International Journal of Sustainable Transportation最新文献

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Exploring the psychological drivers of sustainable transport consumption: The role of Big-Two personality traits 探索可持续交通消费的心理驱动因素:大二型人格特征的作用
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2376562
Md Shahin , Milad Ghasri , Alireza Abbasi
{"title":"Exploring the psychological drivers of sustainable transport consumption: The role of Big-Two personality traits","authors":"Md Shahin ,&nbsp;Milad Ghasri ,&nbsp;Alireza Abbasi","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2376562","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2376562","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Understanding the psychological factors that influence people’s behavior in using sustainable modes of transportation, e.g., public transport, is crucial for promoting environmentally friendly behavior and mitigating climate change. This study examines the impact of the big-two personality traits (stability and plasticity) on households’ auto transport consumption (ATC) and public transport consumption (PTC), and their mediating role in the relationship between socioeconomic factors (e.g., age, income, education, marital status) and transport consumptions (i.e., ATC and PTC). A triple-hurdle model, including two binary logit models and one structural equation model, is developed using a comprehensive national household survey in Australia. Findings reveal that the stability trait is positively related to ATC (<em>b</em> = 0.253, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.10) and negatively to PTC (b = −0.372, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.001), while the plasticity trait shows a positive association with PTC (<em>b</em> = 0.351, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.001) and is negatively related to ATC (b = −0.296, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.001). The developed analytical framework supports policymakers to identify individuals with stability and plasticity traits, using socioeconomic factors, and to design more-targeted interventions to incentivize specific individuals to use public transport, thus contributing to global efforts toward a sustainable future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 7","pages":"Pages 547-561"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multiple shared mobility services under competition: Empirical evidence for public acceptance and policy insights to sustainable transport 竞争下的多种共享交通服务:公众接受度的经验证据和对可持续交通的政策启示
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2384613
R. C. P. Wong , Jintao Ke , W. Y. Szeto , P. L. Mak
{"title":"Multiple shared mobility services under competition: Empirical evidence for public acceptance and policy insights to sustainable transport","authors":"R. C. P. Wong ,&nbsp;Jintao Ke ,&nbsp;W. Y. Szeto ,&nbsp;P. L. Mak","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2384613","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2384613","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Traffic congestion and roadside emissions are severe and common problems in metropolitans. As a promising and sustainable solution to mitigating these vehicle externalities, shared mobility reduces the required vehicle fleet size for serving a given level of demand by sharing a vehicle among travelers with similar schedules and itineraries. Public acceptance is the key to the success of shared mobility development. This study investigates the acceptance of drivers and passengers of two typical competing shared mobility modes, car-pooling and taxi ride sharing, taking Hong Kong as a case study. For an empirical evaluation, an on-street stated preference survey was conducted, and 829 respondents, including 257 private car owners and 572 non-private car owners were interviewed about their travel preferences in three given hypothetical scenarios. In total, 2,487 observations were collected for calibrating two proposed logit-based discrete choice models for drivers and passengers. The model results show that the out-of-pocket cost, in-vehicle travel time, and out-of-vehicle time are key factors influencing travelers’ decisions toward car-pooling and taxi ride-sharing. An equilibrium model was proposed and an iteration solution procedure was applied to obtain a convergent solution to balance the demand and supply of drivers and passengers for car-pooling services. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were carried out to examine the effects of variations in proportions of travel cost and taxi fare shared by passengers for car-pooling and taxi ride-sharing, and to assist in the formulation of relevant transport policies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 7","pages":"Pages 562-575"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Distributions of walking access to public transport in Melbourne, Australia – Evidence on acceptable and tolerable walking distances 澳大利亚墨尔本公共交通步行距离分布--关于可接受和可容忍步行距离的证据
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2385641
Michael A. P. Taylor , Sekhar Somenahalli
