Ruixue Cai, Jianqian Chao, Chenlu Gao, Lei Gao, Kun Hu, Peng Li
{"title":"Association Between Sleep Duration and Cognitive Frailty in Older Chinese Adults: Prospective Cohort Study.","authors":"Ruixue Cai, Jianqian Chao, Chenlu Gao, Lei Gao, Kun Hu, Peng Li","doi":"10.2196/65183","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/65183","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Disturbed sleep patterns are common among older adults and may contribute to cognitive and physical declines. However, evidence for the relationship between sleep duration and cognitive frailty, a concept combining physical frailty and cognitive impairment in older adults, is lacking.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to examine the associations of sleep duration and its changes with cognitive frailty.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed data from the 2008-2018 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. Cognitive frailty was rendered based on the modified Fried frailty phenotype and Mini-Mental State Examination. Sleep duration was categorized as short (<6 h), moderate (6-9 h), and long (>9 h). We examined the association of sleep duration with cognitive frailty status at baseline using logistic regressions and with the future incidence of cognitive frailty using Cox proportional hazards models. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore potential nonlinear associations.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 11,303 participants, 1298 (11.5%) had cognitive frailty at baseline. Compared to participants who had moderate sleep duration, the odds of having cognitive frailty were higher in those with long sleep duration (odds ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.48-1.97; P<.001). A J-shaped association between sleep duration and cognitive frailty was also observed (P<.001). Additionally, during a mean follow-up of 6.7 (SD 2.6) years among 5201 participants who were not cognitively frail at baseline, 521 (10%) participants developed cognitive frailty. A higher risk of cognitive frailty was observed in participants with long sleep duration (hazard ratio 1.32, 95% CI 1.07-1.62; P=.008).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Long sleep duration was associated with cognitive frailly in older Chinese adults. These findings provide insights into the relationship between sleep duration and cognitive frailty, with potential implications for public health policies and clinical practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e65183"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12043274/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144018003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction: Machine Learning Models for Frailty Classification of Older Adults in Northern Thailand: Model Development and Validation Study.","authors":"Natthanaphop Isaradech, Wachiranun Sirikul, Nida Buawangpong, Penprapa Siviroj, Amornphat Kitro","doi":"10.2196/75690","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/75690","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e75690"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12040286/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143989500","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advancing Emergency Care With Digital Twins.","authors":"Haoran Li, Jingya Zhang, Ning Zhang, Bin Zhu","doi":"10.2196/71777","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/71777","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Digital twins-dynamic and real-time simulations of systems or environments-represent a paradigm shift in emergency medicine. We explore their applications across prehospital care, in-hospital management, and recovery. By integrating real-time data, wearable technology, and predictive analytics, digital twins hold the promise of optimizing resource allocation, advancing precision medicine, and tailoring rehabilitation strategies. Moreover, we discuss the challenges associated with their implementation, including data resolution, biological heterogeneity, and ethical considerations, emphasizing the need for actionable frameworks that balance innovation with data governance and public trust.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e71777"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12053090/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144056856","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Development of a Longitudinal Model for Disability Prediction in Older Adults in China: Analysis of CHARLS Data (2015-2020).","authors":"Jingjing Chu, Ying Li, Xinyi Wang, Qun Xu, Zherong Xu","doi":"10.2196/66723","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/66723","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Disability profoundly affects older adults' quality of life and imposes considerable burdens on health care systems in China's aging society. Timely predictive models are essential for early intervention.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We aimed to build effective predictive models of disability for early intervention and management in older adults in China, integrating physical, cognitive, physiological, and psychological factors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), spanning from 2015 to 2020 and involving 2450 older individuals initially in good health, were analyzed. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set with 70% data and a testing set with 30% data. LASSO regression with 10-fold cross-validation identified key predictors, which were then used to develop an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model. Model performance was evaluated using receiever operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision and impact curves. Variable contributions were interpreted using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>LASSO regression was used to evaluate 36 potential predictors, resulting in a model incorporating 9 key variables: age, hand grip strength, standing balance, the 5-repetition chair stand test (CS-5), pain, depression, cognition, respiratory function, and comorbidities. The XGBoost model demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.846 (95% CI 0.825-0.866) for the training set and 0.698 (95% CI 0.654-0.743) for the testing set. Calibration curves demonstrated reliable predictive accuracy, with mean absolute errors of 0.001 and 0.011 for the training and testing sets, respectively. Clinical decision and impact curves demonstrated significant utility across risk thresholds. SHAP analysis identified pain, respiratory function, and age as top predictors, highlighting their substantial roles in disability risk. Hand grip and the CS-5 also significantly influenced the model. A web-based application was developed for personalized risk assessment and decision-making.