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Early voting can widen the turnout gap: The case of childbirth 提前投票会拉大投票率差距:分娩案例
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102817
Sirus H. Dehdari , Mathilde M. van Ditmars , Karl-Oskar Lindgren , Sven Oskarsson , Kåre Vernby
{"title":"Early voting can widen the turnout gap: The case of childbirth","authors":"Sirus H. Dehdari ,&nbsp;Mathilde M. van Ditmars ,&nbsp;Karl-Oskar Lindgren ,&nbsp;Sven Oskarsson ,&nbsp;Kåre Vernby","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102817","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102817","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Early voting procedures boost voter participation and have therefore been suggested as institutional remedies for the problem of unequal turnout. Scholars have, however, raised concerns that making voting more convenient may actually lead to a less representative electorate. We contribute to this debate by leveraging large-scale Swedish registry data to analyze persons expecting a child around the time of the election. Our results indicate that politically engaged high-status voters are more likely to use the opportunity to vote in advance when faced with the risk of not being able to vote on election day. Given the large number of obstacles to election-day voting that individuals face throughout life, it is therefore conceivable that efforts to make voting more convenient and less costly for citizens may in the end lead to less representative electorates.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102817"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141308038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does ranked choice Voting Increase voter turnout and mobilization? 排序选择投票会提高投票率和动员率吗?
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102816
E. Dowling , C. Tolbert , N. Micatka , T. Donovan
{"title":"Does ranked choice Voting Increase voter turnout and mobilization?","authors":"E. Dowling ,&nbsp;C. Tolbert ,&nbsp;N. Micatka ,&nbsp;T. Donovan","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102816","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102816","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Many jurisdictions in the United States have recently adopted single-winner ranked choice voting (RCV) to replace first-past-the-post plurality elections. This study contributes to the literature examining the potential consequences of changing to RCV by modeling the relationship between electoral systems and voter turnout. We propose that RCV may increase turnout by incentivizing increased contacts with voters. Previous attempts at assessing the relationship between RCV and turnout in the US have been limited by a lack of individual-level turnout data measured across all cases where RCV is and is not used. The study utilizes large, unique data from administrative voter turnout records that overcomes this limitation. We find significant and substantially higher probabilities of turnout in places that use RCV, and find evidence that campaigns in RCV places have greater incidences of direct voter contacting than in similar places that do not use RCV.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102816"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S026137942400074X/pdfft?md5=5c69beafaafd9e1a688cd233ad262ef7&pid=1-s2.0-S026137942400074X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141290334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Even in the best of both worlds, you can't have it all: How German voters navigate the trilemma of mixed-member proportionality 即使在最好的两个世界里,你也不可能拥有一切:德国选民如何应对混合成员比例的三难困境
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102797
Lukas Haffert , Pascal Langenbach , Tobias Rommel
{"title":"Even in the best of both worlds, you can't have it all: How German voters navigate the trilemma of mixed-member proportionality","authors":"Lukas Haffert ,&nbsp;Pascal Langenbach ,&nbsp;Tobias Rommel","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102797","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The growing fragmentation of party systems confronts mixed-member proportional electoral systems with a trilemma. Combining the goals of proportionality and of a guaranteed representation of district winners makes it ever more difficult to also achieve a third goal: the fixed size of parliament. Against the background of electoral reform in Germany, this paper studies how citizens position themselves in this trilemma. Using original survey data, we find that all goals are popular and no combination of goals commands majority support. In a context where institutional reform becomes politicized, the trilemma is thus not only a logical, but also an empirical constraint. Moreover, abstract preferences in the trilemma systematically predict how voters evaluate the status quo and specific reform proposals. At the same time, voters are receptive to the logical constraints of the system: Informing respondents about the trilemma trade-offs in an experimental setting makes them more accepting of reform proposals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102797"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000556/pdfft?md5=7bca149b9cbf521db650372f25ab3ec5&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000556-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141290333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Polarization congruence and satisfaction with democracy: A multinational investigation 两极分化的一致性与民主满意度:多国调查
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102796
Fatih Erol , Yüksel Alper Ecevit , Gülnur Kocapınar
