{"title":"Politician’s childhood experience and government policies: Evidence from the Chinese Great Famine","authors":"Cheng Li , Le Wang , Junsen Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>We analyze the impact of a politician’s childhood experience on their policy choices. By exploiting exogenous variations in exposure to China’s Great Famine, we find that a provincial leader’s childhood experience of the famine significantly increases the share of government expenditure allocated to health care during his term. This effect is observed only for those who were aged under five during the famine and is not found among older cohorts. The impact is substantial: our back-of-the-envelope calculation indicates that an increase of one </span>standard deviation in exposure to the famine can lead to an increase of roughly 7.84 billion RMB (equivalent to about 1.19 billion US Dollars) in annual provincial health care expenditure for a province with average government spending in 2017. We provide evidence suggesting that this effect may be driven by a politician’s personal experience of negative health outcomes due to the famine. Furthermore, we observe that China’s political promotion system, which favors economic growth, incentivizes provincial leaders to counterbalance increased health care spending by reducing funding for less visible public services, particularly cultural activities. Such strategic allocations ensure the continuity of other policy areas that are more influential in their political career.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139296598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael Alexeev , Timur Natkhov , Leonid Polishchuk
{"title":"Institutions, abilities, and the allocation of talent: Evidence from Russian regions","authors":"Michael Alexeev , Timur Natkhov , Leonid Polishchuk","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Strong institutions attract talent to productive activities, whereas weak ones raise the appeal of rent seeking. We propose a theory that describes the impact of institutions on occupational choices over a range of abilities, and predicts that the sensitivity of such choices to the quality of institutions rises in talent when the latter increases from low to intermediate levels, and declines thereafter. To test these predictions empirically, we use a unique micro data set describing the choices of fields of studies by newly enrolled university students in Russian regions in 2011–2014. We show that the popularity of sciences and engineering, on one hand, and law and public administration, on the other, are linked to the quality of regional investment climate and another measure of institutional quality in a manner predicted by our theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138530249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The (dis)connection between R&D and productivity in China: Policy implications of R&D tax credits","authors":"Qing Liu , Larry D. Qiu , Xing Wei , Chaoqun Zhan","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We use Chinese firm-level data from 2001 to 2007 to estimate the (dis)connection between firms’ R&D and productivity and find that the productivity effect of R&D investment is very low. We conjecture that firms conduct/report unproductive R&D in order to obtain policy benefits. To explore this plausible misconduct, we investigate the effects of China's 2003 R&D tax reform on firms’ R&D investment. The reform generates exogenous treatment variations across firm ownerships for causal identification. We find that the reform has statistically significant and positive effects on firms’ R&D investments. Quantitatively, the reform raises firms’ R&D investments by 6.68 % and the estimated R&D elasticity of tax deduction for private firms is 0.9147, which is comparable to other countries. However, our further empirical results indicate that the policy-induced R&D is less efficient in promoting firms’ productivity than the spontaneous R&D. We provide evidence of firms’ relabeling non-R&D expenses to R&D expenses, which partly explains the inefficiency of R&D investment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139986178","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Hukou Matters: The heterogeneous local labor market effects of export expansions in China","authors":"Shuaizhang Feng , Jingliang Lu , Leilei Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the effects of export expansions between 2000 and 2015 on China's local labor markets, focusing on the heterogeneous effects for people with different Hukou statuses. We find that rising local exports increased manufacturing and service-sector employment shares but decreased agricultural employment share for non-local-urban-Hukou residents, including local-rural-Hukou people and cross-prefecture migrants. On the other hand, trade expansions decreased the likelihood of employment and service-sector employment for local-urban-Hukou people. We provide evidence on the substitution and wealth effects for the “crowding-out” of local-urban-Hukou people out of employment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139292405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ranoua Bouchouicha , Olivier L’Haridon , Ferdinand M. Vieider
{"title":"Law and economic behaviour","authors":"Ranoua Bouchouicha , Olivier L’Haridon , Ferdinand M. Vieider","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Preferences play a key role in economic models as drivers of behaviour. Recent contributions have started to model preferences as endogenously determined. This creates two fundamental issues for empirical research. The first concerns the determinants of preferences. The second concerns the effect of preferences on economic outcomes, which become difficult to quantify once preferences are endogenous. We explore the extent to which the prevalence of risk tolerance across countries is endogenously determined by the legal and institutional environment of a country, and whether this behavioural trait in turn contributes to shaping the aggregate entrepreneurship rate. To do so, we rely on structural equation modelling, where the direction of causality arises from the underlying model assumed to construct the equations. Data fit to the model serve to determine whether the underlying causal model presents a plausible representation of the empirical facts. We find that legal origins exert a strong effect on risk tolerance. We further document an indirect effect of legal origins on entrepreneurship rates passing through risk preferences. These findings illustrate the pervasiveness of the effect of legal origins on economic behaviour.