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A reliable predictive model for 5-year disability risk in Chinese older adults was developed and validated. This model enables the identification of high-risk individuals, supports early interventions, and optimizes resource allocation. Future efforts will focus on updating the model with new CHARLS data and validating it with external datasets.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e66723"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12021300/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144022550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yony Ormazábal, Diego Arauna, Juan Carlos Cantillana, Iván Palomo, Eduardo Fuentes, Carlos Mena
{"title":"Unveiling the Frailty Spatial Patterns Among Chilean Older Persons by Exploring Sociodemographic and Urbanistic Influences Based on Geographic Information Systems: Cross-Sectional Study.","authors":"Yony Ormazábal, Diego Arauna, Juan Carlos Cantillana, Iván Palomo, Eduardo Fuentes, Carlos Mena","doi":"10.2196/64254","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/64254","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Frailty syndrome increases the vulnerability of older adults. The growing proportion of older adults highlights the need to better understand the factors contributing to the prevalence of frailty. Current evidence suggests that geomatic tools integrating geolocation can provide valuable information for implementing preventive measures by enhancing the urban physical environment.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The aim of this study was to analyze the relationship between various elements of the urban physical environment and the level of frailty syndrome in older Chilean people.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort of 251 adults aged 65 years or older from Talca City, Chile, underwent comprehensive medical assessments and were geographically mapped within a Geographic Information Systems database. Frailty was determined using the Fried frailty criteria. The spatial analysis of the frailty was conducted in conjunction with layers depicting urban physical facilities within the city, including vegetables and fruit shops, senior centers or communities, pharmacies, emergency health centers, main squares and parks, family or community health centers, and sports facilities such as stadiums.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The studied cohort was composed of 187 women and 64 men, with no significant differences in age and BMI between genders. Frailty prevalence varied significantly across clusters, with Cluster 3 showing the highest prevalence (14/47, P=.01). Frail individuals resided significantly closer to emergency health centers (960 [SE 904] m vs 1352 [SE 936] m, P=.04), main squares/parks (1550 [SE 130] m vs. 2048 [SE 105] m, P=.03), and sports fields (3040 [SE 236] m vs 4457 [SE 322]m, P=.04) compared with nonfrail individuals. There were no significant differences in urban quality index across frailty groups, but frail individuals lived in areas with higher population density (0.013 [SE 0.001] vs 0.01 [SE 0.0007], P=.03).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Frail individuals exhibit geospatial patterns suggesting intentional proximity to health facilities, sports venues, and urban facilities, revealing associations with adaptive responses to frailty and socioeconomic factors. This highlights the crucial intersection of urban environments and frailty, which is important for geriatric medicine and public health initiatives.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e64254"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12021301/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143989504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chang-Uk Jeong, Jacob S Leiby, Dokyoon Kim, Eun Kyung Choe
{"title":"Artificial Intelligence-Driven Biological Age Prediction Model Using Comprehensive Health Checkup Data: Development and Validation Study.","authors":"Chang-Uk Jeong, Jacob S Leiby, Dokyoon Kim, Eun Kyung Choe","doi":"10.2196/64473","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/64473","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The global increase in life expectancy has not shown a similar rise in healthy life expectancy. Accurate assessment of biological aging is crucial for mitigating diseases and socioeconomic burdens associated with aging. Current biological age prediction models are limited by their reliance on conventional statistical methods and constrained clinical information.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to develop and validate an aging clock model using artificial intelligence, based on comprehensive health check-up data, to predict biological age and assess its clinical relevance.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used data from Koreans who underwent health checkups at the Seoul National University Hospital Gangnam Center as well as from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. Our model incorporated 27 clinical factors and employed machine learning algorithms, including linear regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, ridge regression, elastic net, random forest, support vector machine, gradient boosting, and K-nearest neighbors. Model performance was evaluated using adjusted R2 and the mean squared error (MSE) values. Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis was conducted to interpret the model's predictions.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The Gradient Boosting model achieved the best performance with a mean (SE) MSE of 4.219 (0.14) and a mean (SE) R2 of 0.967 (0.001). SHAP analysis identified significant predictors of biological age, including kidney function markers, gender, glycated hemoglobin level, liver function markers, and anthropometric measurements. After adjusting for the chronological age, the predicted biological age showed strong associations with multiple clinical factors, such as metabolic status, body compositions, fatty liver, smoking status, and pulmonary function.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our aging clock model demonstrates a high predictive accuracy and clinical relevance, offering a valuable tool for personalized health monitoring and intervention. The model's applicability in routine health checkups could enhance health management and promote regular health evaluations.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e64473"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12007724/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144047076","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Vimig Socrates, Donald S Wright, Thomas Huang, Soraya Fereydooni, Christine Dien, Ling Chi, Jesse Albano, Brian Patterson, Naga Sasidhar Kanaparthy, Catherine X Wright, Andrew Loza, David Chartash, Mark Iscoe, Richard Andrew Taylor
