Environmental and Sustainability Indicators最新文献

{"title":"Analysis of land use and carbon storage dynamics in the Panxi region, Southwest Sichuan, China: Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces in multiple scenarios","authors":"Zhiquan Zhou ,&nbsp;Jiangtao Xiao ,&nbsp;Lei Huang ,&nbsp;Ruoying Song ,&nbsp;Ping Ren","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100914","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100914","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurately assessing and predicting changes in terrestrial carbon storage (CS) is essential, especially given increasingly complex land use/land cover (LULC) patterns. Such efforts are crucial for China to achieve its dual goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. As a key region within the national carbon strategy, the mountainous areas of Southwest China serve as important ecological barriers and major CS. In this study, we applied the PLUS, InVEST, and GeoDetector models to systematically analyze the spatiotemporal changes and driving mechanisms of LULC and CS in the ecologically sensitive Panxi region under multiple policy scenarios from 2000 to 2035. The results show: (1) From 2000 to 2020, CS in Panxi decreased by 4.25 × 10⁶ t, mainly due to accelerated urbanization and construction land expansion, resulting in the loss of cultivated land and grassland, and worsening spatial imbalance in CS; (2) Scenario projections indicate that only the Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS) significantly increases regional CS, with gains of 0.17 × 10⁶ t and 4.37 × 10⁶ t in 2030 and 2035, respectively, highlighting the long-term benefits of ecological restoration measures; (3) NDVI (56 %), population (44 %), and altitude (37 %) are identified as the main driving factors, with the interaction between NDVI and population showing the strongest effect (q = 0.77). By integrating local policy considerations into scenario analysis, this study enhances the practical relevance of the modeling. These findings provide important guidance for optimizing regional land management, balancing ecological protection and economic development, and supporting China's dual carbon targets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100914"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145045709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analysis of Observed and Projected Climate Change and Trends in Extreme Rainfall and Temperature in the Tana and North Gojjam Sub-basins, Upper Blue Nile Basin, Northwestern Ethiopia","authors":"Abebe Shenkut ,&nbsp;Getachew Alemayehu ,&nbsp;Kindie Tesfaye ,&nbsp;Mezgebu Getnet ,&nbsp;Yibekal Alemayehu ,&nbsp;Girma Mamo","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100904","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100904","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study provides new insights into climate extremes across elevation gradients in Ethiopia's agriculturally critical Tana and North Gojjam sub-basins. Using bias-corrected CMIP6 models, we analyze observed trends (1990–2014) and future projections (2015–2099) to address critical gaps in regional climate risk assessment. Our approach significantly improves upon previous basin-wide studies by revealing distinct elevation-dependent climate responses that demand localized adaptation strategies.</div><div>The research reveals three major findings with important implications. First, we identify plain elevation contrasts in climate extremes: lowland areas near Lake Tana face projected temperature rises up to 6.6 °C by 2100 (SSP5-8.5), exceeding highland warming by 1.5–2.6 °C. Conversely, highland stations show 10–34 % increases in heavy rainfall (R99p), contrasting with drying trends in southern lowlands. Second, our bias-correction framework reduces uncertainties in CMIP6 rainfall projections by 25–40 %, demonstrating particular skill in capturing orographic precipitation patterns through multi-model ensemble improvement. Third, we document an emerging Lake Tana warming hotspot with minimum temperatures rising up to 7.1 °C by 2100 - a previously unreported microclimate anomaly threatening lakeside agriculture and aquatic ecosystems.</div><div>These results advance climate risk assessment methods for tropical highlands while providing actionable data for policymakers. The identification of compounding risks in northern sub-basins (increasing hot days and intense rainfall) highlights the need for integrated flood-heat stress management. Our findings emphasize that effective adaptation in the Upper Blue Nile Basin requires strategies tailored to specific agro-ecological zones, particularly for protecting vulnerable highland food systems and lowland water resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100904"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145045707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing the rural social vulnerability associated with groundwater resources in Eastern Romania","authors":"Ionut Minea ,&nbsp;Oana Elena Chelariu ,&nbsp;Daniel Boicu ,&nbsp;Marina Iosub ,&nbsp;Mihai Ciprian Mărgărint","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100910","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100910","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent decades in the eastern part of Romania, has faced a growing frequency of extreme hydrological phenomena associated with droughts and floods. This trend has highlighted