International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion最新文献_第7页

Evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on traffic congestion and safety skills using structural equation modeling (SEM) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). 利用结构方程模型(SEM)和自回归综合移动平均线(ARIMA)评估COVID-19对交通拥堵和安全技能的影响。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2242331

Sharaf AlKheder, Manar Al-Mukhaizeem, Hanaa Al-Saleh, Eman Bahman, Saqer Al-Ghanim

{"title":"Evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on traffic congestion and safety skills using structural equation modeling (SEM) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA).","authors":"Sharaf AlKheder, Manar Al-Mukhaizeem, Hanaa Al-Saleh, Eman Bahman, Saqer Al-Ghanim","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2242331","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2242331","url":null,"abstract":"The current work presented a comparative analysis of traffic demand and safety skills before and after control measures during the COVID-19 epidemic, acquired time-series change data curves, and constructed a prediction model after determining the trend of traffic demand over time. From a data analysis perspective, the paper draws some interesting conclusions about long span, coarse sampling studies. In terms of the study population, the paper did focus on the specificity of the global epidemic. Kuwait was selected as a case study. Traffic demand analysis was conducted using a Structural Equation Model (SEM), Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and safety skills questionnaire along with flow charts and demographic variables. These methods were utilized to study the impact of COVID-19 on traffic congestion and safety skills as well as to forecast the future traffic volumes. Results showed that traffic congestion had a significant reduction during COVID-19 as a result of the preventive safety measures taken to control the spread of the virus. Such reduced traffic volume was associated with a decrease in traffic violations and an increase in the safety skills and PM skills of drivers.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9977780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Predictors of older people's intention to engage in cycling violation behaviour with an integrative model. 基于综合模型的老年人骑自行车违章行为的预测因素。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2214885

Jianrong Liu, Danwen Bao, Zhiwei Liu

{"title":"Predictors of older people's intention to engage in cycling violation behaviour with an integrative model.","authors":"Jianrong Liu, Danwen Bao, Zhiwei Liu","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214885","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214885","url":null,"abstract":"In China, bicycles are a popular mode of transportation for senior citizens. A disproportionate number of traffic-related fatalities and injuries involve cyclists. The violation of cycling laws is a significant cause of cyclist crashes. Few studies have analyzed the cycling violation behaviour of seniors. Therefore, it is essential to examine the factors that influence older individuals' intention to engage in cycling violation behaviours. In this study, the effects of social-demographic characteristics, the exogenous constructs in the health belief model (HBM), and the theory of planned behaviour (TPB) on senior cyclists' violation intention were investigated using hierarchical regression analysis. Interviews were conducted with older cyclists in urban areas of Wuhan City, all above 60 years of age. The results showed that very little variance in behavioural intention could be explained by social-demographic factors. The TPB has a significantly greater capacity than the HBM to explain variance in behavioural intention. Perceived susceptibility, perceived benefit, cues to action, subjective norm and attitude significantly impacted behavioural intention, whereas perceived severity, perceived barrier and self-efficacy did not.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9898497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Hot spot analysis and evaluation of influencing factors on regional road crash safety and severity indices: insights from Iran. 区域道路碰撞安全和严重程度指标影响因素的热点分析与评价:来自伊朗的见解。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2242339

