Quentin F. Gronau, Murray S. Bennett, Scott D. Brown, Guy E. Hawkins, Ami Eidels
{"title":"Do choice tasks and rating scales elicit the same judgments?","authors":"Quentin F. Gronau, Murray S. Bennett, Scott D. Brown, Guy E. Hawkins, Ami Eidels","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100437","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100437","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Discrete choice (DCE) and rating scale experiments (RSE) are commonly applied procedures for eliciting preference judgments in a plethora of applied settings such as consumer choices, health care, and transport economics. An almost universal assumption is that actual “ground truth” preferences do not depend on which elicitation procedure is used. It is usually not possible to test this assumption, because typical studies feature response options for which there is no objectively correct response. To make progress on testing this assumption, we conducted a perceptual discrimination experiment where response options varied on a single attribute – stimulus saturation level – with a known objectively correct response. We had the same participants complete both a choice task (CT) and rating scale (RS) version of the experiment, allowing a direct examination of the assumption of a common representation. Our CT featured many characteristics that define a DCE, however, in order to have a known objectively correct response, it also differed in a few important ways. To test the assumption of a common representation, we developed a cognitive model with a response mechanism for both CT and RS. This enabled us to compare a model version that featured one shared latent stimulus representation across CT and RS versus a version which featured separate representations. Our results support the assumption that a single internal state supports both CT and RS responses, and also suggest that the CT method might provide more sensitive measurement of internal states than the RS method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100437"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50176911","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cube model: Predictions and account for best–worst choice situations with three choice alternatives","authors":"Adele Diederich , Keivan Mallahi-Karai","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100448","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100448","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Cube model (Mallahi-Karai and Diederich, 2019) is a dynamic-stochastic approach for decision making situations including multiple alternatives. The underlying model is a multivariate Wiener process with drift, and its dimension is related to the number of alternatives in the choice set. Here we modify the model to account for Best–Worst settings. The choices are made in a number of episodes allowing the alternatives to be ranked from best to worst or from worst to best. The model makes predictions with respect to choice probabilities and (mean) choice response times. We show how the model can be implemented using Markov chains and test the model and a simpler variation of it on data from Hawkins et al. (2014b).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100448"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50176910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Konstantina Sokratous, Anderson K. Fitch, Peter D. Kvam
{"title":"How to ask twenty questions and win: Machine learning tools for assessing preferences from small samples of willingness-to-pay prices","authors":"Konstantina Sokratous, Anderson K. Fitch, Peter D. Kvam","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100418","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100418","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Subjective value has long been measured using binary choice experiments, yet responses like willingness-to-pay prices can be an effective and efficient way to assess individual differences risk preferences and value. Tony Marley’s work illustrated that dynamic, stochastic models permit meaningful inferences about cognition from process-level data on paradigms beyond binary choice, yet many of these models remain difficult to use because their likelihoods must be approximated from simulation. In this paper, we develop and test an approach that uses deep neural networks<span> to estimate the parameters of otherwise-intractable behavioral models. Once trained, these networks allow for accurate and instantaneous parameter estimation. We compare different network architectures and show that they accurately recover true risk preferences related to utility, response caution, anchoring, and non-decision processes. To illustrate the usefulness of the approach, it was then applied to estimate model parameters for a large, demographically representative sample of U.S. participants who completed a 20-question pricing task — an estimation task that is not feasible with previous methods. The results illustrate the utility of machine-learning approaches for fitting cognitive and economic models, providing efficient methods for quantifying meaningful differences in risk preferences from sparse data.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100418"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"One or two-step? Evaluating GMM efficiency for spatial binary probit models","authors":"Gianfranco Piras , Mauricio Sarrias","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100432","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100432","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this article we propose two-step generalized method of moment (GMM) procedure for a Spatial Binary Probit Model. In particular, we propose a series of two-step estimators based on different choices of the weighting matrix for the moments conditions in the first step, and different estimators for the variance–covariance matrix of the estimated coefficients. In the context of a Monte Carlo experiment, we compare the properties of these estimators, a linearized version of the one-step GMM and the recursive importance sampler (RIS). Our findings reveal that there are benefits related both to the choice of the weight matrix for the moment conditions and in adopting a two-step procedure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100432"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xuehui Han , Tao Zhang , John K. Dagsvik , Yuan Cheng
{"title":"A cross-sectional exploration of labor supply, gender, and household wealth in urban China","authors":"Xuehui Han , Tao Zhang , John K. Dagsvik , Yuan Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100433","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100433","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We propose a modeling framework that uses only cross-sectional data to disentangle labor supply and demand choices simultaneously. This modeling framework extends the labor-market analytical toolkits to adapt to environments where data are limited, flexibility in working hours is lacking, or structural changes are present, as is the case in most emerging and low-income countries. We showcase our model by using the 2011 China Household Finance<span> Survey to decipher labor market choices in urban China. We find that the main discrepancies in labor supply between males and females are driven by the number and age of children, the lower utility of working rather than fewer job opportunities for females, and larger impacts of education and work experience on females’ job opportunities. Household wealth in the form of ‘cash inflow’ incentivizes individuals not to work, while wealth in the form of ‘stock’ induces higher utility to work for both males and females. The interpretation of empirical findings hinges on particular assumptions that might be disputed.