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Long-distance water infrastructure, rural development and urban growth: Evidence from China 远距离供水基础设施、农村发展和城市增长：来自中国的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736
Xiaomeng Cui , Wangyang Lai , Tao Lin
{"title":"Long-distance water infrastructure, rural development and urban growth: Evidence from China","authors":"Xiaomeng Cui ,&nbsp;Wangyang Lai ,&nbsp;Tao Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Water is unevenly distributed across regions, yet the effectiveness of long-distance water transfer in addressing this issue remains understudied. This paper employs a difference-in-difference design to examine the impact of the world’s largest water transfer project on water resources, rural development, and urban growth. We find that the project enhances water supply and agricultural production in water-receiving areas, while it leads to agricultural declines in water-sourcing areas. Such diverging patterns contribute to various consequences on labor market and rural welfare, thereby generating further differential impacts on nearby urban growth. The water-receiving areas witness urban expansion and economic activities thrive in the rural-urban fringe, but in the water-sourcing areas, economic activities decline outside the core urban areas. Further analysis reveals significant heterogeneity between the two water-transfer routes, distinguished by their engineering designs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103736"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reducing the burden of mental illness on the criminal justice system: Evidence from light-touch outreach 减轻刑事司法系统的精神疾病负担：来自轻触式外展的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734
Mary Kate Batistich, William N. Evans, David C. Phillips
{"title":"Reducing the burden of mental illness on the criminal justice system: Evidence from light-touch outreach","authors":"Mary Kate Batistich,&nbsp;William N. Evans,&nbsp;David C. Phillips","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>One quarter of people in jail have a serious mental illness (SMI); we study a county in a multi-state area that screens all inmates to identify those with one. Immediately after jail exit, county staff attempt to contact and connect these individuals to a mental healthcare provider, making successful connections in one in four cases. As outreach began on a specific date and residents of neighboring counties are ineligible for outreach, we compare residents and non-residents exiting the same jail over time in a difference-in-differences design. When the program begins, 180-day recidivism rates fall by 12 percentage points more for eligible residents than for would-be-eligible non-residents. Measured effects at one year are consistent with a persistent impact over time. We also find suggestive evidence that recidivism effects are larger for people without a history of mental healthcare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103734"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice 缓慢的交通，快餐：时间损失对食品商店选择的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737
Panka Bencsik , Lester Lusher , Rebecca L.C. Taylor
{"title":"Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice","authors":"Panka Bencsik ,&nbsp;Lester Lusher ,&nbsp;Rebecca L.C. Taylor","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Time scarcity is one of the strongest correlates of fast food consumption. To estimate the causal effect of time lost on food choice, we match daily store-specific foot traffic data traced via smartphones to plausibly exogenous shocks in highway traffic congestion in Los Angeles County. We find that on days when highways are more congested, individuals are more likely to frequent fast food restaurants and less likely to grocery shop. In our main model, a one standard deviation increase in traffic delay leads to a 1% increase in fast food visits, equivalent to 1.2 million more fast food visits in Los Angeles County per year. The effects are particularly pronounced for afternoon rush hour traffic. Our results imply a net reduction in healthy food store choice due to time lost.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103737"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of low-skilled immigration on local productivity and amenities: Learning from the South Korean experience 低技能移民对当地生产力和便利设施的影响：从韩国的经验中学习
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738
Hyejin Kim , Jongkwan Lee , Giovanni Peri
{"title":"The effect of low-skilled immigration on local productivity and amenities: Learning from the South Korean experience","authors":"Hyejin Kim ,&nbsp;Jongkwan Lee ,&nbsp;Giovanni Peri","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we evaluate the economic effects of a significant increase in low-skilled immigration in Korean Municipalities. Using a change in immigration policy in 2004 and the pre-existing immigrant networks we estimate the effects of low-skilled immigration on local wages, net native migration, and housing prices. We interpret the findings using a canonical representative agent spatial equilibrium model as in Glaeser and Gottlieb (2009) to infer the equilibrium effects of immigration on local productivity and amenities. An increase of immigrants equal to 1 percent of the local population generated a 1% increase in local productivity and a 1.6% decrease in local amenities. We also find a net migration response of zero among natives deriving from an inflow of those who moved for work-related and an outflow of those who moved for amenity-related reasons. Finally, we find a direct negative effect of the immigration shock on measures of local amenities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103738"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Politically connected cities: Italy 1951–1991 政治联系紧密的城市：1951-1991年的意大利
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103733
Guglielmo Barone , Guido de Blasio , Elena Gentili
{"title":"Politically connected cities: Italy 1951–1991","authors":"Guglielmo Barone ,&nbsp;Guido de Blasio ,&nbsp;Elena Gentili","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103733","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103733","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper documents the higher growth experienced by politically connected municipalities in Italy between the end of World War II and the fall of the Berlin Wall. It leverages the peculiarities of the institutional setting and compares population growth in connected and unconnected municipalities with similar characteristics at the beginning of the period. Our results indicate a population premium of 7.4% over 40 years. Connected municipalities benefited from the location of state-owned enterprises, more infrastructures and higher public spending. Political connections favored industrialization, higher employment and wages, but crowded out private entrepreneurship. Local communities repaid these benefits through voting. There is no evidence of higher agglomeration economies in politically connected cities, suggesting that political connections have not been output-enhancing from a nationwide perspective. The difference in population growth rates fades away after the end of the connections.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103733"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mortgage innovation and house price booms 抵押贷款创新和房价暴涨
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725
Claes Bäckman , Chandler Lutz
