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Regional demographic dynamics in Germany: A cluster-based analysis 德国区域人口动态:基于聚类的分析
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100285
Andree Ehlert
{"title":"Regional demographic dynamics in Germany: A cluster-based analysis","authors":"Andree Ehlert","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Demographic change has profoundly influenced economic and societal developments in industrialised nations, driven by declining fertility, rising life expectancy, and migration dynamics. While national trends are well-documented, regional demographic variations remain underexplored, particularly in Germany, where demographic and economic divides are pronounced. This study investigates demographic heterogeneity across 400 German NUTS-3 regions, focusing on fertility, mortality, and migration, while also incorporating socioeconomic covariates. Using panel data from 1995 to 2022, it applies descriptive statistics, factor analysis, and hierarchical cluster analysis to identify six demographic clusters and five distinct development trajectories. The findings reveal the complexity of regional demographic dynamics, challenging conventional East-West and urban-rural distinctions. By highlighting structural conditions and distinct regional patterns, the study provides an empirical foundation for region-specific policy measures and fosters a deeper understanding of demographic developments in Germany and beyond.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 4","pages":"Article 100285"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Accelerating population decline in small cities: The case of Japan 加速小城市人口下降:以日本为例
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100284
Kenji Suganuma
{"title":"Accelerating population decline in small cities: The case of Japan","authors":"Kenji Suganuma","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100284","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100284","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>More than 15 years have passed since population in Japan began to decline. This paper addresses two questions concerning population decline in cities across the country. First, has the population decline occurred homogeneously or heterogeneously across cities? Second, if the decline has occurred in cities with specific characteristics, which factors are considered to be related to the downturn? The results of our analysis are as follows. First, population decline has turned to be heterogeneous and accelerated especially in small cities (less than 50 thousand people) since 2000s, which made difficult to hold the Gibrat's law. Second, in these small cities, population decline has happened by both natural changes and net migration. Third, negative net migration in these small cities occurs across all age groups (young, working and old generations), which has spontaneously happened with the decline of infrastructure, such as education service, employment opportunities and medical service.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 4","pages":"Article 100284"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146174769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Depopulation processes in Spain: Implementation of gravitational models to territorial cohesion 西班牙的人口减少过程:对领土凝聚力的引力模型的实施
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100287
Asunción Mateos-Gámez, Miguel Cuerdo-Mir
{"title":"Depopulation processes in Spain: Implementation of gravitational models to territorial cohesion","authors":"Asunción Mateos-Gámez,&nbsp;Miguel Cuerdo-Mir","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100287","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100287","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Although there is no general theory that explains depopulation processes, this research has enabled the development of an innovative and adapted gravitational model at the interprovincial level in Spanish provinces experiencing depopulation. These model and results could be applied to other territories and countries. As a key contribution of the article is the explicit incorporation of greater detail of economic complexity than GDP, through certain indicators as Economic Complexity Index, into the specification of gravitational models aimed at explaining migratory flows. Instead of the traditional gravitational model which considers the relationship between variables, such as distance, and the GDP, it has been introduced new variables, including sectoral diversification, the cost of time, measured with isochrones, and the category of areas at high risk of depopulation. The results have shown that there are different migration patterns depending on the value of the isochrones between the provinces at risk of depopulation and the attraction center destination. Similarly, the findings demonstrate the need for specific policies for provinces at high risk of depopulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 4","pages":"Article 100287"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146174768","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the economic and environmental impacts of improved accessibility: A spatial CGE approach to the Marrakech-Fès highway project in Morocco 评估改善可达性的经济和环境影响:摩洛哥马拉喀什-菲斯特高速公路项目的空间CGE方法
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100277
Mahmoud Arbouch
