Journal of Choice Modelling最新文献_第10页

Weibit choice models: Properties, mode choice application and graphical illustrations 微比特选择模型:属性，模式选择应用程序和图形说明

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100373

Yu Gu , Anthony Chen , Songyot Kitthamkesorn

引用次数: 5

Applications of discrete choice experiments in COVID-19 research: Disparity in survey qualities between health and transport fields 离散选择实验在COVID-19研究中的应用:卫生和交通领域调查质量的差异

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100371

Milad Haghani , Michiel C.J. Bliemer , Esther W. de Bekker-Grob

{"title":"Applications of discrete choice experiments in COVID-19 research: Disparity in survey qualities between health and transport fields","authors":"Milad Haghani , Michiel C.J. Bliemer , Esther W. de Bekker-Grob","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100371","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100371","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Published choice experiments linked to various aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic are analysed in a rapid review. The aim is to (i) document the diversity of topics as well as their temporal and geographical patterns of emergence, (ii) compare various elements of design quality across different sectors of applied economics, and (iii) identify potential signs of convergent validity across findings of comparable experiments. Of the N = 43 published choice experiments during the first two years of the pandemic, the majority identifies with health applications (n = 30), followed by transport-related applications (n = 10). Nearly 100,000 people across the world responded to pandemic-related discrete choice surveys. Within health applications, while the dominant theme, up until June 2020, was lockdown relaxation and tracing measures, the focus shifted abruptly to vaccine preference since then. Geographical origins of the health surveys were not diverse. Nearly 50% of all health surveys were conducted in only three countries, namely US, China and The Netherlands. Health applications exhibited stronger pre-testing and larger sample sizes compared to transport applications. Limited signs of convergent validity were identifiable. Within some applications, issues of temporal instability as well as hypothetical bias attributable to social desirability, protest response or policy consequentiality seemed likely to have affected the findings. Nevertheless, very few of the experiments implemented measures of hypothetical bias mitigation and those were limited to health studies. Our main conclusion is that swift administration of pandemic-related choice experiments has overall resulted in certain degrees of compromise in study quality, but this has been more so the case in relation to transport topics than health topics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100371"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9301170/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10395682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Matching reality: A basket and expenditure based choice experiment with sensory preferences 匹配现实:基于感官偏好的篮子和支出选择实验

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100369

Clinton L. Neill , Jacob Lahne

{"title":"Matching reality: A basket and expenditure based choice experiment with sensory preferences","authors":"Clinton L. Neill , Jacob Lahne","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100369","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100369","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article introduces a basket and expenditure based choice experiment design to elicit consumer preferences for multiple products. This design is utilized to imitate a more realistic shopping scenario for consumers when choosing among many different products simultaneously. This approach allows participants to choose both multiple items, in this case vegetables, and related quantities/expenditures to place in a basket of goods. We provide an application of the experimental design to a vegetable choice experiment. This is done in conjunction with a sensory experiment to provide a contextual component to the experiment and econometric model. This type of experiment lends itself to the use of the Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) class of models. More specifically, we use the extended version of the MDCEV model proposed by Palma and Hess (2020) that relaxes the need for a budget while also accounting for substitution and complementarity among products. We find that the proposed design and class of econometric methods present a flexible way to analyze consumer choice when the desire is to elicit preferences for a basket of goods rather than simple discrete alternatives or attributes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100369"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755534522000264/pdfft?md5=55ca6270f008075a5908ca6c7008967c&pid=1-s2.0-S1755534522000264-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77881016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Modelling online job search and choices of dentists in the Australian job market: Staged sequential DCEs and FIML econometric methods 模拟在线求职和选择牙医在澳大利亚就业市场:阶段顺序dce和FIML计量经济学方法

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100372

Elisabeth Huynh, J. Swait, E. Lancsar

引用次数: 0

Matching and weighting in stated preferences for health care 对卫生保健的既定偏好进行匹配和加权

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100367

C. Vass, M. Boeri, C. Poulos, A. Turner

引用次数: 0

Optimal sequential strategy to improve the precision of the estimators in a discrete choice experiment: A simulation study 提高离散选择实验中估计器精度的最优顺序策略:仿真研究

