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Dubious Evidence, Valuable Information.
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251324594
Eugene Bardach
{"title":"Dubious Evidence, Valuable Information.","authors":"Eugene Bardach","doi":"10.1177/0193841X251324594","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X251324594","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>I explore how \"low-quality evidence\" from program performance might still be useful in decision-making. Conceptually, a local government named \"Here\" is motivated to consider a program from \"Elsewhere\" that seems to show year-over-year exemplary performance. Here must manage five sources of uncertainty about whether and how to extrapolate from Elsewhere: chance in assessing Elsewhere's performance; illusion due to confounding variables; estimating the several powers of the program's components; substitutions in the design process made by Elsewhere and contemplated by Here; and estimating whether in the final analysis Here can meet its own breakeven criterion for going ahead. Here can begin with Elsewhere's experience, but it still must do much thinking and information-collecting on its own.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"193841X251324594"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143630936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Case for Preregistering Quasi-Experimental Program and Policy Evaluations.
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251326738
Thomas S Dee
{"title":"The Case for Preregistering Quasi-Experimental Program and Policy Evaluations.","authors":"Thomas S Dee","doi":"10.1177/0193841X251326738","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X251326738","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The recognition that researcher discretion coupled with unconscious biases and motivated reasoning sometimes leads to false findings (\"p-hacking\") led to the broad embrace of study preregistration and other open-science practices in experimental research. Paradoxically, the preregistration of quasi-experimental studies remains uncommon although such studies involve far more discretionary decisions and are the most prevalent approach to making causal claims in the social sciences. I discuss several forms of recent empirical evidence indicating that questionable research practices contribute to the comparative unreliability of quasi-experimental research and advocate for adopting the preregistration of such studies. The implementation of this recommendation would benefit from further consideration of key design details (e.g., how to balance data cleaning with credible preregistration) and a shift in research norms to allow for appropriately nuanced sensemaking across prespecified, confirmatory results and other exploratory findings.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"193841X251326738"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143605535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Systematic Review of Theoretical Foundations and Learning Effects in Gamified Flipped Classroom Research.
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251320438
Hatice Sancar-Tokmak, Zerrin Dagli
{"title":"A Systematic Review of Theoretical Foundations and Learning Effects in Gamified Flipped Classroom Research.","authors":"Hatice Sancar-Tokmak, Zerrin Dagli","doi":"10.1177/0193841X251320438","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X251320438","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Gamified Flipped Classrooms (GFC) are increasingly implemented in teaching and have become a trending research subject. Gamification and Flipped Classroom (FC) literature expresses a clear need for a theoretical foundation that positively affects motivation, behavioral change, and learning. However, this requires an overview of the current theoretical foundations of GFC research. Therefore, this study conducted a systematic mixed studies review (SMSR) of the current theoretical foundations of GFC research and learning effects. Sixty-nine studies were identified after applying rigorously defined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The review revealed that a significant number of studies (25 of 69) lacked a theoretical foundation. In studies supported by theory, Self-Determination Theory (SDT) was most frequently employed. Moreover, only three studies used theories to design both gamification and FC components. While GFC research generally shows positive effects on learning, studies with a theoretical background reported a higher rate of positive GFC outcomes (56%), compared to only 29% for studies lacking a theoretical foundation. Future research should explore and attempt to link SDT and other theories to learning impacts.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"193841X251320438"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143531920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Alternative Factors Leading to Replication Crisis: Prediction and Evaluation. 导致复制危机的其他因素：预测与评估。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241229106
Gregory Chernov
{"title":"The Alternative Factors Leading to Replication Crisis: Prediction and Evaluation.","authors":"Gregory Chernov","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241229106","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241229106","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Most existing solutions to the current replication crisis in science address only the factors stemming from specific poor research practices. We introduce a novel mechanism that leverages the experts' predictive abilities to analyze the root causes of replication failures. It is backed by the principle that the most accurate predictor is the most qualified expert. This mechanism can be seamlessly integrated into the existing replication prediction market framework with minimal implementation costs. It relies on an objective rather than subjective process and unstructured expert opinions to effectively identify various influences contributing to the replication crisis.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"147-164"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11656619/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139913696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating Sustainable Mobility: Motorized and Non-motorized Modes in Suburban Areas of Thailand. 评估可持续交通：泰国郊区的机动车和非机动车模式。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241233669
