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U.S. State Policy Contexts, County Economic Contexts, and Working-Age Mortality. 美国州政策背景、县经济背景和工作年龄死亡率。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-10-16 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12863652
Iliya Gutin, Jennifer Karas Montez, Shannon Monnat, Emily Wiemers, Douglas Wolf
{"title":"U.S. State Policy Contexts, County Economic Contexts, and Working-Age Mortality.","authors":"Iliya Gutin, Jennifer Karas Montez, Shannon Monnat, Emily Wiemers, Douglas Wolf","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12863652","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12863652","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Jointly modeling state and county contexts reveals synergistic, not independent, mortality associations. Lowest mortality is observed in economically secure counties within liberal-policy states. For males, extreme county economic insecurity yields high mortality regardless of state policy. For males, high labor force participation raises mortality in conservative state contexts. For females, liberal state policies buffer both county economic and labor disadvantages.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149197354","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Population Forecast Error for San Diego County and Its Jurisdictions. 圣地亚哥县及其辖区人口预测误差的综合评价。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12784457
Gregor Schroeder, Nivedya Madankara Kottayi, Bryce Burdge
{"title":"A Comprehensive Evaluation of Population Forecast Error for San Diego County and Its Jurisdictions.","authors":"Gregor Schroeder, Nivedya Madankara Kottayi, Bryce Burdge","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12784457","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12784457","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study is the first in the San Diego region to evaluate population forecast error across multiple forecast vintages and increment years spanning more than five decades. Forecast accuracy declines with increasing forecast horizon, while forecast errors are also influenced by population growth rate, population size, and jump-off discrepancy. Findings confirm the generalizability of established relationships in the forecast evaluation literature while extending prior research through analysis of errors in population change rather than solely through population level. Simple naive extrapolation methods frequently matched or exceeded the accuracy of more complex forecasting approaches, demonstrating the importance of benchmarking forecast performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1211-1229"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148726204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Glass Is Half Full: The Safety Net for Low-Income Women Around Childbirth. 玻璃杯是半满的：低收入妇女分娩前后的安全网。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12786247
Colleen Heflin, Taryn W Morrissey, Hyojeong Kim
{"title":"The Glass Is Half Full: The Safety Net for Low-Income Women Around Childbirth.","authors":"Colleen Heflin, Taryn W Morrissey, Hyojeong Kim","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12786247","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12786247","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Employed, social welfare-connected mothers experience a substantial reduction in earnings around a child's birth. Social welfare programs, assuming full take-up, can offset these lost earnings after birth but not during pregnancy. Most social welfare benefits available around birth are nutrition assistance, which are not fungible. These mothers spend about six months out of the labor force, with Black mothers returning earlier, on average.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1347-1374"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13551465/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148763505","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Research Note on the Role of Infertility and Medically Assisted Reproduction on the Realization of Ideal Family Size in Japan. 不孕症和医学辅助生殖在日本实现理想家庭规模中的作用研究笔记。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12714998
Ester Lazzari, Shohei Yoda, Setsuya Fukuda, James M Raymo
{"title":"Research Note on the Role of Infertility and Medically Assisted Reproduction on the Realization of Ideal Family Size in Japan.","authors":"Ester Lazzari, Shohei Yoda, Setsuya Fukuda, James M Raymo","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12714998","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12714998","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>More than one third of married Japanese women report concerns about infertility, and infertility is increasingly cited as a reason for not reaching fertility ideals. Births conceived using medically assisted reproductive treatments have contributed to reducing the ideal-actual fertility gap by about one third. Infertility concerns are increasingly reported across all educational groups, but highly educated women are more likely than others to seek and receive treatment.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1049-1066"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148430989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assortative Mating, the Division of Labor in Marriage, and Analytic Choices: A Reply. 分类交配，婚姻中的劳动分工，和分析选择：回复。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12754945
Pilar Gonalons-Pons, Christine R Schwartz