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100433"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integrating a choice experiment into an agent-based model to simulate climate-change induced migration: The case of the Mekong River Delta, Vietnam","authors":"Tra Thi Trinh , Alistair Munro","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100428","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100428","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Forecasting the future impact of climate change on migration is difficult, for many reasons, including the interactive and dynamic nature of many decisions and the heterogeneity of behavior. One popular solution, agent-based models (ABM) cope well with dynamics and heterogeneity, but often lack rigorous foundations in terms of individual behavior. Moreover, given limited exposure to actual climate change, it can be a challenge to build adequate behavioral models of migration choice based on historical data. To tackle this issue, we build an ABM of future migration using a bespoke choice experiment (CE) designed to examine intention to migrate among farmers living in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD). In the CE, respondents are asked to make migration choices for scenarios constructed using six attributes: drought intensity, flood frequency, income gain from migration, migration networks, neighbors' choice, and crop choice restriction. The simulation runs to 2050 and is based on two scenarios of future global emissions of greenhouse gases—Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP8.5. The results suggest potentially high levels of migration as a result of climate change and the particular importance of positive feedback from pre-existing migration and neighbor's choices. The results also suggest that crop-restriction regulations have a significant impact on migration for coastal provinces of VMD. Finally, we find that migration drivers vary significantly across provinces, which suggests the policymakers point to targeted action for each province. In summary, the study demonstrates how integrating CE into ABM can foster the predictive modeling of climate-induced migration.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100428"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"NP4VTT: A new software for estimating the value of travel time with nonparametric models","authors":"José Ignacio Hernández, Sander van Cranenburgh","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100427","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100427","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Two-attribute-two-alternative stated choice experiments are widely used to infer the Value-of-Travel-Time (VTT) distribution. Two-attribute-two-alternative stated choice experiments have the advantage that their data can be analysed using nonparametric models, which allow for the inference of the VTT distribution without having to impose assumptions on its shape. However, a software package that enables researchers to estimate nonparametric models promptly is currently lacking. As a result, nonparametric models are underused. This paper aims to fill this software void. It presents NP4VTT, a Python package that enables researchers to estimate and compare nonparametric models in a fast and convenient way. It comprises five nonparametric models for estimating the VTT distribution from data coming from two-attribute-two-alternative stated choice experiments. We illustrate the use of NP4VTT by applying it to the Norwegian 2009 VTT data. We hope this software package will help researchers studying the VTT make more informed decisions concerning the shape of the VTT distribution and encourages the use and development of nonparametric models for choice behaviour analyses.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100427"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Preference estimation from point allocation experiments","authors":"Marion Collewet , Paul Koster","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100430","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100430","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Point allocation experiments are widely used in the social sciences. In these experiments, survey respondents distribute a fixed total number of points across a fixed number of alternatives. This paper reviews the different perspectives in the literature about what respondents do when they distribute points across options. We find three main alternative interpretations in the literature, each having different implications for empirical work. We connect these interpretations to models of utility maximization that account for point and budget constraints and investigate the role of budget constraints in more detail. We show how these constraints impact the regression specifications for point allocation experiments that are commonly used in the literature. We also show how a formulation of a taste for variety as entropy that had been previously used to analyse market shares can fruitfully be applied to choice behaviour in point allocation experiments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100430"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Brandon R. McFadden , Jayson L. Lusk , Adam Pollack , Joy N. Rumble , Kathryn A. Stofer , Kevin M. Folta
{"title":"A randomized group approach to identifying label effects","authors":"Brandon R. McFadden , Jayson L. Lusk , Adam Pollack , Joy N. Rumble , Kathryn A. Stofer , Kevin M. Folta","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100435","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100435","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Motivated by the National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard (NBFDS), which requires companies to label bioengineered food products, this paper examines the choice effects of using a symbol approved by the standard relative to using text to disclose that a food product has bioengineered contents. Choice effects were determined using a randomized group design that assigned respondents to one-of-two labeled choice experiment groups. One group selected products that used the symbol disclosure and the other group selected products using text disclosure. Besides a label, the price was the only attribute displayed to respondents during the choice experiment and varied at three levels. The same price levels were used for all labels, and prices were balanced within a label, and balanced and orthogonal across labels. This randomized design using a discrete choice experiment allows for the identification of group effects, which in this paper are the choice effects associated with the form of bioengineering disclosure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100435"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bachir Kassas , Xiang Cao , Zhifeng Gao , Lisa A. House , Zhengfei Guan
{"title":"Consumer preferences for country of origin labeling: Bridging the gap between research estimates and real-world behavior","authors":"Bachir Kassas , Xiang Cao , Zhifeng Gao , Lisa A. House , Zhengfei Guan","doi":"10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100429","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2023.100429","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Studies investigating preferences for country-of-origin labeling (COOL) often overemphasize this attribute, which risks inflating estimated market value. We address this issue by studying consumer preferences for Florida versus Mexico tomatoes in a shopping environment that allows freedom to notice or ignore COOL when making decisions. A significant portion of subjects failed to notice COOL in the study, despite expressing a preference for COOL and a habit of looking at COOL when shopping. We find a significant difference in preferences between subjects who noticed COOL and subjects who did not, which points to a potential mismatch between research results and real-world behavior.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Choice Modelling","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100429"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50181601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}