Electoral Studies最新文献_第9页

A quiet and invisible challenge: Depressive symptoms and the evaluation of democratic institutions 一个无声而无形的挑战：抑郁症状和对民主制度的评价

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102928

Claudia Landwehr , Christopher Ojeda , Paul Weingärtner

引用次数: 0

What drives the link between university study and attitudinal change? 是什么推动了大学学习和态度变化之间的联系？

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102930

Elizabeth Simon , Daniel Devine , Jamie Furlong

{"title":"What drives the link between university study and attitudinal change?","authors":"Elizabeth Simon , Daniel Devine , Jamie Furlong","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102930","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102930","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>What drives the link between university study and attitudinal change? While research shows that obtaining a degree tends to make students more socially liberal, little is known about what drives this effect. We address this ‘how’ question by testing the socialisation-based mechanisms through which university study may shift attitudes; combining individual-level panel data from the British Election Study Internet Panel with university- and constituency-level data about where respondents studied to estimate sub-group effects. Our results suggest that students tend to shift their attitudes subtly in a leftward and liberal direction whilst at university, but that this average effect is larger for: those who graduate younger, who study STEM and other non-HSS subjects (social attitudes only), who move away from home to study, who attend single campus institutions, and who live in ‘university towns’ and ‘cosmopolitan London’ while studying (all economic attitudes only). Overall, we find evidence to suggest that the socialisation experiences individuals are exposed to while studying have important shaping effects on their attitudes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102930"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143785444","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The poles in polarization: Social categorization and affective polarization in multiparty systems 极化的两极：多党制下的社会分类与情感极化

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102908

Adrian Rothers

引用次数: 0

Turning up and down the partisan heat. Voters’ psychological profile and changes in negative radical partisanship over the course of an election 让党派之争起起落落。在选举过程中，选民的心理状况和消极激进党派关系的变化

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102926

Alessandro Nai, Patrick F.A. van Erkel, Linda Bos

{"title":"Turning up and down the partisan heat. Voters’ psychological profile and changes in negative radical partisanship over the course of an election","authors":"Alessandro Nai, Patrick F.A. van Erkel, Linda Bos","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102926","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102926","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Who is more likely to get “heated up” against their political rivals during the course of the campaign, as election day draws near? And for whom is such aggressive stance more likely to “cool down” in the aftermath of the election? Leveraging novel evidence from a four-wave longitudinal survey fielded in the weeks leading to – and the aftermath of – the Dutch national elections of November 2023 (<em>N</em> = 5500 in wave 1, <em>N</em> = 1770 in wave 4), we test for the predictors of changes in negative radical partisanship (NRP) in voters. We measure NRP via four independent indicators – support for political violence, partisan Schadenfreude, moral disengagement, and social distance – and investigate the extent to which the psychological profile of respondents affects whether they “heat up” and “cool down” their radical stance during the course of the election. Results suggest that expressive partisanship and need for chaos highly relate to upsurges of negative radical partisanship in the build-up to elections, while at the same time hampering any post-election cooling down. The dark personality profile of respondents and populist attitudes seem to relate only marginally to (de)radicalization. Data and codes are openly available for replication.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102926"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143681099","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Patriarchy in the Parties: Voters, parties and women’s electoral fortunes in the 2024 legislative election in Indonesia 政党中的父权制：2024年印尼立法选举中的选民、政党和女性选举命运

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102938

Jóhanna Kristín Birnir , Noory Okthariza , Khoirunnisa Nur Agustyati , Heroik M. Pratama

