Electoral Studies最新文献_第9页

The telegraph and turnout: Evidence from Sweden 电报与投票率：瑞典的证据

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102795

Guillem Amatller , Johannes Lindvall

引用次数: 0

Is opinion-policy congruence rewarded at the ballot box? 民意与政策的一致性是否会在投票箱中得到回报？

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102793

Jesper Lindqvist, Mikael Persson, Anders Sundell

引用次数: 0

Understanding preferences for descriptive political representation among citizens with immigrant background 了解有移民背景的公民对描述性政治代表的偏好

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102802

Mattias Agerberg

引用次数: 0

Elite polarization — The boon and bane of democracy: Evidence from thirty democracies 精英两极分化--民主的利弊：来自三十个民主国家的证据

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801

Armin Seimel

{"title":"Elite polarization — The boon and bane of democracy: Evidence from thirty democracies","authors":"Armin Seimel","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102801","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Democracy is under threat, while polarization is rising. Empirical evidence to understand a possible link between the two is mixed, with scholars finding elite polarization increases turnout but decreases democratic satisfaction. However, these mixed results span various samples and methodologies, including elite surveys and manifestos to capture elite polarization data, but they rarely address how citizens perceive this polarization. In response, I present a new individual-level measure of perceived elite polarization, revealing the complexities of individual perceptions of elite polarization that extend beyond macro elite polarization and is applicable to any party system. The results from applying this new measure confirms that higher perceptions of elite polarization can engage citizens but reduce satisfaction by testing effects on democratic satisfaction and turnout across 34 democracies over 25 years, in addition to panel data in the United Kingdom. However, higher perceptions of elite polarization also decrease the likelihood of people being simultaneously satisfied with democracy and voting. These findings indicate that high perceived elite polarization can be detrimental to democracy and emphasizes the complexity in individual perceptions of elite polarization, underscoring the need for further study.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 102801"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000593/pdfft?md5=f9279e35d759631e362a1ad228ee5e48&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000593-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141241701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Mode of candidacy, electoral prospects, and the ideological deviation of candidacy-seeking politicians from their party leadership 参选方式、选举前景以及寻求参选的政治家在意识形态上与党的领导的偏差

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102798

Marc Debus , Johannes Lattmann , Sarah Wagner

{"title":"Mode of candidacy, electoral prospects, and the ideological deviation of candidacy-seeking politicians from their party leadership","authors":"Marc Debus , Johannes Lattmann , Sarah Wagner","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102798","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102798","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Politicians who seek their parties' nomination as candidates for public office start communicating their ideological profile to the selectorate months before the party decides on who will run as candidates. However, some politicians tend to steer away from their party leadership, while others stick closer to the party line. We argue that not only the mode of candidacy but one's expected chances of winning the election during the candidate selection period are defining factors in understanding why some candidates deviate further from their party leadership position than others. We use novel data on the degree of intra-party competition among the main German parties in all 299 electoral districts and on the ideological positions of candidates, measured using their Twitter statements in the run-up to the 2021 Bundestag election, to evaluate our expectations. In line with existing studies, we find that candidates who seek only their party's nomination via lists deviate less from party leadership than candidates who seek nomination as a district candidate. In contrast to our expectations, candidates who seek their nomination in an electoral district do not deviate more ideologically from their party when they can expect to win the district seat on election day based on published polls during the candidate selection period.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 102798"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000568/pdfft?md5=4a72cc15d90f6f04577266e39009f8c1&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000568-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141090161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Voting propensity and parental depression 投票倾向与父母抑郁

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102800

Luca Bernardi , Emma Bridger , Mikko Mattila

{"title":"Voting propensity and parental depression","authors":"Luca Bernardi , Emma Bridger , Mikko Mattila","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102800","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102800","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Among the most prevalent and costly of all illnesses worldwide, depression also has substantive consequences for democratic politics, not least because it is associated with lower voting propensity. One of the most reliable predictors of becoming depressed is a family history of depression, an intergenerational link thought to arise through multiple mechanisms that increase a person's cognitive, behavioural and affective disposition towards depression. We study if a person's voting propensity in adulthood is predicted by their parents' depressive symptomatology during early childhood and whether this is mediated by the likelihood of being depressed in adulthood. We analyse the 1970 British Cohort Study in which persons belonging to a same cohort have been systematically followed from early childhood to midlife. The results show that parents' symptoms of depression predict offspring's voting propensity, especially earlier in adulthood, although the effect is relatively small. Contrary to predictions, the effect is mostly direct.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 102800"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000581/pdfft?md5=f4856d795869ce25cf12031d6d46f414&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000581-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141090162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Do voters (dis)like dynastic politicians? Experimental evidence from Pakistan 选民（不）喜欢王朝政治家吗？巴基斯坦的实验证据

