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The Consequences of Community Violence for Contraceptive Use and Provision in Mexico. 墨西哥社区暴力对避孕药具使用和提供的影响。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12319849
Signe Svallfors, Mónica L Caudillo, Orsola Torrisi
{"title":"The Consequences of Community Violence for Contraceptive Use and Provision in Mexico.","authors":"Signe Svallfors, Mónica L Caudillo, Orsola Torrisi","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12319849","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12319849","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study examines the relationship between community violence and the use and provision of contraception in Mexico, where family planning is a long-standing policy priority and the \"war on drugs\" has led to chronically high levels of violence. We adopt a two-step approach. First, we investigate the association between women's exposure to violence and first contraceptive use. Combining individual-level data (n  =  86,219) from two waves of the National Survey of Demographic Dynamics (ENADID) with information on monthly municipality-level homicides in event-history models, we analyze the timing and method of women's first contraceptive use and the source of first contraception. Second, leveraging rare data from Mexico's Ministry of Health in clinic fixed-effects models, we study the association between homicides and contraceptive provision from public clinics. Results show strong positive associations between community violence and both the transition to first contraceptive use and the contraceptive provision of reversible methods. These relationships are stronger in the long term; one more homicide per 10,000 population during the past five years is associated with triple the risk of initiating contraceptive use and two to three more reversible contraception users served in each public clinic per month. The findings suggest increasing contraceptive vigilance and fertility regulation preferences-but also healthcare system resilience-in times of insecurity.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1945-1972"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145558283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Commentary on "Gender Bias in Parental Attitude: An Experimental Approach" by Begum, Grossman, and Islam (2018). Begum, Grossman, and Islam对“父母态度中的性别偏见:一种实验方法”的评论(2018)。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12344620
Olle Hammar, Carl Bonander, Gunther Bensch, Niklas Jakobsson, Abel Brodeur
{"title":"A Commentary on \"Gender Bias in Parental Attitude: An Experimental Approach\" by Begum, Grossman, and Islam (2018).","authors":"Olle Hammar, Carl Bonander, Gunther Bensch, Niklas Jakobsson, Abel Brodeur","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12344620","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12344620","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Begum et al. (2018) examined gender bias in parental attitudes using an experimental approach in rural Bangladesh. Households were reported as randomly assigned to treatment conditions in a lab-in-the-field allocation task. We show that the group assignment was inherited from Islam (2019), a previous, nonrandomized experiment conducted in the same region. The lack of randomization contradicts the design descriptions provided by the authors in Begum et al. (2018) and elsewhere and raises concerns about the validity of comparisons across treatment groups. This also points to serious shortcomings in the reporting and transparency of the study design-issues that mirror those that led to the retraction of Islam (2019) from the European Economic Review.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1791-1799"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145679070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Who Partners With Whom in Diverse Societies? A Multigroup Perspective on Union Formation and Religious Boundaries in the Netherlands. 在不同的社会中谁与谁合作?从多族群视角看荷兰的联盟形成与宗教边界。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12349287
Kasimir Dederichs, Frank van Tubergen
{"title":"Who Partners With Whom in Diverse Societies? A Multigroup Perspective on Union Formation and Religious Boundaries in the Netherlands.","authors":"Kasimir Dederichs, Frank van Tubergen","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12349287","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12349287","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The presence of exogamous consensual unions (marriages and cohabitations) is an important indicator of social closeness between groups. European research on intermarriage has focused on unions between minority groups and the native majority population, highlighting that religion, especially Islam, constitutes a bright boundary. In diversifying societies, however, opportunities for union formation between minority groups with distinct national origins are increasing. Yet, we know little about partnership patterns among these groups, particularly whether different Muslim groups coalesce through intergroup unions. Using full-population register data from the Netherlands (1999‒2023), we analyze union formation across any combination of the 21 largest national origin groups present on the partnership market. Our findings reveal that unions involving partners from Muslim groups originating from different countries remain strikingly rare overall compared with endogamy within national origin groups, indicating the persistence of national legacies rather than exclusively religious closure. Boundaries for union formation between Muslim groups do not weaken meaningfully across immigrant generations and time. Among non-Muslim groups, by contrast, unions are more commonly formed within broader panethnic \"melting pots.\" Overall, these results underscore the need for a more nuanced understanding of religious boundaries and panethnicity in union formation in Europe.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"2125-2149"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145775813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Deportations and Latino Segregation: The Residential Impacts of Interior Immigration Enforcement. 驱逐和拉丁裔隔离:国内移民执法对居住的影响。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12356987
Matthew Hall, Jacob S Rugh, Hao Liang