{"title":"Mortgage innovation and house price booms","authors":"Claes Bäckman ,&nbsp;Chandler Lutz","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study how mortgage innovation can cause a housing boom even within a robust regulatory framework and strictly enforced recourse borrowing. Specifically, we find that the 2003 introduction of interest-only (IO) mortgages in Denmark ignited a housing boom that increased house prices 36 percent. In line with IO loans lowering debt-service payments and relaxing payment-to-income constraints, results show higher IO loan uptake and house price growth in areas with greater ex-ante benefits of such mortgages. Overall, our results are relevant for the many countries where IO loans play a sizable role in mortgage finance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103725"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Building tall, falling short: An empirical assessment of Chinese skyscrapers 高，低：对中国摩天大楼的实证评估
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103731
Ziyang Chen , Ting Chen , Yatang Lin , Jin Wang
{"title":"Building tall, falling short: An empirical assessment of Chinese skyscrapers","authors":"Ziyang Chen ,&nbsp;Ting Chen ,&nbsp;Yatang Lin ,&nbsp;Jin Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103731","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103731","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article examines the determinants and economic efficiency of state-led urbanization, increasingly the mantra of developing countries, focusing on China’s skyscraper development as a prominent example. Employing a political economy lens, we find that local governments subsidized skyscraper development through discounted land prices to encourage the development of new urban agglomerations, particularly in cities where local leaders are motivated by stronger career incentives and during the central government’s monetary easing policy period. But 5 to 10 years after completion, subsidized skyscrapers yield few spatial spillovers in land price premium, new business formation, or endogenous urban amenities, compared to unsubsidized ones. The lack of spillovers is caused by poor location, less reliable developers, and inadequate infrastructure. One important policy implication is that without careful consideration of local factors and related externalities, state interventions in urban development may fail to realize the fruits of public investment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103731"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096325","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Connective financing: Chinese infrastructure projects and the diffusion of economic activity in developing countries 关联融资：中国基础设施项目与发展中国家经济活动的扩散
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103730
Richard Bluhm , Axel Dreher , Andreas Fuchs , Bradley C. Parks , Austin M. Strange , Michael J. Tierney
{"title":"Connective financing: Chinese infrastructure projects and the diffusion of economic activity in developing countries","authors":"Richard Bluhm ,&nbsp;Axel Dreher ,&nbsp;Andreas Fuchs ,&nbsp;Bradley C. Parks ,&nbsp;Austin M. Strange ,&nbsp;Michael J. Tierney","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103730","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103730","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies the causal effect of transport infrastructure on the spatial distribution of economic activity within subnational regions across a large number of developing countries. To do so, we introduce a new global dataset of geolocated Chinese grant- and loan-financed development projects from 2000 to 2014 and combine it with measures of spatial concentration based on remotely sensed data. We find that Chinese-financed transportation projects decentralize economic activity within regions, as measured by a spatial Gini coefficient, by 2.2 percentage points. The treatment effects are particularly strong in regions that are less developed, more urbanized, and located closer to cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103730"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Taxes and telework: The impacts of state income taxes in a work-from-home economy 税收和远程办公：州所得税对在家工作经济的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103732
David R. Agrawal, Jan K. Brueckner
{"title":"Taxes and telework: The impacts of state income taxes in a work-from-home economy","authors":"David R. Agrawal,&nbsp;Jan K. Brueckner","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103732","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103732","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies the interstate effects of decentralized taxation and spending when work-from-home allows fully remote work from another state. In this setting, a state’s population and employment levels are decoupled, making the impact of state tax differentials radically different from when individuals must live and work in the same state. The impacts depend on whether income is taxed at the location of the employer (source) or employee (residence). Our main findings show that a shift from a non-WFH economy to a work-from-home (WFH) economy reduces employment and raises the wage in the high-tax state, with larger effects under source taxation. The logic is that wages are lower in the high-tax state in the absence of WFH, and with interstate wage equality required when residences and workplaces are decoupled, WFH causes a loss of employment and an increase in the wage in that state. Once WFH is established, a tax increase in the high-tax state either reduces employment further while raising the wage (source taxation) or leaves the labor market unaffected (residence taxation). We also show that the non-WFH equilibrium and the source-tax equilibrium under WFH are inefficient, while the residence-tax WFH equilibrium is efficient.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103732"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The economic cost of locking down like China: Evidence from city-to-city truck flows 像中国那样封锁的经济成本：来自城市间卡车流量的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103729
Jingjing Chen , Wei Chen , Ernest Liu , Jie Luo , Zheng Song
{"title":"The economic cost of locking down like China: Evidence from city-to-city truck flows","authors":"Jingjing Chen ,&nbsp;Wei Chen ,&nbsp;Ernest Liu ,&nbsp;Jie Luo ,&nbsp;Zheng Song","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103729","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103729","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Containing the COVID-19 pandemic by non-pharmacological interventions is costly. Using high-frequency, city-to-city truck flow data, this paper estimates the economic cost of lockdown in China, a stringent yet effective policy prior to the Omicron surge. By comparing the truck flow change in the cities with and without lockdown, we find that a one-month full-scale lockdown causally reduces the truck flows connected to the locked down city in the month by 54%, implying a decline of the city’s real income with the same proportion in a gravity model of city-to-city trade. We also structurally estimate the cost of lockdown in the gravity model, where the effects of lockdown can spill over to other cities through trade linkages. Imposing full-scale lockdown on the four largest cities in China (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen) for one month would reduce the real national GDP by 8.7%, of which 8.5% is contributed by the spillover effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103729"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2024-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142744484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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