{"title":"Polarization congruence and satisfaction with democracy: A multinational investigation","authors":"Fatih Erol ,&nbsp;Yüksel Alper Ecevit ,&nbsp;Gülnur Kocapınar","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102796","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102796","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The mass-elite congruence in politics is key to a healthy democracy. Existing research uses the match between citizens' ideological positions and those of political elites and parties to assess satisfaction with democracy over time and across countries. However, mass-elite ideological congruence does not necessarily guarantee mass-elite overlap in ideological polarization, the implications of which for democratic satisfaction are little known. Accordingly, our article examines the link between the mass-elite ideological polarization congruence and democratic satisfaction in a multinational context. We reason that when polarized electorates feel let down by their parties' depolarization, these ideologically polarized people would grow frustrated with the disconnected democratic system (seen as ineffective in meeting citizens' expectations and delivering meaningful political alternatives). Then, we find that electorates who do not consider their affiliated parties to be as ideologically polarized as themselves tend to be dissatisfied with the way democracy works in their countries. Our additional inquiries suggest that this democratic dissatisfaction parallels ambivalence in democratic commitment. We also find that the perception of no differences between parties, and affiliation with populist and losing parties amplifies these disappointed polarized electorates’ dissatisfaction with democracy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102796"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The (non)-religious voter in Canadian elections 加拿大选举中的(非)宗教选民
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102812
Jean-François Daoust , Mélyann Guévremont , André Blais
{"title":"The (non)-religious voter in Canadian elections","authors":"Jean-François Daoust ,&nbsp;Mélyann Guévremont ,&nbsp;André Blais","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102812","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Religious and regional cleavages have been key for understanding Canadian elections, and particularly the domination of the Liberal Party of Canada. While the conventional wisdom has been that these two cleavages are the most important sociodemographic factors in explaining citizens' vote choice, scholars have not paid a lot of attention to religious voting in recent elections. In this research note, we provide the first systematic post-2011 analysis of religious voting in Canada. We do so by leveraging recent Canadian Election Studies. We examine the relationship between voters’ religious affiliation and level of religiosity and vote choice. We show that both facets of religious voting matter, but that their impacts vary across parties and regions. The findings inform scholarship on Canadian politics as well as comparative analyses of sociodemographic cleavages in electoral democracies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102812"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000702/pdfft?md5=c134db8ffee559c22e2a206e1d2edd19&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000702-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141250206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Candidate incentive distributions: How voting methods shape electoral incentives 候选人激励分布:投票方法如何形成选举激励
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102799
Marcus Ogren
{"title":"Candidate incentive distributions: How voting methods shape electoral incentives","authors":"Marcus Ogren","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102799","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102799","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We evaluate the tendency for different voting methods to promote political compromise and reduce tensions in a society by using computer simulations to determine which voters candidates are incentivized to appeal to. We find that Instant Runoff Voting incentivizes candidates to appeal to a wider range of voters than Plurality Voting, but that it leaves candidates far more strongly incentivized to appeal to their base than to voters in opposing factions. In contrast, we find that Condorcet methods and STAR (Score Then Automatic Runoff) Voting provide the most balanced incentives; these differences between voting methods become more pronounced with more candidates in the race and less pronounced in the presence of strategic voting. We find that the incentives provided by Single Transferable Vote to appeal to opposing voters are negligible, but that a tweak to the tabulation algorithm makes them substantial.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102799"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241702","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The telegraph and turnout: Evidence from Sweden 电报与投票率:瑞典的证据
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102795
Guillem Amatller , Johannes Lindvall
{"title":"The telegraph and turnout: Evidence from Sweden","authors":"Guillem Amatller ,&nbsp;Johannes Lindvall","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102795","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102795","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This research note uses district-level panel data from 1870s Sweden to estimate the effect of the electric telegraph on electoral turnout. We argue that the telegraph contributed to higher turnout since it connected local communities to a national communication network, making people more aware of election campaigns and national political issues and more motivated to vote. Previous studies of the turnout effects of new telecommunication technologies have examined the radio, television, and the internet, with mixed results. Unlike these later technologies, the telegraph was almost exclusively used to transmit information, not entertainment, and it did not replace an existing telecommunication technology. Our empirical findings suggest that the telegraph had a positive effect on turnout, but only in areas with local newspapers that could benefit from the speedy access to national news.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102795"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241703","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is opinion-policy congruence rewarded at the ballot box? 民意与政策的一致性是否会在投票箱中得到回报?