{"title":"Assortative Mating, the Division of Labor in Marriage, and Analytic Choices: A Reply.","authors":"Pilar Gonalons-Pons, Christine R Schwartz","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12754945","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12754945","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We use the large samples of U.S. Census and ACS data from 1940‒2013 to conduct a reanalysis. The evidence for changes in the division of labor after marriage is robust. The evidence on assortative mating is more variable, even in large samples. Our best estimate is that assortative mating explains 29% of earnings homogamy trends. The definition of newlyweds and treatment of missing values are consequential.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1019-1028"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148632300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Influence of Societal Changes on the Contribution of Genetics to Fertility Behavior. 社会变迁对遗传对生育行为的影响。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12757268
Agnes Fauske
{"title":"The Influence of Societal Changes on the Contribution of Genetics to Fertility Behavior.","authors":"Agnes Fauske","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12757268","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12757268","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The heritability of fertility behavior altered during the profound societal changes that occurred from the 1950s onward in Norway. Societal changes modify the heritability of age at first birth and number of children, and the change in heritability varies by gender and outcome. A theoretical explanation that suggests norms weakened and opportunities broadened across the latter part of the twentieth century and into the early twenty-first century, thereby increasing heritability, falls short. Results provide some support for the hypothesis that the importance of genes increases during periods of societal change, when linked to the transition to dual-earner families and family policy implementation. The study highlights the importance of considering societal structures and gender differences when investigating genetic influences on fertility behavior.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1123-1147"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148670944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Formation of Children's Cognitive and Socioemotional Skills: Is All Parental Time Equally Effective? 儿童认知和社会情感技能的形成：所有父母时间都同样有效吗？
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12771478
Hélène Le Forner
{"title":"Formation of Children's Cognitive and Socioemotional Skills: Is All Parental Time Equally Effective?","authors":"Hélène Le Forner","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12771478","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12771478","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study estimates the distinct effect of mother, father, and joint parental time investments and compares the effects of mothers' and fathers' parenting styles on child development. Joint parental educational time improves children's cognitive skills more than mother-only time. For verbal skills, this effect is driven by families where parents have at least a bachelor's degree. Mothers' monitoring benefits children's socioemotional skills more than fathers' monitoring. Fathers' monitoring improves children's verbal skills more than mothers' monitoring.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1149-1177"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148725526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assortative Agreement: A Reply to Gonalons-Pons and Schwartz. 分类协议：对gonalonons - pons和Schwartz的回答。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12746446
Yifan Shen, Tim F Liao
{"title":"Assortative Agreement: A Reply to Gonalons-Pons and Schwartz.","authors":"Yifan Shen, Tim F Liao","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12746446","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12746446","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1029-1031"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148632304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Proving Their Loyalty: A Research Note on the Effects of Serving in World War II on Immigrant Outcomes. 证明他们的忠诚：第二次世界大战服役对移民结果影响的研究笔记。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12768052
Jeff Chan
{"title":"Proving Their Loyalty: A Research Note on the Effects of Serving in World War II on Immigrant Outcomes.","authors":"Jeff Chan","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12768052","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12768052","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study assesses the effects of World War II military service on outcomes for immigrant veterans. Linked, full-count U.S. Census data are used in a triple-differences design. Immigrant veterans are more likely to become citizens and marry U.S.-born spouses. There is little evidence of differences in labor market or educational outcomes relative to U.S.-born veterans.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1033-1047"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148670986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From Disparate Lists to Population Estimates: A Multiple Systems Estimation Workflow for Mortality Analysis in Conflict Settings. 从不同的列表到人口估计：冲突环境中死亡率分析的多系统估计工作流。
IF 3.5 1区 社会学
Demography Pub Date : 2026-08-01 DOI: 10.1215/00703370-12782880
Maria Gargiulo
{"title":"From Disparate Lists to Population Estimates: A Multiple Systems Estimation Workflow for Mortality Analysis in Conflict Settings.","authors":"Maria Gargiulo","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12782880","DOIUrl":"10.1215/00703370-12782880","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Nontraditional data sources can provide valuable insights into mortality in conflict settings. Missing data challenges are common, but they can be addressed with modeling approaches. Correcting missing data issues can alter substantive conclusions about mortality in conflict. Methods for addressing missing data are context agnostic and can be applied to other topics.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1397-1422"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2026-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148727684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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