Injury Epidemiology最新文献

{"title":"The overlooked role of the home in mass shooting fatalities.","authors":"Wilson H Hammett, Pragya Bhuwania, Jody Heymann","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00602-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40621-025-00602-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Prevention efforts for mass shooting fatalities often focus on public events, overlooking where most fatalities occur. This study analyzes a comprehensive database to better inform prevention strategies.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from the Gun Violence Archive (GVA), we identified 252 mass shooting events (2014-2023) with four or more deaths, excluding the perpetrator, resulting in 1,464 fatalities. A media analysis determined location and links to domestic violence. Mortality burden by location, age, gender, and domestic violence was calculated, with tests of association performed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found that half (50%) of mass shooting fatalities occurred in homes-five times more than in businesses/workplaces (10%). Among children (0-9), 89% of fatalities occurred in homes, compared to 62% among older children and teens (10-17) and 44% among adults (18+). Women were more likely to be killed in mass shootings at home (50%) than men (40%). Fatalities were disproportionately concentrated in homes across all age groups (p < 0.001). Domestic violence-related mass shootings accounted for 46% of all fatalities, with 70% of fatalities from domestic violence-related events occurring in homes.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Public discourse neglects home-based mass shootings, which disproportionately affect women and children. Targeted interventions, especially addressing domestic violence, are critical for reducing fatalities.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"44"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144683331","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The impact of COVID-19 and public health measures on homicide and suicide trends in Botswana using an interrupted time series analysis.","authors":"Shathani Mugoma, Doug Wiebe, Peter S Larson, Yun Li, Gregory P Bisson","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00592-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40621-025-00592-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent public health measures on trends of homicide and suicide in various settings remain unclear. There has been little attention paid to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on trends of homicide and suicide in African countries.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted an interrupted time-series analysis (ITSA) to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on monthly homicide and suicide trends in Botswana. Using forensic registers from the Forensic Pathology Unit of the Botswana Police Service, we compared mean incidence and trends before, during, and after the State of Emergency (SoE), stratifying by age and sex.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our study analyzed 2,225 autopsies from January 1, 2018, to September 30, 2022, comprising of 1,479 homicides and 746 suicides. Monthly autopsy rates were lower during the SoE (median 32, IQR: 11.5) compared to pre-SoE (40, IQR: 15.8) and post-SoE (46, IQR: 11.5) periods. Homicide rates were 28 (IQR: 7.5), 19 (IQR: 7), and 29.5 (IQR: 10) for pre-SoE, SoE, and post-SoE, respectively, while suicide rates were 12.5 (IQR: 4), 13 (IQR: 6), and 16.5 (IQR: 4.75).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our findings indicate a reduction in homicide and suicide incidence during the SoE, with a return to pre-pandemic levels thereafter. Public health professionals can leverage these insights to identify actionable factors for reducing suicide and homicide risks in future crises.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"42"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144683330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Injury and illness: an analysis of team USA athletes at the 2024 winter youth olympic games.","authors":"Ashley N Triplett, Eric G Post, Travis Anderson, Olivia Samson, Alexis D Gidley, Francisco Silva, Lea Thomann, Amber T Donaldson, Jonathan T Finnoff, Eric L Dugan, Jeffrey S Shilt, William M Adams","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00600-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40621-025-00600-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Injury and illness surveillance is essential for understanding the relative risks of sports participation to develop effective strategies to optimize athlete health, wellness, and performance. Epidemiological studies examining injuries and illnesses among Team USA youth athletes are limited, particularly among athletes competing in Winter sports. The purpose of this study was to characterize the injury and illness incidence rate among Team USA athletes participating in the 2024 Winter Youth Olympic Games (YOG).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Injuries and illnesses among 101 Team USA youth athletes (40.6% female; age, 17 ± 1 years) were prospectively documented. Injury and illness prevalence, and incidence rate (IR) per 1,000 athlete-days (AD), and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated with accompanying 95% confidence intervals ([95% CI]).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Nineteen (18.8%) Team USA athletes reported at least one injury during the 2024 Winter YOG (38.0 [26.1, 53.3] injuries per 1,000 AD). Injury IR was highest among athletes competing in bobsled (166.7 [54.1, 388.9] injuries per 1,000 AD), and overuse was the most common mechanism of injury (17.3 [9.7, 28.5] injuries per 1,000 AD) among all athletes. There were no differences in injury IRs between male and female athletes (IRR [95%CI], 1.6 [0.7, 3.3]), but female athletes reported all time-loss injuries. Ten (9.9%) athletes reported at least one illness (15.0 [8.0, 26.5] per 1,000 AD), with respiratory illness (6%) being the most common type (6.9 [2.5, 15.0] per 1,000 AD).