the social and economic vulnerability of rural communities. This study aims to identify the vulnerability of 279 Local Administrative Units (LAU) from Eastern Romania in terms of vulnerability related to groundwater distribution and availability. The vulnerability assessment was performed based on 27 social, economic, and groundwater variables, which were classified by the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) methodology into three main components. The PCA analysis was performed using the same database using packages from SPSS and the Python programming language to facilitate the calculation of a modified Social-Groundwater Vulnerability Index (SoGwVI_m). The mapping results based on two methods were classified into five categories, ranging from low to high. revealed keen differences (3 %). The results highlight that 117 LAUs (covering 42 % of the entire region based on SPSS) and 109 LAUs (covering 39 % according to Python) are included in the high and medium-high vulnerability categories, mainly in the southern and eastern part of the region. The study results highlight the impact of climate change on water resources, emphasizing the need for urgent government actions and investments to mitigate rural vulnerability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100910"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145019980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Urban planning and metaverse technologies for sustainable cities: Reducing environmental footprints and enhancing social equity (A case study of Tehran, Iran)","authors":"Ehsan Dorostkar,&nbsp;Keramatollah Ziari","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100913","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100913","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates metaverse technology use in urban planning as a new response to sustainability and social equity challenges in rapid urbanization spaces, illustrated within a case application across Tehran, Iran. Through digital twins, virtual reality (VR) use, and augmented reality (AR) use applications, the Metaverse has new possibilities to maximize resource utilization, minimize environmental effects, and maximize civic engagement. Through a qualitative research methodology involving expert interviews, focus groups, and document studies, this study identifies key opportunities that incorporate real-time urban systemimulation applications, virtual spaces architected to achieve inclusive engagement, and scalable solutions to maximize green spaces. However, key barriers such as high implementation costs, infrastructural limitations, and unequal digital connectivity must be addressed to facilitate inclusive uptake. A conceptual model architected across three key pillars: Environmental Optimization, Inclusive Engagement, and Scalable Implementation outlines a strategic template to integrate metaverse applications within urban planning processes. Through findings, this study identifies Metaverse's transformative possibilities in reshaping urban places while making a call for localized methodologies, sound legal foundations, and inclusive policy foundations. This research contributes to an emerging debate on smart and sustainable cities and makes actionable recommendations to policy practitioners, urban planners, and technology experts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100913"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145019982","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Resilience and adaptability in food sustainability","authors":"Hamza Azam ,&nbsp;Nazlida Muhamad ,&nbsp;Mohamed Syazwan Ab Talib ,&nbsp;Wardah Hakimah binti Haji Sumardi","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100911","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100911","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study models sustainable Food Consumption Behaviour (FCB) using an integrated framework combining Social-Ecological Systems (SES) theory and the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB). Study addresses critical gaps in understanding of FCB by incorporating Consumer Psychological Resilience (CPR) and Consumer Psychological Adaptability (CPA). Study synthesizes insights form 144 peer-reviewed articles through a systematic narrative literature review using SCOPUS and Google Scholar databases. Findings reveal resilience maintains sustainable practices under adversity, while adaptability fosters flexibility in dynamic environments. This dual focus bridges macro-level ecological insights with individual psychological factors, extending TPB's predictive power to address external barriers in sustainable consumption. The study provides actionable insights for fostering resilience and adaptability, supporting scalable sustainable initiatives. The study operationalizes resilience and adaptability at the individual level through SES and TPB integration. Therefore, the research lays the groundwork for future empirical validation across diverse cultural and economic contexts explicitly recognizing potential variations in resilience and adaptability across these contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100911"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145027279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Human activity-driven spatiotemporal interactions of ecosystem services in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region: Insights from