KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-07-07DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70073
Pedro Atienza Montero
{"title":"Hyperinflation and High Inflation in Venezuela: Monetary or Exchange Rate Origin?","authors":"Pedro Atienza Montero","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70073","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70073","url":null,"abstract":"<p>From 2018 to 2021, Venezuela experienced a period of intense hyperinflation. There are two hypotheses regarding the origin of such hyperinflation. The monetarist hypothesis attributes hyperinflation to excessive growth in the money supply, typically resulting from public deficits. Alternatively, the structuralist balance of payments hypothesis attributes the phenomenon to sharp exchange rate devaluations arising from structural issues in the balance of payments. This study applied VAR-based techniques (the Granger causality test and forecast error variance decomposition) commonly used in this field of research. The results show that the monetarist hypothesis holds true for different temporal periods characterized by hyperinflation. This finding is consistent with those of other empirical studies. However, when the same analysis is conducted for an earlier period of price acceleration, from 2013 to 2017, the results are diametrically opposed. Only the balance of payments hypothesis is confirmed in this case. This work therefore provides a more comprehensive explanation of the inflationary process in Venezuela than previous research. This study concludes that the parallel market exchange rate triggered an acceleration in prices prior to hyperinflation and ceased to be relevant only when prices began to rise explosively. At that point, the money supply became the sole explanatory variable of hyperinflation.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"1053-1077"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70073","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-06-16DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70064
George S. Tavlas
{"title":"“The Quartet” and Reform of the Exchange Rate System, 1945–73: A Reconstitution","authors":"George S. Tavlas","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70064","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>During the heyday of the Bretton Woods years, William Fellner, Gottfried Haberler, Fritz Machlup, and Robert Triffin were known as “the Quartet,” in recognition of their contributions on international monetary reform. Three of the Quartet members, Haberler, Machlup, and Fellner, have been credited as having been part of a small, select group of economists who foresaw the desirability of, and paved the way to, freely flexible exchange rates, the regime that succeeded the Bretton Woods system in 1973. This paper assesses the views on exchange rate regimes of the members of the Quartet from the mid-1940s to the early 1970s and, in doing so, provides both a reconstitution of the conventional narrative and a window through which the evolving position of the profession at large towards increased exchange rate flexibility can be better understood. In the 1960s and early 1970s, Haberler, Machlup, and Fellner were proponents of a crawling peg regime, an arrangement that required a high degree of government intervention. Their support for a system with a high degree of government intervention mainly reflected a pragmatic policy position rather than a theoretical stance. To provide a frame of comparison, the views of the members of the Quartet on exchange rates are compared with those of Milton Friedman, who advocated an exchange rate system without government intervention.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"921-945"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-08-14DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70079
Federico Sturzenegger
{"title":"Front-Loaded Stabilizations: Lessons From Milei's Chainsaw Reform Program","authors":"Federico Sturzenegger","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70079","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The literature on delayed stabilization has built its analytical framework on the premise that stabilization entails costs. We argue that this premise is incorrect: Stabilization and economic reform deliver benefits rather than costs. If so, reforms should be front-loaded rather than delayed. We use the case of President Milei's radical “chainsaw” reform program to illustrate such a front-loading approach in action. We argue that the case suggests the need to substantially reformulate the literature on economic reform and delayed stabilization.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"1197-1212"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70079","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-08-14DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70082
Hassan F. Gholipour, Mohammed N. Abu Al-Foul, Elias Oikarinen
{"title":"Anti-Money Laundering Regulations and House Prices in OECD Countries","authors":"Hassan F. Gholipour, Mohammed N. Abu Al-Foul, Elias Oikarinen","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70082","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70082","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The debate over the impact of money laundering on real estate prices has become a pressing issue in recent years, particularly in developed economies. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between anti-money laundering (AML) regulations and house prices in a sample of OECD countries over the period 2012–2023. Using panel fixed effects, two-stage least squares (2SLS), and the GMM regressions, while controlling for key macroeconomic determinants of house prices, the findings show that house prices are lower when AML regulations are stronger.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"1213-1225"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70082","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-05-11DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70062
James Alm, Jubo Yan, William D. Schulze, Melissa Vigil, Carrie von Bose
{"title":"Behavioral Factors in Tax Preparer and Tax Compliance Choices","authors":"James Alm, Jubo Yan, William D. Schulze, Melissa Vigil, Carrie von Bose","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70062","url":null,"abstract":"<p>What tax preparer characteristics are most important to taxpayers in their decision to use a tax preparer, and how does this choice of a tax preparer affect subsequent taxpayer compliance? We use laboratory experiments to examine these questions. We find that individuals in this environment simultaneously choose a preparer and their compliance based in part on factors predicted by the standard expected utility theory of individual behavior under uncertainty. However, we find that factors based on psychological considerations—which we refer to as “behavioral factors”—also play an important role in this setting: Participants prefer tax preparers who are “credentialed,” even when the cost is high or the credential has no impact on outcomes; participants fear an audit, regardless of its likelihood; participants often choose high-cost preparers even when they are fully compliant; and many participants forego substantial expected earnings rather than underreport income.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"862-878"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70062","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-06-24DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70069
Adam Oliver
