International Journal of Sustainable Transportation最新文献

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Shifting gears: Exploring private car users’ perception of public transport ridership 换挡:探讨私家车使用者对公共交通的看法
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2603456
Eugene Sogbe , Susilawati Susilawati , Graham Currie , Chee Pin Tan
{"title":"Shifting gears: Exploring private car users’ perception of public transport ridership","authors":"Eugene Sogbe ,&nbsp;Susilawati Susilawati ,&nbsp;Graham Currie ,&nbsp;Chee Pin Tan","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2603456","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2603456","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Private car users’ transition to regular use of public transport can potentially contribute to reducing traffic congestion and environmental impact. However, public transport service quality and satisfaction research has predominantly focused on regular public transport users and often lumps private car users with motorcycles and other private transport users. This aggregation overlooks the distinct motivations, behaviors, and attitudes characterizing each group. Consequently, the specific perceptions and unique factors influencing the decision of private car users to use public transport remain underexplored. This study focuses exclusively on private car users who also use public transport in Ghana. It explores their perception of three key factors influencing public transport use: perceived service quality, satisfaction, and attitudes. These factors were measured using structural equation modeling. Additionally, perceived service quality was measured as a second-order construct, and the moderating effect of demographics on the association between satisfaction and perceived service quality was also explored. The findings demonstrate that perceived service quality significantly affects satisfaction, attitude and public transport usage. Furthermore, safety and security are the most crucial predictors of perceived service quality for car users. Gender plays a vital role in how improvements in perceived service quality affect satisfaction, with female car users being more sensitive to changes in perceived service quality. The study provides theoretical and practical insights for policymakers, transport authorities and operators, which can improve and encourage car users to consider regular use of public transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 606-621"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Transit-oriented development and accessibility: A review and conceptual framework proposal 面向公共交通的发展和可达性:审查和概念框架建议
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2608986
Nasim Rabiei , Ursula Eicker , Fuzhan Nasiri
{"title":"Transit-oriented development and accessibility: A review and conceptual framework proposal","authors":"Nasim Rabiei ,&nbsp;Ursula Eicker ,&nbsp;Fuzhan Nasiri","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2608986","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2608986","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Since the concept of transit-oriented development (TOD) was first introduced in the late twentieth century, there has been a notable increase in the quantity and quality of research dedicated to transit-oriented development. However, further research is required on the role of accessibility in TOD evaluation methods and the impact of TOD on station catchment area accessibility. This research reconsiders TOD assessment methods in light of the pivotal role of accessibility in land-use and transportation planning. The results were summarized by categorizing the different types, measures, and roles of accessibility in TOD assessment methodologies, as well as their impact on the travel behavior and travel demand of TOD residents. The outcomes of this review were used to propose an accessibility-oriented TOD planning framework that considers different accessibility types and measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 622-640"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of low-sulfur ships’ fuel oil regulation on air quality around Kaohsiung Port 低硫船舶燃油管制对高雄港周边空气品质之影响
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2609923
Pei-Chun Lin , Pei-Fen Kuo , Yun-Hsuan Liang
{"title":"Impact of low-sulfur ships’ fuel oil regulation on air quality around Kaohsiung Port","authors":"Pei-Chun Lin ,&nbsp;Pei-Fen Kuo ,&nbsp;Yun-Hsuan Liang","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2609923","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2609923","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has implemented stricter sulfur content limits and the IMO 2020 sulfur limit took effect from January, 2020. Taiwan’s Maritime and Port Bureau not only implemented a low-sulfur fuel policy for all international commercial ports in Taiwan in 2019, ahead of the IMO 2020 implementation, but also began incentive programs in 2018. This study investigates whether Taiwan’s implementation of the IMO low-sulfur fuel policy effectively reduces emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>) from vessels around Kaohsiung Port. The study employed the SARIMA time series model to predict the SO<sub>2</sub> concentration. Using the difference-in-differences (DID) model, the study found that the 2018 incentive program resulted in an approximate SO<sub>2</sub> concentration reduction of 1.73 ppb. Implementation of the low-sulfur policy in Kaohsiung Port in 2019 resulted in a reduction of about 2.15 ppb. Implementation of the IMO 2020 regulation in 2020 led to a reduction of approximately 1.73 ppb. Such policy is proven to reduce SO<sub>2</sub> emissions. Our research results can assist port management and the government to initiate the next phase of sulfur content limits for ship fuel by examining regional differences in air pollution and the efficiency of air pollution control in different port locations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 641-655"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208348","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Belief-driven and socio-spatially effective? Transition pathways from car-oriented to car-reduced planning on the neighborhood scale 信仰驱动和社会空间有效?在社区尺度上从汽车导向到汽车减少规划的过渡路径
