{"title":"Forecasting daily freight flow in cold regions of China using the hybrid Prophet model considering the importance of festivals and epidemic prevention policy","authors":"Haonan Chang , Zhihui Yang , Yaping Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101294","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101294","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Freight flow forecasting has emerged as a critical strategy for capturing future trends in freight variation and allocating resources effectively to ensure stable service for residents and local communities. Previous studies have primarily focused on forecasting annual regional freight demand and freight flow regarding freight trips or commodity flow, overlooking research into daily freight weight and parcels and the influence of various events on daily freight flow. This oversight neglects support for daily transportation tasks. In this study, we utilize a freight flow dataset comprising daily freight weight and parcels from a leading logistics company in cold regions of China. A hybrid XGBoost-SHAP and Prophet model is proposed to overcome the issue of Prophet failing to select important indicators, and to predict future freight flow and examine the correlation between freight flow and special events. Our findings reveal that the hybrid Prophet model outperforms LSTM, ARIMA, Prophet-SARIMA and the conventional Prophet model; meanwhile festivals and strict epidemic prevention policies have a significant impact on freight flow. These findings, derived from various contexts provincially, suggest that the Prophet model with events can serve multiple objectives in predicting freight flow, and contribute to the design of freight strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101294"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Feiyu Feng , Kang Yan , Jieru Zou , Qiaoying Guo , Liangpeng Gao , Xianwei Zhan
{"title":"The differences and similarities in factors affecting user satisfaction and repurchase intention on battery electric vehicles across cities: Comparative evidence from Beijing and Shenzhen in China's post-subsidy era","authors":"Feiyu Feng , Kang Yan , Jieru Zou , Qiaoying Guo , Liangpeng Gao , Xianwei Zhan","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101293","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101293","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To understand the similarities and differences in user satisfaction and intentions to repurchase battery electric vehicles (BEVs) across varying regions, an extended framework of theory of planned behavior is proposed by incorporating more constructs, including environmental preference, hedonic motivation, technology savviness, power supply reliability expectancy, and anticipation of electrification. This framework was estimated using covariance-based structural equation modeling with survey data of 1400 BEV users collected from Beijing and Shenzhen. The findings indicate that the factors influencing user satisfaction are similar in both cities, while the effects of factors on repurchase intention are different. To be specific, constructs including environmental preference, anticipation of electrification, and subjective norms only affect the repurchase intention of users in Shenzhen. Technology savviness and perceptual behavioral control are significant factors that only exert their influence on the repurchase intention of users in Beijing. This study can offer trans-regional insights that differences in climates, infrastructure scale, industrial structure, and energy structure result in diverse preferences for BEVs among users.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101293"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dynamic relocation policies in a multi-region one-way carsharing system using staff management","authors":"Qiang Su , Ronghang Jiang , Wei Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101292","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101292","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid growth in private car ownership has exacerbated social and environmental problems. A carsharing system offers an effective solution to mitigate these problems. However, a one-way carsharing system can cause a vehicle imbalance. This study examines the operation of a multi-region one-way station-based carsharing system using staff relocation. We consider the percentage of demand served and revenue as performance measures and analyze the influence of several dynamic operator-based relocation policies. A case study of 1020 vehicles at 273 stations in Vancouver, Canada, is used to test the policies. The results indicate that the rolling-horizon policy significantly enhances the percentage of served demand and system revenue, which can assist managers in scheduling relocators.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101292"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The service quality imperative: Sustaining ridesharing adoption in the developing world","authors":"Md. Masud Rana , Mohammad Safaet Siddiqee , Md. Akmol Uddin","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101289","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101289","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aims to assess user perceived quality and its impact on sustaining the adoption of app-based ridesharing services in the context of a developing country. Adopting the <em>E</em>-S-QUAL model as a theoretical framework, data have been collected from 250 ride-sharing app users in Bangladesh. Utilizing the PLS-SEM method, the structural model confirms that service quality is a hierarchical second order model which extensively impacts customer satisfaction and positively affects service loyalty. Specifically, fulfillment, security & privacy, system availability, and efficiency factors of e-service quality emerged as significant determinants of user loyalty and satisfaction. In addition, customer satisfaction fully mediates the relationship between service