Pawinee Iamtrakul, Jirawan Klaylee, I-Soon Raungratanaamporn
{"title":"Evaluating Sustainable Mobility: Motorized and Non-motorized Modes in Suburban Areas of Thailand.","authors":"Pawinee Iamtrakul, Jirawan Klaylee, I-Soon Raungratanaamporn","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241233669","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241233669","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The impact of sustainable mobility may be considered through the mode of non-motorization, which may vary by spatial environmental conditions, especially accessibility by active mobility in a necessarily safe, comfortable, and pleasant atmosphere. Sustainable mobility comprises willingness to allow commuting behaviors on non-motorized travel for safety and green ethics. These chiefly participate to create livable places, improve health and well-being, and promote quality of life and economic growth. By contrast, an impoverished street environment decreases the possibility of active mobility and relies on motorization. It is essential to explore the perception of road users through diverse environmental features of street networks and sidewalks directly affecting road user behavior and preferences about motorization and non-motorization. This study evaluated multi-indicators of sustainable urban mobility (SUM) for a group of road users, with data gathered by questionnaire-based survey. 1,998 Pathum Thani Province inhabitants in Thailand were asked to evaluate their neighborhood characteristics by SUM indicators. In addition to different social dimensions and socioeconomic backgrounds, transportation characteristics among diverse trip makers and different perceptions of mobility indicators were classified by factor analysis using principal components and spatial visualization. Results were that traffic management, including intersection controls and signage, as well as information, sidewalk, management, and personal mobility choices, is a key strategy to improve sustainable mobility. This is achieved by tailoring solutions to achieve a modal shift prioritized over other supportive facilities.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"36-60"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139913695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Studying Parole Revocation Practices: Accounting for Dependency Between Competing Events. 研究撤销假释的做法：研究假释撤销做法：竞争事件之间的依赖关系。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241234412
William Rhodes, Gerald Gaes, William Sabol
{"title":"Studying Parole Revocation Practices: Accounting for Dependency Between Competing Events.","authors":"William Rhodes, Gerald Gaes, William Sabol","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241234412","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241234412","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>When individuals are released from prison, they typically enter a period of post confinement community supervision. While under community supervision, their behaviors are subject to special conditions requiring them to report to supervisors and prohibiting certain behaviors such as drug and alcohol use. Many supervisees are returned to prison because they violate those special conditions, or because they commit minor crimes that would not result in prison were they not being supervised. But others are returned to prison for serious new crimes. We distinguish the two as nuisance behaviors (the former) and pernicious behaviors (the latter). Our research applies competing events survival analysis to distinguish a structural model that accounts for nuisance behaviors from a structural model that accounts for pernicious behaviors. We demonstrate that returning offenders to prison for technical violations and minor crimes may reduce the incidence of major crimes because the occurrence of nuisance behaviors and pernicious behaviors are highly correlated. Our findings support the theory that nuisance behaviors signal the likelihood of pernicious behaviors.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"3-35"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11656623/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139944549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Education Experiments in Latin America: Empirical Evidence to Guide Evaluation Design. 拉丁美洲的教育实验：指导评估设计的经验证据》。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241241354
Steven Glazerman, Larissa Campuzano, Nancy Murray