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2598440
Annika Schröder , Sina Steele
{"title":"Belief-driven and socio-spatially effective? Transition pathways from car-oriented to car-reduced planning on the neighborhood scale","authors":"Annika Schröder ,&nbsp;Sina Steele","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598440","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598440","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Car-oriented planning practices characterize cities in Germany and elsewhere. Abandoning these unsustainable trajectories can be regarded as a major challenge for cities. However, car-reduced planning is not yet common practice even for new urban developments. To provide an understanding of the stasis observed as well as a potential transition from car-oriented to car-reduced planning practices, we are developing a conceptual framework that integrates a belief-related and a socio-spatial perspective. Empirically, this comparative study concerns four cases of developing new neighborhoods in favor of sustainable mobility in three German cities. First, our qualitative analysis of expert interviews indicates a reciprocal relationship between belief patterns (i.e. belief setting, belief translation, belief persistence, and belief change) and socio-spatial factors (i.e. material, institutional, and cultural dimensions). Consequently, second, it reveals car-reduced planning processes as being highly varied and nested phenomena, deriving four example planning transition pathways. These are car-reduced planning as (i) a mission, initiated and implemented based on a belief in sustainable mobility; (ii) an intra-urban transfer, oriented on a role model within the same city; (iii) a means to an end, justified as necessary to enable further housing development; and (iv) as an ambiguity, caused by antagonistic actor relationships. Third, the study shows how the interplay of belief-driven and socio-spatial dimensions may hamper or favor the transition from car-oriented to car-reduced planning. To wrap up, our findings raise awareness of a complexity-based understanding of mobility-related transition governance highlighting beliefs and socio-spatial factors as mutually influencing.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 587-605"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A global, hybrid life cycle sustainability assessment of alternative fuel buses: Supporting decision making for sustainability and eco-efficiency 替代燃料客车的全球混合动力生命周期可持续性评估:支持可持续性和生态效率的决策
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2598005
Noura Elagouz , Nuri C. Onat , Murat Kucukvar , Muhammet E. Bulak , Adeeb A. Kutty , Ammar Abulibdeh , Esmat Zaidan
{"title":"A global, hybrid life cycle sustainability assessment of alternative fuel buses: Supporting decision making for sustainability and eco-efficiency","authors":"Noura Elagouz ,&nbsp;Nuri C. Onat ,&nbsp;Murat Kucukvar ,&nbsp;Muhammet E. Bulak ,&nbsp;Adeeb A. Kutty ,&nbsp;Ammar Abulibdeh ,&nbsp;Esmat Zaidan","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598005","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Lower life cycle costs are often seen as an indicator of sustainability but do not always align with higher eco-efficiency. This study evaluates the sustainability and eco-efficiency of 13 city bus brands, including electric, diesel, and compressed natural gas (CNG) buses, focusing on environmental, socio-economic, and life cycle cost impacts. A hybrid Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA) model, using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), was applied to assess 34 buses in Qatar’s transportation system. The study finds that solar-powered electric buses from Turkey and India, along with CNG buses from Germany, Spain, and Sweden, offer the most sustainable options. However, lower life cycle costs do not guarantee higher eco-efficiency. The study recommends prioritizing solar-powered electric and high-performing CNG buses for policy support in public transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 545-564"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring the attractive factors of electric scooters across various user journey stages: A case study of Gogoro 探索电动滑板车在不同用户出行阶段的吸引力因素——以Gogoro为例
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-06-03 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2598437
Wei-Chen Chiu , Chun-Heng Ho