{"title":"The Patriarchy in the Parties: Voters, parties and women’s electoral fortunes in the 2024 legislative election in Indonesia","authors":"Jóhanna Kristín Birnir , Noory Okthariza , Khoirunnisa Nur Agustyati , Heroik M. Pratama","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102938","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102938","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Do voter and party gender biases differently affect the likelihood that female and male candidates are nominated to and elected from equivalent list positions in national legislative elections? This paper examines the interaction between list position, gender quotas, and voter and party biases in shaping women’s electoral success in Indonesia’s 2024 legislative election. Using new data on nearly 10K candidates, while voter penalties against female candidates are important, our analysis finds that parties can effectively counteract these biases through strong list placement. However, we also find that parties nominate far fewer women than men and appear to apply different selection criteria when placing female candidates in lower list positions compared to their male counterparts. Additionally, our results underscore the critical role of party system fragmentation and candidate quotas in shaping women’s representation. We also highlight how seemingly minor adjustments to quota calculations can impact electoral competition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102938"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144068372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Partisan and non-partisan conspiracy theories’ diverging effects on political participation 党派与非党派阴谋论对政治参与的差异效应

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102920

Mert Can Bayar

引用次数: 0

Who are the internet voters? An age, period and cohort analysis of e-voting use 谁是互联网选民？电子投票使用的年龄、时期和队列分析

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102923

Moulay Lablih , Pascal Sciarini

引用次数: 0

Relative out-party hostility and its consequences in multiparty democracies 相对的党外敌意及其在多党民主中的后果

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102924

Melek Hilal Eroglu

{"title":"Relative out-party hostility and its consequences in multiparty democracies","authors":"Melek Hilal Eroglu","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102924","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102924","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How extensive and intense is out-party hostility in contemporary multiparty democracies, and what are its consequences for democratic attitudes, political engagement, and voting behavior? While previous studies have highlighted increasing trends in such hostility, existing measures of the concept fall short in three key respects: they fail to account for the breadth and intensity of hostility in multiparty systems, they do not offer a singular measure for overall hostility, and they do not account for the relative prevalence of negative versus positive party affect. This paper introduces a new measure, ‘Relative Hostility’ to overcome these limitations. Using data from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) across 48 multiparty democracies, this study compares the effects of ‘Relative Hostility’ with those of existing measures of out-party hostility and Affective Polarization on democratic attitudes, support for extremism, and political participation. The findings demonstrate that ‘Relative Hostility’ more accurately explains the adverse effects on democracies, such as increased dissatisfaction with democracy and support for extremist parties. These findings underscore the urgent need for developing strategies that mitigate out-party hostility to bolster democratic resilience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102924"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143706527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The strategic dilemma of social democracy: Lessons from Slovakia 社会民主主义的战略困境：斯洛伐克的教训

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911

Roman Hlatky , Oľga Gyárfášová

{"title":"The strategic dilemma of social democracy: Lessons from Slovakia","authors":"Roman Hlatky , Oľga Gyárfášová","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102911","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The declining fortunes of European social democracy have been the subject of much attention. A contested explanation for how to remedy the decline concerns whether conservative shifts on sociocultural and transnational issues are helpful or harmful at the ballot box. In contrast, we focus on an underexplored adaptation strategy: the split of social democracy along the sociocultural cleavage. We analyze the Slovak case where a successful, dominant social democratic party, Smer-SD, divided. One part of the divide took radical, conservative stances on sociocultural and geopolitical issues, while the other part adopted moderate positions. Analyzing over 30 public opinion polls, we show that the split and the parties’ subsequent ideological differentiation led to electoral success. Radicalization attracted conservative former radical-right voters; moderation ensured the support of the more liberal middle class. Situating Slovakia in the wider European context, we: (1) suggest that the salience of the sociocultural cleavage has strengthened the appeal of a nationalist left programmatic direction in Central and Eastern Europe; (2) explore why moderate social democracy succeeded in Slovakia but failed elsewhere; and (3) confirm previous findings on the importance of strong leadership and a large membership base for splinter party success, and on voter responsiveness to parties' ideological and programmatic shifts. More generally, the Slovak case illustrates that party splits are both a consequence of and a potentially effective response to the strategic dilemma of social democracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102911"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143562848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Do second-order elections produce second-order governments? How national and regional factors influence the composition of regional governments 二阶选举产生二阶政府吗？国家和地区因素如何影响地方政府的组成

IF 2.9 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102941

Alexander Verdoes

引用次数: 0