quality and intention to continue using the ridesharing services. The findings highlight the role of delivering high-quality digital services in fostering customer loyalty, commitment, and retention in the ride-sharing domain, particularly in developing economies. In addition, this study highlights that Bangladeshi perspectives on the sharing economy emphasize the need for better infrastructure, improved safety and privacy for women, and affordable, reliable service, insights that are also relevant for other emerging economies. Theoretically, this study extends the research of ridesharing services by applying the well-established <em>E</em>-S-QUAL framework while assessing the mediating role of customer satisfaction in ensuring service viability. Practically, it provides implications for ride-sharing platforms to enhance service attributes such as responsiveness, timeliness, and system reliability, thereby improving user experience and encouraging continued usage.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101289"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sourabh D. Kulkarni , Sumeet Kaur , Arghya Ray , Vinaytosh Mishra
{"title":"Does values impact intention to use sustainable mobility? An evidence from metropolitan cities of India","authors":"Sourabh D. Kulkarni , Sumeet Kaur , Arghya Ray , Vinaytosh Mishra","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101290","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101290","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increasing awareness of environmental concerns, climate change and associated issues has prompted shift towards sustainable mobility. This research aims to investigate the influence of self-directed values on Environmental norms and their connection to intention to use sustainable mobility. Portraying on the origins from two well-known theories, namely Value-Belief-Norms (VBN) and Theory of Reasoned Actions (TRA), the study employs a path analytic model. The survey, conducted among 427 participants in Tier-I and Tier-II Indian cites utilizes Partial-Least-Squares & Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) to analyse the proposed hypothesis. The study findings show that Self-directed values stimulate pro-environmental belief and attitudes encouraging intention to use sustainable mobility. Furthermore, the study emphasizes the robust and statistically significant relationship with the path of Self-Directed Values-Personal Norm-Ecological Attitude- Intention to use Sustainable Mobility highlighting empirical evidence for- <em>“Feel bad, and make good”</em> approach towards intention to use sustainable mobility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101290"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fostering sustainable urban mobility via stakeholder engagement: A novel analytic hierarchy process and half-quadratic programming","authors":"Sarbast Moslem , Majid Mohammadi , Karzan Ismael , Domokos Esztergár-Kiss","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101291","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101291","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ameliorating the public transport system is the top priority for legislators and planners alike. But to implement effective and long-lasting solutions, they must take into account not only the viewpoint of decision-makers on better solutions but also the necessity of including the public in the process of evolution. To estimate the public transport system in the Turkish city of Mersin, our article takes into account the opinions of users, non-users, and decision-makers. The methodology utilised in this study involves the application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process to ascertain the degree of significance assigned to the associated criteria concerning the supply quality of the public bus transport system. Additionally, the half-quadratic programming has been utilised to compute the final ranking that is combined for each of the participating groups. The main findings spotted the transport quality and tractability as paramount criteria, emphasizing their universal importance. In addition, a consensus index and a trust level for the combined ranking are provided by the recently proposed framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101291"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139611","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-criteria feature selection on maritime emission abatement alternatives","authors":"Kaiqi Xu , Mario P. Brito , Patrick Beullens","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101288","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101288","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To comply with MARPOL Annex VI, stakeholders face multi-criteria decision-making in technology selection. This study provides an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-based method to support stakeholders in selecting emission abatement technology aligned with their business demands, taking into account a range of sustainability criteria. The analysis reveals that there is no one-size-fits-all solution to technology selection. Low-sulfur fuel oil and LNG are preferable alternative fuels for large-size commercial (long-sea shipping) vessels due to their better capacity storage savings, while a dual-fuel engine offers flexibility in fuel changeover. Electrification offers zero-emission performance, lower noise levels, and peak energy solutions benefiting cruise ships and short-distance or harbor boats, but tugboats need greener diesel to meet performance criteria. From a policy perspective, our model provides insights into the effects of green transition processes in Norway and Singapore on stakeholders' decisions with respect to port infrastructure and land transport at the portside.