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study highlights the need for focused efforts for injury and illness prevention for youth female athletes and athletes participating in high-risk sliding sports. Additionally, consideration for implementation of respiratory illness mitigation measures and load management strategies at and leading up to future competitions for youth athletes is key.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"43"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144683329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Rural adolescent attitudes and use of bicycle helmets in Iowa.","authors":"Brooke L Askelsen, Brianna J Iverson, Devin E Spolsdoff, Pam J Hoogerwerf, Brenda Vergara, Charles A Jennissen","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00596-8","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00596-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Helmet use significantly decreases head injuries, the most common cause of bicycle-related fatalities in youth. Our objective was to determine bicycle helmet use by rural adolescents, their attitudes regarding helmets, and associated demographic factors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A convenience sample of 2022 Iowa FFA (formerly Future Farmers of America) Leadership Conference attendees completed an anonymous electronic or paper survey. After compilation in Qualtrics, descriptive, bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using statistical program, R.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>1,331 adolescents 13-18 years participated. Almost three-fifths (58%) were female; 56% were 16-18 years. One-half lived on a farm, 21% lived in the country/not on a farm and 28% lived in town. 90% of subject households had at least one bicycle. Overall, 78% had ridden a bicycle in the past year. Those from farms had lower proportions that had ridden a bicycle in the past year (73%) than those living elsewhere (83%), p < 0.001, and also rode them less frequently. The mean importance (rated 1-10) of wearing a bike helmet was 4.7 (median 4). Males, older teens, non-Hispanic White individuals, and those from farms all ascribed lower bicycle helmet importance than their corresponding peers. Only 15% supported laws requiring bicycle helmet use. Three-quarters (74%) rarely or never wore a helmet; only 13% said they always or mostly wore a helmet. A direct relationship was noted between helmet use and those who rode more frequently, and to those ascribing higher importance to helmet use. Only 12% stated their parents had a strict \"no helmet, no riding\" rule. However, those with a rule had 18 times greater odds of supporting bicycle helmet laws and had a higher median ascribed bicycle helmet importance as compared to those without a rule (9 vs. 4). Moreover, participants with a strict rule had 32 times higher odds of wearing a bicycle helmet always/most of the time versus those without a rule.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Bicycle helmet use is infrequent among rural adolescents. Youth whose parents had a strict \"no helmet, no riding\" rule placed greater importance on using helmets, were more supportive of bicycle helmet laws, and had significantly greater helmet use.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 Suppl 1","pages":"41"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12261528/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144638339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The association between remoteness of injury and in-hospital mortality for motor vehicle collision major trauma patients: evidence of survivor bias in an analysis of registry data.","authors":"David J Read, Ian Hayes, Sheena G Sullivan","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00586-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00586-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Rural Australians have a higher age adjusted rate of both hospitalisation and death from injury, and this rate increases with increasing remoteness. However, it is uncertain if this is due to an increased incidence of injury or less access to treatment. The aim of this study is to examine the association of remoteness and in-hospital mortality in Major Trauma patients admitted to the Royal Melbourne Hospital.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study was a retrospective cohort study of all persons aged 15 + years diagnosed with 'major trauma', (defined as Injury Severity Score, ISS > 12) from a Motor Vehicle Collision admitted to the Royal Melbourne Hospital from 2010 to 2021. The exposure of interest was remoteness as measured by the Accessibility/Remoteness Index of Australia (ARIA), the outcome of interest was in-hospital mortality. Logistic regression models were constructed looking at the odds of death by increasing remoteness adjusting for age, ISS, and comorbidity. Missing data were imputed using chained equations. A sensitivity analysis was performed for ARIA+ category, and a quantitative bias analysis performed for potential selection bias. All analyses were performed using Stata v17. Ethical approval was obtained from the Melbourne Health Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC2022_044).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Eligibility was met for 2324 cases, of whom 53.3% were classified as major city, 36.1% inner regional, and 10.6% outer regional/remote. In-hospital mortality was 6.0% for those injured in major cities, 5.4% in inner regional and 4.1% for outer regional/remote. The median ISS was 19 and 18.3% had at least one limiting comorbidity. The adjusted odds of death were reduced by half for those injured in outer regional and remote compared with major city (OR = 0.51, 95%CI = 0.25-1.03). This result did not alter with the sensitivity analysis for postcode of injury. Quantitative bias analysis suggested the presence of severe selection bias, with the odds ratio showing an increased odds of death (OR = 1.83) for more remotely injured persons.