{"title":"Education Experiments in Latin America: Empirical Evidence to Guide Evaluation Design.","authors":"Steven Glazerman, Larissa Campuzano, Nancy Murray","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241241354","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241241354","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Randomized experiments involving education interventions are typically implemented as cluster randomized trials, with schools serving as clusters. To design such a study, it is critical to understand the degree to which learning outcomes vary between versus within clusters (schools), specifically the intraclass correlation coefficient. It is also helpful to anticipate the benefits, in terms of statistical power, of collecting household data, testing students at baseline, or relying on administrative data on previous cohorts from the same school. We use data from multiple cluster-randomized trials in four Latin American countries to provide information on the intraclass correlations in early grade literacy outcomes. We also describe the proportion of variance explained by different types of covariates. These parameters will help future researchers conduct statistical power analysis, estimate the required sample size, and determine the necessity of collecting different types of baseline data such as child assessments, administrative data at the school level, or household surveys.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"115-146"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140327263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating a Theoretically Consistent Human Capital Production Function With an Application to Head Start. 估算理论上一致的人力资本生产函数，并将其应用于 "启蒙教育"。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241239512
Luis Faundez, Robert Kaestner
{"title":"Estimating a Theoretically Consistent Human Capital Production Function With an Application to Head Start.","authors":"Luis Faundez, Robert Kaestner","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241239512","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241239512","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This article describes a conceptual and empirical approach for estimating a human capital production function of child development that incorporates mother- or child-fixed effects. The use of mother- or child-fixed effects is common in this applied economics literature, but its application is often inconsistent with human capital theory. We outline the problem and demonstrate its empirical importance with an analysis of the effect of Head Start and preschool on child and adult outcomes. The empirical specification we develop has broad implications for a variety of applied microeconomic analyses beyond our specific application. Results of our analysis indicate that attending Head Start or preschool had no economically or statistically significant effect on child or adult outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"61-114"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140177092","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Introducing a Competency Framework for Educational Researchers: The Case of Vietnam. 引入教育研究人员能力框架：越南案例。
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241240639
Thuan Van Pham, Loc My Thi Nguyen, Trung Tran, Hoang Yen Thi Duong, Hoan Huu Tran, Thanh Thi Nghiem
{"title":"Introducing a Competency Framework for Educational Researchers: The Case of Vietnam.","authors":"Thuan Van Pham, Loc My Thi Nguyen, Trung Tran, Hoang Yen Thi Duong, Hoan Huu Tran, Thanh Thi Nghiem","doi":"10.1177/0193841X241240639","DOIUrl":"10.1177/0193841X241240639","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, based on the established Vitae Researcher Development Framework (RDF), we introduce a new framework, tailor-made specifically for Vietnamese educational researchers, namely, Vietnam's Framework for Educational Researchers (VFER). VFER is expected to serve as a tool for Vietnamese educational researchers to self-evaluate their skills and support them in developing their career qualities from junior to senior career ladders. The framework includes four domains with ten subdomains and 28 indicators. To date, VFER has been implemented in some Vietnamese universities of pedagogical education. We expect that other research fields will look to VFER as a reference to build their own research capacity framework.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"165-174"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140177093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Impact of Private and Public Sentiments on the Linkage Between Gold and Stock Markets: Evidence from China.
IF 3 4区 社会学
Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251317024
Lin Ren, Yingyue Sun, Deping Xiong, Yu Wei
{"title":"Evaluating the Impact of Private and Public Sentiments on the Linkage Between Gold and Stock Markets: Evidence from China.","authors":"Lin Ren, Yingyue Sun, Deping Xiong, Yu Wei","doi":"10.1177/0193841X251317024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X251317024","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Gold and stocks, which are conventionally regarded as a safe haven and risk assets, respectively, exhibit complex interrelationships, with significant implications for financial risk management. This paper builds on the sentiment categorization proposed by Liang et al. (2020) to distinguish between private and public sector sentiment. The construction of sentiment indices for both sectors aims to allow the exploration of the heterogeneous effects of these sector-specific sentiments on the gold-stock market linkages in China under different market conditions. The empirical results demonstrate a notable asymmetry in the impact of market sentiment between the public and private sectors, with distinct manifestations in stable versus highly volatile market environments. Specifically, positive sentiment in the public sector tends to diminish the safe-haven function of gold, whereas positive sentiment in the private sector tends to reinforce it. This disparity becomes particularly evident during periods of extreme market volatility. Our findings not only underscore the diverse impacts of market sentiment but also provide novel insights into the importance of incorporating sector-specific sentiment when devising hedging strategies for specific industries.</p>","PeriodicalId":47533,"journal":{"name":"Evaluation Review","volume":" ","pages":"193841X251317024"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143053935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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