{"title":"CO2 emissions response to GDP and crude oil price shocks: Evidence from India and China using SVAR Model","authors":"Matali Mahajan, Dr. Ash Narayan Sah","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100479","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100479","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global CO₂ emissions and warming remain critical challenges worldwide, with emission reduction central to attaining the UN Sustainable Development Goals. This paper investigates the relationship between WTI prices, Inflation, CO<sub>2</sub> emission, and GDP in India and China. Based on annual data spanning 1980–2019 for India and 1990–2019 for China, sourced from the “World Bank and Our World in Data” database, we investigate these interactions via a Structural Vector Autoregression framework, using impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition to map the effects. Our empirical analysis reveals positive links between WTI and Inflation in the long run, aligned with cost-push inflation concepts. A single innovative fluctuation in GDP increases CO₂ emissions, corroborating the Environmental Kuznets Curve's tenet. Our results indicate that neither country has reached peak CO₂ levels, suggesting continued challenges in balancing economic growth with sustainability goals. These insights highlight the need for policies that address short-term oil price volatility and support sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100479"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143350752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xinyi Wang , Fenzhen Su , Fengqin Yan , Vincent Lyne , Yikun Cui , Bin He , Rong Fan
{"title":"Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China","authors":"Xinyi Wang , Fenzhen Su , Fengqin Yan , Vincent Lyne , Yikun Cui , Bin He , Rong Fan","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100468","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100468","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land-use changes from rapid coastal urban expansion fragments ecosystems and reduces carbon storage. Current and future national urban policies must therefore enhance carbon sink functions of ecosystems while maintaining spatial ecological structure networks. Here, we assessed current policies against future scenarios using systems thinking and land-use change simulation coupled to carbon-storage accounting. Three future scenarios for Dongguan City across ecological Natural Evolution Scenario, economic Economic Priority Scenario and balanced Harmonious Development Scenario show latter partly controls carbon loss through more robust ecological networks. However, by 2030, all scenarios show construction land expanding sharply across cultivated land and grassland, and carbon storage declines. Future urban expansion therefore seriously challenges effectiveness of current spatial policies which must be enhanced for future low carbon urban developments and protection of associated ecosystem connectivities. This study analyzed the maintenance of habitat connectivity and carbon storage under different development policies during urbanization and discussed the significance of policies in maintaining the stability of urban ecological networks. With this effort, a new perspective on the maintenance of ecological security patterns is provided, serving as a fundamental reference for future urban planning decisions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100468"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143369272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The role of local public spending in the achievement of the social dimension of sustainable development: An empirical analysis","authors":"Natalia Alonso-Morales, Alejandro Sáez-Martín, Arturo Haro-de-Rosario","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100475","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100475","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The 2030 Agenda aims to reduce existing disparities, requiring the public sector, especially local governments, to align budgets with these goals. Thus, public spending is seen as a redistributive tool for achieving social equity. In this respect, distributional justice theory aims to ensure equal access to services, rights and protection, which is essential in social sustainability. Therefore, this study examines the impact of municipal public spending and other factors on achieving social Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The findings reveal that municipalities excelling in aid and subsidies through current transfers, with strong investment in human capital, broad political competition, a higher-educated population, robust social institutions, and lower debt levels, make the most progress in achieving social SDGs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100475"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143369271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Potential application areas and benefits of blockchain-enabled smart contracts adoption in infrastructure Public-private partnership (PPP) projects","authors":"Emmanuel Chidiebere Eze, Ernest Effah Ameyaw","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100477","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100477","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The traditional, paper-centric infrastructure public-private partnership (PPP) contracts have experienced record numbers of failures and terminations due to contract compliance issues, lack of trust and transparency, and information distortions. While studies on the adoption of blockchain and smart contracts in PPP are still growing, a quantitative survey of global experts on the application areas and potential benefits of Blockchain-enabled smart contracts (BSC) in the context of PPP is lacking. This study comprehensively examined the potential application areas and benefits of BSC adoption in infrastructure PPP projects to understand their impact on the decision to digitalise PPP and ensure sustainable PPP project performance. The snowball sampling technique and questionnaire were used to gather data from experts across