Morteza Ahmadpur, Ilgin Yasar

{"title":"Hot spot analysis and evaluation of influencing factors on regional road crash safety and severity indices: insights from Iran.","authors":"Morteza Ahmadpur, Ilgin Yasar","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2242339","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2242339","url":null,"abstract":"Inadequate regional road safety studies have been conducted in developing countries like Iran. Regarding regional road safety indices (RSIs), a significant disparity between Iranian provinces was observed. Thus, it was aimed to evaluate the regional RSIs in Iran and identify their influencing factors and potential hot spots. Data on regional road crashes, fatalities, demographics, transportation, health institutions, economics, education, and fuel consumption rates were collected. The association between the variables was evaluated using correlation analysis. Using Moran's I and local Moran indices, provinces' spatial distributions were evaluated. Hot spot analysis was used to identify factors influencing RSIs. Significant correlations between the variables were detected. A vast local cluster in terms of fatality per injury (as a crash severity index) was identified in the country's southeast. The distribution patterns of provinces in terms of seven RSIs were cluster-like. Variable groups, including road length, demographic, income, education, and geographic, influence RSIs in hot or cold spot regions. Crashes were severe in underdeveloped and remote provinces. Increasing income and education levels make it possible to reduce crash severity indices in this country. A positive Moran's I index does not guarantee the existence of significant local cluster cores in a country.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10069456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Determinants of speed variability on the horizontal curves of two-lane undivided rural highways passing through mountainous terrain. 通过山区地形的两车道不分割乡村公路水平弯道上速度变化的决定因素。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2252797

V A Bharat Kumar Anna, Mallikarjuna Chunchu

{"title":"Determinants of speed variability on the horizontal curves of two-lane undivided rural highways passing through mountainous terrain.","authors":"V A Bharat Kumar Anna, Mallikarjuna Chunchu","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2252797","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2252797","url":null,"abstract":"Drivers traversing the horizontal curves are expected to complete the deceleration manoeuvre on the tangent and transition curve and maintain a constant speed upon reaching the curve. However, this may not be true for the horizontal curves constituting a two-lane undivided rural highway passing through mountainous terrain. The objective of this study is to investigate the speed variability on a two-lane rural highway passing through mountainous terrain and to identify its determinants. The continuous speed profiles of vehicles traversing the curves were extracted using the video image processing technique. Individual speed profiles, as well as the operating speed profiles obtained through quantile regression, indicate a significant speed variability on the horizontal curve. Speed variability on the curve was modelled in terms of the 85th percentile of maximum speed difference (MaxΔ85V) using the Robust Weighted Least Square (RWLS) Method. The findings indicate that the curvature change rate, length of the curve and the speed at the point of curvature affect the maximum speed difference on a curve. The findings also suggest that the operating speed estimated based on the spot speed data collected at the curve centre might lead to erroneous estimation of design and operating speed consistencies.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10210851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Hazard perception training effectiveness on experienced drivers: decay of improvement in the follow-up. 危险认知训练对有经验司机的效果:随著随访改善的衰减。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2214895

Auksė Endriulaitienė, Laura Šeibokaitė, Rasa Markšaitytė, Justina Slavinskienė, Modesta Morkevičiūtė

{"title":"Hazard perception training effectiveness on experienced drivers: decay of improvement in the follow-up.","authors":"Auksė Endriulaitienė, Laura Šeibokaitė, Rasa Markšaitytė, Justina Slavinskienė, Modesta Morkevičiūtė","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214895","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214895","url":null,"abstract":"A variety of road hazard perception training programmes have been proposed recently, based on the assumption that these skills contribute to lower crash rates across different countries. However, the long-term effectiveness of suggested programmes has been under-investigated. The main objective of this study is to explore the long-term effectiveness of online hazard perception training for experienced drivers and examine the moderating role of driving self-efficacy. Fifty-six experienced drivers (21 males and 35 females) were assigned to the experimental (n = 31) or the control (n = 25) group. The experimental group received two 45 min session interventions; the control group received no intervention. The effectiveness of the programme was tested by the change in scores of Lithuanian hazard prediction test (HPT) LHP12 that was conducted before training (pre-test), immediately after training (post-test) and six months after training (follow-up). The twelve-item Adelaide Driving Self-Efficacy Scale (ADSES; George et al., 2007) was used to measure self-reported driving self-efficacy at the pre-test. The results revealed a significant increase in hazard prediction scores immediately after training, but the short-term effect of training decayed at follow-up. Experienced drivers with higher self-efficacy developed better hazard prediction skills during training. The results confirmed short-term effectiveness of the programme.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9545324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Forecasting road accidental deaths in India: an explicit comparison between ARIMA and exponential smoothing method. 印度道路意外死亡预测:ARIMA与指数平滑法的明确比较。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2225168