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102793
Jesper Lindqvist, Mikael Persson, Anders Sundell
{"title":"Is opinion-policy congruence rewarded at the ballot box?","authors":"Jesper Lindqvist,&nbsp;Mikael Persson,&nbsp;Anders Sundell","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102793","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102793","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>It is well known that voters prefer parties whose policy positions align with their own. But do voters actually reward incumbents who implement policies preferred by the electorate? Using cross-country data covering more than 350 elections and opinion-policy congruence measures based on 166 issues, our analysis reveals an unexpected non-correlation between opinion-policy congruence and electoral success. Governments that implement (or keep in place) policies with higher levels of support in the electorate do not do better in subsequent elections. This result holds when controlling for the state of the economy, and when using other, country-specific, datasets. The study reinforces conclusions from previous research that retrospective policy voting seems to be very limited.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102793"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141243642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding preferences for descriptive political representation among citizens with immigrant background 了解有移民背景的公民对描述性政治代表的偏好
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102802
Mattias Agerberg
{"title":"Understanding preferences for descriptive political representation among citizens with immigrant background","authors":"Mattias Agerberg","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102802","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102802","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Today, citizens with an immigrant background make up a large minority in many western democracies. However, we still know little about how this growing group of citizens wants to be represented politically, often due to a simple lack of data. This study overcomes this obstacle by using Facebook ad campaigns to target Swedish citizens with immigrant background directly. In a series of experiments the study shows important similarities between native Swedes and citizens of immigrant origin, with both groups emphasizing substantive representation. The study also reveals substantial heterogeneity within the immigrant group: respondents show no preference for being represented by another immigrant in general. Only a shared immigrant background elicits a positive response, thus cautioning against treating “immigrant background” as a homogenous category. The results also highlight an understudied source of discrimination where respondents with immigrant background show a strong negative reaction against immigrants from certain countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102802"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241704","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Elite polarization — The boon and bane of democracy: Evidence from thirty democracies 精英两极分化--民主的利弊:来自三十个民主国家的证据
IF 2.3 2区 社会学
Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801
Armin Seimel
{"title":"Elite polarization — The boon and bane of democracy: Evidence from thirty democracies","authors":"Armin Seimel","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Democracy is under threat, while polarization is rising. Empirical evidence to understand a possible link between the two is mixed, with scholars finding elite polarization increases turnout but decreases democratic satisfaction. However, these mixed results span various samples and methodologies, including elite surveys and manifestos to capture elite polarization data, but they rarely address how citizens perceive this polarization. In response, I present a new individual-level measure of perceived elite polarization, revealing the complexities of individual perceptions of elite polarization that extend beyond macro elite polarization and is applicable to any party system. The results from applying this new measure confirms that higher perceptions of elite polarization can engage citizens but reduce satisfaction by testing effects on democratic satisfaction and turnout across 34 democracies over 25 years, in addition to panel data in the United Kingdom. However, higher perceptions of elite polarization also decrease the likelihood of people being simultaneously satisfied with democracy and voting. These findings indicate that high perceived elite polarization can be detrimental to democracy and emphasizes the complexity in individual perceptions of elite polarization, underscoring the need for further study.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102801"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000593/pdfft?md5=f9279e35d759631e362a1ad228ee5e48&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000593-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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