countries. Data analysis was done using means analysis, normalisation value, coefficient of variation, Kendall's coefficient of concordance, Kruskal-Wallis test and partial least square-structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM). The study found high awareness and knowledge of the potential benefits of smart contract adoption in infrastructure PPP projects. The leading benefits of BSC adoption in PPP are (1) decentralisation of payments and other transactions, (2) enhancing supply chain visibility and integration, (3) the autonomy in contract administration, (4) prevent misapplication of contractual provisions, and (5) enhances alternative dispute resolution (ADR). The PLS-SEM revealed that six of the eight hypothetical paths were significant. This study advocated for promoting the digitalisation of infrastructure PPP projects. It could serve as an essential resource to policymakers and industry professionals in their quest to improve PPP project performance and minimise failures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100477"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143103923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Spatio-temporal evolution patterns of flow space and its impact on urban-rural construction land transformation: A case study of the Yellow River Basin","authors":"Wenfeng Chen , Jialin Jiang , Linna Li","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100474","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100474","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To reveal the spatiotemporal structure of urban networks in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) and its impact on urban-rural construction land transformation, we developed a comprehensive-flow spatial model, combining social network analysis and urban niche analysis. Key findings include: (1) Cities in economically advanced regions, particularly in the middle and lower YRB, exhibit stronger inter-city connections. (2) Cites are grouped into four subgroups, highlighting the diverse roles of geographically proximate cities. (3) The DRSIR-PLS framework is validated, demonstrating that integrated flows promote urban-rural construction land expansion. These findings highlight the value of regional flow space analysis and the DPSIR-PLS framework in guiding sustainable regional development strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100474"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143368954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Abdo Hassoun , Ahmed Hamad , Dalal Iriqat , Mohammed Nijim , Yamina Bouchikh , Mohamed Buheji , Tahani Z. Aldahdouh
{"title":"The implications of the ongoing war on Gaza for food sustainability","authors":"Abdo Hassoun , Ahmed Hamad , Dalal Iriqat , Mohammed Nijim , Yamina Bouchikh , Mohamed Buheji , Tahani Z. Aldahdouh","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100473","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100473","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Gaza Strip, a small and densely populated region in the Middle East, has endured escalating violence since Israel's occupation began in June 1967. The ongoing war has had devastating consequences, severely affecting socioeconomic and environmental aspects, particularly food systems. This work investigates the impact of the ongoing war on food security and food-related sustainable development goals (SDGs) from local, regional, and global perspectives. This review employed a qualitative research approach, specifically a comprehensive analysis of grey literature and official reports, complemented by a thematic synthesis of findings from peer-reviewed articles, to ensure a robust and multi-faceted examination of the topic. The findings reveal that the war and the prolonged blockade have caused acute food insecurity and malnutrition in Gaza due to widespread destruction of infrastructure, including food factories and bakeries, and restrictions on essential supplies like water, fuel, and medical resources. The review highlights the severe food poverty and hunger faced by Gazans while noting the setback to food sustainability and related SDGs. It also underscores the potential for broader regional or global crises, including disruptions to international trade and a worsening food crisis. Key recommendations call for urgent international collaboration to address food poverty, escalating hunger, and the growing risk of famine in Gaza. Efforts must focus on ending the war, restoring access to essential supplies, and implementing sustainable solutions to mitigate the humanitarian crisis. These actions are also critical to addressing broader regional and global implications, including threats to food security and trade stability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100473"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How vulnerable are road networks to shocks? An analysis through accessibility indicators","authors":"Angela Stefania Bergantino , Gianmarco Troiani , Tahseen Bashir , Francesca Pagliara","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100471","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100471","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The purpose of the paper is to present an analysis of vulnerability of road networks through an accessibility indicator and a link importance index (LII). Specifically, the objective is to identify which traffic disruptions generate the most significant impacts. This methodology has been applied to three case studies, the medium-sized urban areas in southern Italy. The proposed accessibility indicator represents a measure of the vulnerability of an area, while the LII defines a hierarchy of importance among the roads of the network. The first indicator considers travel time and the distribution of jobs across the territory, while the second indicator depends on traffic flows. The output of the methodology consists of vulnerability maps, which show the most affected urban areas, and a ranking of the most important roads, obtained through the link importance index. This methodology is useful for transportation agencies, administrators, and civil protection, who should manage daily emergency situations following internal or external shocks such as traffic accidents or natural extreme events. Decision-makers can indetify the network's critical areas and develop programs to prioritize infrastructure improvements.