{"title":"Assessing the economic and environmental impacts of improved accessibility: A spatial CGE approach to the Marrakech-Fès highway project in Morocco","authors":"Mahmoud Arbouch","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100277","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100277","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper assesses the national and regional impacts of the Marrakech–Fès highway project in Morocco using a Spatial Computable General Equilibrium (SCGE) model combined with GIS-based road network data. The analysis captures how improved connectivity alters economic performance and emissions patterns across space and time. Results show that while overall economic gains are modest, the benefits are unevenly distributed—favoring provinces along the highway corridor and adjacent inland regions. These areas experience enhanced accessibility, stronger integration into national markets, and sustained growth over time. However, the environmental effects diverge short-term efficiency gains lead to lower emissions, while long-run economic expansion increases carbon intensity in high-growth regions. The project contributes to slight reductions in regional income disparities but does not significantly reduce spatial inequalities in emissions. The findings highlight the need for infrastructure policies that are not only growth-enhancing but also environmentally sustainable, particularly in emerging logistics hubs and transition regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100277"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145941377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When roots cling to the soil: Intra-regional relocation of universities as a strategy for educational resilience in wartime 当根粘在土壤上:作为战时教育弹性策略的地区内大学搬迁
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100282
Taras Finikov , Igor Lyman , Yana Suchikova
{"title":"When roots cling to the soil: Intra-regional relocation of universities as a strategy for educational resilience in wartime","authors":"Taras Finikov ,&nbsp;Igor Lyman ,&nbsp;Yana Suchikova","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100282","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100282","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article analyzes the cases of relocation of three Ukrainian universities within Zaporizhzhia Oblast following the onset of the full-scale war. Drawing on thematic analysis of interviews with university leadership, the study highlights how spatial decisions, local support networks, grassroots initiatives, and the preservation of institutional autonomy collectively shaped a unique model of regional repositioning—one that contrasts with the conventional logic of evacuation. The findings demonstrate that intra-regional relocation was not merely a logistical move but a form of symbolic resistance, institutional continuity, and humanitarian integration. The article highlights the significance of acknowledging decentralized adaptation practices, reaffirms the university's role as a platform for social cohesion, and introduces the concept of \"flexible regional relocation\" as a potentially universal framework for higher education systems in crisis settings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100282"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146078795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The relationship between the presence of foreign-owned companies and entrepreneurial activity: The case of the Hungarian districts 外资公司的存在与企业活动之间的关系:以匈牙利地区为例
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100278
Balázs Páger , Zoltán Gál
{"title":"The relationship between the presence of foreign-owned companies and entrepreneurial activity: The case of the Hungarian districts","authors":"Balázs Páger ,&nbsp;Zoltán Gál","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100278","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100278","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the relationship between the presence of foreign-owned companies and the rates of new firm entries in Hungarian districts. Building on previous findings on the relationship between new firms and foreign direct investment, we seek to analyse the role of foreign-owned companies in entrepreneurial activity at the sub-regional level. Using a panel dataset from 2011 to 2019, we investigate the relationship between changes in employment within foreign-owned companies and the firm entry rate in various districts. The results indicate a negative relationship between the presence of foreign-owned companies and the overall rates of firm entry. This trend is also observed in the manufacturing sectors, although with less significance. In those districts where the presence of foreign-owned companies is lower, the rates of new firm entries are higher. Furthermore, the negative relationship between foreign-owned companies and general firm entry rates may persist even with time lags. Therefore, there may be a trade-off between employment at a foreign-owned company and pursuing entrepreneurship.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100278"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145941376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Socioeconomic structure and internal revenue generation in Ghana 加纳的社会经济结构和国内创收
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100281
Zurikanen Iddrisu, Jean-Claude Thill
{"title":"Socioeconomic structure and internal revenue generation in Ghana","authors":"Zurikanen Iddrisu,&nbsp;Jean-Claude Thill","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100281","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100281","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>After three decades of decentralized governance, weak fiscal capacities continue to characterize and undermine local authority of districts in Ghana and across the developing south. While significant literature has been devoted to understanding the internal fiscal problems of local authorities, they have been limited to administrative and capacity constraints that hamper efficient and effective revenue collection. However, the inherent socioeconomic makeup of local jurisdictional bodies has largely been under-explored despite evidence that it affects local government revenue. In this study, we test six