Journal of Transport Geography最新文献_第10页

Does the streetscape built environment matter in explaining crash injury severity among older adults? 街景建筑环境在解释老年人碰撞损伤严重程度方面起作用吗？

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104540

Kaihan Zhang , Boyou Chen , Reuben Tamakloe , Yihang Bai , Inhi Kim

{"title":"Does the streetscape built environment matter in explaining crash injury severity among older adults?","authors":"Kaihan Zhang , Boyou Chen , Reuben Tamakloe , Yihang Bai , Inhi Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104540","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104540","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Elderly pedestrians, due to physical vulnerability, are among the most at-risk road users. With global aging trends, ensuring safe mobility for older adults, who often rely on walking, presents significant transportation challenges. Effective streetscape design is essential for their safety, yet the impact of streetscape quality on injury severity remains underexplored, largely due to limitations in measuring these environmental features. This study addresses this gap by examining how streetscape features might affect injury severity among elderly pedestrians, employing street view imagery and computer vision. Both crash-related factors and perceived streetscape design features are incorporated into an explainable ensemble learning framework. Using Seoul, South Korea, as a case study, preliminary results indicate that while pedestrian attributes, especially age, are the primary determinants of injury severity, streetscape features such as imageability (visual diversity), greenness, and enclosure also contribute significant explanatory power in predicting elderly injury severity. Specifically, Higher levels of street enclosure and imageability are associated with reduced injury severity, while moderate levels of greenness correlate with lower injury risk. However, exceeding a certain greenness threshold appears to increase risk, suggesting that merely increasing street level greenness does not always yield extra benefits that reduce the likelihood of more severe injuries. Spatial analyses highlight southeast Seoul as a priority for streetscape improvements. These results provide actionable insights for planners, guiding cost-effective interventions to enhance elderly pedestrian safety.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104540"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145841307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Determinants of violence on public transportation from the perspective of a small city in the global south 从全球南方一个小城市的角度看公共交通上暴力的决定因素

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104510

Paul Basnak , Thomas E. Guerrero B. , Jose Agustin Vallejo-Borda , María Fernanda López Fabra , Thalia Turrén-Cruz

{"title":"Determinants of violence on public transportation from the perspective of a small city in the global south","authors":"Paul Basnak , Thomas E. Guerrero B. , Jose Agustin Vallejo-Borda , María Fernanda López Fabra , Thalia Turrén-Cruz","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104510","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104510","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Both actual and perceived insecurity are relevant factors explaining the travel experiences of public transportation users, particularly women. Therefore, avoiding violence during public transportation trips is essential for improving the quality of service. Through a survey carried out in Ocaña, a small city located in Colombia, where passengers travel in minibusses, shared taxis, and motorcycle taxis, we modeled the incidence and frequency with which people experience different types of violence on public transportation. Binomial models were estimated to determine which variables influenced the probability of experiencing at least one episode in the last year, and Poisson regression models were estimated to determine which factors influenced the number of episodes experienced. The results show that the occurrence and number of episodes are higher for women, particularly for episodes related to sexual violence, and increase with higher access, waiting, and travel times for all modes. Model results demonstrate the relevance of public transportation route design to reduce exposure to violence, particularly at night, where it is feasible to operate with time-scheduled services to reduce waiting times.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104510"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145705053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Understanding urban planning interventions from the perspective of mobility biographies. An empirical study of a newly developed car-reduced neighbourhood in Darmstadt, Germany 从流动性传记的角度理解城市规划干预。德国达姆施塔特新开发的汽车减少社区的实证研究

