International Journal of Sustainable Transportation最新文献

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Taking steps toward healthy & sustainable transport investment: A systematic review of economic evaluations in the academic literature on large-scale active transport infrastructure 向健康和可持续交通投资迈进:大规模主动式交通基础设施学术文献经济评估系统回顾
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2296952
Madison Bland , Matthew I. Burke , Kelly Bertolaccini
{"title":"Taking steps toward healthy & sustainable transport investment: A systematic review of economic evaluations in the academic literature on large-scale active transport infrastructure","authors":"Madison Bland ,&nbsp;Matthew I. Burke ,&nbsp;Kelly Bertolaccini","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2296952","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2296952","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>For cities seeking to promote active transport, overcoming the institutional practices of car-centric planning and investment is critical to redistributing funds toward dedicated walking and cycling infrastructure. Slowly, urban policy and research are expanding traditional mobility-centric economic evaluations beyond major road and rail projects. This review paper of the academic literature employs a systematic quantitative literature review (SQLR) methodology and contributes an up-to-date examination of academic economic evaluations undertaken on large-scale active transport infrastructure implementations (i.e. capital costs greater than USD$3 million as of 2022). Seventeen (17) peer-reviewed academic papers were included in the final analysis. Cost-benefit analysis (CBA), followed by cost-effective analysis (CEA) and health impact assessment (HIA), were the most common pre-implementation (<em>ex ante</em>) and post-implementation (<em>ex post</em>) assessment methods. Between implementation-types, contexts, and methodologies, the parameters factored in econometric evaluations present a large degree of variance. Despite this, all studies demonstrated the positive return on investment in large-scale active transport infrastructure, where all CBAs produced benefit-cost ratios greater than the breakeven threshold (i.e. &gt;1). Results show health parameters contribute the greatest benefit to positive evaluations, accounting for 77% of total benefits (and 67% in the CBA papers). However, evaluations inconsistently factor or omit long-term, intergenerational, and non-mobility benefits that highlight a partiality in their approach and can be co-opted to support predetermined outcomes. Further research must seek to establish if more expansive, sustainability-orientated methods are needed, or whether to adopt policy positions acknowledging the positive returns walking and cycling infrastructure deliver.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 201-220"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139451375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Perceived importance of context-specific built-environment factors of walking: A new perspective for prioritizing policy measures for promoting walking 对步行的特定建筑环境因素重要性的认识:确定促进步行政策措施优先次序的新视角
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2301372
Caroline Koszowski , Rico Wittwer , Stefan Hubrich , Regine Gerike
{"title":"Perceived importance of context-specific built-environment factors of walking: A new perspective for prioritizing policy measures for promoting walking","authors":"Caroline Koszowski ,&nbsp;Rico Wittwer ,&nbsp;Stefan Hubrich ,&nbsp;Regine Gerike","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2301372","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2301372","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Walking as one type of physical activity generates benefits for personal health and contributes to sustainability in its environmental, economic, and social dimensions. Based on a cross-sectional survey for a representative sample of German cities with at least 100,000 residents, this study investigates determinants of residents’ walking behavior. Two contexts of promenading in the city for leisure walking and the trip to the supermarket for utilitarian walking are distinguished in order to investigate differences in respondents’ perceived importance of built-environment characteristics and to bridge the gap between the individual level of residents’ behavior and the streetscape level. In addition, the analyses distinguish between frequent and less frequent walkers in order to understand differences in characteristics, behavior, preferences, and perceptions between these two groups. The results of this study with a sample of <em>n</em> = 4,637 respondents show that the relevance of the built environment is higher for leisure walking than for utilitarian walking and higher for frequent walkers compared to less frequent walkers. For leisure walking, “protection”-variables are ranked high (e.g. safety, security), followed by “comfort” (e.g. space, surface quality) and by “delight” (e.g. attractive buildings, greenery). Distance is key for utilitarian walking. Significant differences between frequent and less frequent walkers are identified mainly for the “Delight”-variables, this is attractive buildings and greenery for utilitarian walking, and space availability and street furniture for leisure walking. These differences should be considered in future research and street design practice which might preferably focus on the most demanding person group of frequent walkers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 275-290"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139525111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Toward equitable public transportation with pets: Accessing veterinary care under mobility constraints in Hong Kong through taxi fare analysis 实现有宠物的公平公共交通:通过出租车费用分析,了解在香港交通不便的情况下如何获得兽医服务
