农业和就业在中非创造和促进有利于贫困人口的增长中可以发挥什么作用?:来自中东欧地区行业分类成分FMOLS面板的证据

Zedou Abdala, Sezard Timbi, Samuel Cedric Nkot
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在调查1994年至2019年中非国家增加值和就业部门构成对贫困人口增长的结构性影响。它使用最低20%的收入和绝大多数人的收入作为衡量贫困人口增长的指标。研究结果表明,以收入最低的20%人口的收入份额来衡量,农业和自然资源租金的增长降低了贫困人口的增长。以绝大多数人的收入增长来衡量,农业的增长仍然对贫困人口的增长产生负面影响。依靠完全修正的普通最小二乘(FMOLS)方法,估计还表明,任何部门的就业,只要重要,都会改善增长的有利性。鉴于这些证据,鼓励农业活动而不是非农业活动来创造有利于穷人的增长可能会产生相反的结果,因为这些活动可能主要由富有的业主和出口导向型企业持有。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Role Agriculture and Employment Can Play in Creating and Fostering Pro Poor Growth in Central Africa?: Evidences From FMOLS Panels on Sector Disaggregated Components in CEEAC
This paper aims at investigating the structural impacts of sector components of value added and employment on pro poor growth in central African countries between 1994 and 2019. It uses income of lowest 20% and the vast majority income as measures of pro poor growth. The results show that growth in agriculture and natural resources rents reduce pro poor growth when measured by the income share of the lowest 20%. Growth in agriculture still has a negative impact on pro poor growth measured by the growth in vast majority income. Relying on the fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS) method, the estimates also show that employment in any sector, where significant, improves the pro poorness of growth. In view of the evidence, incentives on agriculture activities rather than non-agricultural to create pro poor growth may have inverse results as these could be held mostly by rich proprietors and exports oriented.
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