{"title":"Judge for yourself? The impact of controls on the rental market in interwar New York","authors":"Maximilian Günnewig-Mönert , Ronan C. Lyons","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103859","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103859","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of early 20th-century rent control laws in New York City, exploiting judicial discretion as a source of variation. The 1920 regulations empowered municipal court judges to decide whether rent increases were “reasonable”, with rulings shaped by partisan affiliation. We assemble a new dataset of over 20,000 rental listings from the New York Times (1918–1930) and more than 7000 archival building permits, linked to records on 125 district judges. Using a Regression Discontinuity Design at municipal court district boundaries, we find that market rents rose by nearly 10 percent when crossing from Democrat- to Republican-controlled districts after rent control. We examine supply effects using a difference-in-differences design. We show that judicially enforced rent control substantially reduced residential investment: total residential investment was about 76 percent higher in landlord-friendly districts during the rent-control period. Together, these findings demonstrate how judicial discretion shaped both prices and investment, leading to systematic differences in profits and construction activity across districts, which likely shaped the medium-run build environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"153 ","pages":"Article 103859"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147802446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of natural disasters on rental markets: Heterogeneous effects, rental subsidies, and equity in disaster recovery","authors":"Katharine W.H. Harwood","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103862","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103862","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effect of Hurricane Sandy on rental markets in New York City and how existing rental subsidies influenced post-disaster recovery. Using an event study design that exploits spatial variation in storm exposure, I document persistent heterogeneity in rent dynamics across neighborhoods. Specifically, flooded blocks in lower income neighborhoods experience rent declines for up to 7 years after the storm, while rents in higher income neighborhoods rebound, and increase further within two years of the storm. I provide evidence that these diverging effects reflect disparate neighborhood resources for recovery: market-rate landlords in lower income neighborhoods were constrained in their ability to renovate their properties until the distribution of the city’s relief funds. In contrast, I show that voucher landlords in similar neighborhoods renovated much earlier, consistent with less binding capital constraints, and appear to have recouped the investment through increased tenant rents. Programmatic features shifted the incidence of these increases nearly entirely on the government, providing a sort of insurance for voucher landlords and tenants.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"153 ","pages":"Article 103862"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147802447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Diogo Baerlocher , Guilherme Lambais , Eustáquio Reis , Diego Firmino Costa da Silva , Henrique Veras
{"title":"Old but gold: Historical pathways and path dependence","authors":"Diogo Baerlocher , Guilherme Lambais , Eustáquio Reis , Diego Firmino Costa da Silva , Henrique Veras","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103863","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103863","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Following the discovery of gold in 1694 in Brazil, pathways were constructed to connect coastal settlements to mining regions in the unpopulated interior. While these pathways initially facilitated the creation of road towns, their influence faded by the late nineteenth century. With the mid-twentieth-century demographic and industrial transition, regions with higher historical road density experienced renewed population growth and greater migrant inflows. We argue that this resurgence reflects the role of road towns in supporting early urbanization and structural transformation. Using an extended Rosen–Roback–Glaeser framework, we estimate strong agglomeration spillovers, consistent with Brazil’s spatial economy exhibiting multiple steady states and possible historical path dependence.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"153 ","pages":"Article 103863"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147802445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The redistribution of housing wealth caused by rent control","authors":"Kenneth R. Ahern , Marco Giacoletti","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103845","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103845","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies the effects of rent control on the housing wealth of renters, landlords, and homeowners. Following the passage of rent control in St. Paul, Minnesota in 2021, average property values fell by 4.0% to 5.5%. Leveraging parcel-level data, we show that in the aggregate, renters gained and landlords lost, though upper-income renters gained more than lower-income renters, while small landlords lost the same as large landlords. Owner-occupants’ wealth also fell significantly from direct capitalization effects and negative externalities. These results provide the first evidence on the heterogeneous wealth effects of a wave of new rent control laws.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103845"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147398657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sena Coskun , Wolfgang Dauth , Hermann Gartner , Michael Stops , Enzo Weber
{"title":"Working from home increases work–home distances","authors":"Sena Coskun , Wolfgang Dauth , Hermann Gartner , Michael Stops , Enzo Weber","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103832","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103832","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how the increased acceptance of working from home during and after the Covid-19 pandemic shapes how labor market and locality choices interact. We combine large administrative data on employment biographies in Germany and a new working from home potential indicator based on comprehensive data on working conditions across occupations. We find that, in the wake of the pandemic, the distance between workplace and residence has increased more strongly for workers in occupations that can be done from home: The association of working from home potential and work–home distance increased significantly since 2021 as compared to a stable pattern before. The effect is much larger for new jobs, suggesting that people match to jobs with high working from home potential that are further away than before the pandemic. Most of this effect stems from jobs in big cities, which indicates that working from home alleviates constraints by tight housing markets. We find no significant evidence that commuting patterns changed more strongly for women than for men.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103832"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