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104512

Marcus Klein, Martin Lanzendorf

{"title":"Understanding urban planning interventions from the perspective of mobility biographies. An empirical study of a newly developed car-reduced neighbourhood in Darmstadt, Germany","authors":"Marcus Klein, Martin Lanzendorf","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104512","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104512","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the pursuit of sustainable urban mobility, some municipalities have developed car-free neighbourhoods that restrict the parking of private vehicles. While these settlements successfully reduce car use, this strict parking ban imposes great challenges on the residents. In contrast, car-reduced neighbourhoods limit the number of private parking spaces, without banning them entirely. So far, only a few studies have examined the modal effects of car-reduced neighbourhoods, finding diverse travel patterns and some persisting car dependence. From a mobility biographies perspective, the modal impact of relocating to car-reduced neighbourhoods may be influenced by other concurring key events, such as childbirth or changes in employment.</div><div>This study examines changes in travel mode use among 339 recently relocated residents of the car-reduced Lincoln neighbourhood in Darmstadt, Germany, and then analyses the impact of key events on these changes. A cluster analysis reveals five types of modal change: two with high pre-relocation car use that (1) remains high in one type and (2) decreases in the other; and three multimodal types: (3) remaining multimodality with low car use, (4) increasing multimodality with reduced car use and (5) remaining multimodality with medium car use. Overall, the car-reduced neighbourhood has caused the majority of its residents to drive less and adopt more car-independent, multimodal travel practices. Therefore, such settlements can be an effective strategy to curb urban car traffic and promote sustainable travel. Importantly, this effect occurs regardless of life stage transitions, as key events prompting the relocation exert limited influence on the modal change types.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104512"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145731867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The impact of Russia-Ukraine war on international maritime petroleum trade and tanker fleet productivity 俄乌战争对国际海上石油贸易和油轮船队生产力的影响

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104543

Haiying Jia , Zhenming Wu

{"title":"The impact of Russia-Ukraine war on international maritime petroleum trade and tanker fleet productivity","authors":"Haiying Jia , Zhenming Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104543","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104543","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine represents one of the most significant geopolitical disruptions in recent decades, profoundly affecting international petroleum trade flows and tanker fleet operation patterns. This study investigates the impact of this geopolitical event on maritime petroleum trade dynamics by analyzing tanker movement data obtained from the Automatic Identification System (AIS) from 2018 to 2023. Through a systematic evaluation, this study quantifies transformations in global maritime petroleum trade structures and tanker fleet productivity, measured by tonne-miles per deadweight. The findings indicate that, despite sanctions, Russian petroleum exports maintained volumetric resilience, there was a considerable market redistribution from European destinations to Asian, African, and South American markets. This restructuring led to notable shifts in fleet productivity, with significant differences across vessel classes and trade lanes. The findings provide critical implications for asset investment decisions, vessel operation strategies, and the development of energy trade networks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104543"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Interrelationships between TOD, perceived gentrification, neighborhood satisfaction and sense of community: A case study in Nanjing, China TOD、感知绅化、邻里满意度和社区意识之间的相互关系：以南京为例

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104545

Yu Huang , Shanqi Zhang , Yang Ju , Kangxu Wang

{"title":"Interrelationships between TOD, perceived gentrification, neighborhood satisfaction and sense of community: A case study in Nanjing, China","authors":"Yu Huang , Shanqi Zhang , Yang Ju , Kangxu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104545","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2025.104545","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid transit and transit-oriented development (TOD) have been global strategies for sustainable urban development. However, growing concerns have emerged regarding transit-induced gentrification (TIG) and its impact on residents' changing perceptions of neighborhoods. The interrelationships between TOD and perceived gentrification, as well as their effects on <em>neighborhood</em> satisfaction and sense of <em>community</em>, remain understudied. This study aims to bridge this gap by analyzing surveys from residents living near three metro stations along the new Metro Line 5 in Nanjing, China. Utilizing confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and structural equation modeling (SEM), we find that: (1) TOD residents were not statistically associated with higher levels of perceived gentrification; (2) the presence of metro was not significantly linked to sense of community, but neighborhood satisfaction regarding transit access and neighborhood amenities; (3) residents with higher levels of perceived gentrification also reported greater neighborhood satisfaction and a stronger sense of community; and (4) renters exhibited lower levels of perceived gentrification and sense of community. This study advances the understanding of transit-induced gentrification by providing empirical evidence from China, offering recommendations for TOD policies that promote inclusive and sustainable community development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104545"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Measuring forced car ownership through the lens of spatial inequality: A multi-level analysis in China 空间不平等视角下的强制汽车拥有量测算：中国的多层次分析