multi-source remote sensing data and multi-scale analysis","authors":"Chunyan Tian ,&nbsp;Kaiyu Lyu ,&nbsp;Chengcheng Feng ,&nbsp;Liuyang Yao ,&nbsp;Runjia Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100912","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100912","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates land use changes and six key ecosystem services (ESs) in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2000 to 2020. In contrast to previous studies that focus solely on static ES patterns or single-scale assessments, this research integrates both pixel- and county-scale analyses to capture the spatial heterogeneity and nested dynamics of trade-offs and synergies. Additionally, natural gradients (elevation, precipitation, temperature) and anthropogenic exposure indicators (population density, built-up area ratio, and carbon emissions) are incorporated to explore the combined effects of natural and human influences on ES dynamics. Carbon sequestration in the Yanshan and Taihangshan regions increased by 59.87 %, and soil retention capacity by 97.84 %, demonstrating the significant impact of local ecological protection efforts. A notable negative correlation was observed between food production and other ecosystem services in agricultural areas. Synergistic benefits at the county level underscore the success of ecological restoration. Human-induced evapotranspiration (PET), population density (POP), and climatic water deficit (DEF) emerged as the most influential drivers of ES changes. Policymakers must innovate land-use strategies and align ecological conservation efforts to mitigate the adverse effects of urbanization. This study provides both a theoretical and practical foundation for sustainable development in the region.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100912"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145267118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Projecting potential planting dates of global soybean and wheat under future climate change","authors":"Junqing Zheng ,&nbsp;Wei Ren ,&nbsp;Jing Wang ,&nbsp;Bo Tao ,&nbsp;Yong Luo","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100909","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100909","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Adapting agriculture to climate change requires reliable information to guide agronomic decisions. One critical factor is understanding shifts in planting dates, which directly influence crop productivity and resilience to climate change. In this study, we introduced the concept of “potential planting dates” (PPDs) to quantify variations in major crop planting dates based on specific climate and soil conditions. Using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) multi-model ensemble under four emission scenarios, we predicted spatial and temporal patterns in PPDs for wheat and soybean crops on a global scale from 2021 to 2100. Our results indicated that PPDs would advance by approximately 0.3, 0.7, 1.3, and 1.9 days per decade for spring wheat; and by 0.2, 0.6, 0.9, 1.3 days per decade for soybean under emission scenarios SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5, respectively. In contrast, PPDs for winter wheat would delay by 0.3, 1.2, 2.5, and 3.2 days per decade under the same scenarios. Overall, advanced PPDs were projected in approximately three-quarters of global spring wheat areas and two-thirds of soybean areas. Air temperature is projected to be a crucial factor affecting PPDs, particularly for spring wheat, where a 1 °C increase would result in an advancement of 4.3-6.3 days across the four scenarios. The global variability in PPDs increased with higher greenhouse gas emissions. These findings provide quantitative insights into projected shifts in PPDs under a changing climate, highlighting the potential for adaptive planting adjustments to mitigate some of its adverse impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100909"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145105902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A sustainability indicator framework for the funeral sector: Identification, interrelationship analysis, and performance assessment","authors":"Chin-Cheng Yang ,&nbsp;Huai-Wei Lo ,&nbsp;Kai-Yu Tang ,&nbsp;Chih-Wei Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100889","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100889","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The sustainable transformation of the funeral industry has become an increasingly urgent issue due to growing environmental concerns, demographic aging, land scarcity, and the surge in service demand after the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite its cultural importance, funeral practices impose substantial environmental burdens through land consumption, resource use, and pollutant emissions. However, systematic sustainability indicator frameworks tailored to this sector remain underdeveloped. This study proposes a comprehensive sustainability indicator framework specifically for the funeral industry. We first identified 14 key indicators across four dimensions—environmental, economic, social, and institutional—through expert consultation and literature synthesis. To capture the interrelationships among these indicators, we applied the Heterogeneous Influence and Strength Attenuation (HISA) method, which accounts for both positive and negative interactions and