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100357

Daniel Pérez-Troncoso

{"title":"Optimal sequential strategy to improve the precision of the estimators in a discrete choice experiment: A simulation study","authors":"Daniel Pérez-Troncoso","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100357","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100357","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><p>In order to solve the problems related to prior parameter misspecification in DCEs, Bliemer and Rose (2010) proposed a sequential approach where the design is updated after each respondent. This paper tries to find a more efficient alternative sequential method since the original proposal could be very time-consuming and expensive under some circumstances.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>11 different strategies were simulated using 8 to 16 choice sets following a Monte Carlo approach. The accuracy and bias of the estimates of each strategy were studied using the relative error and mean value of their estimates.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The DCE performs similarly to the original strategy by updating the design after five respondents. Among the other strategies, we discovered that, under certain circumstances, updating the design after 20 or 10 respondents led to accurate and not significantly biased estimates.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>For a strategy to be efficient it might not be necessary to update the DCE after each respondent, but we found that updating the prior information relatively often and regularly can be almost as efficient as the original sequential proposal (for example, updating after five respondents might be a good choice). In addition, our findings suggest that each DCE has different efficient strategies depending on the number of attributes, levels, sets, and alternatives, so it can be concluded that a universal “optimal sequential strategy” does not exist.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100357"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S175553452200015X/pdfft?md5=676288b9384f83deabe39007200e5f1f&pid=1-s2.0-S175553452200015X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90034571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring the subscribing behavior of customized bus passengers: Active users versus inactive users 探索定制公交乘客的订阅行为:活跃用户与非活跃用户

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100355

Jiangbo Wang , Toshiyuki Yamamoto , Kai Liu

{"title":"Exploring the subscribing behavior of customized bus passengers: Active users versus inactive users","authors":"Jiangbo Wang , Toshiyuki Yamamoto , Kai Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100355","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100355","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Understanding the mechanism of continuous subscribing behavior is vital to the operation and even survival of customized bus (CB) systems. Capturing the differences in subscribing behavior of active and inactive users and developing targeted and differentiated marketing strategies accordingly will help to improve the user retention rate. The results of this study revealed differences in the subscribing behavior between active and inactive users and the influence of a wide range of factors on the subscription behavior between the two groups, such as area-related and individual characteristics. Travel distance presents an inverted “U” shape effect on the propensity to use CB with the vertex at around 16 km for active users and 28 km for inactive users, which is a further finding of the monotonic positive effect indicated by the existing studies. For every RMB 10 cheaper CB trip, the likelihood that an active user holds a higher “propensity” to use CB services will increase by 8%. The cost advantage will attract novelty-seeking travelers to try CB services occasionally, but cannot convert them into high-frequency users. The passengers who started to subscribe to the CB service in winter are more likely to travel by CB frequently no matter in active and inactive user groups. The findings of this empirical study lay a theoretical foundation for ridership retention and marketing orientation of the customized and demand-responsive transit services.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100355"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91747108","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Jeopardizing brand profitability by misattributing process heterogeneity to preference heterogeneity 错误地将过程异质性归因于偏好异质性，从而危及品牌盈利能力