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2295858
Ka Yiu Ng , Keumseok Koh
{"title":"Toward equitable public transportation with pets: Accessing veterinary care under mobility constraints in Hong Kong through taxi fare analysis","authors":"Ka Yiu Ng ,&nbsp;Keumseok Koh","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2295858","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2295858","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Equitable access to diverse opportunities for everyone is essential to public transportation. While the mobility for veterinary care visit is pivotal to One Health, pets and their owners often face various barriers in transportation. Despite Hong Kong’s well-received transit-oriented development, pets are strictly prohibited in the major modes of public transport, which is rarely discussed in the literature regarding equitable transportation planning. Therefore, this study examined the variation in Taxi fares to access four different types of veterinary services (<em>general</em>, <em>24/7</em>, <em>low-cost</em>, and <em>24/7 low-cost</em>) in Hong Kong using network routing and Geographic Information System. We found that most inaccessible communities to veterinary care mainly include remote rural villages. Moreover, a higher neighborhood household income was associated with a lower Taxi fare to the nearest 24/7 low-cost service in the new growth and rural areas. We further explored several policy recommendations, such as allowing pets on public transport, mobile services, and pet ambulance. Although the effect of travel costs on veterinarian-seeking behavior is inconclusive, this study showcases a novel and holistic examination of transportation barriers to veterinary care through the geographical and financial lens.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 264-274"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139159340","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating the impacts of E-scooters on a bike-sharing system in Tucson, Arizona with a no ride zone 调查电动滑板车对亚利桑那州图森市设有禁骑区的共享单车系统的影响
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2288122
Adrian Cottam , Xiaofeng Li , Mohammad Razaur Rahman Shaon , Yao-Jan Wu
{"title":"Investigating the impacts of E-scooters on a bike-sharing system in Tucson, Arizona with a no ride zone","authors":"Adrian Cottam ,&nbsp;Xiaofeng Li ,&nbsp;Mohammad Razaur Rahman Shaon ,&nbsp;Yao-Jan Wu","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2288122","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2288122","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>E-scooters have exploded in popularity across the United States in recent years. Understanding the effects of shared micromobility on society, as well as understanding how one shared micromobility mode can affect other travel modes is valuable for decision making and evaluation. In this study, the effects of introducing E-scooters on a preexisting bike-sharing system were evaluated using real-world data. A no-ride zone policy for E-scooters around the University of Arizona (UA) effectively created policy-based control and treatment groups to observe the effect of E-scooters on the bike-sharing system. A difference-in-differences regression model was used to estimate the change in the number of bike-sharing trips after the E-scooters were introduced for nonmembers and members, finding that after the introduction of E-scooters, member bike-sharing system trips were decreased by 1.5 trips per station per day in the area where E-scooters were introduced. Furthermore, a temporal and spatial analysis was conducted to evaluate the behavioral change exhibited by bike-sharing users after the introduction of E-scooters. E-scooter data was used to compare the similarity between bike-sharing and E-scooter usage patterns, indicating that E-scooters reduced the number of spontaneous trips taken by bike-sharing users. The number of nonmember bike-sharing trips decreased for all locations, indicating that E-scooters became the more popular option for leisure activities. Furthermore, member bike-sharing system users were found to travel less on weekends than nonmembers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 250-263"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138585897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Patterns of car dependency of metropolitan areas worldwide: Learning from the outliers 全球大都市地区的汽车依赖模式:从异常值中学习
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2283462
Pedram Saeidizand , Kobe Boussauw
{"title":"Patterns of car dependency of metropolitan areas worldwide: Learning from the outliers","authors":"Pedram Saeidizand ,&nbsp;Kobe Boussauw","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2283462","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2283462","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Despite the development of alternative modes of urban transport, the private car is still the most popular transport option in many regions around the world. Various spatial and socio-economic characteristics of metropolitan areas (MAs) seem to be generally correlated with levels of car use, and thus with car dependency. In this research, we study car dependency in a subgroup of global MAs, that are characterized profiles of car dependency, and are therefore considered outliers. Drawing on data that are available from the Mobility in Cities Database (MCD), we consider 56 MAs and use Mahalanobis distance to identify 7 outlier MAs that are either more, or less car dependent than anticipated by the regression model. We investigate the driving forces behind unpredicted levels of car use and position the outlier MAs in a catalogue of mobility profiles. A combination of urban form, convenience of car use, availability of alternative modes to car and car ownership characteristics were found to contribute to the level of car dependency in these MAs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 3","pages":"Pages 221-235"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138604857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of covid-19 pandemic on trail usage: Application of a ten-year trail counting methodology covid-19大流行对试验使用的影响:十年试验计数方法的应用
