Ignacio Javier Yannone, Marcio Alazraqui, Jordan L Rodriguez Hernandez, Olga Lucia Sarmiento Dueñas, Daniel A Rodriguez, Carolina Pérez Ferrer, Luis A Guzman, Mónica Serena Perner, Andrés Trotta, Ana V Diez Roux, D Alex Quistberg
{"title":"SALURBAL研究中拉丁美洲城市中与摩托车手死亡率相关的建筑和社会环境特征。","authors":"Ignacio Javier Yannone, Marcio Alazraqui, Jordan L Rodriguez Hernandez, Olga Lucia Sarmiento Dueñas, Daniel A Rodriguez, Carolina Pérez Ferrer, Luis A Guzman, Mónica Serena Perner, Andrés Trotta, Ana V Diez Roux, D Alex Quistberg","doi":"10.1186/s40621-025-00611-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Motorcyclists are the fastest growing road user group in Latin America, and account for 25% of all road traffic collision deaths. This study examines the relationship between motorcyclist mortality and the built and social urban environment in Latin American cities.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We studied 337 cities with ≥ 100,000 inhabitants in seven Latin American countries. Mortality data from 2010 to 2019 were obtained from civil registries and linked to cities defined by the SALURBAL project. Motorcyclist deaths were identified using ICD-10 codes, with redistribution of ill-defined codes. City-level measures included population, urban development, street design, public transportation, and social environment. Associations were estimated using multilevel negative binomial models. A subanalysis of 300 cities with motorcycle registration data was conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The crude city-level motorcyclist mortality rate was 4.16 per 100,000 population. Age-standardized rates varied from 0.51 to 22.60. Males had higher mortality rates, with the highest rates in 20-24-year-olds. After adjustment, cities with higher population density (RR 0.92 [95% CI 0.85-1.00]), intersection density (RR 0.91 [95% CI 0.83-0.99]), and social environment index (RR 0.88 [95% CI 0.83-0.93]) had lower motorcyclist mortality. More curvilinear street layout (RR 0.97 [95% CI 0.90,1.03]) and the presence of public transportation (RR 0.94 [95% CI 0.87,1.03]) showed a non-significant association with mortality. Higher urban development isolation (RR 1.07 [95% CI 1.00-1.14]) was associated with higher mortality, but the association weakened after adjustment. In cities with motorcycle registration data, higher rates of registered motorcycles were associated with higher motorcyclist mortality.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Motorcyclist road traffic deaths in Latin American cities are associated with specific city-level characteristics. In fully adjusted models, higher intersection density and a stronger social environment index were linked to lower mortality rates. City-level interventions that improve street connectivity, promote safer and more cohesive urban environments, and address social inequities in infrastructure and services may help reduce motorcycle deaths and enhance road safety in the region.</p>","PeriodicalId":37379,"journal":{"name":"Injury Epidemiology","volume":"12 1","pages":"61"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12487543/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Built and social environment characteristics associated with motorcyclist mortality in Latin American cities from the SALURBAL study.\",\"authors\":\"Ignacio Javier Yannone, Marcio Alazraqui, Jordan L Rodriguez Hernandez, Olga Lucia Sarmiento Dueñas, Daniel A Rodriguez, Carolina Pérez Ferrer, Luis A Guzman, Mónica Serena Perner, Andrés Trotta, Ana V Diez Roux, D Alex Quistberg\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s40621-025-00611-y\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Motorcyclists are the fastest growing road user group in Latin America, and account for 25% of all road traffic collision deaths. This study examines the relationship between motorcyclist mortality and the built and social urban environment in Latin American cities.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We studied 337 cities with ≥ 100,000 inhabitants in seven Latin American countries. Mortality data from 2010 to 2019 were obtained from civil registries and linked to cities defined by the SALURBAL project. Motorcyclist deaths were identified using ICD-10 codes, with redistribution of ill-defined codes. City-level measures included population, urban development, street design, public transportation, and social environment. Associations were estimated using multilevel negative binomial models. A subanalysis of 300 cities with motorcycle registration data was conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The crude city-level motorcyclist mortality rate was 4.16 per 100,000 population. Age-standardized rates varied from 0.51 to 22.60. Males had higher mortality rates, with the highest rates in 20-24-year-olds. After adjustment, cities with higher population density (RR 0.92 [95% CI 0.85-1.00]), intersection density (RR 0.91 [95% CI 0.83-0.99]), and social environment index (RR 0.88 [95% CI 0.83-0.93]) had lower motorcyclist mortality. More curvilinear street layout (RR 0.97 [95% CI 0.90,1.03]) and the presence of public transportation (RR 0.94 [95% CI 0.87,1.03]) showed a non-significant association with mortality. Higher urban development isolation (RR 1.07 [95% CI 1.00-1.14]) was associated with higher mortality, but the association weakened after adjustment. In cities with motorcycle registration data, higher rates of registered motorcycles were associated with higher motorcyclist mortality.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Motorcyclist road traffic deaths in Latin American cities are associated with specific city-level characteristics. In fully adjusted models, higher intersection density and a stronger social environment index were linked to lower mortality rates. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