{"title":"Identifying Deprescribing Opportunities With Large Language Models in Older Adults: Retrospective Cohort Study.","authors":"Vimig Socrates, Donald S Wright, Thomas Huang, Soraya Fereydooni, Christine Dien, Ling Chi, Jesse Albano, Brian Patterson, Naga Sasidhar Kanaparthy, Catherine X Wright, Andrew Loza, David Chartash, Mark Iscoe, Richard Andrew Taylor","doi":"10.2196/69504","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/69504","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Polypharmacy, the concurrent use of multiple medications, is prevalent among older adults and associated with increased risks for adverse drug events including falls. Deprescribing, the systematic process of discontinuing potentially inappropriate medications, aims to mitigate these risks. However, the practical application of deprescribing criteria in emergency settings remains limited due to time constraints and criteria complexity.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aims to evaluate the performance of a large language model (LLM)-based pipeline in identifying deprescribing opportunities for older emergency department (ED) patients with polypharmacy, using 3 different sets of criteria: Beers, Screening Tool of Older People's Prescriptions, and Geriatric Emergency Medication Safety Recommendations. The study further evaluates LLM confidence calibration and its ability to improve recommendation performance.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older adults presenting to an ED in a large academic medical center in the Northeast United States from January 2022 to March 2022. A random sample of 100 patients (712 total oral medications) was selected for detailed analysis. The LLM pipeline consisted of two steps: (1) filtering high-yield deprescribing criteria based on patients' medication lists, and (2) applying these criteria using both structured and unstructured patient data to recommend deprescribing. Model performance was assessed by comparing model recommendations to those of trained medical students, with discrepancies adjudicated by board-certified ED physicians. Selective prediction, a method that allows a model to abstain from low-confidence predictions to improve overall reliability, was applied to assess the model's confidence and decision-making thresholds.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The LLM was significantly more effective in identifying deprescribing criteria (positive predictive value: 0.83; negative predictive value: 0.93; McNemar test for paired proportions: χ<sup>2</sup><sub>1</sub>=5.985; P=.02) relative to medical students, but showed limitations in making specific deprescribing recommendations (positive predictive value=0.47; negative predictive value=0.93). Adjudication revealed that while the model excelled at identifying when there was a deprescribing criterion related to one of the patient's medications, it often struggled with determining whether that criterion applied to the specific case due to complex inclusion and exclusion criteria (54.5% of errors) and ambiguous clinical contexts (eg, missing information; 39.3% of errors). Selective prediction only marginally improved LLM performance due to poorly calibrated confidence estimates.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study highlights the potential of LLMs to support deprescribing decisions in the ED by effectively filtering relevant criteria. However, challenges remain in applyin","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e69504"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12032504/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144051810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Andrea Panzavolta, Andrea Arighi, Emanuele Guido, Luigi Lavorgna, Francesco Di Lorenzo, Alessandra Dodich, Chiara Cerami
{"title":"Patient-Related Barriers to Digital Technology Adoption in Alzheimer Disease: Systematic Review.","authors":"Andrea Panzavolta, Andrea Arighi, Emanuele Guido, Luigi Lavorgna, Francesco Di Lorenzo, Alessandra Dodich, Chiara Cerami","doi":"10.2196/64324","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/64324","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Digital technology in dementia is an area of great development with varying experiences across countries. However, novel digital solutions often lack a patient-oriented perspective, and several relevant barriers prevent their use in clinics.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>In this study, we reviewed the existing literature on knowledge, familiarity, and competence in using digital technology and on attitude and experiences with digital tools in Alzheimer disease. The main research question is whether digital competence and attitudes of patients and caregivers may affect the adoption of digital technology.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Following the PRISMA guidelines, a literature search was conducted by two researchers in the group. Inter-rater reliability was calculated with Cohen κ statistics. The risk of bias assessment was also recorded.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 597 initial records, only 18 papers were considered eligible. Analyses of inter-rater reliability showed good agreement levels. Significant heterogeneity in study design, sample features, and measurement tools emerged across studies. Quality assessment showed a middle-high overall quality of evidence. The main factors affecting the adoption of digital technology in patients and caregivers are severity of cognitive deficits, timing of adoption, and the availability of training and support. Additional factors are age, type of digital device, and ease of use of the digital solution.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Adoption of digital technology in dementia is hampered by many patient-related barriers. Improving digital competence in patient-caregiver dyads and implementing systematic, patient-oriented strategies for the development and use of digital tools are needed for a successful incorporation of digital technology in memory clinics.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e64324"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12005595/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144030826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ming De Lim, Tee Connie, Michael Kah Ong Goh, Nor 'Izzati Saedon