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2251918
Michelle Renee Oswald Beiler
{"title":"The impact of covid-19 pandemic on trail usage: Application of a ten-year trail counting methodology","authors":"Michelle Renee Oswald Beiler","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2251918","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2251918","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted non-motorized mobility in the U.S. since March 2020. Many trail facilities have served as a venue for both recreational and commuting options for pedestrians and bicyclists. With social distancing, as well as the promotion of physical health and wellness during the pandemic, trail facilities serve as alternatives for travel for pedestrians and cyclists. Since 2011, Phase 1 of the Buffalo Valley Rail Trail has been open to users as a pedestrian and cycling connection in central Pennsylvania. In 2015, Phase 2 was developed in order to provide direct connection into downtown Lewisburg. This study evaluates trail usage at four counters over a period of 10 years using a six-step process. The results show that the 2 years with the highest trips over the entire 10-year period were in 2020 and 2021 (the 2 years during the COVID-19 pandemic). In addition, the highest recorded daily count for one of the counters over the entire 10-year period occurred on one of the days during the week of Pennsylvania’s stay-at-home order period (in March 2020). By developing and implementing the six-step method on the BVRT, this study serves as a foundation for exploring trail demand on facilities throughout the United States and applications with regard to evaluating pandemic impacts.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 2","pages":"Pages 134-145"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42260168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The contrasted evolution of cycling during youth. Determinants of bicycle ownership and use 青年时期自行车运动的对比演变。自行车拥有和使用的决定因素
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2223139
Aurélie Schmassmann , Daniel Baehler , Patrick Rérat
{"title":"The contrasted evolution of cycling during youth. Determinants of bicycle ownership and use","authors":"Aurélie Schmassmann ,&nbsp;Daniel Baehler ,&nbsp;Patrick Rérat","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2223139","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2223139","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cycling during youth is characterized in many countries by two trends: its decline over the course of several decades (termed the generation effect) and its decline over the life course of individuals (the age effect). This paper addresses the age effect through a survey carried out among young people aged 12–20 (<em>n</em> = 1,358) in a Swiss city. It goes beyond the cyclist/non-cyclist dichotomy and identifies several cases in terms of skills (ability to ride a bike), access (ownership of a bike), and uses (reasons for and frequency of cycling). While most young people (98%) learned how to ride a bike as a child, an important minority do not continue cycling beyond childhood. Among those who continue, the use of the bike often changes over time to become less utilitarian and more recreational and occasional. The main determinants explaining cycling practices among young people are socialization (the parents’ cycling practices and level of education), gender, and the spaces of everyday life (place of residence and school). The results point to several levers to foster cycling among young people, to anchor sustainable mobility practices for years to come.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 2","pages":"Pages 103-114"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48087771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does dockless bike-share influence transit use? Evidence from the Sacramento region 无码头共享单车会影响公交使用吗?萨克拉门托地区的证据
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2252757
Hossain Mohiuddin , Tatsuya Fukushige , Dillon T. Fitch-Polse , Susan L. Handy
{"title":"Does dockless bike-share influence transit use? Evidence from the Sacramento region","authors":"Hossain Mohiuddin ,&nbsp;Tatsuya Fukushige ,&nbsp;Dillon T. Fitch-Polse ,&nbsp;Susan L. Handy","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2252757","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2252757","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Whether micromobility is hurting or boosting transit ridership remains a matter of debate. Previous studies on this topic mainly use either individual level data or system level data. This paper provides insights into this debate through analyses of the connection between bike-share use and transit use at both the individual-level and the system-level. The analysis uses data from an intercept survey of bike-share users and system-level data on bike-share trips from the Sacramento region’s dockless electric bike-share system prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our individual-level analysis results suggest that people in the Sacramento region are more likely to replace their transit