Electoral Studies最新文献_第9页

Surveying immigrant-origin voters in a post-migrant society: The first Immigrant German Election Study, 2017 在后移民社会中调查移民裔选民：2017 年首次德国移民选举研究

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102773

Sabrina Jasmin Mayer , Achim Goerres , Dennis Christopher Spies , Manuel Diaz Garcia , Jonas Elis

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引用次数: 0

Youth with clipped wings: Bridging the gap from youth recruitment to representation in candidate lists 折翼的青年：缩小从招聘青年到候选人名单中的青年代表之间的差距

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102767

Carlos Jalali , Patrícia Silva , Edna Costa

引用次数: 0

Labor mobility and semi-presidentialism 劳动力流动与半总统制

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102772

Sam Sharman

引用次数: 0

Moving the electoral goalposts: State and local strategies of electoral intervention in the U.S. 移动选举标杆：美国州和地方的选举干预战略

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102771

Galen Sheely

引用次数: 0

The electoral consequences of taxation in OECD countries 经合组织国家税收对选举的影响

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102774

Leo Ahrens , Frank Bandau

{"title":"The electoral consequences of taxation in OECD countries","authors":"Leo Ahrens , Frank Bandau","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102774","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102774","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Researchers, politicians, and pundits commonly expect that voters retrospectively punish and reward government parties for tax policies, but there is surprisingly little cross-country evidence that backs this claim. This study provides comprehensive evidence from 30 OECD countries, 1970–2020. It analyzes the electoral fates of government parties that increased or cut taxes on personal incomes and consumption. Our findings confirm the prevalence of electoral consequences, but these depend on the type and direction of tax change. Government parties lose votes when they increase personal income taxes while there is only marginal evidence suggesting electoral reward for income tax increases and electoral consequences after value-added tax changes. The findings also indicate the distributive effects of reforms to matter. The most pronounced consequences arise when governments raise income taxes on the poor. The moderating role of conditional factors such as government partisanship and fiscal pressure are explored, but no consensus emerges from the findings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102774"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000325/pdfft?md5=5b061e2ede7409b8356a7c33181dd815&pid=1-s2.0-S0261379424000325-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140145251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Can political parties narrow the intra-party winner-loser gap? An experimental test of the moderating impact of strategic communication 政党能否缩小党内输赢差距？战略传播的调节作用实验测试

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102769

Leen Lingier

{"title":"Can political parties narrow the intra-party winner-loser gap? An experimental test of the moderating impact of strategic communication","authors":"Leen Lingier","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102769","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102769","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recent empirical studies show that winning or losing an intra-party decision affects party members' attitudes and behavior concerning their party. This paper builds on these findings and examines how political parties can narrow this intra-party winner-loser gap. More specifically, it argues that the gap in attitudes and behavior of party members is influenced by how the outcome of a decision is justified. A survey experiment conducted among two Flemish parties examines the effect of winning or losing the decision of government participation and the moderating impact of focusing on a specific set of a party's goals and negative references to other parties. Results show a negative effect of focusing on a specific set of a party's goals on the level of decision acceptance but this effect does not spill over to other potential attitudinal or intentional behavioral reactions including party and membership satisfaction, support for the decision-making process, activity within the party, leaving the party, and casting a deviant vote. In addition, no moderating impact is found for negative references to other parties.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102769"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140138802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Time to death explains the chronological decline of voter turnout among the older population 死亡时间解释了老年人投票率按时间顺序下降的原因

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102775

Hannu Lahtinen , Pekka Martikainen

引用次数: 0

Place-based identities and cleavage formation in the knowledge society 知识社会中基于地域的身份认同和裂痕的形成

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102768

Delia Zollinger

引用次数: 0

Anti-immigration party success abroad and voter polarization at home 反移民政党在国外的成功与国内选民的两极分化

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102762

Tobias Böhmelt, Lawrence Ezrow, Roi Zur

引用次数: 0

Do at-large elections reduce black representation? A new baseline for county legislatures 地方选举会减少黑人代表人数吗？县级立法机构的新基线

IF 2.3 2区社会学

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102750

Jason Douglas Todd , Curtis Bram , Arvind Krishnamurthy

{"title":"Do at-large elections reduce black representation? A new baseline for county legislatures","authors":"Jason Douglas Todd , Curtis Bram , Arvind Krishnamurthy","doi":"10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102750","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102750","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Much work has shown that, at all levels, Black citizens tend to be descriptively underrepresented in government. We take up the question of Black descriptive representation at the level of the county legislature, gathering data on the composition of North Carolina’s 100 county commissions. We propose an alternative measure of descriptive representation, termed “seats above expectation”, and apply a counterfactual simulation approach to gauge the effects of at-large and ward-based elections. We find that Black citizens are underrepresented statewide: there are four fewer Black county commissioners than we would expect, based on the current county board sizes, demographics, and institutional arrangements. However, we find that universal implementation of ward-based elections would increase the statewide total of Black county commissioners by 20 in expectation, a 17% increase over the baseline. Because our methodological approach does not require a natural experiment or policy change, scholars can estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) of ward-based elections on minority descriptive representation across a wider array of locales.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48188,"journal":{"name":"Electoral Studies","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 102750"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140122324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0