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JUE insight: Efficiency of bus priority infrastructure
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103751
Felipe González , Hugo E. Silva
{"title":"JUE insight: Efficiency of bus priority infrastructure","authors":"Felipe González ,&nbsp;Hugo E. Silva","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103751","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103751","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We use bus GPS data across 500 routes to estimate the impact of priority infrastructure on buses’ speed and ridership in Chile. Almost 100 million bus trips allow us to leverage within-route variation in the proportion of the route in which buses travel along bus lanes or Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) corridors. Corridors increase bus speeds by 20% at peak hours. Bus lanes, often seen as an equally effective but cheaper alternative to a BRT corridor, are, on average, ineffective. However, bus lanes achieve the same travel time savings as BRT corridors only when fully isolated from private vehicles, coupled with monitoring cameras and enforcement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103751"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143474513","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analyzing political preferences of second-generation immigrants across the rural–urban divide
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103740
Simone Moriconi , Giovanni Peri , Riccardo Turati
{"title":"Analyzing political preferences of second-generation immigrants across the rural–urban divide","authors":"Simone Moriconi ,&nbsp;Giovanni Peri ,&nbsp;Riccardo Turati","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103740","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103740","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the political preferences of immigrants’ offspring in relation to the rural–urban divide of political preferences in European countries. Using data on individual voting behavior and political preferences in 22 European countries between 2001 and 2017, we analyze whether second-generation immigrants have different preferences on a left–right political spectrum, relative to other natives. We show that they have a significant left-wing preference after controlling for a large set of individual characteristics and origin fixed effects. In spite of their concentration in urban areas, where native residents are also more left-leaning than the average, this difference is not a result of their location, as the difference is particularly strong in non-urban areas. Second-generation immigrants are also more likely to be politically active, to participate in demonstrations or petitions and to exhibit stronger preferences for inequality-reducing government intervention, internationalism and multiculturalism. Growing up with an immigrant father experiencing challenges in his labor market integration seems to be the stronger predictor of the left-wing preference of second-generation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103740"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143378195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-term effects of weather-induced migration on urban labor and housing markets
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103739
Matias Busso, Juan Pablo Chauvin
{"title":"Long-term effects of weather-induced migration on urban labor and housing markets","authors":"Matias Busso,&nbsp;Juan Pablo Chauvin","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103739","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103739","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the effects of weather-induced rural–urban migration on labor and housing market outcomes of urban residents in Brazil. In order to identify causal effects, it uses weather shocks to the rural municipalities of origin of migrants. We show that larger migration shocks led to an increase in employment growth and a reduction in wage growth of 4 and 5 percent, respectively. The increased migration flows also affected the housing market in destination cities. On average, it led to 4 percent faster growth of the housing stock, accompanied by 6 percent faster growth in housing rents. These effects vary sharply by housing quality. We find a substantial positive effect on the growth rates of the most penurious housing units (with no effect on rents) and a negative effect on the growth of housing units in the next quality tier (with a positive effect on rents). This suggests that rural immigration growth slowed down housing-quality upgrading in destination cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103739"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143284766","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of macroprudential policies on homeownership: Evidence from Switzerland
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103749
Elio Bolliger , Adrian Bruhin , Andreas Fuster , Maja Ganarin
{"title":"The effect of macroprudential policies on homeownership: Evidence from Switzerland","authors":"Elio Bolliger ,&nbsp;Adrian Bruhin ,&nbsp;Andreas Fuster ,&nbsp;Maja Ganarin","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103749","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103749","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies how the introduction of macroprudential policies in the Swiss residential mortgage market affected the propensity of households to become homeowners. We exploit a unique administrative data set of individual tax records containing detailed financial and socio-demographic information. We show that the mean share of renter households transitioning into homeownership decreased from 3.4% per year in the five years prior to the introduction of macroprudential policies to 3.0% per year in the five years afterward. This decrease is more pronounced for young and middle-aged households with relatively low income and wealth, suggesting that it is at least partly due to a tightening in borrowing constraints. Moreover, intergenerational transfers in the form of predeath bequests have become more important for homebuying both at the extensive and intensive margin.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103749"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Roads, internal migration and the spatial sorting of U.S. high-skill workers
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103735
Florin Cucu
{"title":"Roads, internal migration and the spatial sorting of U.S. high-skill workers","authors":"Florin Cucu","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103735","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103735","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article studies the effects of a major transport infrastructure project, the construction of the U.S. Interstate Highway System (IHS), on the location choices and welfare of high-skill and low-skill workers. In its first part, the article provides reduced-form evidence that the IHS altered the skill composition of metropolitan areas. Event study and instrumental variable regressions show that better-connected cities experienced higher growth in their adult population and share of college-educated residents. Additional results highlight the role played by lower travel times, inter-state migration, and agglomeration economies. The second part of the article rationalizes these patterns using a quantitative spatial model with costly trade, heterogeneous migration costs, and agglomeration economies. Counterfactual experiments show that increasing travel times to their pre-IHS values would lower the expected utility of high-skill workers by an average of 6.1% and that of low-skill workers by 6.4%. These effects exhibit significant variation across cities and, within cities, across skill groups. The findings in this article highlight how transport infrastructure shapes the distribution of skills and the spatial patterns of welfare inequality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103735"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-distance water infrastructure, rural development and urban growth: Evidence from China
