Kyklos最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
A Refined Fixed-Effects Estimator to Detect Fraudulent Action 一种改进的检测欺诈行为的固定效应估计器
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12465
Subrato Banerjee
{"title":"A Refined Fixed-Effects Estimator to Detect Fraudulent Action","authors":"Subrato Banerjee","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12465","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12465","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Active policy measures to resolve a problem must begin with the acknowledgement of the existence of the said problem. For instance, measures to curb tax evasion are only meaningful once the evading entities are systematically detected. I propose a method to econometrically detect units of observation that are potentially associated with malpractice. The method exhibits a remarkable detection rate and requires two stages. In the first stage, (biased) regression coefficients are systematically obtained through fixed-effects estimation (with varying lags). In the second stage, a structure is imposed on the (biased) estimates to single out the units of observation that are likely to involve malpractice. The method is explained in the context of sportspersons who may resort to drug intake (without reporting, for obvious reasons) for the qualifiers before an event of central importance. What makes the proposed exercise challenging is that unobserved drug intake may be correlated with observed physical attributes that may serve as regressors in a model to explain performance. Chemical processes of detection are often known to be costly and unhealthy and may not be free from errors.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1211-1224"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hidden Income: An Analysis of Tenant Benefits in Subsidized Housing in Austria 隐性收入:奥地利保障性住房租户利益分析
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12464
Jan Kluge, Dénes Kucsera, Hanno Lorenz
{"title":"Hidden Income: An Analysis of Tenant Benefits in Subsidized Housing in Austria","authors":"Jan Kluge,&nbsp;Dénes Kucsera,&nbsp;Hanno Lorenz","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12464","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12464","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We investigate the highly regulated Austrian rental market and estimate the rent deductions in <i>council flats</i>, <i>cooperatives</i> and dwellings under <i>rent regulation</i> vis-à-vis the <i>free market</i>. We find that eligible tenants benefit from significantly cheaper rents. However, as cheap housing is poorly targeted, there are positive income effects even for high-income households while ineligible tenants in the <i>free market</i> are not systematically better off than the ones whose rents are subsidized or regulated. Our results therefore support the common finding that matching between dwellings and households is inefficient when waiting lists rather than prices are used to allocate flats. As households across the income scale benefit from cheap housing (while others do not), income inequality decreases only slightly.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1185-1210"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Full Employment: A Survey of Theory, Empirics and Policies 充分就业:理论、经验与政策综述
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12463
Andreas Lichtenberger, Philipp Heimberger, Aleksandr Arsenev, Meryem Gökten
{"title":"Full Employment: A Survey of Theory, Empirics and Policies","authors":"Andreas Lichtenberger,&nbsp;Philipp Heimberger,&nbsp;Aleksandr Arsenev,&nbsp;Meryem Gökten","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12463","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12463","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The concept of full employment is associated with diverse economic, political and social aspects. We provide a survey of theory, empirics and policy issues related to full employment. In doing so, we tie together aspects of full employment regarding definitions, theoretical perspectives, empirical measurements, policy debates and real-world policy programmes. We distinguish concepts of full employment that provide systematic links to price stability, minimum unemployment and maximum employment approaches and the unfilled vacancies perspective. Furthermore, we provide and discuss different empirical measures of full employment for selected economies, and we propose a new full employment typology to better understand and categorise contributions in the literature. Based on our findings, we argue that conceptualising and measuring full employment is not merely a technical task but inevitably involves normative judgements. Finally, we discuss avenues for future research.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1158-1184"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Explaining the Path of the Democratic Transition 解释民主转型的道路
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12462
Martin Paldam
{"title":"Explaining the Path of the Democratic Transition","authors":"Martin Paldam","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12462","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12462","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The paper explains two centuries of development of the political systems of the west by the underlying economic fundamentals. Democracy indices for the average country have a strong long-run empirical relation to income that looks like a perfect transition curve. The traditional steady state political system was the three pillars model of king, aristocracy, and Church for half a millennium before modern development. Development caused the gradual but inevitable collapse of this model, as the agricultural and religious transitions undermined two of the pillars. However, all political systems try to consolidate, giving spells of status quo equilibria, so the model broke down in leaps and bounds. Development also caused the growth of the middle class, which came to dominate. It wanted mass representation, so the political system changed to democracy. This explains why the main causal direction is from development, as proxied by income, to democracy.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1142-1157"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.12462","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144525016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the Influence of Education Efficiency in the European Union 评估欧盟教育效率的影响
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12461
Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis
{"title":"Assessing the Influence of Education Efficiency in the European Union","authors":"Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12461","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12461","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study aims to evaluate the efficiency of education in the EU using an optimisation approach based on a directional distance function and stochastic nonparametric data envelopment analysis. In the second stage, it explores how GDP per capita responds to education efficiency through a panel VAR model. The results show that education efficiency is lower than previously reported in the literature but remains higher than the efficiency of general government expenditure. On average, the EU's education efficiency score is 0.6, indicating a notable inefficiency of 0.4. Increasing government spending and lowering student-to-teacher ratios across EU countries could enhance education efficiency. Furthermore, the response of GDP per capita to improvements in education efficiency is positive. These findings have important policy implications under the new EU economic governance framework, suggesting that EU countries should prioritise education spending within the scope of the new multi-year government expenditure targets.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1124-1141"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144525115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Public Debt in a Federal State: Warnings From Belgium 联邦国家的公共债务:来自比利时的警告
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-19 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12456
Dieter Van Esbroeck, Erik Buyst