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101288"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Behavioral drivers for cleaner hinterland transport in regional ports: Insights from the Yangtze River Delta","authors":"Xiaodan Jiang , Wei Ren , Zhifan Zhan , Wenwen Guo , Xinyu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Regional port enterprises lack motivation for energy conservation and emission reduction in hinterland transport, with energy consumption, CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, and atmospheric pollutants from hinterland transport surpassing those from port operations. This study explores the driving mechanisms behind regional ports' cleaner hinterland transport behaviors (RPCHTB). By integrating stakeholder theory, the theory of planned behavior, and resource dependence theory, we identify the driving factors influencing RPCHTB. We develop three theoretical models to examine causal relationships between RPCHTB, driving factors, and the energy and emission performance of hinterland transport. An empirical partial least squares structural equation model (PLS-SEM) is then constructed, using revealed preference data collected from four Yangtze River Delta ports between 2017 and 2021 to validate these models. The results show that attitude is a significant driver of RPCHTB, leading to improved environmental performance. Perceived behavioral control directly enhances RPCHTB and indirectly through attitude. Additionally, stakeholders influence environmental performance and RPCHTB both directly and indirectly, mainly via attitude and perceived behavioral control. This study enriches understanding of the driving mechanisms of sustainable hinterland transport behaviors in regional ports, offering practical insights to enhance motivation and inform policy refinement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101285"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yifu Ou , Ji Zheng , Shengping Li , Ke Chen , Zhikang Bao
{"title":"High-speed rail development and economic performance: A perspective on urban-rural disparities in the treatment and spillover effects","authors":"Yifu Ou , Ji Zheng , Shengping Li , Ke Chen , Zhikang Bao","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101287","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101287","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With high-speed rail networks being extensively developed worldwide, many studies have investigated their economic impacts regionally. However, little has been known about the urban-rural disparities underlying such effects. This research employs a difference-in-differences approach to analyze treatment effects locally and the spatial spillover effects to neighbors regarding high-speed rail's economic impacts, focusing particularly on variations across urban and non-urban areas. The primary findings reveal that, on average, high-speed rail leads to a increase of 3390 RMB in GDP per capita at the local level. However, the spillover effects on neighboring areas are not statistically significant. This study also highlights the existence of urban-rural disparities in both the treatment and spillover effects. Specifically, establishing high-speed rail stations is positively linked to local economic development in both urban and non-urban areas, with the former experiencing a more significant impact (5950 RMB) than the latter (2190 RMB). In addition, stations in urban areas contribute to economic growth in nearby non-urban areas but have an adverse effect on neighboring urban areas. This finding underscores the urban-rural interdependence and the competition for resources among urban areas. This study holds significant policy implications for high-speed rail investments, eliminating urban-rural inequality, industrial structure adjustments, and resource reallocation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101287"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Linchuan Yang , Senke Bi , Ya Zhao , Yuan Liang , Ruoyu Wang
{"title":"Time-dependent associations between accessibility to tram stops, proximity to tram tracks, and property prices: From construction to operation","authors":"Linchuan Yang , Senke Bi , Ya Zhao , Yuan Liang , Ruoyu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101286","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101286","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Research on how accessibility to tram stops and proximity to tram tracks affect property prices has been limited. Additionally, the time-dependent effects of the tram system and its effects at different price levels remain underexplored. This study fills these gaps by analyzing the relationship between Chengdu Tram Line 2 and nearby property prices. Using a before-and-after treatment-control design and a dataset of 33,150 property transactions over six years, it applies multilevel hedonic price, difference-in-differences (DID), and quantile regression models to investigate the association between accessibility to tram stops, proximity to tram tracks, and property prices during various phases (e.g., construction and operation phases). Our findings are listed below. First, the positive influence of accessibility to tram stops only becomes significant during the operation phase. Specifically, property prices within 800 m of tram stops are 1.4 % higher than those farther away. Second, price penalties induced by proximity to tram tracks persist throughout the construction and operation phases. Third, the impact of accessibility to tram stops varies significantly across different price levels. Specifically, buyers of low-priced properties are more willing to pay a premium for accessibility to tram stops, whereas purchasers of high-end properties prefer greater distances from tram tracks to avoid nuisances. The results highlight the time-dependent accessibility benefits and negative externalities linked to tram services. Finally, policy implications, such as measures to alleviate the disturbances caused by tram tracks, are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47453,"journal":{"name":"Research in Transportation Business and Management","volume":"59 ","pages":"Article 101286"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}