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Persons injured remotely are not more likely to die in-hospital after major trauma once they arrive at hospital. Unexpectedly, there was some evidence to suggest that those injured most remotely had a survival advantage, despite similar injury severity Quantitative bias analysis suggested selection bias could be responsible for this apparent survival advantage for more remotely injured persons.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"40"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12239381/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144592533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Child and neighborhood factors associated with pediatric injuries sustained while engaged in activities where helmet usage is recommended.","authors":"Brent M Troy, Maneesha Agarwal, Allison F Linden, Andrew Jergel, Anthony Giarusso, Kiesha Fraser Doh","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00598-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00598-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Unintentional injuries, including traumatic brain injuries (TBI) during activities where helmet usage is recommended (AWHUR), are a leading cause of pediatric morbidity and mortality in the U.S. While advocacy and education are proven measures to address safety, community resources in a child's neighborhood are known to have a large impact on their health.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We utilized the trauma registry at two pediatric trauma centers, in a major metropolitan area from 2018 to 2022, to perform a retrospective chart review and Geographical Information System (GIS) mapping on all AWHUR injuries that were included in the trauma registry. Data extracted from the trauma registry included: mechanism, demographics, insurance status, and injury characteristics. AWHUR data was then overlaid with the Childhood Opportunity Index (COI) to assess community resources in relation to injury characteristics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our sample size included 1425 children throughout the 5-year time period. The most common injury mechanisms included: bicycle 34.0%, ATV 18.2%, skateboard 13.3%, scooter 9.2%, and dirt-bike 7.4%. Most patients in very low and low COI were publicly insured, respectively 81.9% and 63.2%; while 65.8% of high COI injured patients were privately insured children. There was a statistically significant difference in helmet usage across different levels of COI (p < 0.001). The rates of helmet usage by COI ranking from very low to very high were as follows: 21.6%, 25.2%, 37.8%, 40.2%, and 51.6% utilization. Among those injured while wearing a helmet, the odds of sustaining a higher ISS were 34% lower (OR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.50-0.89) compared to those who were not wearing a helmet at the time of injury. Additionally, GIS mapping identified low and very low COI communities with higher injury rates and lower helmet use.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Children with lower COI were more likely to be publicly insured with a lower percentage of helmet usage. Overlapping injury data and COI identified high-risk communities where low resources can contribute to growing injury severity. This data can then be used to inform injury prevention and highlight the importance of community factors.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 Suppl 1","pages":"39"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12235759/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144585163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Pediatric hospital visits for unintentional drowning in bathtubs in Central Texas, USA.","authors":"Molly B Johnson, Barbara D Cosart, Stewart R Williams, Brent M Troy, Karla A Lawson","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00597-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00597-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In the USA, drowning is a leading cause of death for children and the leading cause of death for children 1-4 years old. Bathtubs pose the highest risk of drowning for infants. The aim of this study is to determine factors that increase the risk of drowning in a bathtub for children.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective, cross-sectional study used data retrieved from a hospital-based registry of drowning patients that includes information manually abstracted from patient medical records. This study describes patient characteristics and incident scenarios for children aged 0-17 years who sought care at one children's hospital for unintentional drowning in a bathtub over a ten-year period, 2014- 2023. Chi-square analysis was used to assess associations between whether a supervising caregiver was present during the incident and the likelihood of hospital admission or the likelihood of poor outcome.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 50 patients 0-9 years old treated for unintentional drowning in a bathtub over the 10-year period. The majority of patients were female (62%), White (86%), or not Hispanic (53%). Most of the patients (84%) were under 2 years old and the majority (56%) were under 1 year old. For most of the patients 2-9 years old, the drowning incident was likely seizure-related. In 91% of the incidents, a caregiver was intending to supervise the child in or around the bath, yet in only 24% of the incidents was the caregiver engaged in supervising the child. The most common reasons for the lapse in supervision was that the caregiver was retrieving a towel and/or clothes (39%) or caring for other children (20%). Chi-square analysis showed that children who were admitted to the hospital for further care were more likely to have no adult caregiver present than those who were discharged after being treated in the Emergency Department only.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Findings indicate that lapses in supervision are a common cause of bathtub drowning for young children and are associated with the need for higher levels of care. Additionally, results highlight the need for drowning prevention messaging emphasizing gathering all bath supplies before starting a bath and avoiding distractions, such as caring for other children.