Prafulla Kumar Swain, Manas Ranjan Tripathy, Khushi Agrawal

{"title":"Forecasting road accidental deaths in India: an explicit comparison between ARIMA and exponential smoothing method.","authors":"Prafulla Kumar Swain, Manas Ranjan Tripathy, Khushi Agrawal","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2225168","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2225168","url":null,"abstract":"The number of deaths due to road accident is increasing day by day and has become an alarming global problem over the decades. India, with her rising motorization is no stranger to this global catastrophe. In this paper two relatively simple yet powerful and versatile techniques for forecasting time series data, autoregressive integrated moving average method (ARIMA) and exponential smoothing method are used to forecast the number of deaths due to road accidents in India from the year 2022-2031. The results based on the two methods are compared and it is found that they are in sync with each other and pre-existing literature. Furthermore, this is a unique attempt to use two time series analysis techniques on the same data and carry out a comparative analysis. The data was collected from the annual report of Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, India (2020) and Accidental Deaths & Suicides in India (ADSI) Report of National Crime Record Bureau (2021). After examining all the probable models, it is observed that ARIMA (2, 2, 2) model and exponential smoothing (M, A, N) model are suitable for the given data. Amongst the two, ARIMA (2, 2, 2) model has a lower AIC and BIC value. Thus, this comes out to be the best model as per our model selection criterion. Further, the study also reveals an upward trend of number of road accidental deaths for the upcoming 10 years in India.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9680364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Construction of injury process from Japanese consumer product narrative injury data using an ontology-based method. 基于本体的日本消费品叙事伤害数据损伤过程构建。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2239240

Xiaodong Feng, Kun Zhang, Fang Jiang, Yoshiki Mikami

引用次数: 0

Clustering and pedestrian crashes prediction modelling: Amman case. 聚类与行人碰撞预测建模:安曼案例。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2214900

Lina Shbeeb

{"title":"Clustering and pedestrian crashes prediction modelling: Amman case.","authors":"Lina Shbeeb","doi":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214900","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17457300.2023.2214900","url":null,"abstract":"Pedestrian casualties are a severe domestic as well as international problem. This study analyses the spatial distribution of pedestrian casualties to define contributory factors and delineate the means for their prediction. Three years of crash data were collected along with other factors and analysed using kernel density estimation (KDE), spatial autocorrelation (Moran's I), cluster K-Means, spatial regression, and general linear regressions (GLM). Kernel density estimate defines a cluster of pedestrian deaths within 1250 meters. According to Moran's I, 17/22 attributes about casualties, road networks, demographics, and land use have positive values, indicating similar importance clustering. The spatial pattern of pedestrian casualties is random and insignificant and does not change with time. Casualties are negatively related to the surrounding attributes, indicating a tendency towards dispersion. A K-Means analysis of multiple variables revealed that when variables included in the clustering were higher, the variance explanation percentage was lower. In the multi-variable GLM assuming Poisson distribution, the road network length alone or with the house permits combined were the best predictors of casualties. Classic regressions were not significantly enhanced by spatial dimension, and none of the autoregressive coefficients were significant. The predictions from the Poisson-based GLM model are similar to the classic regressions.","PeriodicalId":47014,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9686183","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Systems-thinking-based road safety research: the way forward. 基于系统思维的道路安全研究:前进方向。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2282001

Geetam Tiwari

引用次数: 0

Evaluating overtaking and filtering maneuver of motorcyclists and car drivers using advanced trajectory data analysis. 基于先进轨迹数据分析的摩托车和汽车超车滤波机动评估。

IF 2.3 4区医学

International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-21 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2225162

Harish Kumar Saini, Shivam Singh Chouhan, Ankit Kathuria, Ashoke Kumar Sarkar

引用次数: 0