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736
Xiaomeng Cui , Wangyang Lai , Tao Lin
{"title":"Long-distance water infrastructure, rural development and urban growth: Evidence from China","authors":"Xiaomeng Cui ,&nbsp;Wangyang Lai ,&nbsp;Tao Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Water is unevenly distributed across regions, yet the effectiveness of long-distance water transfer in addressing this issue remains understudied. This paper employs a difference-in-difference design to examine the impact of the world’s largest water transfer project on water resources, rural development, and urban growth. We find that the project enhances water supply and agricultural production in water-receiving areas, while it leads to agricultural declines in water-sourcing areas. Such diverging patterns contribute to various consequences on labor market and rural welfare, thereby generating further differential impacts on nearby urban growth. The water-receiving areas witness urban expansion and economic activities thrive in the rural-urban fringe, but in the water-sourcing areas, economic activities decline outside the core urban areas. Further analysis reveals significant heterogeneity between the two water-transfer routes, distinguished by their engineering designs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103736"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reducing the burden of mental illness on the criminal justice system: Evidence from light-touch outreach
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734
Mary Kate Batistich, William N. Evans, David C. Phillips
{"title":"Reducing the burden of mental illness on the criminal justice system: Evidence from light-touch outreach","authors":"Mary Kate Batistich,&nbsp;William N. Evans,&nbsp;David C. Phillips","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>One quarter of people in jail have a serious mental illness (SMI); we study a county in a multi-state area that screens all inmates to identify those with one. Immediately after jail exit, county staff attempt to contact and connect these individuals to a mental healthcare provider, making successful connections in one in four cases. As outreach began on a specific date and residents of neighboring counties are ineligible for outreach, we compare residents and non-residents exiting the same jail over time in a difference-in-differences design. When the program begins, 180-day recidivism rates fall by 12 percentage points more for eligible residents than for would-be-eligible non-residents. Measured effects at one year are consistent with a persistent impact over time. We also find suggestive evidence that recidivism effects are larger for people without a history of mental healthcare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103734"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737
Panka Bencsik , Lester Lusher , Rebecca L.C. Taylor
{"title":"Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice","authors":"Panka Bencsik ,&nbsp;Lester Lusher ,&nbsp;Rebecca L.C. Taylor","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Time scarcity is one of the strongest correlates of fast food consumption. To estimate the causal effect of time lost on food choice, we match daily store-specific foot traffic data traced via smartphones to plausibly exogenous shocks in highway traffic congestion in Los Angeles County. We find that on days when highways are more congested, individuals are more likely to frequent fast food restaurants and less likely to grocery shop. In our main model, a one standard deviation increase in traffic delay leads to a 1% increase in fast food visits, equivalent to 1.2 million more fast food visits in Los Angeles County per year. The effects are particularly pronounced for afternoon rush hour traffic. Our results imply a net reduction in healthy food store choice due to time lost.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103737"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of low-skilled immigration on local productivity and amenities: Learning from the South Korean experience
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738
Hyejin Kim , Jongkwan Lee , Giovanni Peri
{"title":"The effect of low-skilled immigration on local productivity and amenities: Learning from the South Korean experience","authors":"Hyejin Kim ,&nbsp;Jongkwan Lee ,&nbsp;Giovanni Peri","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we evaluate the economic effects of a significant increase in low-skilled immigration in Korean Municipalities. Using a change in immigration policy in 2004 and the pre-existing immigrant networks we estimate the effects of low-skilled immigration on local wages, net native migration, and housing prices. We interpret the findings using a canonical representative agent spatial equilibrium model as in Glaeser and Gottlieb (2009) to infer the equilibrium effects of immigration on local productivity and amenities. An increase of immigrants equal to 1 percent of the local population generated a 1% increase in local productivity and a 1.6% decrease in local amenities. We also find a net migration response of zero among natives deriving from an inflow of those who moved for work-related and an outflow of those who moved for amenity-related reasons. Finally, we find a direct negative effect of the immigration shock on measures of local amenities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 103738"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143161435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mortgage innovation and house price booms
IF 5.7 1区 经济学
Journal of Urban Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725
Claes Bäckman , Chandler Lutz
{"title":"Mortgage innovation and house price booms","authors":"Claes Bäckman ,&nbsp;Chandler Lutz","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2024.103725","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study how mortgage innovation can cause a housing boom even within a robust regulatory framework and strictly enforced recourse borrowing. Specifically, we find that the 2003 introduction of interest-only (IO) mortgages in Denmark ignited a housing boom that increased house prices 36 percent. In line with IO loans lowering debt-service payments and relaxing payment-to-income constraints, results show higher IO loan uptake and house price growth in areas with greater ex-ante benefits of such mortgages. Overall, our results are relevant for the many countries where IO loans play a sizable role in mortgage finance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"145 ","pages":"Article 103725"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143096323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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