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100471"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143171528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The intersection of climate technology and public diplomacy: Insights into policy and implementation","authors":"Jaeryoung Song","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100465","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100465","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change represents one of the most critical challenges to global ecosystems, human survival, and sustainable development. Addressing these issues requires not only technological innovation but also strategic public diplomacy to enhance international collaboration and stakeholder engagement. This study investigates the potential of climate technology-driven public diplomacy as a means to bridge the gaps between developed and developing nations, promote equitable technology dissemination, and contribute to global climate action. Using a qualitative methodology, including focus group interviews and surveys conducted over four years with 21 experts from industry, public R&D, government, and civil society, this research provides a comprehensive analysis of stakeholder perceptions and effective communication strategies. The findings reveal that public diplomacy can serve as a catalyst for adopting and disseminating climate technologies, particularly in developing nations with limited access to such innovations. Stakeholder-specific differences were evident, highlighting the need for tailored diplomatic approaches to maximize impact. The study identifies Korea's unique position, owing to its development trajectory, as a leader capable of connecting advanced and emerging economies. Key outcomes include a multi-stakeholder collaboration framework, recommendations for strategic communication campaigns, and tailored diplomatic strategies to promote equitable adoption of climate technologies. By aligning technological innovation with diplomatic efforts, this research offers actionable insights for policymakers and practitioners to advance global climate resilience and achieve sustainability goals through inclusive and strategic partnerships.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100465"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ameena S. Al-Sumaiti , Reem S. Al-Ali , Vikash Kumar Saini , N. Al-Saif , Rajesh Kumar
{"title":"Evaluating drivers of water-energy use: Insights from a selected Higher Education University in Abu Dhabi, UAE","authors":"Ameena S. Al-Sumaiti , Reem S. Al-Ali , Vikash Kumar Saini , N. Al-Saif , Rajesh Kumar","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100446","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100446","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The United Arab Emirates faces water scarcity. Managing water-energy consumption behavior is essential to achieving sustainable resources for future generations. Water and energy are intertwined resources. With economic development, a thorough assessment and understanding of actual drivers and motivators of existing social behaviors, relevant to these resources are needed. This understanding becomes even more significant in the light of socio-economic development. Hence, this study focuses on an educational institution, which encompasses a diverse range of academic and alternative activities within a relatively confined area. This paper examines a case study of a university and its dorms, located in Abu Dhabi, UAE, to assess and analyze water and energy consumption. The data have been collected from university campuses and dorms considering various factors such as the number of on-campus students, humidity, temperature, gender, and cost. The ANOVA statistical analysis, employing a multiple regression approach, is used for the analysis. The results highlight that the primary drivers of water-energy usage are the number of students and the cost. The findings provide valuable insights for effectively reducing water-energy consumption on university campuses. Furthermore, some recommendations for socio-economic sustainable development on campus have been provided based on the research outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100446"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
ChangYi Zhu , Alexandra Simón Villar , Maria Jose Parada Balderrama
{"title":"Toward sustainability: ESG bridging socioemotional wealth and sustainable financial in family firms","authors":"ChangYi Zhu , Alexandra Simón Villar , Maria Jose Parada Balderrama","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100470","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100470","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The socioemotional wealth of family businesses fosters long-term orientation, aligning with the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles essential for sustainable value creation. This study utilised panel data from 1,181 Chinese-listed family firms between 2016 and 2020. It employed multiple regression and mediation analysis to examine how ESG engagement mediates the relationship between family control and the firms’ financial outcomes. The findings revealed that proactive ESG strategies enhance the positive effects of family control on financial outcomes, though the degree of mediation varied across performance indicators. These results highlight the strategic importance of integrating ESG considerations into financial planning for family businesses, offering valuable insights for managers and investors seeking to drive sustainable development through informed capital allocation and targeted governance structures. From a policy perspective, these results suggest the need for government incentives and enhanced disclosure standards to encourage broader ESG adoption among family firms in emerging markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100470"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}