{"title":"On the Nile Fan's Wave Power Potential and Controlling Factors Integrating Spectral and Geostatistical Techniques","authors":"A. Masoud","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3893408","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3893408","url":null,"abstract":"Wave energy is foreseen to contribute to the 20 % renewable energy supply of Egypt’s electricity budget to meet burgeoning energy demand. This research analyses the Nile Fan wave energy forcasted from numerical modeling for 2020 of the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) database, hourly sampled at 0.042° as the finest remotely-sensed data available. Wave power spatial distribution is analyzed using data from 259 points proposed as Wave Energy Converters (WECs). Spectral analyses techniques were appraised for disclosing the frequency and power return periods of the significant wave height and peak periods and to understand the similarity among selected WECs of varied conditions. K-means clustering was used to distinguish energy classes with large inter-class variances. The obtained wave power resources ( av . 5.32 kW/m; maximum of 112.9 kW/m; annual mean of 46.96 MW/m) are among the largest found in the Mediterranean Sea. More than 98 % of the wave power variance is controlled, in decreasing order of influence, by the depth, distance to shore, significant wave height, wave peak period, and the wave principal direction. Deepest water and near shore classes attained the largest wave power. Detailed environmental factors induced the wave shape and power is concluded.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"86 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115420213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Total Social Cost Evaluation of Two Wind and PV Energy Development Modes: A Study on Henan of China","authors":"Bing Sun, Yunfei Li, Yuan Zeng, Tiankai Yang, Shimeng Dong","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3889199","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3889199","url":null,"abstract":"In Henan province of China, the power demand is vigorous, and the existing provincial generators are mostly high-carbon. Henan faces greater challenges in electricity revolution than other provinces. Currently, there are two development modes for generating low-carbon electricity in Henan: the ‘‘large-scale and long-distance transmission” (LSLDT) mode and the “local development and consumption” (LDC) mode. To make a better choice on development mode, following works have been done. Firstly, the rooftop PV installation potential is evaluated and two development scenes for wind and PV power generation are set to fit the development trend of Henan in the near future. Secondly, a bi-level generation planning model based on the total social cost is established. Finally, generation planning schemes are made and the power supply cost per kWh electricity is evaluated. It is found that there is a significant cost advantage when wind and PV electricity are generated with the LDC mode in both scenes. What’s more, the existence of reliability cost, wheeling cost and grid-loss cost makes the LSLDT mode difficult to cut down the wind and PV power supply cost. Wind and PV power generation of the LDC mode should be focused on in Henan.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"102 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122987255","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sierra Collender, Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos, Kylie-Anne Richards, L. Ryan
{"title":"Climate Change Transition Risk on Sovereign Bond Markets","authors":"Sierra Collender, Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos, Kylie-Anne Richards, L. Ryan","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3861350","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3861350","url":null,"abstract":"We challenge the narrative that climate change transition risk is not being priced into sovereign bond markets. As measured by carbon dioxide emissions, natural resources rents and renewable energy consumption, climate change transition risk is factored into sovereign bond yields (and spreads) by investors. Using a sample of data from 23 advanced and 16 developing markets from 2000-2019, we show that countries with lower carbon emissions incur a lower risk premium on sovereign borrowing costs. Moreover, advanced countries willing to reduce their earnings from natural resources rents and, to some extent, increase renewable energy consumption are associated with lower sovereign borrowing costs. In contrast, developing countries with a strong dependence on natural resources or restricted renewable energy consumption incur lower sovereign borrowing costs. Thus, advanced economies that perform poorly in managing their climate transition may encounter increased sovereign borrowing costs, liquidity constraints, reduced capacity to effectively manage climate transition and the inability to finance economic recovery from severe climate shocks or natural disasters. The necessity to support developing countries to meet climate change targets also emerges. Given the threat climate change poses to the global economy and the fact that transition risk is materialized much faster than physical risk, we advocate an increase in the significance of climate transition risk factors as determinants of sovereign bond markets.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"72 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121410888","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Petroleum Industry Saviour: A Terse Breakdown of the Petroleum Industry Act","authors":"Peter Okediya","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3908752","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3908752","url":null,"abstract":"This is an article that seeks to examine the legal, economic, environmental and governmental framework of the Nigerian Petroleum Industry Act 2021.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121955573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Determinants of Natural Gas Prices in the United States – A Structural VAR Approach","authors":"Dickson Nkwantabisa","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3905560","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3905560","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the dynamic economic relationships between the fundamental variables that influence natural gas prices within the U.S. market. We utilize a structural vector autoregressive (VAR) and Markov switching models to investigate the impact and stability of regime switches between the main drivers of natural gas prices. The results reveal that the U.S. gas market is sensitive to temperature deviations in the short term. Crude oil and coal prices have long-run effects on natural gas prices, emphasizing energy-specific demand shocks. Mainly, coal prices determine about 73% of gas price variability for the sample period with three discernable regime switches.