背景:摩托车手是拉丁美洲增长最快的道路使用者群体,占所有道路交通碰撞死亡人数的25%。本研究探讨了拉丁美洲城市中摩托车手死亡率与建筑和社会城市环境之间的关系。方法:我们研究了拉丁美洲7个国家337个人口≥10万的城市。2010年至2019年的死亡率数据来自民事登记处,并与SALURBAL项目定义的城市相关联。使用ICD-10代码确定摩托车手死亡人数,并重新分配定义不明确的代码。城市层面的措施包括人口、城市发展、街道设计、公共交通和社会环境。使用多水平负二项模型估计关联。对300个城市的摩托车登记数据进行了亚分析。结果:市一级摩托车手粗死亡率为4.16 / 10万。年龄标准化比率从0.51到22.60不等。男性的死亡率较高,20-24岁的死亡率最高。调整后,人口密度高(RR 0.92 [95% CI 0.85 ~ 1.00])、交叉口密度高(RR 0.91 [95% CI 0.83 ~ 0.99])、社会环境指数高(RR 0.88 [95% CI 0.83 ~ 0.93])的城市摩托车手死亡率较低。更曲线的街道布局(RR 0.97 [95% CI 0.90,1.03])和公共交通的存在(RR 0.94 [95% CI 0.87,1.03])与死亡率无显著相关。较高的城市发展隔离度(RR 1.07 [95% CI 1.00-1.14])与较高的死亡率相关,但调整后相关性减弱。在有摩托车登记数据的城市,较高的摩托车登记率与较高的摩托车手死亡率相关。结论:拉丁美洲城市摩托车手道路交通死亡与特定的城市层面特征有关。在完全调整的模型中,较高的路口密度和较强的社会环境指数与较低的死亡率有关。改善街道连通性、促进更安全和更有凝聚力的城市环境以及解决基础设施和服务方面的社会不平等问题的城市一级干预措施,可能有助于减少摩托车死亡人数并加强本区域的道路安全。
Built and social environment characteristics associated with motorcyclist mortality in Latin American cities from the SALURBAL study.
Background: Motorcyclists are the fastest growing road user group in Latin America, and account for 25% of all road traffic collision deaths. This study examines the relationship between motorcyclist mortality and the built and social urban environment in Latin American cities.
Methods: We studied 337 cities with ≥ 100,000 inhabitants in seven Latin American countries. Mortality data from 2010 to 2019 were obtained from civil registries and linked to cities defined by the SALURBAL project. Motorcyclist deaths were identified using ICD-10 codes, with redistribution of ill-defined codes. City-level measures included population, urban development, street design, public transportation, and social environment. Associations were estimated using multilevel negative binomial models. A subanalysis of 300 cities with motorcycle registration data was conducted.
Results: The crude city-level motorcyclist mortality rate was 4.16 per 100,000 population. Age-standardized rates varied from 0.51 to 22.60. Males had higher mortality rates, with the highest rates in 20-24-year-olds. After adjustment, cities with higher population density (RR 0.92 [95% CI 0.85-1.00]), intersection density (RR 0.91 [95% CI 0.83-0.99]), and social environment index (RR 0.88 [95% CI 0.83-0.93]) had lower motorcyclist mortality. More curvilinear street layout (RR 0.97 [95% CI 0.90,1.03]) and the presence of public transportation (RR 0.94 [95% CI 0.87,1.03]) showed a non-significant association with mortality. Higher urban development isolation (RR 1.07 [95% CI 1.00-1.14]) was associated with higher mortality, but the association weakened after adjustment. In cities with motorcycle registration data, higher rates of registered motorcycles were associated with higher motorcyclist mortality.
Conclusion: Motorcyclist road traffic deaths in Latin American cities are associated with specific city-level characteristics. In fully adjusted models, higher intersection density and a stronger social environment index were linked to lower mortality rates. City-level interventions that improve street connectivity, promote safer and more cohesive urban environments, and address social inequities in infrastructure and services may help reduce motorcycle deaths and enhance road safety in the region.
期刊介绍:
Injury Epidemiology is dedicated to advancing the scientific foundation for injury prevention and control through timely publication and dissemination of peer-reviewed research. Injury Epidemiology aims to be the premier venue for communicating epidemiologic studies of unintentional and intentional injuries, including, but not limited to, morbidity and mortality from motor vehicle crashes, drug overdose/poisoning, falls, drowning, fires/burns, iatrogenic injury, suicide, homicide, assaults, and abuse. We welcome investigations designed to understand the magnitude, distribution, determinants, causes, prevention, diagnosis, treatment, prognosis, and outcomes of injuries in specific population groups, geographic regions, and environmental settings (e.g., home, workplace, transport, recreation, sports, and urban/rural). Injury Epidemiology has a special focus on studies generating objective and practical knowledge that can be translated into interventions to reduce injury morbidity and mortality on a population level. Priority consideration will be given to manuscripts that feature contemporary theories and concepts, innovative methods, and novel techniques as applied to injury surveillance, risk assessment, development and implementation of effective interventions, and program and policy evaluation.