Sustainable Futures最新文献

{"title":"Critical review of the drivers and barriers for adopting net zero carbon procurement for construction projects","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100284","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100284","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To meet the net zero 2050 target in construction, a net-zero carbon public procurement policy is needed. This paper adopts a systematic review approach to explore the drivers and barriers to adopting net-zero carbon procurement. The top three drivers include developing sustainable public procurement policies, increasing investment in low-carbon procurements, and high demand for green construction projects. The top three barriers include inadequate budget for net-zero procurement implementation, weak capacity in public and private institutions to implement net-zero policies, and low stakeholder involvement. The paper's findings provide insights for stakeholders to effectively adopt net-zero carbon procurement for construction projects.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001333/pdfft?md5=ffd2774f3b82fc01abb7dff4ddc47e76&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001333-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149613","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Patterns of change, driving forces and future simulation of LULC in the Fuxian Lake Basin based on the IM-RF-Markov-PLUS framework","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100289","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100289","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Studying land use and land cover (LULC) patterns, identifying driving forces, and simulating future scenarios are vital for grasping the complex connection between human actions and the environment. This helps in shaping sustainable land management strategies and preparing for the impacts of climate change. However, there is a necessity for a comprehensive system modeling framework that can accurately capture spatial and temporal changes in LULC, analyze driving mechanisms, and provide an integrated analysis of future simulations. In this paper, a comprehensive IM-RF-Markov-PLUS analysis framework is developed, focusing on the Fuxian Lake Basin (FLB) as a study area. The study aims to achieve accurate prediction of LULC by combining the microscopic LULC change trend and the contribution of macroscopic driving forces. The results show that: (1) The IM-RF-Markov-PLUS framework can explore the change patterns and driving mechanisms of LULC in the FLB, and accurately predict the LULC in the FLB. Compared with the PLUS model, its accuracy is improved by 2 %. (2) IM analysis reveals that LULC transformation in the FLB is both general and specific. Although the area of grassland, buildings, roads and structures converted to desert and bare land is minimal, it shows relatively tendentious and specific change characteristics. (3) Different land types are significantly affected by driving factors, with the expansion of LULCs is constrained by major factors. The distance to the lake has the most significant impact on the distribution of garden land, while the primary road has the greatest impact on the distribution of forestland. (4) Under different scenarios, the spatial heterogeneity of LULC patterns is obvious. In 2035, under baseline and economic development scenarios, cultivated land will decrease, while other LULC types will increase. Under the cultivated land protection scenario, cultivated land is protected, with an increase of 5.85 %. Under the ecological protection scenario, there is an increase in ecological land. The largest increase is in forestland, which increases by a total of 3.46 %. The ecological protection scenario presents a viable approach for ensuring the sustainable development of the FLB. The results of this paper may serve as a reliable foundation for implementing LULC strategies in the FLB and offer guidance for crafting sustainable development regulations at the regional level.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001382/pdfft?md5=ae9006ce3e7f7a28ec420385a7e4cf14&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001382-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142136571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"French economy and clean energy transition: A macroeconomic multi-objective extended input-output analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100285","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The complexity of a sustainable economy is rooted in its socio-economic and environmental intricacies, particularly in formulating pathways for the harmonious integration of these parameters. This study introduces an extended input-output analysis and a multi-objective optimisation framework designed to discern trajectories for reducing CO₂ emissions while simultaneously maximising GDP and employment. The economic alterations are evaluated through metrics facilitating the examination of both direct and indirect consequences stemming from perturbations within the economy. The focus of this research centres on the French economy, concentrating on pivotal sectors where reducing demand could yield the greatest reduction in CO₂ emissions with minimal socio-economic ramifications. Additionally, a model is outlined for energy substitution, wherein fossil fuels in the French electricity mix are supplanted with clean energies. The ensuing effects of such a model on emission reduction pathways are scrutinised, followed by a comparison with the baseline case study.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001345/pdfft?md5=2be2b9fc026cc86ddf102c35fede8245&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001345-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corporate credit risk modeling under carbon pricing uncertainty: A Knightian uncertainty approach","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100283","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100283","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the financial implications of carbon pricing policies within the Knightian uncertainty framework. Employing a dynamic behavioural credit risk model driven by Lévy jump-diffusion, we scrutinise how carbon pricing uncertainty influences default probability and securities value. We explore investors' strategic responses to ambiguity and assess their impact on their investment decisions. Our findings reveal that carbon pricing uncertainty exacerbates the margin of default risk, has a moderating effect on stock value, and makes investors more cautious, thereby altering corporate capital structures. This study contributes to the discourse on carbon credit risk assessment and sustainable finance by addressing policy-driven uncertainties in the financial markets.