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115082345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Policy Implications of Minimum Support Price for Agriculture in India","authors":"A. Reddy","doi":"10.20935/al2406","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20935/al2406","url":null,"abstract":"The paper examined the impact of Minimum Support Price (MSP) in adoption of agricultural technology and increasing production and buffer stocks of cereals, pulses and oilseeds in India. The results indicate that the food policy should balance interest of farmers in enhancing their incomes and consumers by proving nutrition security with reasonable budget","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125276377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Understanding Gold Mining and Social Conflicts in Kyrgyzstan","authors":"Kemel Toktomushev, Saipira Furstenberg","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3896275","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3896275","url":null,"abstract":"While the development of the mining sector continues to be a strategic priority for Kyrgyzstan, local resistance against gold mining exploitation has been on the rise. Since 2010 there has been an upsurge in social protests related to mining activities from local residents who typically have limited power to negotiate their interests over mining exploitations and preserve livelihoods. Additionally, the industry has attracted criticism for its lack of transparency, trust and corruption, and environmental damage. Accordingly, this paper examines the root causes of conflict dynamics related to mining activities in Kyrgyzstan with a focus on Chinese mining operations in the country. This study was motivated by the indications that conflict incidents associated with Chinese mining operations in Kyrgyzstan have increased dramatically in recent years. The study is based on observations in mining sector and draws its analysis from interviews conducted in Chatkal, Ala Buka and Naryn sites.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"100 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115806818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"What Role Agriculture and Employment Can Play in Creating and Fostering Pro Poor Growth in Central Africa?: Evidences From FMOLS Panels on Sector Disaggregated Components in CEEAC","authors":"Zedou Abdala, Sezard Timbi, Samuel Cedric Nkot","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3877134","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3877134","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims at investigating the structural impacts of sector components of value added and employment on pro poor growth in central African countries between 1994 and 2019. It uses income of lowest 20% and the vast majority income as measures of pro poor growth. The results show that growth in agriculture and natural resources rents reduce pro poor growth when measured by the income share of the lowest 20%. Growth in agriculture still has a negative impact on pro poor growth measured by the growth in vast majority income. Relying on the fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS) method, the estimates also show that employment in any sector, where significant, improves the pro poorness of growth. In view of the evidence, incentives on agriculture activities rather than non-agricultural to create pro poor growth may have inverse results as these could be held mostly by rich proprietors and exports oriented.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128838330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Confucian Clan as a Risk-Sharing Institution: How Pre-Industrial China Became the Most Populous Nation","authors":"Zhiwu Chen, Chicheng Ma","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3859796","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3859796","url":null,"abstract":"We hypothesize that besides technology and resource expansion, risk-mitigation improvements pushed the Malthusian limits to population growth in pre-industrial societies. During 976-1850 CE, China’s population increased by elevenfold while the Confucian clan emerged as the key risk-sharing institution for members. To test our hypothesis using historical data from 269 prefectures, we measure each region’s clan strength by its number of genealogy books compiled. Our results show that prefectures with stronger clans had significantly higher population density due to better resilience during natural disasters and fewer premature deaths of children. Confucian clans enabled pre-industrial China to sustain explosive population growth.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114575175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
June Vana, D. Vargas, C. Vallejo, Pablo Rafael, P. Hail, Jocelyn Dollente
{"title":"Effects of Infrastructure Development Projects in Job Creation and Crop Production of Farm Families in the Second District of Nueva Ecija, Philippines","authors":"June Vana, D. Vargas, C. Vallejo, Pablo Rafael, P. Hail, Jocelyn Dollente","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3828886","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3828886","url":null,"abstract":"In general, the study aimed to determine the effects of infrastructure projects in job creation and crop production of farm families in the second district of Nueva Ecija, Philippines. This study used a descriptive-quantitative correlation design. A total of 3 key informants and 90 farm families head composed of the respondents. A survey questionnaire was prepared as an instrument in gathering the required information. The mean of 51.69 years old signifies that most of the respondents' ages were at the prime working age. A majority (95.70%) of the households were headed by male farmers and have no other source of income other than farming. Concrete roads were constructed as early as 2013 and 2018 in the area of study. Only a few jobs were created that are related to roads constructions The adoption of technology for rice production does not change after the development of infrastructure. The same goes with the adoption of technology for vegetable production which yielded ‘often’ responses in all items in the first and second cropping. After the development of the infrastructure, farm inputs investment decreases in comparison with first and second cropping. A noticeable increase in net income was noticed from first to second cropping. After the development of infrastructure, those who opted to plant Inbred/Hybrid variety decreases. On the other hand, the majority of the respondents opted not to plant vegetables. The development of the infrastructure has no effects on the cropping pattern of the respondents. In terms of the production level, there was an increase in the yield of the respondents before and after the development of the infrastructure.","PeriodicalId":320822,"journal":{"name":"Development Economics: Agriculture","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115522528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}