{"title":"Exploring the attractive factors of electric scooters across various user journey stages: A case study of Gogoro","authors":"Wei-Chen Chiu ,&nbsp;Chun-Heng Ho","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598437","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2598437","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The transition to electric mobility represents a critical step toward sustainable urban transportation, particularly in high-density Asian cities where scooters remain the dominant mode of personal transport. This study examines the factors that make electric scooters (e-scooters) attractive to consumers, with a focus on Gogoro, the leading e-scooter brand in Taiwan. Drawing on Miryoku Engineering, the research integrates the Evaluation Grid Method (EGM), User Journey Mapping (UJM), and Quantification Theory Type I (QTTI) analysis to investigate the interplay between emotional perceptions, functional attributes, and technological advancements. The results identify four key emotional dimensions, namely convenient, safe and secure, unique and stylish, and sensitive and light, which shape user preferences across different stages of the ownership journey. Convenience emerges as the most persistent driver, extending throughout all stages, while safety and sensitivity become particularly salient after purchase. In contrast, aesthetic appeal and branding act as powerful triggers at the point of purchase but lose influence once ownership begins, as consumer priorities shift toward long-term usability, functionality, and riding experience. These findings advance the discourse on e-scooter by providing actionable insights for policymakers, manufacturers, and designers seeking to refine product strategies, enhance user experience, and accelerate the adoption of sustainable transportation solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 6","pages":"Pages 565-586"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The relationship between street design and walking in the Global South a systematic literature review 对全球南方的街道设计与步行之间的关系进行了系统的文献综述
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-05-04 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2596382
Polycap Chebe , Omer Dilian , Karel Martens
{"title":"The relationship between street design and walking in the Global South a systematic literature review","authors":"Polycap Chebe ,&nbsp;Omer Dilian ,&nbsp;Karel Martens","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2596382","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2596382","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While over the past two decades the interest in the relationship between street and road design and walking has been steadily increasing in the Global North, there is relatively little empirical research on the topic in the Global South. This paper reviews the existing literature to assess the current state of knowledge and propose a research agenda. Applying a systematic literature review approach, we identified 24 relevant articles from the Scopus and Web of Science databases. Geographically, the studies covered only 13 out of the 134 Global South countries, with most studies conducted in Asia and only three in Africa. From the reviewed studies, wider sidewalks, good sidewalk surface quality, the presence of trees or greenery, and streetlights were found to have the most significant positive impact on walking. In contrast, a higher number of traffic lanes was identified as the design element with the most significant negative impact on walking. Despite increasing motorization in the Global South and the prevalence of pedestrian traffic crashes, particularly during crossings, the studies primarily focused on sidewalks and associated amenities, with less attention given to carriageway and crossing features. We recommend further research that assesses the impact of carriageway and crossing features on walking, especially in Africa, where most of the population is forced to walk in an environment that can be described as “unwalkable.” Such research can contribute toward the development of more inclusive and safe urban road designs that meet the needs of all users.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 5","pages":"Pages 513-529"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826820","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trade flows and carbon emissions: How far are we from the climate targets? 贸易流动和碳排放:我们离气候目标还有多远?
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-05-04 Epub Date: 2026-04-26 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2026.2649318
Bardia Moghtader , Fusun Ulengin , Eda Helin Yıldız , Emel Aktas , Y. Ilker Topcu
{"title":"Trade flows and carbon emissions: How far are we from the climate targets?","authors":"Bardia Moghtader ,&nbsp;Fusun Ulengin ,&nbsp;Eda Helin Yıldız ,&nbsp;Emel Aktas ,&nbsp;Y. Ilker Topcu","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2026.2649318","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2026.2649318","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Policymakers are increasingly calling for tangible actions to meet the United Nations targets for reducing emissions to 1990s levels. This study assesses whether climate targets are attainable by 2030 for a selected set of countries, with a particular focus on the transportation sector. PyCaret’s Python library is used to train and compare a range of time series models and derive transport emission forecasts of countries up to 2030. We employ a range of machine learning models, including ARIMA, AdaBoost, and Theta forecaster, using historical transport emissions data to forecast CO2 emissions and assess the likelihood of countries achieving the EU Green Deal’s decarbonization objectives. To further support policy design, we analyze freight modal emissions using trade flow data and group countries using the K-Means clustering based on their emission profiles. Our findings show that only two countries—Greece and Italy—are currently on track to meet the 2030 targets. The remaining nations require urgent and targeted policy reform, particularly in shifting freight transport toward lower-emission modes. We conclude by offering realistic, data-driven mitigation strategies for those unlikely to meet their commitments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 5","pages":"Pages 530-543"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Scenario development for hydrogen-based heavy-duty logistics: Transformation pathways for Germany’s trucking sector 氢基重型物流的情景发展:德国卡车运输业的转型路径