{"title":"Deportations and Latino Segregation: The Residential Impacts of Interior Immigration Enforcement.","authors":"Matthew Hall, Jacob S Rugh, Hao Liang","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12356987","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12356987","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The shift of immigration enforcement to local communities has amplified anti-immigrant sentiment and enabled the unprecedented expansion of mass deportation systems. This study examines one such effort-the 287(g) program, which empowers local law enforcement to enforce U.S. immigration laws-and its effects on the residential segregation of Latinos. Using a difference-in-differences design that compares counties that implemented 287(g) with applicant counties that did not implement, we find that these policies significantly slowed declines in Latino‒White segregation, particularly in early-adopting Southern counties, where enforcement was most aggressive. We detect no effects on Black‒White or Latino‒Black segregation. Our analysis also suggests that these effects are driven by shifts in residential mobility and migration behaviors among Latino households, as enforcement amplified economic vulnerability, fear, and spatial isolation. These results indicate that interior immigration enforcement functions as a structural barrier to Latino integration, with downstream consequences for racial stratification and neighborhood inequality.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1851-1872"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145806048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bayesian Projection of Extant Refugee and Asylum Seeker Populations. 现存难民和寻求庇护者人口的贝叶斯预测。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12338328
Herbert P Susmann, Adrian E Raftery
{"title":"Bayesian Projection of Extant Refugee and Asylum Seeker Populations.","authors":"Herbert P Susmann, Adrian E Raftery","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12338328","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12338328","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Estimates of future migration patterns are of broad interest in demography. Forced migration, including refugee and asylum seekers, plays an important role in overall migration patterns but is notoriously difficult to forecast. Focusing on refugees and asylum seekers, we propose a modeling pipeline based on Bayesian hierarchical time-series modeling for projecting refugee population official statistics by country of origin using data from the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. Our approach is based on a conceptual model of refugee and asylum seeker populations following growth and decline phases, separated by a peak. The growth and decline phases are modeled by logistic growth and decline through an interrupted logistic process model. We evaluate our method through a set of validation exercises that show it has good performance for forecasts at 1-, 5-, and 10-year horizons, and we present projections for 35 countries of origin of large refugee and asylum seeker populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1899-1915"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145679129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Duration and Timing of Parental Out-migration and Early Childhood Development in China. 中国父母外迁的持续时间和时间与儿童早期发展。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12349243
Xiuqi Sukie Yang
{"title":"Duration and Timing of Parental Out-migration and Early Childhood Development in China.","authors":"Xiuqi Sukie Yang","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12349243","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12349243","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A sizable number of children in low- and middle-income countries experience separation from their parents due to labor migration. While scholarship has examined parental migration effects during school years and adolescence, few studies have examined the effect of migration on developmental outcomes in early childhood, a critical period characterized by a high degree of developmental plasticity and sensitivity. In addition, almost all previous work has relied on cross-sectional data, treating migration-induced family living arrangements as a static, time-invariant measure. However, parental migration is often temporary and circular, exposing children to multiple transitions that vary in timing and duration. To address these two limitations in the literature, the present study follows a panel of more than 4,000 young children in the China Family Panel Survey from 2010 to 2018 and examines early childhood outcomes using a counterfactual causal-inference framework with time-varying exposure. My results show that the effect of parental migration on children's outcomes depends on whether one versus both parents migrated and at what child age the parental migration happened. Specifically, one-parent out-migration is less detrimental to child development than both-parent out-migration. Parental migration impacts specific developmental domains depending on children's sensitive periods of development, with early absence being most consequential for physical growth and later migration being most consequential for noncognitive skills. The study offers a causal framework to better understand migration as a time-varying process, contributes to family demography by theorizing parental migration as a unique source of family complexity, and deepens our understanding of the toll that parental absence takes on human capital.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"2019-2045"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145769599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Present and Future Dementia Burden in China: Kinship-Based Projections and Global Comparisons. 中国目前和未来的痴呆负担:基于亲属关系的预测和全球比较。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12345648
Kai Feng, Xi Song, Hal Caswell
{"title":"The Present and Future Dementia Burden in China: Kinship-Based Projections and Global Comparisons.","authors":"Kai Feng, Xi Song, Hal Caswell","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12345648","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12345648","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>China has the largest number of patients with dementia in the world, and the rate of growth is expected to escalate further as the population ages. The majority of dementia patients rely on their families for care and assistance. Using demographic models of kinship, we provide quantitative estimates of the burden of dementia, from 1990 up to 2050, by illustrating the number of kin accessible to dementia patients, the dementia prevalence among kinship networks, and the dependency ratio of kin with dementia to working-age kin without dementia. We then compare the estimates of dementia burden across 194 countries and territories, accounting for historical trends in, and future projections of, mortality, fertility, and dementia prevalence. Our findings suggest that, unlike in other aging societies, China's aging crisis is exacerbated by the fact that, in addition to the alarming rise in the number of older adults in need of care, the number of potential family caregivers is also dropping at an unprecedented pace. The increase in dementia dependency ratio is expected to exceed the increases in most other countries across East Asia, Western Europe, and the United States. These findings have important implications for understanding the evolution of care networks for older adults in China over time and from a cross-country comparative perspective.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1917-1944"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12981236/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145764125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Research Note: A Path Forward for Understanding Latino and Asian Panethnic and Ethnic Subgroup Residential Segregation. 研究说明:理解拉丁裔和亚洲泛种族和族裔亚群体居住隔离的前进道路。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12339831