{"title":"Distributions of walking access to public transport in Melbourne, Australia – Evidence on acceptable and tolerable walking distances","authors":"Michael A. P. Taylor ,&nbsp;Sekhar Somenahalli","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2385641","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2385641","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The international literature indicates a wide interest in the distances public transport users walk to access their services. Urban and transport planners seek information on acceptable walking distances (AWD) in the provision of minimum levels of service coverage. This study uses a large database from Melbourne, Australia, to analyze trip length frequency distributions (TLFD) of walking access and egress to consider AWD in a multimodal public transportation system and to examine tolerable walking distances (TWD). AWD provides a guide to planners about stop/station locations for desirable minimum service coverage. TWD is a representative maximum walking distance for assessing the effectiveness of that service provision and can be used in conjunction with AWD. A statistical distribution function for walking distances can facilitate the use of regional values for AWD and TWD in transit service planning. The Burr Type XII distribution is shown to provide a good fit to the observed data. This provides a valuable tool for the analysis of percentile walking distances and suggests a general framework for the study of AWD and TWD in any city or region.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 7","pages":"Pages 576-588"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006469","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of ambient temperature on light-duty gasoline vehicle fuel consumption under real-world driving conditions 实际驾驶条件下环境温度对轻型汽油车油耗的影响
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2385635
Pengfei Fan , Guohua Song , Hongyu Lu , Hang Yin , Zhiqiang Zhai , Yizheng Wu , Lei Yu
{"title":"Impact of ambient temperature on light-duty gasoline vehicle fuel consumption under real-world driving conditions","authors":"Pengfei Fan ,&nbsp;Guohua Song ,&nbsp;Hongyu Lu ,&nbsp;Hang Yin ,&nbsp;Zhiqiang Zhai ,&nbsp;Yizheng Wu ,&nbsp;Lei Yu","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2385635","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2385635","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The widening gap between real-world vehicle energy consumption and modeled predictions can be attributed to discrepancies between actual ambient temperatures and assumptions made in laboratory tests. This study collected a detailed, extensive dataset comprising 25,640,666 records of real-world vehicle operating (speed, acceleration, etc.) and fuel consumption data alongside 124,938 hourly meteorological profiles (temperature, relative humidity, etc.). High-resolution fuel consumption rates (FCRs) based on ambient temperature were developed, and adjustment factors were introduced based on ambient temperature and vehicle specific power (VSP) binning. Fuel consumption factors (FCFs) were compared across different temperatures by incorporating VSP distributions and the adjusted FCRs, revealing larger FCFs at extreme temperatures compared to moderate ones. Fuel consumption inventories, both with and without temperature adjustments, were evaluated. The results indicated a 6% underestimation of annual fuel consumption in Beijing when disregarding temperature adjustments. The variation was observed across months (in July and August, underestimations can reach 11%) and across VSP bins (larger impact in low VSP bins). The relationship between FCR and ambient temperature is similar to a quadratic curve, with the lowest consumption occurring at 10 °C–20 °C. The FCF adjustment factor does not vary across speed intervals in cold weather and remains stable at approximately 1.15 at −10 °C, but it drops from 1.25 to 1 as speed increases from 5 to 100 km/h in hot weather. This study underscores the importance of considering ambient temperature in vehicle energy consumption modeling and the necessity of temperature-adjusted approaches for accurate fuel consumption estimations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 7","pages":"Pages 589-604"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Examining ride sourcing services as an emerging mode in Metro Vancouver: Insights into trip characteristics and impacts on multimodal competitions 研究大温哥华地区新兴的乘车外包服务:洞察出行特点及其对多式联运竞争的影响
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2363203
Felita Ong , Patrick Loa , Khandker Nurul Habib
{"title":"Examining ride sourcing services as an emerging mode in Metro Vancouver: Insights into trip characteristics and impacts on multimodal competitions","authors":"Felita Ong ,&nbsp;Patrick Loa ,&nbsp;Khandker Nurul Habib","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2363203","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2363203","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The availability and utilization of ride-sourcing services have the potential to transform how people travel. While these services could improve mobility and accessibility, they could also attract users away from active modes and public transit and increase congestion and emissions. Understanding the impacts of transportation network companies (TNCs) on the transportation system is critical to ensure that the benefits of ride-sourcing are captured, and its negative externalities are minimized. This study uses web-based survey data administered to Metro Vancouver residents to explore the characteristics of ride-sourcing trips and the early impacts of ride-sourcing use on mode choice, given that TNCs are new to the study area. Additionally, this study utilizes stated preference experiments and error-components mixed logit models to examine the influence of sociodemographic characteristics and attitudinal factors on mode choice decisions for commuting and non-commuting trips. The results offer insights into the relationship between ride-sourcing and private vehicles, local and regional transit, taxi, and active modes (such as walking and cycling). Furthermore, model results highlight the heterogeneity in mode substitution behavior across population segments. This study can help planners and agencies capitalize on the advantages of TNCs and better integrate ride-sourcing into the transportation system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 505-522"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141369208","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The cycling boom in German cities. The role of grassroots movements in institutionalizing cycling 德国城市的自行车热潮。基层运动在自行车制度化中的作用