hypotheses corresponding to six socioeconomic variables against internal revenue proxied by Internally Generated Fund (IGF) per capita using a Robust Linear Model (RLM) and later extended to a Spatial Lag Model (SLM) to control for spatial clustering in residuals. Our findings produce evidence to reject the null hypothesis in four cases. Specifically, the results show that higher proportions of urban population relative to rural as well as higher proportions of tertiary/vocational degree holders relative to non-tertiary degree holders are associated with higher IGF per capita. Conversely, higher unemployment rates and higher shares of agricultural employment relative to non-agricultural are associated with low IGF per capita. Our study is relevant for the contextualization of local government fiscal health in terms of their socioeconomics, for drawing linkages on the impact of macro policies on local government revenue and for informing on the viability of districts during the process of jurisdictional proliferation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100281"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100286
Xuefei Ren
{"title":"","authors":"Xuefei Ren","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100286","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100286","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100286"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Revitalizing rural communities through institutional reform of quasi-markets 通过准市场体制改革振兴农村社区
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100279
Niklas Elert , Magnus Henrekson
{"title":"Revitalizing rural communities through institutional reform of quasi-markets","authors":"Niklas Elert ,&nbsp;Magnus Henrekson","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100279","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2025.100279","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Welfare services such as healthcare, elderly care, and education are key to ensuring quality of life generally, and vital for rural communities across urbanizing countries. While these sectors are largely tax-financed, several countries have established quasi-markets to achieve competition through private entry to unleash entrepreneurship, efficiency, and service provision innovation. The reforms notwithstanding, productivity improvements are modest, and the situation seems particularly bad in some rural communities. We argue that quasi-markets can only live up to expectations if the local institutional framework considers sectoral and local conditions. While competition and the profit motive are necessary conditions for local quasi-market entrepreneurship and innovation, they are not sufficient but require a set of complementary institutions that are epistemic in nature. These epistemic institutions enable users to make informed choices while simultaneously incentivizing entrepreneurs to compete and innovate along the dimensions that users value. Moreover, if the catchment area includes densely populated areas, rural communities may attract users from communities where costs are higher, thus creating new comparative advantages locally. As an illustration, we analyze the Swedish quasi-market for nursing homes for the elderly.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100279"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145908848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adapting the ‘15-minute city’ concept to medium-sized urban contexts: A case study in Desio, Italy 将“15分钟城市”概念应用于中型城市:意大利德西奥的案例研究
IF 2.1
Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100283
Manuel Garramone , Marco Scaioni
{"title":"Adapting the ‘15-minute city’ concept to medium-sized urban contexts: A case study in Desio, Italy","authors":"Manuel Garramone ,&nbsp;Marco Scaioni","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100283","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rspp.2026.100283","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global concerns about public health and environmental sustainability continue to grow, urban planners are developing strategies to promote active and public transportation as alternatives to private car use. Reducing car dependency can offer significant benefits, including lower carbon emissions and less traffic congestion. In this context, the ‘15-minute city’ is gaining momentum as an urban planning concept designed to optimise the population’s daily mobility: the model aims to ensure that essential urban functions and facilities are reachable within a 15-minute walk or cycling. Starting with a bibliometric analysis and a literature overview about the ‘15-minute city’ topic, the paper applies this framework to Desio, a medium-sized municipality in the Milan metropolitan area, Italy. Most analysed studies focused on large metropolitan cities, while this research wants to investigate how the paradigm can be adapted in a commuter-oriented urban context, where local accessibility and regional mobility coexist. A network-based accessibility analysis was used to assess the spatial relationships between the distribution of population, split by age groups, and essential services (educational, health, and social facilities). Results reveal spatial mismatches between demographic concentrations and service accessibility, particularly in peripheral and edge neighbourhoods and among elderly residents. This study expands on how the ‘15-minute city’ framework could work in medium-sized towns, and stresses the need for multi-scalar governance, social equity, and inclusive planning strategies to achieve human-centred urban environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":"18 3","pages":"Article 100283"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146078953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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