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001321/pdfft?md5=e16691c60c365d0f2c5af84c1c516d1c&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001321-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149614","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Spatiotemporal characteristics and multi-scenario simulation of land use change and ecological security in the mountainous areas: Implications for supporting sustainable land management and ecological planning","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100286","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100286","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The acceleration of global urbanization has intensified land use activities, which threaten the ecological environment and hinder the achievement of sustainable socioeconomic development goals. With the background of continuous land use expansion, the reasonable management of land use and ecological protection has increasingly become an important issue. This study constructs an ecological security (ES) index to evaluate the ES pattern, and employs the Future Land-Use Simulation (FLUS) model for multi-scenario simulation of land use patterns in mountainous areas. The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, cultivated land and grassland showed a sharp decrease, with areas of −128.64 and −228.18 km² respectively, while forest land, urban land, and other construction land increased, with areas of 116.12, 31.21, and 120.69 km² respectively. Over time, the mountainous areas mainly exhibited low and moderate ES patterns. Furthermore, for 2020–2030, under the natural development scenario, cultivated land, forest land, and grassland will show a decrease, while urban and other construction land will show a sharp increase. In contrast, under the ecological protection scenario, ecological land will show significant increase, and the patch expansion of urban construction land will be smaller. These results confirm the positive contribution of ES protection effects to improving the land use development, and support insightful guidance for formulating policies on ecological management in mountainous areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001357/pdfft?md5=5976de184f3207e0b68f2c039cc70cd6&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001357-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142136570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The effect of supply chain integration, management commitment, and sustainable supply chain practices on non-profit organizations performance using SEM-FsQCA: Evidence from Afghanistan","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100282","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100282","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explores the impact of supply chain integration, management commitment, and sustainable supply chain practices on the performance of non-profit organizations in Afghanistan. Using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (FsQCA) with 169 participants, it finds that supply chain integration enhances sustainable supply chain practices and overall performance. Management commitment improves sustainable supply chain practice, while supply chain challenges significantly affect organizational performance. FsQCA reveals key factors like sustainable supply chain practices and management commitment, highlighting their contribution to positive outcomes. Overcoming supply chain challenges within an integrated framework is crucial for non-profit performance enhancement.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266618882400131X/pdfft?md5=057814f6723091ed869f4d6bcb9e681a&pid=1-s2.0-S266618882400131X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142088464","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sustainable financial institution in Indonesia: An empirical analysis of social-cultural context, nepotism, and moral hazard on the shaping of non-performing loans","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100279","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100279","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the complex relationships among social and cultural contexts, nepotism, moral hazard, and non-performing loans (NPLs) within Indonesian financial institutions. Using survey data from a sample of these institutions, it employs structural equation modeling (SEM) to analyze these relationships. The findings reveal significant paths: social context significantly influences nepotism (β = 0.345 or 34.5%) and moral hazard (β = 0.347 or 34.7%), while cultural context has notable effects on nepotism (β = 0.157 or 15.7%) and NPLs (β = 0.379 or 37.9%). Nepotism (β = 0.168 or 16.8%) and moral hazard (β = 0.325 or 32.5%) also directly impact NPLs, highlighting their roles as mediators between social and cultural contexts and loan portfolio quality. These results underscore the pivotal roles of these factors in shaping organizational behavior and risk management practices. The study provides critical insights for practitioners, policymakers, and scholars focused on enhancing the sustainability and integrity of financial institutions in Indonesia. However, its reliance on cross-sectional data and self-reported surveys, and the focus solely on Indonesian institutions, may affect the generalizability of the findings. Despite these limitations, the study underscores the importance of addressing issues like nepotism and moral hazard to improve financial stability in the region.