Does ranked choice Voting Increase voter turnout and mobilization?

IF 2.9 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE
E. Dowling , C. Tolbert , N. Micatka , T. Donovan
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Many jurisdictions in the United States have recently adopted single-winner ranked choice voting (RCV) to replace first-past-the-post plurality elections. This study contributes to the literature examining the potential consequences of changing to RCV by modeling the relationship between electoral systems and voter turnout. We propose that RCV may increase turnout by incentivizing increased contacts with voters. Previous attempts at assessing the relationship between RCV and turnout in the US have been limited by a lack of individual-level turnout data measured across all cases where RCV is and is not used. The study utilizes large, unique data from administrative voter turnout records that overcomes this limitation. We find significant and substantially higher probabilities of turnout in places that use RCV, and find evidence that campaigns in RCV places have greater incidences of direct voter contacting than in similar places that do not use RCV.

排序选择投票会提高投票率和动员率吗?
美国的许多司法管辖区最近都采用了单胜者排序选择投票(RCV)来取代得票最多者当选的复数选举。本研究通过模拟选举制度与投票率之间的关系,为研究改用 RCV 可能带来的后果的文献做出了贡献。我们提出,RCV 可以通过鼓励增加与选民的接触来提高投票率。在美国,由于缺乏在使用或未使用 RCV 的所有情况下测量的个人层面投票率数据,以往评估 RCV 与投票率之间关系的尝试受到了限制。本研究利用了来自行政选民投票记录的大量独特数据,克服了这一局限。我们发现,在使用 RCV 的地方,投票率明显大幅提高,并且有证据表明,与不使用 RCV 的类似地方相比,使用 RCV 的地方的竞选活动直接联系选民的发生率更高。
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来源期刊
Electoral Studies
Electoral Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
82
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.
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