Menggang Li, Changsheng Zhou, Lian Lian, Wenrui Li
{"title":"Simulation research of industrial enterprise total profits based on the neural network of ARIMA","authors":"Menggang Li, Changsheng Zhou, Lian Lian, Wenrui Li","doi":"10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551899","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551899","url":null,"abstract":"Industrial enterprise total profit is the important indicator to measure the status of industrial economic sentiment over a given period of time, and also the first indicator for researching the macroeconomic early-warning. In this paper, the ARIMA neural network model is built, through the ARIMA theory combined with neural network theory, using 1997-2015 monthly time series data of the industrial enterprise total profit, to carry out the simulation research of the industrial enterprise total profit. First of all, make the seasonal adjustment for industrial enterprise total profit, to get rid of the seasonal factors of industrial enterprise total profit in the time series. Secondly, to emulate the 1997 ~ 2015 monthly industrial enterprise total profit by ARIMA neural network model, the simulation results show a good simulation training effect. Finally, using ARIMA neural network model to carry on the simulation of the industrial enterprise total profit from January to June in 2016, finally get the simulation values of industrial enterprise total profit from January to June in 2016.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122833133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An analysis of the asymmetric-information translation service market in China","authors":"Xiaojie Guo, Xianzhu Si","doi":"10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551874","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551874","url":null,"abstract":"Globalization has enhanced the demand for information-exchange, which has also encouraged the development of translation service industry. Currently, the studies of translation service industry and its market have based on the information symmetry hypothesis. The quality of translation service is only known to the provider, which belongs to an asymmetric information situation; therefore, the translation service market may become lemon market if the providers take advantage of the information asymmetric. This paper uses the lemon market theory by Akerlof to find the reasons and solutions for the lemon market of translation service in China.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"12 I 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127819850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Demulsification mechanism of simulated liquid production in the polymer-surfactant flooding process","authors":"Mingxin Wang, Jin Huang, Xin Zhang, Jinling Li, Chunlin Xu, Lingzhi Sun, Chunhong Song, Yuexian Zhang","doi":"10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551879","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551879","url":null,"abstract":"As a new type of oil displacement agent, the compound of polymer-surfactant has a strong ability of increasing viscosity, emulsifying, etc. Results of the field test showed that the polymer-surfactant flooding can enhance oil recovery by 18.8% above water flooding. Field test showed that compared with polymer flooding, the settling time of the produced liquid of polymer-surfactant flooding is longer, and dehydrated electricity is higher, so it is more difficult to handle the produced fluid which has a higher requirement for adaptability of dehydration system of water and polymer flooding. To improve the matching techniques of polymer-surfactant flooding and get a satisfied demulsification result to ensure the produced liquid of polymer-surfactant is separated effectively, the demulsification and demulsification mechanism is studied. The results showed that, the demulsification effect of the non-ion polyether demulsifier is better than the cation polyether demulsifier, and the demulsification effect of the HLX-2 demulsifier which is a non-ion polyether demulsifier is the best. When the concentration of the HLX-2 demulsifier is 50mg/L, the oil content in water is 257mg/L, the water cut in oil is 28%, and the demulsification ratio is 92.5%. Increasing the content of the polymer-surfactant, the oil-water interfacial shear viscosity is increased, the demulsification is more and more difficult, and the demulsification effect of the HLX-2 demulsifier is getting worse and worse. Results showed that, polymer-surfactant molecule in the oil-water interface was replaced by the demulsifier HLX-2, and the interfacial shear viscosity and interfacial elastic modulus was reduced, and the stability of the emulsion was declined. Increasing the concentration of the demulsifier HLX-2, the replacement role enhanced. So the demulsification mechanism of the nonionic polyether demulsifier is that interface membrane is replaced. After the molecule of the demulsifier replaced the emulsifier, the strength of interfacial film was reduced, and the molecular of the demulsifier can also “catch” a few emulsion droplets, resulting in more than one droplet was coalesced, and the purpose of fast-breaking was achieved.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"60 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131583882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis on the industrial competitiveness of beijing based on the shift-share analysis","authors":"H. Lina, M. Shusheng","doi":"10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551857","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551857","url":null,"abstract":"At present, China's reform of the supply front during the new normal is a comprehensive strategic deployment that involves various aspects including industries, macro control, capital and the fiscal and taxation systems. Beijing as the capital has been in the forefront of reform. But there existed many problems in industrial structure in Beijing. The optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure of Beijing is the core of the government's new round of supply side reform. Elimination of excessive production capacity and industrial optimization and reorganization is the key to the current round of supply side reform. Based on SSM model, it discusses the status of industrial structure and industrial competitiveness of Beijing City. In this paper, we discuss the status of industrial structure and industrial competitiveness of Beijing City, and then determine the direction of industrial development in the future.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133932440","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Study on China's new industrialization (NI) level measurement","authors":"Jinghuai She, Ting Zhou, Yuan-Guan She","doi":"10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551868","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IEIS.2016.7551868","url":null,"abstract":"Basing on our existing theory and measurement methods of the new industrialization(NI), this article has built a system of China's new industrial measurement indicators. By applying the datum from 2005 to 2014, we estimate the level of development and current status of China's NI, and evaluate the measurement results by establishing Hierarchical Linear Model (HLM). At last, we confirmed that our country's new industrialization is in the rapid development trend. And due to the difference of initial conditions in NI development there is a greater imbalance. In contrast, a region with poor initial condition of has a relatively fast development speed.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121107895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A model used in mutual funds performance evaluation based on SVM","authors":"Authors Cuiyi","doi":"10.1109/ieis.2016.7551891","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ieis.2016.7551891","url":null,"abstract":"The evaluation and selection of funds are a classification problem essentially. The paper builds evaluation index sets including fund companies, fund managers, risk level and the level of risk-adjusted earnings, and uses independent samples t-test, linear regression and KPCA and SVM model to evaluate and classify securities investment funds. According to the empirical analysis, the model is practicable, and using this way to choose funds is simple, straight, and practical.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129871822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial system security analysis based on macro finance perspective","authors":"Authors Cuiyi","doi":"10.1109/ieis.2016.7551892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ieis.2016.7551892","url":null,"abstract":"In the macro-finance perspective, the financial industry and financial security is viewed as an integrated system, and should be studied based on the idea of system theory. In this paper, we discuss the composition of China's financial industry system security, and the fuzzy uncertainty of the security of the financial system, random uncertainty and complex coupling uncertainty analysis. We also establish the basic framework of the security of the financial system modeling and optimization, and introduce the idea of financial system dynamics. At last, we discuss on the financial system security and reliability of the SD flow chart analysis. The result of the paper contributes to China's financial system security and optimization.","PeriodicalId":334364,"journal":{"name":"2016 International Conference on Industrial Economics System and Industrial Security Engineering (IEIS)","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127831254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}