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266618882400128X/pdfft?md5=7ed44d989f5250444796421b886ba7bd&pid=1-s2.0-S266618882400128X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142050400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Techno-economic optimization of hybrid renewable energy system for islands application","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100281","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100281","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study evaluates the effects of time resolution on the optimization results of a renewable energy system for an off-grid island. The assessment uses a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) applied to Tilos Island in Greece. Three objective functions—levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), renewable ratio (RR), and profit—are considered across four distinct scenarios with six variables representing the number of renewable technologies. These cases are implemented using three time resolutions: minute-by-minute, 15-minute, and hourly. A significant difference in results is observed based on the time resolution used. With hourly data optimization, 100 % renewable energy coverage is achievable at Tilos’ current diesel generator cost (0.46 $/kWh). However, using minute-by-minute data, renewable energy coverage ranges from 85.87 % to 95.64 %, depending on the scenario. The primary reason for this discrepancy is the volatile nature of demand and power generation on Tilos Island. The analysis further indicates that the differences between minute-by-minute and hourly optimization diminish as the volatility of the input data to the algorithm decreases.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001308/pdfft?md5=a375f2e6113475cf2819b0818291c85e&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001308-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142098086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Creating a fuzzy DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC -fuzzy BWM model for the organization's sustainable competitive advantage, incorporating green marketing, social responsibility, brand equity and green brand image","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100280","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100280","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study aimed to create a model that would enable the achievement of a sustainable competitive advantage. The research approach is combining four multi-criteria decision-making tools including Fuzzy DEMATEL, ISM, MICMAC Analysis and Fuzzy BWM to evaluate factors in four key areas included corporate social responsibility, green marketing, brand image, and brand equity in Unilever Corporation. These factors collectively contribute to enhancing competitiveness. The process begins with the fuzzy DEMATEL method, which helps to uncover the cause-and-effect relationships among various components. Following this, the ISM approach is utilized to construct a hierarchical model that clarifies how these components influence and depend on one another. This step is crucial for gaining insights into their collective impact on Unilever's sustainability goals. Next, MICMAC analysis categorizes these factors based on their levels of influence and dependence, pinpointing the most critical elements that drive competitive advantage. Finally, the fuzzy BWM technique is applied to prioritize these key factors, leading to the aimed at bolstering Unilever's long-term competitiveness by fostering a green and sustainable brand image that resonates with consumer values. The key results reveal that the highest priority was given to achieving sustainable development goals. The criterion \"Promotion of customer awareness\" secured the second position Finally, ensuring the quality of products and services was also recognized as a third key focus area. Identifying these key factors and their interrelationships will provides decision-makers and stakeholders in Unilever company with actionable insights for precise planning and strategic prioritization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001291/pdfft?md5=46d88fe2b24540ca598f98ad69970327&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001291-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142098087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The role of human capital development in urbanization-economic growth nexus: A new insight on Nigeria","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100266","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100266","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Given the inevitable rise in global urban size, it has become pertinent to prioritize sustainable urban development which supports economic growth. Hence, the surge in sustainable urban-economic growth literature. Moreover, there is a growing argument that the growth effect of urbanization is contingent on the mediating roles of certain macroeconomic factors. However, despite being one of the fastest urbanizing countries in the world, extant studies on urbanization-economic growth nexus in Nigeria are few and the possible modulating roles of macroeconomic factors in the nexus has not been studied. Therefore, using annual data spanning between 1991 and 2022, this study examines the modulating effect of human capital development (HCD) in the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Nigeria. For the empirical analysis, the study adopts the autoregressive distributed lag error correction model (ARDL-ECM). Robustness of the findings is tested using the dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) estimator. The regression outcomes s show that while urbanization independently does not promote economic growth, its interaction with the measure of HCD produces a positive coefficient suggesting that HCD mitigates the adverse effect of urbanization on economic growth. Based on the findings, the study recommends that urban development policies should be compatible with achieving well-managed cities in order to harness the agglomeration economies benefits of increasing urbanization process. In addition, due to the favourable role of HCD in the urbanization-economic growth relationship, strategic plans focused on promoting human capital in the form of education and health should be focalized in urban development policies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824001151/pdfft?md5=8aac85c10e4bccd312724ef73b6cc36d&pid=1-s2.0-S2666188824001151-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142088463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}