Amber R Crowell, Mark A Fossett, Luna Chandna, Nereyda Y Ortíz Osejo
{"title":"Research Note: A Path Forward for Understanding Latino and Asian Panethnic and Ethnic Subgroup Residential Segregation.","authors":"Amber R Crowell, Mark A Fossett, Luna Chandna, Nereyda Y Ortíz Osejo","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12339831","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12339831","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this research note we address measurement challenges in the study of residential segregation to advance our understanding of the segregation of Latino and Asian ethnic subgroups. Our primary purpose is to address some of the key methodological barriers to advancement in this area, and we also answer this question: Do we miss important patterns of segregation when we study Latino and Asian panethnic groups versus ethnic subgroups? Research has been hindered by problems with segregation index bias that are exacerbated when studying the segregation of smaller groups, as well as by a limited understanding of different patterns of uneven distribution that certain segregation indices, such as the dissimilarity index, cannot capture. Using a carefully chosen segregation index corrected for index bias, we find some variation in Latino and Asian ethnic subgroup segregation that warrants disaggregating panethnic groups, but more importantly we find that segregation of these groups is much lower than previously understood. This latter finding is because index bias and the choice of segregation index can have major impacts on our understanding of these patterns, with the separation index emerging as a superior method of measurement. These findings support the study of ethnic subgroup residential segregation, so long as researchers make careful decisions about segregation measurement.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1835-1850"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145662411","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Longevity, Linked Lives, and Generational Time: Does Changing Late-Life Activity Impact Older Adults' Help to Their Adult Children? 长寿、关联生命和代际时间:改变晚年活动是否会影响老年人对成年子女的帮助?
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12349872
Anu Siren, Anna Amilon
{"title":"Longevity, Linked Lives, and Generational Time: Does Changing Late-Life Activity Impact Older Adults' Help to Their Adult Children?","authors":"Anu Siren, Anna Amilon","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12349872","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12349872","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Although a growing proportion of older adults lead active and productive lives until later ages, little is known about how they balance paid work, other forms of productive aging, family, and leisure, or how this balancing may affect the interconnectedness of different generations. Using longitudinal, population-based data from Denmark, we investigate informal intergenerational help provision over time and the factors influencing the observed change from 1997 to 2017 for adults aged 52-77. Applying the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition technique, we analyze trends in intergenerational help by older adults and examine whether changes in helping behavior are attributable to active aging or other changes within the population. We observe distinctly different helping behavior trends by age: a lower percentage of individuals aged 52-62 provided help in 2017 than in 1997, whereas a larger percentage of those aged 67-77 provided help in 2017 than in 1997. Although the increase in work participation does not add to declining levels of help to adult children, declining grandparenthood had a significant negative effect on helping behavior. In contrast, for those with grandchildren, helping behavior intensified over time.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"2099-2123"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145769602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Worker-Driven Social Responsibility and Infant Health. 工人驱动的社会责任和婴儿健康。
IF 3.6 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12352500
Joaquin Alfredo-Angel Rubalcaba, Alberto Ortega
{"title":"Worker-Driven Social Responsibility and Infant Health.","authors":"Joaquin Alfredo-Angel Rubalcaba, Alberto Ortega","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12352500","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12352500","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A growing body of research provides evidence of extensive economic and health disparities faced by migrant farmworkers and their families, underscoring the need for livable wages, health insurance, and better working conditions. Recently, programs have provided payment to workers from corporate-supported premiums, yet no studies have explored the impacts of such programs on the health of the communities they target. In this study, we investigate whether the implementation of a workers' rights organization program within the agriculture industry promoted health in farmworker communities by evaluating changes in infant health outcomes. Using restricted birth records data from the National Vital Statistics System from 2006 to 2018, we show that the adoption of the Fair Food Program was associated with reductions in low-weight births among foreign-born mothers from Latin America. These results underscore how strengthening labor and employment conditions for birthing parents can mitigate possible long-term or latent adverse health outcomes among U.S.-born children.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1973-1999"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145775767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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