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135615660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effects of superstition on firms' investment behavior: Evidence from Vietnam, an irreligious country✰","authors":"Dai Van Pham","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.11.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the impact of superstition on corporate decision-making in Vietnam, a highly irreligious country. We focus on the folk belief that the ages of 49–53 are considered calamitous and use a regression discontinuity design to show that companies significantly decrease their investment in fixed assets during these ages of their directors. The effect is more pronounced in smaller firms and is not accompanied by a decrease in employment growth. We introduce a novel two-stage difference method to identify the role of superstition in causing the ‘calamitous ages’ effect.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135664882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Caselaw and England's economic performance during the Industrial Revolution: Data and evidence","authors":"Peter Grajzl , Peter Murrell","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.10.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.10.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We generate and analyze data pertinent to examining whether developments in caselaw were consequential for England's economic performance during the Industrial Revolution. Applying topic modeling to a corpus of 67,455 reports on English court cases, we construct annual time series of caselaw developments between 1765 and 1865. We then add a real per-capita GDP series to our caselaw series and estimate a structural VAR featuring a linear time trend. Our evidence shows that caselaw developments were an important determinant of economic fluctuations. Caselaw shocks jointly account for more of the variability in per-capita GDP around its long-term trend than do shocks directly to per-capita GDP. The response of per-capita GDP to caselaw innovations critically depends on the legal domain. Developments in caselaw on intellectual property, organizations, debt and finance, and inheritance boosted economic performance while developments in property and ecclesiastical caselaw had negative effects on per-capita GDP. Our analysis uncovers a 'bleak-law era' when the legal system misallocated attention between output-promoting and output-hindering areas of law.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135371056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trust we lost: The impact of the Treuhand experience on political alienation in East Germany","authors":"Kim Leonie Kellermann","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.10.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.10.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Do politically administered mass layoffs undermine trust and political interest? During the German reunification, formerly state-owned socialist firms in East Germany were privatized by the <em>Treuhand</em>, which came at the cost of massive job losses and public protest. We demonstrate that these activities had a detrimental effect on attitudes and political behavior of the affected individuals. Using survey data from the German Socio-economic Panel and election results, we find that East Germans who lost their jobs exhibit significantly lower trust levels, lower political interest and a lower identification with mainstream democratic parties, even up to 30 years after reunification. We corroborate the causality of the results using fixed-effects estimations and a placebo analysis, which fails to explain political disenchantment by reasons other than the Treuhand experience. We interpret the findings as the persistent, negative effect of perceived political mismanagement during a crucial phase of economic transition on long-run political identification.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135762270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Luis Carranza-Ugarte , Julián Díaz-Saavedra , Jose Enrique Galdon-Sanchez
{"title":"Rethinking fiscal rules","authors":"Luis Carranza-Ugarte , Julián Díaz-Saavedra , Jose Enrique Galdon-Sanchez","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.02.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.02.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Covid 19 pandemic has caused both a decrease in tax revenues and an increase in public spending, forcing governments to increase fiscal deficits to unprecedented levels. Given these circumstances, it is foreseeable that fiscal rules will play a predominant role in the design of many countries’ recovery policies. We develop a general equilibrium, overlapping generations model for a small, open economy in order to study the impact of several fiscal rules upon welfare, public expenditures and growth. We calibrate the model to the Peruvian economy. In this economy, fiscal rules have been widely used and, unlike in other Latin American countries, they have been relatively successful. We find that fiscal rules will generate better results in terms of output if, in addition to maintaining control over the fiscal result, they also preserve public investment. We also find that the performance of economies that implement structural rules tends to be better than the performance of economies that implement rules based on realized budget balance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9999243/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9680212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Did raising doing business scores boost GDP?","authors":"Tamanna Adhikari , Karl Whelan","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2023.04.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2023.04.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We use the time series variation in the World Bank’s “distance to frontier” estimates of the ease of doing business to assess the effects of changes in this variable on real GDP per capita. The use of Vector Autoregression techniques allows us to identify shocks to the <em>Doing Business</em> scores that are initially uncorrelated with GDP, thus addressing an important endogeneity problem that affects the cross-sectional literature on this topic. We report a robust finding that improvements in <em>Doing Business</em> scores have at least a temporary negative impact on GDP and find little evidence for a positive effect in the years following these improvements.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49754661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}