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Cities and the sea level 城市与海平面
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103685
Yatang Lin , Thomas K.J. McDermott , Guy Michaels
{"title":"Cities and the sea level","authors":"Yatang Lin ,&nbsp;Thomas K.J. McDermott ,&nbsp;Guy Michaels","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103685","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103685","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Construction on low elevation coastal zones is risky for both residents and taxpayers who bail them out. To investigate this construction, we analyze spatially disaggregated data covering the entire US Atlantic and Gulf coasts. We find that the 1990 housing stock reflects historical avoidance of locations prone to sea level rise (SLR) and flooding, but net new construction from 1990–2010 was similar in SLR-prone locations and safer ones; and within densely built coastal areas, net new construction was higher in SLR-prone locations. These findings are difficult to rationalize as mere products of moral hazard or imperfect information, suggesting that people build on risky locations to benefit from nearby urban agglomerations. To explain our findings, we develop a simple model of a monocentric coastal city, which we use to explore the consequences of sea level rise. This model helps explain cities’ role in expanding flood risks, and how future sea level rise may reshape coastal cities, creating significant challenges for policymakers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103685"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S009411902400055X/pdfft?md5=d06c9d552772595c2690d4ce55009d7a&pid=1-s2.0-S009411902400055X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950419","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Road maintenance and local economic development: Evidence from Indonesia’s highways 道路维护与地方经济发展：印度尼西亚高速公路的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103687
Paul J. Gertler , Marco Gonzalez-Navarro , Tadeja Gračner , Alexander D. Rothenberg
{"title":"Road maintenance and local economic development: Evidence from Indonesia’s highways","authors":"Paul J. Gertler ,&nbsp;Marco Gonzalez-Navarro ,&nbsp;Tadeja Gračner ,&nbsp;Alexander D. Rothenberg","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103687","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103687","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper estimates the local welfare impacts of highway maintenance investments. We instrument road quality exploiting Indonesia’s two-step budgeting process for allocating funding to local road authorities. Using comprehensive data on road quality from 1990–2007, we find evidence that better roads help manufacturers create new jobs, enabling worker transitions out of informal employment, and increasing labor income. Road quality also changes the cost of living, reducing perishable food prices but also raising housing prices. We estimate the elasticity of household welfare with respect to road quality to be 0.1 and the benefit/cost ratio for road maintenance investments to be 2.3.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103687"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094119024000573/pdfft?md5=550124c9ea1be1eac081b74b7b6a5cd5&pid=1-s2.0-S0094119024000573-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does the US have an infrastructure cost problem? Evidence from the interstate highway system 美国是否存在基础设施成本问题？州际公路系统提供的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103681
Neil Mehrotra , Matthew A. Turner , Juan Pablo Uribe
{"title":"Does the US have an infrastructure cost problem? Evidence from the interstate highway system","authors":"Neil Mehrotra ,&nbsp;Matthew A. Turner ,&nbsp;Juan Pablo Uribe","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103681","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103681","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Between 1984 and 2008, expenditure per Interstate vehicle mile traveled fell 10%, while the price of new lane miles and pavement quality more than doubled. To reconcile these trends, we describe an Interstate cost function for a planner who minimizes the cost required to deliver a given level of highway services. Using administrative data, we estimate prices for lane miles and pavement quality and evaluate the user cost of the Interstate. User cost fell by half between 1994–2008, largely due to falling interest rates. In this sense, there is no problem with the cost of the Interstate.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103681"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141959460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
JUE insight: Air pollution and student performance in the U.S. 觉》的洞察力：美国空气污染与学生成绩
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103686
Michael Gilraine , Angela Zheng
{"title":"JUE insight: Air pollution and student performance in the U.S.","authors":"Michael Gilraine ,&nbsp;Angela Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103686","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103686","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The United States has seen a drastic shift in the fuels used for electricity production. We study the consequences of these changes on air pollution and test scores. Using data covering the near-universe of students and a shift-share instrument that interacts local fuel shares with national growth rates, we show that each one-unit increase in particulate pollution reduces test scores by 0.016 standard deviations. Our estimates indicate that pollution reductions from electricity generation raised nationwide test scores by 0.03 standard deviations. As pollution declines were largest in majority-black districts, the black–white test score gap fell by 0.01 standard deviations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103686"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094119024000561/pdfft?md5=8c03ef7e8e64e1ff16bbbdf1c9c80060&pid=1-s2.0-S0094119024000561-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141960074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The economic impacts of the UK's eat out to help out scheme 英国 "外出就餐互助计划 "的经济影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103682
Nicolas Gonzalez-Pampillon , Gonzalo Nunez-Chaim , Henry G. Overman
{"title":"The economic impacts of the UK's eat out to help out scheme","authors":"Nicolas Gonzalez-Pampillon ,&nbsp;Gonzalo Nunez-Chaim ,&nbsp;Henry G. Overman","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103682","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103682","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We evaluate the economic impacts of the UK's Eat Out to Help Out (EOTHO) scheme on the food service sector. EOTHO was introduced during the COVID pandemic to stimulate demand by subsidizing the cost of eating out, with a 50 % discount Mondays to Wednesdays in August 2020. We exploit the spatial variation in participation using a continuous difference-in-differences approach and an instrumental variables strategy. We measure the effect on footfall using mobility data from Google and on employment using job posts from Indeed. Our estimates indicate that a one standard deviation increase in exposure to the EOTHO scheme increased footfall in retail &amp; recreation by 2–5 %, and job posts in the food preparation &amp; service industry by 6–8 %. These effects are transitory, and we do not find evidence of large spillover benefits to non-recreational activities or other sectors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103682"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094119024000524/pdfft?md5=b1700e6ebe7ebde0838a9b03df463139&pid=1-s2.0-S0094119024000524-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141594263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bunching in real-estate markets: Regulated building heights in New York City 房地产市场的束缚：纽约市受管制的建筑高度