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102786

Sergio J. Ascencio, Rabia Malik

{"title":"Do voters (dis)like dynastic politicians? Experimental evidence from Pakistan","authors":"Sergio J. Ascencio, Rabia Malik","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102786","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102786","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>While an extensive comparative politics literature focuses on the mechanisms that facilitate the emergence and persistence of political dynasties, we know relatively little about voters’ views on them. A survey experiment in Pakistan, a country where dynasticism is common, allows us to study how voters perceive and evaluate politicians with dynastic ties. We find that dynastic politicians are perceived as lower quality and less supportive of universalistic policies than their non-dynastic peers. Additionally, respondents report a lower preference of voting for such candidates themselves, suggesting that the “dynastic electoral advantage” documented in previous research is elite-driven. Our findings suggest that voters also perceive non-dynastic candidates needing to be more qualified to overcome the higher entry barriers created by dynasticism. These results also have important implications for the quality of representation in many developing countries, where entrenched political families continue playing key roles in national and local politics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 102786"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000441/pdfft?md5=b9d78276814e9a8d85a81574e22e177b&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000441-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140879388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Electoral institutions and repression in dictatorships 独裁政权的选举机构和镇压

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102791

Chao-Yo Cheng , Yuree Noh

引用次数: 0

Loyalties and interests: How political motivations influence voters’ responses to scandals 忠诚与利益：政治动机如何影响选民对丑闻的反应

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102792

Alvaro J. Pereira Filho, Laura B. Stephenson, Mathieu Turgeon

{"title":"Loyalties and interests: How political motivations influence voters’ responses to scandals","authors":"Alvaro J. Pereira Filho, Laura B. Stephenson, Mathieu Turgeon","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102792","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102792","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Scandals have always been a highly salient problem in politics. In judging politicians for their misconduct, voters may arguably be biased – they may evaluate scandals based on individual motivations, such as partisanship and self-interested concerns. In this paper, we examine these two considerations in the case of two real-world corruption scandals involving a single incumbent government. In addition to testing for the effects of partisan motivations in authentic situations, we consider how scandals associated with policy goals interact with personal motivations, shaping the degree to which people penalize a scandalous government. Across two survey experiments that prime respondents about real-world corruption scandals, we manipulate question wording for some participants and measure their evaluations of a scandalous leader's performance. We find an effect for self-interested concerns when the benefits associated with the scandal are concentrated and tangible. Our findings suggest that voters hold public figures accountable for misbehaviour and that there are limits to partisan loyalties in political scandals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 102792"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140823942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The effect of combining a populist rhetoric into right-wing positions on candidates’ electoral support 将民粹主义言论与右翼立场相结合对候选人选举支持率的影响

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102787

Diogo Ferrari

{"title":"The effect of combining a populist rhetoric into right-wing positions on candidates’ electoral support","authors":"Diogo Ferrari","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102787","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102787","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The recent electoral success of right-wing populists in various democracies sparked a rich body of studies investigating the causes of populists’ mass support. These studies agree that populists’ “thick” policy positions, such as anti-immigration and social conservatism, partially explain their support, but there are mixed findings on whether populists’ “thin” rhetoric affects support for populists. This paper examines this problem by asking if combining a “thin” populism with different “thick” positions gives candidates any electoral advantage over adopting only the latter. Using an original conjoint experiment conducted in the US, it shows that populist leaders’ “thin” rhetoric alone does not affect their electoral support. However, when right-wing candidates combine “thin” populism with “thick” positions, the effect of combining these two stances on candidates’ ratings is substantially larger than adopting the same respective right-wing positions but not combining them with populism. This was found only among right-wing voters who hold populist attitudes, suggesting that populism can be electorally advantageous for right-wing candidates, but it does not lead voters to cross ideology lines because of populism.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 102787"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140823943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0