use with bike-share than to use bike-share as a first- or last-mile transit connector. Certain socio-demographic groups, however, are more likely to use bike share to connect to transit compared to others. Analysis of the system-level data shows that the number of bike-share trips that begin or end near transit stops is positively associated with transit boarding or alightings at those stops conditional on variables known to directly influence transit ridership. In this study, individual- and system-level analyses lead to different conclusions about the relationship between bike-share and transit, suggesting that reliance on system-level data alone may not provide an accurate assessment of the relationship between bike-share and transit use. A detailed understanding of the relationship using both sources of data can assist in better policy formulation that benefits both modes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 2","pages":"Pages 146-167"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48252339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tourism, transport energy consumption, and the carbon dioxide emission nexus for the USA: Evidence from wavelet coherence and spectral causality approaches 美国旅游业、交通能耗与二氧化碳排放关系:小波相干性和频谱因果关系方法提供的证据
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2259337
Sadam Hussain , Assad Ullah , Nazakat Ullah Khan , Aamir Aijaz Syed , Heesup Han
{"title":"Tourism, transport energy consumption, and the carbon dioxide emission nexus for the USA: Evidence from wavelet coherence and spectral causality approaches","authors":"Sadam Hussain ,&nbsp;Assad Ullah ,&nbsp;Nazakat Ullah Khan ,&nbsp;Aamir Aijaz Syed ,&nbsp;Heesup Han","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2259337","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2259337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The aim of this study is to analyze the dynamic relationship between tourism, transport energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in the United States from the 1<sup>st</sup> quarter of 1995 to the 4<sup>th</sup> quarter of 2019. To this end, we utilize the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), the Wavelet Coherence Approach (WCA), and the Breitung-Candelon spectral granger causality approaches. The empirical outcomes confirm that the variables included in the model exhibit cointegration. The estimations of the wavelet coherence approach confirm that tourism stimulates transport energy consumption, whereas both tourism and energy consumption bolster carbon emissions in the United States. The outcomes for the Breitung-Candelon spectral granger causality approach suggest that our variables exhibit causal associations at various frequencies. These are findings are also robust to alternative econometrics specifications. These empirical outcomes underscore the fact that tourism propel both transport energy consumption and carbon emissions. Our study helps policymakers in regards to revisiting the role of tourism and transport energy consumption concerning emissions in order to cope with environmental challenges in the United States.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 2","pages":"Pages 168-183"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135814606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Low emission scenarios with shared and electric cars: Analyzing life cycle emissions, biofuel use, battery utilization, and fleet development 共享汽车和电动汽车的低排放方案:分析生命周期排放、生物燃料使用、电池利用和车队发展
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2023.2248049
Hampus Berg Mårtensson , Mattias Höjer , Jonas Åkerman
{"title":"Low emission scenarios with shared and electric cars: Analyzing life cycle emissions, biofuel use, battery utilization, and fleet development","authors":"Hampus Berg Mårtensson ,&nbsp;Mattias Höjer ,&nbsp;Jonas Åkerman","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2248049","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2023.2248049","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Passenger cars contribute considerably to total emissions of greenhouse gasses. In this article, we develop scenarios for the Swedish passenger car fleet in 2030, achieving a 70% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions as compared to 2010. The number of shared and electric cars, how they are combined, and levels of biofuel use differ between the scenarios. Transport volumes, car access, battery use, indirect emissions, and fleet development are evaluated and compared. Conclusions based on the scenarios include:</p><ul><li><span><p>Target-fulfillment requires a reduction in kilometers traveled by passenger cars. The reductions are 21%–47% per capita in six scenarios.</p></span></li><li><span><p>Major changes to both removal rate and new car sales are needed, highlighting a policy challenge for the coming decade.</p></span></li><li><span><p>Total battery capacity in the vehicle fleet increase from 1 GWh 2018 to 73–168 GWh in the six scenarios. This implies a need for careful consideration regarding resource scarcity and production capacity. A new metric, vehicle kilometers/(kWh*year), is developed and tested to explore efficiency in battery use.</p></span></li><li><span><p>Reducing direct emissions through a high production of electric cars causes tensions in relation to the European Emissions Trading System due to the indirect emissions that arise. It is therefore important to consider indirect emissions in policymaking.</p></span></li></ul></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"18 2","pages":"Pages 115-133"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135436086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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