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2368717
Simon Werschmöller , Andreas Blitz , Martin Lanzendorf , Aldo Arranz-López
{"title":"The cycling boom in German cities. The role of grassroots movements in institutionalizing cycling","authors":"Simon Werschmöller ,&nbsp;Andreas Blitz ,&nbsp;Martin Lanzendorf ,&nbsp;Aldo Arranz-López","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2368717","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2024.2368717","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cycling rates have grown consistently over recent years in cities across the globe. Nevertheless, the lack of policies to promote cycling results in dissatisfaction among cyclists in many cities. In response to this situation, local grassroots initiatives have emerged to pursue more ambitious cycling policies in German cities. However, there is limited knowledge of how grassroots movements influence the cycling policy agenda. Against this background, our article explores the relevance of the grassroots movement “Radentscheid” in four major German cities (Berlin, Frankfurt, Munich, and Hamburg) regarding institutionalizing cycling policymaking. By combining exploratory document analysis, expert interviews, and an analysis of secondary data, we show that the development of cycling over the last two decades in these cities follows three stages: (i) Commitment, when cycling is put on the political agenda; (ii) Imbalanced growth, characterized by a strong increase in cycling but little progress in cycling policies and a decrease in cycling satisfaction; and (iii) Institutional adaptation, when cycling becomes a key issue for local governments due to the pressure from the grassroots movement “Radentscheid”. This paper closes with a discussion of the main results and policy recommendations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 534-545"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141592821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
School route safety perceptions of primary school children and their parents: Effects of transportation mode and infrastructure 小学生及其家长对上学路线安全的看法:交通方式和基础设施的影响
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2350992
Rul von Stülpnagel , Nils Riach , Rafael Hologa , Jessica Kees , Stefan Gössling
{"title":"School route safety perceptions of primary school children and their parents: Effects of transportation mode and infrastructure","authors":"Rul von Stülpnagel ,&nbsp;Nils Riach ,&nbsp;Rafael Hologa ,&nbsp;Jessica Kees ,&nbsp;Stefan Gössling","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2350992","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2350992","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Active school travel has been associated with a wide range of psychological and physiological benefits. However, many parents (particularly those of primary school children) are concerned about their children’s safety due to traffic and urban infrastructure. In this research, we collected information about the geographical school routes, the transportation mode, and the accompaniment status of children of a German primary school. Children and their parents also rated the overall safety of the entire school route. Our findings underline that even primary school children can travel actively to school (about two-thirds in our sample) if the routes to school are short enough and consist of a comparatively safe infrastructure. Children rated their school routes to be significantly safer than their parents did. Furthermore, we found evidence for differences with regard to specific aspects: For example, parents’ (but not children’s) safety perceptions are enhanced by a higher proportion of streets with reduced speed limits. Given that parents who feel the school route is unsafe are less likely to allow their child to travel to school alone, traffic calming measures appear one measure suitable to accommodate their concerns. In contrast to traffic-related issues as the subjectively most prevalent hazard, our survey points toward single-person crashes as a more common case that may be rather underestimated by parents.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 465-477"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141108836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Build environment, race, and walking behavior: A multiscale analysis 建筑环境、种族和行走行为:多尺度分析
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2368117
Weiye Xiao , Yehua Dennis Wei
{"title":"Build environment, race, and walking behavior: A multiscale analysis","authors":"Weiye Xiao ,&nbsp;Yehua Dennis Wei","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2368117","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2024.2368117","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Hispanics have a documented higher risk of obesity than other ethnic minorities. Walking can reduce the risk of obesity and promote healthy living. However, walking behavior varies with race/ethnicity, and Hispanics’ walking behavior is less understood. This study compared the walking behaviors of Hispanic and non-Hispanic White residents in Salt Lake County (SLCo), Utah, at the personal and block group levels, based on data from the Utah Household Travel Survey (UHS), which covered 2800 households and 176 Hispanic individuals in SLCo, including their travel trips and socioeconomic status. Trip-level data from the UHS were aggregated into personal and block group levels based on trip ends for multiscale analysis. Our statistical analysis suggested that Hispanics’ walking frequency and density were significantly lower than those of non-Hispanic