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-05-04 Epub Date: 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2597351
Lennart M. Steinbacher , Arian Zeqiri , Michael Teucke , Stephan Oelker , Eike Broda , Abderrahim Ait-Alla , Michael Freitag
{"title":"Scenario development for hydrogen-based heavy-duty logistics: Transformation pathways for Germany’s trucking sector","authors":"Lennart M. Steinbacher ,&nbsp;Arian Zeqiri ,&nbsp;Michael Teucke ,&nbsp;Stephan Oelker ,&nbsp;Eike Broda ,&nbsp;Abderrahim Ait-Alla ,&nbsp;Michael Freitag","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2597351","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2597351","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The transition of heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) logistics toward climate neutrality is a key challenge for sustainable transport and energy systems. Hydrogen is considered a promising option, but the development of refueling infrastructure and the interaction with technological, economic, and societal factors remain uncertain. This study applies a futures research framework combining scenario analysis, Cross-Impact Balance (CIB) methodology, and stakeholder engagement to explore potential transformation pathways for Germany’s HDV sector. Based on 26 descriptors and 108 consistent scenarios, two narratives are derived: one emphasizing hydrogen adoption and another focusing on electrification with selective hydrogen use. Rather than providing quantitative forecasts, the study translates qualitative descriptor logics into operational roadmaps by mapping them to infrastructure milestones and policy baselines (AFIR, NWS, NECP). The analysis shows that policy instruments such as CO2-based road tolls and subsidies are decisive for scaling hydrogen infrastructure, while cost reductions in fuel cells and electrolyzers must align with infrastructure expansion. Furthermore, tradeoffs emerge between domestic hydrogen production and imports, and societal acceptance proves critical for enabling deployment. By linking scenario-based insights with EU and national climate targets for 2030, 2040, and 2050, the study provides structured, policy-aligned guidance for designing resilient transformation pathways in HDV logistics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 5","pages":"Pages 479-495"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling the decarbonization of transport: The relevance of disaggregating transport demand 交通运输脱碳建模:交通运输需求分解的相关性
IF 3.9 3区 工程技术
International Journal of Sustainable Transportation Pub Date : 2026-05-04 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2025.2601085
Manuel Perez-Bravo , Pedro Linares , Antonio F. Rodriguez-Matas , José Carlos Romero
{"title":"Modeling the decarbonization of transport: The relevance of disaggregating transport demand","authors":"Manuel Perez-Bravo ,&nbsp;Pedro Linares ,&nbsp;Antonio F. Rodriguez-Matas ,&nbsp;José Carlos Romero","doi":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2601085","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15568318.2025.2601085","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The transport sector accounts for almost a fourth of the emissions in Europe, which makes it one of the priority sectors to decarbonize. As such, it should be modeled appropriately in all national energy and climate planning exercises. Unfortunately, most of these deal with transport demand in an aggregated way, unable to capture the differences existing in urban or rural environments in terms of potential for modal shift or penetration of transition technologies, and also erring in the estimation of the cost of these changes. This in turn may result in the wrong strategies being pursued to decarbonize transport. To overcome these problems, this paper proposes a methodology in which urban and non-urban areas are separated into different categories to represent their different configurations. The methodology allows representing a more realistic modal shift among demands, indicating where and how different paths and policies could be applied, which also makes it possible to understand the impact of deploying Low Emission Zones (LEZ). When applied to the case of Spain, results show that the decarbonization strategies assuming disaggregated demands differ significantly from the aggregated demand version, in particular for large metropolitan or suburban areas. Overall costs are also overestimated by the aggregated demand model, showing significant differences among urban areas. The disaggregation of transport demand presented in the paper allows therefore for a significantly better planning and budgeting of decarbonization strategies at a national or regional level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47824,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Sustainable Transportation","volume":"20 5","pages":"Pages 496-512"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2026-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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