific circumstances.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524005237/pdfft?md5=fcce5d3d2711813f6d7eda0f181f7ffc&pid=1-s2.0-S0040162524005237-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0