influence attenuation. A Modified VIKOR (modified Visekriterijumska Optimizacija i Kompromisno Resenje) approach was then utilized to assess performance gaps relative to aspiration levels. A case study of a leading Taiwanese funeral service provider demonstrates the framework's applicability and robustness. The results highlight that environmental diversity, eco-friendly products, and land use planning are the most influential but underperforming indicators. Sensitivity analysis and method comparison validate the reliability of the proposed approach. This research contributes a transferable, decision-support tool for advancing sustainability planning and performance evaluation within service-oriented sectors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100889"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145019981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Coupling coordination relationship between human activities and water-related ecosystem services supply–demand in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau","authors":"Chengrui Mao ,&nbsp;Qiang Ren ,&nbsp;Chunyang He ,&nbsp;Lei Li","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100903","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100903","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Amid intensified human activities and growing imbalances between ecosystem service supply and demand, clarifying the coordination mechanisms between human and ecological systems has become a key issue for regional sustainable development. Based on the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, this study systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal dynamics, driving mechanisms, and nonlinear response patterns of the relationship between human activity intensity and the supply–demand ratio of water-related ecosystem services on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2020 at the watershed scale. The results reveal that the overall CCD across the plateau is relatively low, with nearly half of the region in an uncoordinated state, particularly in northwestern inland basins. Over the past two decades, the CCD has declined by 2.8 %, with degradation observed across 61.2 % of the total area. Even in basins with relatively high coordination levels, local declines were detected, indicating widespread and latent ecological risks. A typical inverted “U”-shaped nonlinear relationship was found between CCD and HAI, implying an optimal coordination threshold: moderate human activities may promote coordination, while excessive disturbance leads to imbalance. Vegetation and climatic factors dominate the driving mechanism, with NDVI and precipitation showing the most significant impacts. The study recommends adopting watershed-based differentiated regulation, with priority given to northwestern regions where CCD declines rapidly, alongside systematic ecological management strategies to sustain long-term ecosystem–human coordination.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100903"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145045851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Shoreline change detection using DSAS and Land use/Land cover change analysis of Mangalore coast, southwest coast of India","authors":"Bharath N. ,&nbsp;Swathi K.K. ,&nbsp;Dwarakish G.S. ,&nbsp;Shivanna ,&nbsp;Jagadeesha Pai B.","doi":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100906","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.indic.2025.100906","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents an integrated assessment combining Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) and multi-temporal Land Use/Land Cover (LU/LC) analysis to quantitatively link shoreline change and land use dynamics along the Mangalore coast, extending 26 km from Talapady in the south to Surathkal in the north. The objectives of the study were 1) to calculate the shoreline change rates for short and long periods along the study area with the help of the DSAS v5.1 tool in ArcGIS, and 2) to calculate LU/LC dynamics using remote sensing data from 1997 to 2022, including accuracy assessment of classifications. The shorelines were extracted by using conventional data (toposheet) and remote sensing data with multi-dated satellite images of Landsat 5, 7, 8 and 9 along with Resourcesat- LISS-Ⅲ. The shoreline change rates are detected through two statistical methods: Endpoint rate-EPR(m/yr) and Linear regression rate-LRR(m/yr). The change analysis reveals that the coastline is highly eroded about −3.24 m/yr (EPR) in the year 2000, and highly accreted about +3.99 m/yr (EPR) in 2009 compared to the 1970 shoreline. The long-term change analysis reveals that the coastline shows an average accretion rate of about 1.89 m/yr (LRR). Key limitations include potential errors in shoreline digitisation and spatial resolution constraints, which may impact rate precision. The study emphasises the urgent need for integrated coastal zone management to balance development pressures with environmental sustainability near the Ullal and Bengre regions, and highlights implications for achieving Sustainable Development Goal targets related to climate action and sustainable coastal ecosystems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36171,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100906"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144989077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}