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 Suppl 1","pages":"38"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12231728/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144585164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Hospital admissions for non-fatal drowning in Finland, 2002-2023: a nationwide population-based register study.","authors":"Philippe Lunetta, Kari Haikonen","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00589-7","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00589-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Nationwide epidemiological data on non-fatal drowning are lacking. The purpose of this study was to provide and analyze data on incidence and time-trends of hospital inpatient admissions for drowning in Finland.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>The Finnish Hospital Discharge Register was retrospectively searched for all inpatient hospitalizations due to unintentional and intentional drowning from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2023 and included the entire Finnish resident population. The main outcome measure was the annual number of and crude incidence rates (n/100 000 population) of hospital admissions for drowning. The Poisson regression method was used to analyze time-trends.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 1205 patients (mean 54.8 per year, CI₉₅: 47.4-62.2; 52.7-68.9; mean age: 40.8 years, CI₉₅: 39.2-42.3; male to female RR: 2.6) were hospitalized for drowning (1079 unintentional, 64 self-harm, 7 assault, 55 undetermined). The mean crude incidence rate of hospital admissions for drowning was 1.01 /100 000/year and decreased from 1.73 in 2002 to 0.52/ 100 000 persons in 2023. The incidence of such non-fatal drownings (0.91/100 000/year) significantly decreased during the study period (-4.9% / year; p < 0.0001). The age distribution showed two peaks with a first peak in children 0 to 4 years old and a second one among individuals 45 to 64 years old. The most frequent setting was a natural body of water, followed, in adults, by ice-covered bodies of water and leisure boating and, in children, by swimming pool/ bathtub. The rate ratio between non-fatal accidental drowning requiring hospitalization, and fatal drowning was exceedingly low (0.3).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Non-fatal drownings are crucial for assessing the overall burden of drowning although, in Finland, hospital admissions for drowning have significantly declined, and fatal drownings outnumber non-fatal drownings, at least those requiring inpatient hospital care. The epidemiological profile of non-fatal drowning may substantially vary, even among high-income countries.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"37"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12224529/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144561430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Public opinion on civil war in the USA as of mid-2024: findings from a nationally representative survey.","authors":"Garen J Wintemute, Yueju Li, Mona A Wright, Andrew Crawford, Elizabeth A Tomsich","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00594-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00594-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In 2023, Wave 2 of an annual, nationally representative longitudinal survey found a concerning level of agreement that civil war was likely in the USA and, among those who agreed, widespread belief that civil war was needed. This study updates those findings to 2024 and explores respondents' predicted involvement in such a conflict.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Findings are from Wave 3, conducted May 23-June 14, 2024; participants were members of Ipsos KnowledgePanel. All respondents to prior waves who remained in KnowledgePanel were invited to participate; to facilitate comparison with 2023 findings, this analysis is restricted to Wave 3 respondents who had responded to both Waves 1 and 2. Outcomes are expressed as weighted proportions and adjusted prevalence differences.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The Wave 3 completion rate was 88.4% overall and 91.6% for respondents to Waves 1 and 2; there were 8185 respondents in the analytic sample. After weighting, half the sample was female (50.6%, 95% CI 49.1%, 52.1%); the weighted mean (SD) age was 50.8 (16.4) years. Few respondents agreed strongly or very strongly that \"in the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States\" (6.5%, 95% CI 5.7%, 7.3%) or that \"the United States needs a civil war to set things right\" (3.6%, 95% CI 3.0%, 4.2%). These prevalences were higher among subsets of respondents previously associated with increased support for and willingness to commit political violence. Of the small minority (3.7%, 95% CI 3.1%, 4.3%) who thought it very or extremely likely that they would be combatants, 44.5% (95% CI 36.5%, 52.6%) reported that they would convert to not likely if this were urged by family members; 23-31% were open to persuasion by friends, respected religious leaders, elected officials, and the media.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In mid-2024, the expectation that civil war was likely and the belief that it was needed were uncommon and were unchanged from 2023. Those expecting to participate as combatants reported openness to change in response to input from many sources. These findings can help guide prevention efforts.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"36"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12225159/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144561431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Association of prior criminal charges and convictions with subsequent violent and firearm-related crime: a retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Julia P Schleimer, Rachel Ross, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00593-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s40621-025-00593-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"35"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12219223/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144545209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}