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104584

Linna Li, Zilin Deng, Jialin Jiang, Tianyang Zhang

{"title":"Measuring forced car ownership through the lens of spatial inequality: A multi-level analysis in China","authors":"Linna Li, Zilin Deng, Jialin Jiang, Tianyang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104584","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104584","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Growing disparities in transport provision and spatial development have contributed to the emergence of forced car ownership (FCO) as a distinct form of transport-related disadvantage. In this study, FCO is understood as an ownership-based indicator of constrained accessibility: low-income households may acquire and maintain a private car under limited viable alternatives, rather than purely out of preference. Using nationally representative data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), we describe trends in FCO over 2012–2020 and conduct multi-level logistic regression analysis on the 2020 household wave, linking household characteristics to county-level spatial conditions. The results show that although China's overall FCO rate remains lower than that reported in many developed countries, it has risen rapidly, reaching 3.98% in 2020, with a markedly higher incidence in rural areas (5.68%) than in urban areas (2.70%). FCO is shaped not only by household resources but also by structural spatial constraints, including limited public/semi-public transport provision, rugged terrain, and uneven urbanization. Evidence further suggests that even within the bottom income quartile, households with relatively greater resources may still face elevated FCO risks in contexts of poor accessibility and lagging service provision, consistent with a spatial mismatch mechanism. Cross-level interactions indicate that the alignment (or misalignment) between household capacities and local spatial conditions contributes to spatial inequalities in transport access. By situating FCO within China's distinctive spatial and institutional context, this study advances understanding of transport-related disadvantage and underscores the need for accessibility-oriented interventions, i.e., prioritizing viable alternatives and targeted support in peri-urban and rural underserved regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104584"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146153100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Corenet: A flexible framework for generating and prioritising core cycle network designs 核心网：一个灵活的框架，用于生成和优先考虑核心周期网络设计

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104549

Zhao Wang , Hang Hu , Hussein Mahfouz , Juan Pablo Fonseca-Zamora , Martin Lucas-Smith , Dustin Carlino , Angus Calder , Congying Hu , Matthew Davis , Joseph Talbot , Robin Lovelace

{"title":"Corenet: A flexible framework for generating and prioritising core cycle network designs","authors":"Zhao Wang , Hang Hu , Hussein Mahfouz , Juan Pablo Fonseca-Zamora , Martin Lucas-Smith , Dustin Carlino , Angus Calder , Congying Hu , Matthew Davis , Joseph Talbot , Robin Lovelace","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104549","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104549","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Mode shift to cycling is a policy objective in many countries. However, cycling infrastructure designs often fail to produce the joined-up, direct, and safe networks needed for trips to switch. Planned interventions rarely align with demand, creating disjointed networks and ineffective investment. This paper introduces a new ‘corenet’ method for developing core cycling networks that provides complete and connected infrastructure designs for places with or without existing cycling networks. The method demonstrates its application in the Network Planning Tool for Scotland (NPT) to support city-wide network designs and serves as the foundation for the Network Planning Workspace (NPW) tool, enabling local authorities to plan cycle networks through a structured, tiered approach. The method integrates multiple datasets, including estimates of current and future demand and network geometries from multiple sources. It enables users to generate designs suited to local needs by balancing network cohesion, coverage, and directness metrics. The ‘corenet’ method also simulates network growth, supporting strategic expansion of cycling infrastructure in a prioritised sequence. Furthermore, a set of network evaluation metrics has been developed, enabling rigorous assessment of both proposed and existing cycling networks. We conclude by discussing how the method can be extended in future research and integrated with established processes for strategic network planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104549"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977507","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Unequal benefits of metro station proximity: Income-level differences in housing price effects in Medellín 地铁站邻近的不平等收益：收入水平差异对房价的影响Medellín

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104571

Hernán Darío Villada-Medina , Luisa Díez-Echavarría

{"title":"Unequal benefits of metro station proximity: Income-level differences in housing price effects in Medellín","authors":"Hernán Darío Villada-Medina , Luisa Díez-Echavarría","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104571","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104571","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how proximity to metro stations is associated with housing prices in Medellín, Colombia, and how this relationship varies across income groups and spatial scales. While the capitalization of transport infrastructure into real estate values is widely recognized, its social and spatial heterogeneity remains underexplored in Latin American cities. Using a dataset of georeferenced housing transactions and spatial information on urban amenities, we estimate hedonic pricing models—including Ordinary Least Squares, Spatial Autoregressive, and Spatial Error Models—with income-level interaction terms and stratified buffer thresholds optimized through an iterative procedure.</div><div>The results reveal that metro accessibility is not uniformly valued across the city. In low-income districts, proximity to a metro station is associated with a price premium of approximately 9.4%, whereas in high-income neighborhoods, it corresponds to a statistically significant price penalty of 9.8%. Moreover, the spatial reach of metro influence decreases with income level, ranging from 1.7 km in low-income areas to just 0.6 km in high-income zones. Among all urban amenities considered, metro stations exhibit the most pronounced variation in market valuation across socioeconomic groups.</div><div>These findings underscore the need for disaggregated, income-sensitive approaches in both spatial modeling and urban policy design. The buffer-based strategy proposed here offers a flexible and empirically grounded method to capture how accessibility is differentially perceived and valued in stratified urban contexts. In cities of the Global South—where inequality is spatially embedded—planning efforts must account for these disparities to ensure that transit investments promote inclusive urban development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104571"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146077907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A population-based, demand-aware framework for measuring structural road network redundancy 一个以人口为基础、需求感知的结构道路网络冗余测量框架