{"title":"Towards a Responsible Liberalism","authors":"Adam Oliver","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70069","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Liberalism has many faces, ranging from that which emphasises the <i>laissez-faire</i> approach of freedom from interference to the interventionist perspective on providing the conditions for people to exercise their liberty. In this essay, after summarising the arguments made by four prominent liberal scholars (namely, Keynes, Hayek, Buchanan and Sunstein) in essays where they asked themselves if they are liberal, that they are indeed liberal or why they are not conservative, I will suggest what I believe are necessary components for a responsible liberalism in contemporary democracies. Briefly, these are for a constitutionalist and pluralist form of liberalism that protects and advances institutional arrangements conducive to nurturing cooperation, reciprocity and mutual respect. State collective responses, which tend to be dismissed by <i>laissez-faire</i> forms of liberalism, are sometimes necessary to create the conditions for liberty that private markets cannot accommodate, but the aim of those responses should always be to serve the individuals within the collective, rather than the collective at the expense of individuals.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"946-954"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70069","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-07-13DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70075
Veeshan Rayamajhee
{"title":"Unbundling the Global Commons","authors":"Veeshan Rayamajhee","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70075","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Can Elinor Ostrom's design principles for governing local commons scale to global commons dilemmas? This paper argues that they can, but not as a template to be applied wholesale. The principles are diagnostic tools for decomposing global commons into governable sub-problems. The entry point is the structure of goods and property rights, which is institutionally contingent rather than fixed. The paper develops an unbundling framework that matches each sub-problem to its appropriate governance scale. Most can be governed at sub-global levels through markets, clubs, or polycentric arrangements. What remains is a residual that requires international coordination but is far narrower than the aggregate label implies. Where governance outcomes depend on co-production by local actors, top-down hegemonic alternatives fail for structural reasons. The residual is also structurally resistant for political-economy reasons. The policy implication is a recalibration. Governance should be assumed at the lowest scale where institutional prerequisites can be satisfied, and international coordination reserved for what cannot be governed there. Five empirical domains illustrate the argument, with orbital debris worked through in greater detail.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"1114-1131"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-07-01DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70071
Andrés A. Acuña-Duarte, Javier A. León, César A. Salazar
{"title":"Public Goods Provision and Democratic Legitimacy in Latin America: Does Citizen Satisfaction With Local and Political Public Goods Matter?","authors":"Andrés A. Acuña-Duarte, Javier A. León, César A. Salazar","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70071","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This cross-country study assesses the impact of citizen satisfaction with the provision of local and political public goods on democratic legitimacy in Latin America. We introduce a composite index to capture citizens' perceptions of democratic legitimacy, incorporating both material and diffuse dimensions. Using individual- and cohort-level data from five waves of the AmericasBarometer survey, we estimate pooled linear regression and fixed-effects pseudo-panel models for our Democratic Legitimacy Index. Our findings reveal that citizen satisfaction with both local and political public goods is positively and statistically significantly associated with material measures of democratic legitimacy. Nevertheless, no significant effect of local public goods is found when diffuse measures of regime legitimacy are considered. Overall, these results highlight the importance of more intangible dimensions of public goods, namely, political goods, in fostering both support for and valuation of democracy, as well as the extent to which Western democratic values are upheld in Latin America.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"1028-1052"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-10-02Epub Date: 2026-06-30DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70067
Markus Loewe, Holger Albrecht
{"title":"The Social Contract and Collective Action: Grievances, Cleavages, and Protests in the Middle East","authors":"Markus Loewe, Holger Albrecht","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70067","url":null,"abstract":"<p>How do grievances turn into collective action? This article examines how citizens' expectations in social contracts lead them to embark on street protests. It draws on original, nationally representative telephone surveys in Tunisia and Lebanon and unpacks popular preferences about the states' obligations to deliver social service provision, protection, and political participation. We measure empirically whether participation in protest can be explained predominantly by people's grievances with their states' social contract obligations or the position of people in society. Findings reveal intriguing differences between the two countries but also among social groups within societies. We find that socially privileged people are more likely to take to the streets in pursuit of their demands, lending support to theories that identify society's middle classes as drivers of protest action. We believe that the article's findings will have significant implications for studies of contentious state-society relations in the MENA region and beyond.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 4","pages":"994-1009"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70067","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100710","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
KyklosPub Date : 2026-07-03Epub Date: 2026-05-10DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70061
Eline Moens, Louis Lippens, Kathleen Vangronsvelt, Ans De Vos, Stijn Baert
{"title":"Too Much of a Good Thing? Telework Intensity and Workplace Experiences","authors":"Eline Moens, Louis Lippens, Kathleen Vangronsvelt, Ans De Vos, Stijn Baert","doi":"10.1111/kykl.70061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.70061","url":null,"abstract":"<p>At a time when numerous organisations are urging a return to the office while many employees prefer to continue teleworking, it is crucial to ascertain the optimal level of telework intensity. In the present study, we determine this ideal level with respect to self-rated employee attitudes, behaviour, well-being, social relations and professional growth. Drawing on a five-wave longitudinal dataset, we apply fixed effects regression analyses to investigate associations between telework intensity and various dimensions of workplace experience. We offer more robust empirical evidence for favouring hybrid work schedules over office-only or telework-only regimes, owing to significant advances in causal inference for linear and non-linear associations compared to the majority of existing studies that examine linear associations based on cross-sectional data. Our results point toward modest inverted U-shaped associations between telework intensity and self-rated job satisfaction, work–life balance, relationships with colleagues and professional development, with optimal levels peaking around 50% teleworking. For task efficiency and work concentration, the association appears to be concave with a plateau, stabilising at teleworking levels above 70%. Only between telework intensity and employer connectedness do we observe a slightly negative linear association. Age emerges as the most prominent moderator, with within-person increases in telework intensity being evaluated slightly more positively with increasing age across several workplace outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"79 3","pages":"828-841"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.70061","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148386635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}