{"title":"Public Debt in a Federal State: Warnings From Belgium","authors":"Dieter Van Esbroeck,&nbsp;Erik Buyst","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12456","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12456","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper examines the dynamics of public debt in a fiscal federation, with a focus on Belgium from 1970 onwards. Lately, the institutions responsible for monitoring Belgium's fiscal situation have been issuing increasingly alarming alerts regarding the sustainability of the current budget deficits. We show that Belgium has experienced a cycle of high public debt and claim that the explanation for this phenomenon lies in the interplay between the different political or geographical entities in the federation. We examine whether the different entities exhibit free-riding behavior in public debt creation and find significant fiscal imbalances both at the federal level and at the subcentral level. Multiple political and constitutional mechanisms are identified as potential drivers. Furthermore, the paper presents and discusses several policy options for breaking the cycle of high public debt: a new state reform, fiscal rules, a no-bailout clause, and an insolvency framework.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1105-1123"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Time to Graduate Level Employment for New Graduates in the United Kingdom 英国应届毕业生就业的时间
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12460
Christopher Lalley
{"title":"Time to Graduate Level Employment for New Graduates in the United Kingdom","authors":"Christopher Lalley","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12460","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12460","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper estimates the time to graduate employment of new graduates from universities in the United Kingdom. Using data from the UK Graduate Outcomes Survey, survival functions are estimated to identify differences in time to graduate employment among different groups of graduates, stratified by institution. Differences in survival functions are confirmed across the different categories of university in the United Kingdom, with Russell Group universities holding a greater probability of employment at each time interval. A Cox Proportional Hazard model is estimated to identify the determinants of the differences in the time to graduate employment, with constant effects associated with secondary school performance, parental degree status, private school status and ethnicity. The remaining effects were shown to be time varying, including institution, degree classification and degree subject, with Russell Group graduates, graduates with high degree classifications and graduates of STEM displaying a persistent advantage in the early career labour market.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1091-1104"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.12460","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inside the ‘Black Box’ of the Nexus Between Economic Conditions and Crime: Can the Relationship Be Mitigated? 经济状况与犯罪关系的“黑箱”:这种关系能被缓和吗?
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12459
Alban Asllani, Eleftherios Goulas, Socrates Karidis
{"title":"Inside the ‘Black Box’ of the Nexus Between Economic Conditions and Crime: Can the Relationship Be Mitigated?","authors":"Alban Asllani,&nbsp;Eleftherios Goulas,&nbsp;Socrates Karidis","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12459","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12459","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines how the impact of economic conditions on criminal activity is mitigated by the presence of labour market policies and that of a sizeable shadow economy. The analysis reveals a positive relationship between economic downturns and property crime, supporting the well-documented idea that economic hardships intensify criminal activity. Most importantly, however, we find that the relationship is mitigated when active labour market policies, as well as labour training, are employed by enhancing skills and productivity, thus lowering incentives for criminal behaviour. Passive policies, on the other hand, also weaken the link, primarily through the income effect, with their effectiveness being increased in the presence of high levels of the shadow economy. High levels of both kinds of labour market policies and of the shadow economy significantly reduce crime, though additional investment in those shows different returns. These findings suggest that a comprehensive approach is required when effective crime reduction is considered during economic downturns, accounting for both formal and informal sector dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1070-1090"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.12459","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forging Monetary Hawks: Early-Life Inflation Experiences and Government Debt in Africa 锻造货币鹰派:非洲早期通胀经验和政府债务
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12450
Christine Strong
{"title":"Forging Monetary Hawks: Early-Life Inflation Experiences and Government Debt in Africa","authors":"Christine Strong","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12450","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12450","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study uses a novel dataset to examine the impact of early-life inflation experiences on government debt across 30 African nations from 1980 to 2022. We propose that central bankers who encountered inflation crises during their formative years are more likely to develop preferences for hawkish monetary policies. However, for these preferences to influence fiscal outcomes, central bankers must operate within an environment of institutional independence. Indeed, our analysis reveals that past exposures to inflation crises, on their own, have no statistically significant impact on government debt. However, when central bank independence is accounted for, a significant negative relationship emerges, indicating that institutional autonomy enables central bankers to translate their early-life experiences into policies that curb debt accumulation. This relationship holds even after controlling for central bankers' expertise, highlighting the critical interplay between personal history and institutional design in shaping government debt dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1021-1036"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.12450","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Beyond the Tax-the-Rich Narrative: How Italians Consider Taxing Wealth 超越对富人征税的叙述:意大利人如何考虑对财富征税
IF 1.5 3区 经济学
Kyklos Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12457
Sergio Beraldo, Enrico Colombatto
{"title":"Beyond the Tax-the-Rich Narrative: How Italians Consider Taxing Wealth","authors":"Sergio Beraldo,&nbsp;Enrico Colombatto","doi":"10.1111/kykl.12457","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12457","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This article examines public attitudes toward wealth taxation in Italy, drawing on a survey of 2400 individuals conducted in 2021. Moving beyond the conventional “tax-the-rich” narrative, it investigates people's views on wealth taxes as a potential alternative to income and consumption taxation. The analysis exploresthe role of self-interest, personal beliefs, and political orientation, and shows that support for wealth taxes does not necessarily stem from redistributive motives, but may also express a preference for a less intrusive tax system with moderate progressivity, an approach aligned with classical–liberal principles. Respondents prefer wealth taxes to consumption taxes. Notably, many support a proposal to replace all existing taxes with a single wealth tax. However, concerns emerge regarding potential increases in the overall tax burden and the inclusion of primary residences in the tax base. Contrary to expectations, political orientation plays a limited role in shaping attitudes, although an interaction effect between political views and economic status is observed. The earmarking of tax revenues does not significantly influence preferences.</p>","PeriodicalId":47739,"journal":{"name":"Kyklos","volume":"78 3","pages":"1037-1052"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/kykl.12457","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144524947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信
小红书