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100359

Luis Pilli , Joffre Swait , José Afonso Mazzon

{"title":"Jeopardizing brand profitability by misattributing process heterogeneity to preference heterogeneity","authors":"Luis Pilli , Joffre Swait , José Afonso Mazzon","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100359","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100359","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Brands develop strategies based on forecasts that allow for individual differences, usually attributed empirically to heterogeneity in consumers' preferences. Behavioral theories<span> propose choice process heterogeneity as the conditioning stage for choice outcomes, and suggest that not accounting for it causes biases in parameters and policy measures. We conduct a Monte Carlo simulation to study how underlying choice process heterogeneity generates substantively significant biases in different market contexts if analysts (erroneously) channel heterogeneity solely into tastes. We extend the literature by using a game theoretical analysis, driven by the results from the demand simulation, to explore demand mis-specification effects on brands' profitability and market equilibrium. Through mixed strategies we examine necessary conditions for market equilibrium when managers have access to different demand representations but are uncertain about which is true. We demonstrate that biases generated by representing consumer response heterogeneity solely through preference heterogeneity are enough to significantly jeopardize brands' profits due to misalignment of firms' products and resources with demand. Our work forcefully demonstrates to both marketers and econometricians/data scientists the necessity of modeling choice process heterogeneity given its impacts on brands’ performance.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100359"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91747109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Capturing trade-offs between daily scheduling choices 在日常日程安排选择之间进行权衡

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100354

Janody Pougala , Tim Hillel , Michel Bierlaire

{"title":"Capturing trade-offs between daily scheduling choices","authors":"Janody Pougala , Tim Hillel , Michel Bierlaire","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100354","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100354","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We propose a new modelling approach for daily activity scheduling which integrates the different daily scheduling choice dimensions (activity participation, location, schedule, duration and transportation mode) into a single optimisation problem. The fundamental behavioural principle behind our approach is that individuals schedule their day to maximise their overall derived utility from the activities they complete, according to their individual needs, constraints, and preferences. By combining multiple choices into a single optimisation problem, our framework is able to capture the complex trade-offs between scheduling decisions for multiple activities. These trade-offs could include how spending longer in one activity will reduce the time-availability for other activities or how the order of activities determines the travel-times. The implemented framework takes as input a set of considered activities, with associated locations and travel modes, and uses these to produce empirical distributions of individual schedules from which different daily schedules can be drawn. The model is illustrated using historic trip diary data from the Swiss Mobility and Transport Microcensus. The results demonstrate the ability of the proposed framework to generate complex and realistic distributions of starting time and duration for different activities within the tight time constraints. The generated schedules are then compared to the aggregate distributions from the historical data to demonstrate the feasibility and flexibility of our approach.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100354"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755534522000124/pdfft?md5=64b6c3baa738eed56f5a7754ea5db96e&pid=1-s2.0-S1755534522000124-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91747110","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 12

Quantifying behavioural difference in latent class models to assess empirical identifiability: Analytical development and application to multiple heuristics 量化潜在类别模型中的行为差异以评估经验可识别性:多重启发式的分析发展和应用

IF 2.4 3区经济学

Journal of Choice Modelling Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100356

Felipe Gonzalez-Valdes , Benjamin G. Heydecker , Juan de Dios Ortúzar

{"title":"Quantifying behavioural difference in latent class models to assess empirical identifiability: Analytical development and application to multiple heuristics","authors":"Felipe Gonzalez-Valdes , Benjamin G. Heydecker , Juan de Dios Ortúzar","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100356","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2022.100356","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Latent class (LC) models have been used for decades. In some cases, models of this kind have exhibited difficulties in identifying distinct classes. Identifiability is key to determining the presence or absence of the different population cohorts represented by the latent classes. Theoretical identifiability addresses this issue in general, but no empirical identifiability analysis of this kind of model has been performed previously. Here, we analyse the theoretical properties of LC models to establish necessary conditions on the classes to be identifiable jointly. We then, establish a measure of behavioural difference and relate it to empirical identifiability; this measure highlights factors that are crucial for identifiability. We show how these factors affect identifiability through simulation experiments in which classes are known, and test elements such as the proportion of individuals belonging to each latent class, different correlation structures and sample sizes. In our experiments, each latent class corresponds to a different choice heuristic. We present a graphical diagnostic that supports the measure of behavioural difference that promotes identifiability and provide examples of model non-identifiability, partial identifiability, and strong identifiability. We conclude by discussing how non-identifiability can be detected and understood in ways that will inform survey design and analysis.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100356"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91747111","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2