W. Bowman Cutter , Sofia F. Franco , W. Skyler Lewis
{"title":"The topography of regulatory costs: The shadow cost-gradient of parking standards","authors":"W. Bowman Cutter , Sofia F. Franco , W. Skyler Lewis","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103830","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103830","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the shadow cost of minimum parking requirements (MPRs) for commercial real estate in Los Angeles County. This cost is defined as the difference between a parking space's market value and its combined construction and land costs. To estimate this shadow cost on a property-by-property basis, we use Mixed Geographically Weighted hedonic estimates to determine the value of on-site parking and location-specific parking cost estimates. Our methodology could also be applied to analyze the cost gradients of other zoning regulations, such as height limits and inclusionary housing.</div><div>Our results show that the implicit MPR costs vary widely, representing a significant gradient across the county. These costs are substantial relative to building construction expenses, allowing us to quantify how MPRs increase the cost of urban development.</div><div>In dense, high-value areas of Los Angeles County, the MPR costs for smaller properties can be as high as 30% of construction costs. In contrast, properties in outlying areas often have no binding MPRs. A real-world market test and instrumental variables approach further support the robustness of our findings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103830"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146190151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mario F. Carillo , Lavinia Piemontese , Francesco Flaviano Russo
{"title":"When the neighbors are watching: Immigrant integration policy and housing wealth","authors":"Mario F. Carillo , Lavinia Piemontese , Francesco Flaviano Russo","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103844","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103844","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We hypothesize and establish empirically that the effects of migrant integration policies on housing wealth are influenced by public attention to immigration. Using a unique policy converting temporary refugee reception centers into integration facilities, we conduct an event study analysis. Our results show that timing matters: implementation during times of high public attention to immigration reduces housing wealth, while implementation during times of low attention has no impact. These findings suggest that the backlash effect of integration policies estimated in the literature may be driven by public perceptions of migration crises.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103844"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147398656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Identifying the general equilibrium effects of narcotics enforcement","authors":"Zachary Porreca","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103829","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103829","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I analyze the demand side impacts of a supply-side intervention into the market for illegal drugs in what has been described as America’s largest open-air drug market. Beginning in 2018, the Pennsylvania Attorney General’s office and the Philadelphia Police Department engaged in an ambitious effort to shut down the drug market in Philadelphia’s Kensington neighborhood. The intervention involved increased police presence in the targeted area alongside a series of targeted “kingpin” sweeps which were intended to remove the most pervasive operators from the market. I employ highly granular SafeGraph cell phone location data to track changes in traffic flows between census block groups, observing that the Initiative led to sizeable and persistent reductions in traffic flows to the target area. Additionally, in contrast to substitution effects observed in other work, I observe that the Initiative led to reductions in traffic flows to other regional drug markets and large declines in overdose mortality in the Philadelphia metropolitan area as a whole, suggesting a genuine reduction in the quantity of illegal narcotics demanded. With a combination of theory and empirics, I argue that this reduction in the quantity demanded regionally is able to be achieved due to the Initiative disrupting a supply-chain that data indicates flows from the target area outwards to smaller satellite markets. Together this all suggests that, despite the inelastic demand for narcotics, regionally linked markets can be impacted broadly by location specific interventions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103829"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does political partisanship affect housing supply? Evidence from US cities","authors":"Fernando Ferreira , Joseph Gyourko","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103842","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103842","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the relationship between housing supply and political partisanship in US cities using an expanded database of mayoral elections combined with local housing permits since 1980. The endogeneity of which party holds the mayoral office is addressed via a regression discontinuity design that relies on closely contested races between Republicans and Democrats. Across a variety of election samples and econometric specifications, we find that partisanship does not have a statistically or economically significant effect on the supply of total, single- or multifamily housing unit permits despite recent increases in measured partisanship. This suggests that solutions to limitations on housing supply will not be dependent upon the political party in power at the local level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103842"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146190152","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"JUE insight: Floods & urban density","authors":"Pierre Magontier , Rodrigo Martinez-Mazza","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103831","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2026.103831","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effects of floods on urban development dynamics using geolocalized data on the universe of buildings in Spain from 1996 to 2021. We provide empirical evidence that floods promote local urban development, resulting in taller, more compact urban layouts that attract populations, increase property values, and shift land use away from the agricultural and industrial sectors. We argue that adaptive responses to natural disasters may trigger positive local spillovers strong enough to overcompensate for the flood’s destructive nature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 103831"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145996553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}