{"title":"Model-Based Feature Extraction and Classification for Parkinson Disease Screening Using Gait Analysis: Development and Validation Study.","authors":"Ming De Lim, Tee Connie, Michael Kah Ong Goh, Nor 'Izzati Saedon","doi":"10.2196/65629","DOIUrl":"10.2196/65629","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Parkinson disease (PD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that affects motor coordination, leading to gait abnormalities. Early detection of PD is crucial for effective management and treatment. Traditional diagnostic methods often require invasive procedures or are performed when the disease has significantly progressed. Therefore, there is a need for noninvasive techniques that can identify early motor symptoms, particularly those related to gait.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The study aimed to develop a noninvasive approach for the early detection of PD by analyzing model-based gait features. The primary focus is on identifying subtle gait abnormalities associated with PD using kinematic characteristics.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were collected through controlled video recordings of participants performing the timed up and go (TUG) assessment, with particular emphasis on the turning phase. The kinematic features analyzed include shoulder distance, step length, stride length, knee and hip angles, leg and arm symmetry, and trunk angles. These features were processed using advanced filtering techniques and analyzed through machine learning methods to distinguish between normal and PD-affected gait patterns.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analysis of kinematic features during the turning phase of the TUG assessment revealed that individuals with PD exhibited subtle gait abnormalities, such as freezing of gait, reduced step length, and asymmetrical movements. The model-based features proved effective in differentiating between normal and PD-affected gait, demonstrating the potential of this approach in early detection.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study presents a promising noninvasive method for the early detection of PD by analyzing specific gait features during the turning phase of the TUG assessment. The findings suggest that this approach could serve as a sensitive and accurate tool for diagnosing and monitoring PD, potentially leading to earlier intervention and improved patient outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e65629"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12015338/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143804300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
S Sandun Malpriya Silva, Nasir Wabe, Amy D Nguyen, Karla Seaman, Guogui Huang, Laura Dodds, Isabelle Meulenbroeks, Crisostomo Ibarra Mercado, Johanna I Westbrook
{"title":"Development of a Predictive Dashboard With Prescriptive Decision Support for Falls Prevention in Residential Aged Care: User-Centered Design Approach.","authors":"S Sandun Malpriya Silva, Nasir Wabe, Amy D Nguyen, Karla Seaman, Guogui Huang, Laura Dodds, Isabelle Meulenbroeks, Crisostomo Ibarra Mercado, Johanna I Westbrook","doi":"10.2196/63609","DOIUrl":"10.2196/63609","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Falls are a prevalent and serious health condition among older people in residential aged care facilities, causing significant health and economic burdens. However, the likelihood of future falls can be predicted, and thus, falls can be prevented if appropriate prevention programs are implemented. Current fall prevention programs in residential aged care facilities rely on risk screening tools with suboptimal predictive performance, leading to significant concerns regarding resident safety.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to develop a predictive, dynamic dashboard to identify residents at risk of falls with associated decision support. This paper provides an overview of the technical process, including the challenges faced and the strategies used to overcome them during the development of the dashboard.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A predictive dashboard was co-designed with a major residential aged care partner in New South Wales, Australia. Data from resident profiles, daily medications, fall incidents, and fall risk assessments were used. A dynamic fall risk prediction model and personalized rule-based fall prevention recommendations were embedded in the dashboard. The data ingestion process into the dashboard was designed to mitigate the impact of underlying data system changes. This approach aims to ensure resilience against alterations in the data systems.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The dashboard was developed using Microsoft Power BI and advanced R programming by linking data silos. It includes dashboard views for those managing facilities and for those caring for residents. Data drill-through functionality was used to navigate through different dashboard views. Resident-level change in daily risk of falling and risk factors and timely evidence-based recommendations were output to prevent falls and enhance prescriptive decision support.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study emphasizes the significance of a sustainable dashboard architecture and how to overcome the challenges faced when developing a dashboard amid underlying data system changes. The development process used an iterative dashboard co-design process, ensuring the successful implementation of knowledge into practice. Future research will focus on the implementation and evaluation of the dashboard's impact on health processes and economic outcomes.</p><p><strong>International registered report identifier (irrid): </strong>RR2-https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-048657.</p>","PeriodicalId":36245,"journal":{"name":"JMIR Aging","volume":"8 ","pages":"e63609"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12012402/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143796824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}