Whites. According to the personal-level model, education generally contributed to ethnic disparities in walking, but higher education did not increase Hispanics’ walking frequency. The block-group-level model showed that non-Hispanic Whites’ walking behavior was highly sensitive to the built environment. We also found positive impacts of worship accessibility on walking density, which might be unique to non-Hispanic White neighborhoods in SLCo. Built environment factors influenced Hispanics’ walking behavior less than that of non-Hispanic Whites, and the primary determinants included car ownership, driving license, and accessibility of public transit. The research outcomes of this study could provide implications for designing strategies to promote walkability based on ethnic disparities. This also encourages further investigations into the equity of walkable environments for different racial/ethnic populations as an environmental injustice issue.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 523-533"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141592817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Role of maternal non-transport pro-environmental behaviors in adolescents’ travel-to-school mode choices 母亲的非交通亲环境行为在青少年上学旅行方式选择中的作用
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2353219
Jinpeng Li , David Philip McArthur , Jinhyun Hong , Mark Livingston
{"title":"Role of maternal non-transport pro-environmental behaviors in adolescents’ travel-to-school mode choices","authors":"Jinpeng Li ,&nbsp;David Philip McArthur ,&nbsp;Jinhyun Hong ,&nbsp;Mark Livingston","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2353219","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2353219","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates in UK context the relationship between adolescents’ choice of sustainable transport modes (e.g. active transport like walking or cycling and public transport like buses or subways) for their journey to school and maternal non-transport pro-environmental behaviors, such as energy conservation and environmentally friendly purchases, as well as its temporal changes. Data from waves 4 and 10 of the UK Understanding Society survey were separately analyzed using multinomial logistic regression to explore the relationship between frequency of mothers’ non-transport pro-environmental behaviors and adolescents’ sustainable transport to school. Additionally, to understand changes in the strength of this relationship over time, a regression analysis was conducted examining the interaction of mothers’ non-transport pro-environmental behaviors with the survey year. Findings indicate substantial correlations between an array of variables including adolescents’ age, ethnicity, mothers’ occupational and transport behaviors, the number of cars owned by the household, and the nature of residence (urban vs rural), with the adolescents’ active or public transport choice to school, consistently across both waves. As the primary focus of the study, a positive relationship between mothers’ non-transport pro-environmental behaviors and adolescents’ public transport to school is found, although the strength of this relationship declined over time. Importantly, more easily observable mothers’ non-transport pro-environmental behaviors holds a stronger strength of correlation with adolescents’ use of public transport to school, compared to maternal psychological factors like pro-environmental attitudes. Hence, encouraging a range of sustainable behaviors among mothers is crucial to promote adolescents’ public transport to school.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 478-491"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140977282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new soft clustering method for traffic prediction in bike-sharing systems 用于共享单车系统流量预测的新型软聚类法
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2356141
Kyoungok Kim
{"title":"A new soft clustering method for traffic prediction in bike-sharing systems","authors":"Kyoungok Kim","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2356141","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2024.2356141","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>For the efficient management of bike-sharing systems (BSSs), accurate demand predictions are crucial to address the uneven distribution of bikes at various stations. Recent studies have explored a hierarchical prediction framework using cluster-level models to more accurately estimate demand at the station level. However, in frameworks based on hard clustering, where each station is exclusively assigned to one of several clusters, prediction accuracy tends to be lower for stations at the cluster boundaries. To improve accuracy for such stations, this study proposes a novel soft clustering algorithm for BSSs. The key idea is to allow stations to belong to multiple clusters, calculating the membership degree for each station based on transitions between stations and clusters obtained through hard clustering. This study also investigated the impact of restricting clusters to which individual stations belong based on distance or usage history. Two approaches, distance- and usage-based, were employed to determine the clusters to which each station belongs. Experimental results using Seoul Bike data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in enhancing traffic prediction accuracy within the hierarchical prediction framework. Notably, excluding clusters with minimal usage for each station using the usage-based approach yielded the best performance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 6","pages":"Pages 492-504"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141356226","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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