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104569

Julia Cardwell , Paul L. Delamater , Charles E. Konrad

{"title":"A population-based, demand-aware framework for measuring structural road network redundancy","authors":"Julia Cardwell , Paul L. Delamater , Charles E. Konrad","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104569","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104569","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Structural road network redundancy contributes to reliable mobility by providing alternative routes in caseof disruptions. Existing structural redundancy metrics tend to emphasize the criticality of links (infrastructure-focused) or the pairwise redundancy of origin-destination (O<img>D) connections under equal weighting (demand-agnostic), overlooking place- and population-specific differences in redundancy. This study introduces an alternative population-based, demand-aware redundancy metric to evaluate structural redundancy at the census block group level by integrating origin-specific demand distributions derived from mobility data with a path-penalized Dijkstra's algorithm to evaluate redundancy separately for each census block group. This population-centered approach aligns with transportation justice principles and provides an accessible tool for assessing heterogeneities in local access to road network redundancy. Applied to North Carolina, the metric highlights geographic variation in redundancy across the state, especially considering urban-rural and regional divides, and identifies populations in western North Carolina as having comparatively lower access to redundancy. The findings of the case study underscore the necessity of considering road networks' unique structural characteristics in planning for equitable and resilient transportation systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104569"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146072723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How autonomous vehicles reshape commuting and economic boundaries: A behavioral-spatial analysis based on Kentucky statewide survey data 自动驾驶汽车如何重塑通勤和经济边界：基于肯塔基州调查数据的行为空间分析

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Journal of Transport Geography Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104550

Yifan Xu , Zhixia Li , Heng Wei , Song Wang , Guohui Zhang , Hao (Frank) Yang , Changjian Zhang , Hanyi Yang , Shanglian Zhou , Yiwei Wang

{"title":"How autonomous vehicles reshape commuting and economic boundaries: A behavioral-spatial analysis based on Kentucky statewide survey data","authors":"Yifan Xu , Zhixia Li , Heng Wei , Song Wang , Guohui Zhang , Hao (Frank) Yang , Changjian Zhang , Hanyi Yang , Shanglian Zhou , Yiwei Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104550","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2026.104550","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Autonomous vehicles (AVs) could reshape commuting not only by stretching distances but by changing how travelers value time spent in the vehicle. We study this behavior–space link in a mixed urban–rural U.S. state (Kentucky) by combining our statewide survey with a behavioral model and a spatial translation. An ordinal path model relates AV knowledge, trust, perceived risk, and the feasibility of working while riding to the willingness to extend one-way commute time. The model yields profile shares and minutes by work-modality (can vs. cannot work in-vehicle), which we map to circle-equivalent radii to construct reach sets, multi-indicator opportunity exposure (population, income, and jobs by sector), and budget-constrained closeness centrality. Results indicate statewide gains in accessible opportunities, but with marked geographic concentration: percent gains are larger where baselines are low, whereas absolute gains cluster in dense corridors. Changes in centrality are not one-to-one with exposure increases and often emerge where additional minutes newly bridge peripheral origins into well-connected clusters. Employment access rises unevenly across sectors and locations. Segmentation by work-modality clarifies why similarly sized time increases can translate into different opportunity and network outcomes. We discuss policy levers tailored to specific place types and profiles, while noting scope conditions such as the reliance on behavioral associations rather than causal effects, approximated isochrones, and sector definitions for jobs. Reading counts alongside network position – and distinguishing profiles – provides a more complete view of automation-enabled commuting than either margin alone.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48413,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Transport Geography","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104550"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145956996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0