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103683
Jan K. Brueckner , David Leather , Miguel Zerecero
{"title":"Bunching in real-estate markets: Regulated building heights in New York City","authors":"Jan K. Brueckner ,&nbsp;David Leather ,&nbsp;Miguel Zerecero","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103683","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103683","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper presents a real-estate application of the bunching methodology widely used in other areas of applied microeconomics. The focus is on regulated building heights in New York City, where developers can exceed a parcel’s regulated height by incurring additional costs. Using the bunching methodology, we estimate the magnitude of these extra costs, with the results showing a modest increase in the marginal cost of floor space beyond the regulated building height. We use these estimates to predict the additional floor space that would be created by complete removal of building-height regulation in NYC. While this last exercise is circumscribed by our focus on a limited number of zoning categories, the results suggest that New York could secure notably more housing through lighter height regulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103683"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094119024000536/pdfft?md5=ad9cba2b530fefcf4465a07d32ae8e8a&pid=1-s2.0-S0094119024000536-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141541855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The long-term effects of war on foreign direct investment and economic development: evidence from Vietnam 战争对外国直接投资和经济发展的长期影响：来自越南的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103680
Cuong Viet Nguyen , Tuyen Quang Tran , Huong Van Vu
{"title":"The long-term effects of war on foreign direct investment and economic development: evidence from Vietnam","authors":"Cuong Viet Nguyen ,&nbsp;Tuyen Quang Tran ,&nbsp;Huong Van Vu","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103680","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103680","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, we find a negative effect of unexploded ordnance (UXO) on the geographical density of foreign direct investment and large firms in Vietnam. A 1 % increase in the proportion of UXO-contaminated areas leads to a 0.69 % relative decrease in the density of FDI firms within districts. Point estimates for the elasticity of the density of joint-venture FDI firms and state-owned enterprises (SOEs) due to UXO are smaller, equal to -0.56 and -0.36. Moreover, we also find that a 1 % increase in the proportion of UXO-contaminated areas leads to a 0.38 % relative decrease in the intensity of nighttime light.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103680"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141479786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mayors’ promotion incentives and subnational-level GDP manipulation 市长晋升激励与国家以下各级 GDP 操纵
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103679
Jiangnan Zeng , Qiyao Zhou
{"title":"Mayors’ promotion incentives and subnational-level GDP manipulation","authors":"Jiangnan Zeng ,&nbsp;Qiyao Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103679","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103679","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>What role do local officials’ incentives play in regional economic growth? How do local officials behave under promotion pressure? This paper studies the unintended impact of mayors’ promotion incentives on regional economic growth and subnational-level GDP manipulation in China. We employ a regression discontinuity design that accounts for age restrictions in deciding promotions for mayors. We find that when GDP performance is prioritized in officials’ promotion evaluations (before 2013), mayors’ promotion incentives significantly increase the statistical GDP growth rate by 3.4 percentage points. However, their effects on nighttime light and other non-manipulable real economic growth indicators are close to zero. This gap can be attributed to GDP manipulation under our empirical framework. The above pattern no longer persists after 2013, when the role of GDP statistics in mayoral promotions was reduced. Our findings indicate that GDP manipulation makes performance-based competition between mayors devolve into a data manipulation game.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103679"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141479785","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of immigration status on crime reporting: Evidence from DACA 移民身份对犯罪报告的影响：来自 DACA 的证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103670
Thomas Pearson
{"title":"The impact of immigration status on crime reporting: Evidence from DACA","authors":"Thomas Pearson","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103670","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103670","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies how immigration status affects crime reporting. I focus on Deferred Action for Early Childhood Arrivals (DACA), a policy that temporarily protects youth from deportation and provides work authorization. For identification, I compare the reporting behavior of victims who are more likely to be undocumented around the policy’s age-eligibility cut-off over time. I find that DACA eligibility increased victims’ likelihood of reporting crimes to the police and provide evidence consistent with DACA reducing victims’ fear of deportation. Overall, the results suggest that immigrant legalization increases engagement with police.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"143 ","pages":"Article 103670"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141303087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Agglomeration Economies and the Built Environment: Evidence from Specialized Buildings and Anchor Tenants 聚集经济与建筑环境：来自专业化建筑和主力租户的证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103655
Crocker H. Liu , Stuart S. Rosenthal , William C. Strange
{"title":"Agglomeration Economies and the Built Environment: Evidence from Specialized Buildings and Anchor Tenants","authors":"Crocker H. Liu ,&nbsp;Stuart S. Rosenthal ,&nbsp;William C. Strange","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103655","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2024.103655","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Previous work on agglomeration economies ignores the built environment. This paper shows that the built environment matters, especially for commercial sectors that dominate city centers. Buildings are specialized beyond random assignment, in part because externality-generating anchor tenants skew a building's other tenants towards the anchor's industry. An anchor elsewhere on the blockface has a much weaker effect, and one that is weaker still if across the street, suggesting rapidly attenuating agglomeration economies. Attenuation is pronounced for retail and information-oriented office industries but is absent for manufacturing. Building managers have incentives and capacities to partly internalize local externalities, contributing to urban productivity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 103655"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141073151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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