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Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs About Politics 政治事实信念中的党派偏见
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-05-01 DOI: 10.1561/100.00014074
John G. Bullock, A. Gerber, Seth J. Hill, G. Huber
{"title":"Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs About Politics","authors":"John G. Bullock, A. Gerber, Seth J. Hill, G. Huber","doi":"10.1561/100.00014074","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00014074","url":null,"abstract":"Partisanship seems to affect factual beliefs about politics. For example, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say that the deficit rose during the Clinton administration; Democrats are more likely to say that inflation rose under Reagan. We investigate whether such patterns reflect differing beliefs among partisans or instead reflect a desire to praise one party or criticize another. We develop a model of partisan survey response and report two experiments that are based on the model. The experiments show that small payments for correct and \"don't know\" responses sharply diminish the gap between Democrats and Republicans in responses to \"partisan\" factual questions. The results suggest that the apparent differences in factual beliefs between members of different parties may be more illusory than real.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127524839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 386
Do Political Parties Foster Business Cycles? An Examination of Developed Economies 政党会促进经济周期吗?对发达经济体的考察
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2734855
Koyin Chang, Yoonbai Kim, M. Tomljanovich, Frank Ying
{"title":"Do Political Parties Foster Business Cycles? An Examination of Developed Economies","authors":"Koyin Chang, Yoonbai Kim, M. Tomljanovich, Frank Ying","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2734855","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2734855","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores different possible factors that have impacted business cycle synchronization across industrialized countries in the past quarter century. We employ a comprehensive model that includes as the main determinants of output co-movements not only trade and financial integration, but also similarities of economic policies and political preferences across countries. Focusing on 14 developed countries from 1980 to 2010, our main finding is that economic policies and the political environment have strong influences on business cycles in each country and their correlations across countries. In particular, we find that having differing political parties between two countries lowers business cycles correlations, but only when we allow for partisan effects to dissipate several quarters after political elections. Our results hold while also controlling for economic determinants of business cycle correlations, including trade, finance, geography and measures of policy convergence. Our findings therefore demonstrate a more comprehensive link between these factors and business cycle synchronization than prior studies.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122130636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
Alternation and Cooperation in a Two-Party System: Implications for Resource-Based Developing Economies 两党制下的交替与合作:对资源型发展中经济体的启示
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2188308
Pablo Astorga-Junquera
{"title":"Alternation and Cooperation in a Two-Party System: Implications for Resource-Based Developing Economies","authors":"Pablo Astorga-Junquera","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2188308","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2188308","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies cooperation in a political system dominated by two opportunistic parties competing in a resource-based economy. Since a binding agreement as an external solution might be difficult to enforce due to the close association between the incumbent party and the government, the paper explores the extent to which co-operation between political parties that alternate in office can rely on self-enforcing strategies to provide an internal solution. We show that, for appropriate values of the probability of re-election and the discount factor cooperation in maintaining the value of a state variable is possible, but fragile. Another result is that, in such political framework, debt decisions contain an externality element linked to electoral incentives that creates a bias towards excessive borrowing.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"65 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115515839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Did the SEC and S&P Let 14 States Destroy Their Pensions? 美国证券交易委员会和标准普尔让14个州毁掉了他们的养老金吗?
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2081150
Christopher B. Tobe
{"title":"Did the SEC and S&P Let 14 States Destroy Their Pensions?","authors":"Christopher B. Tobe","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2081150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2081150","url":null,"abstract":"14 States have broken balanced budget clauses of their own constitutions in addition to defying the rules of pension mathematics. I contend that the ratings agencies and the SEC are enablers by allowing this partial payment culture to exist and not punishing states and localities enough for not making their Actuarially Required Contribution (ARC). The dirty little secret of at least 14 states is that politicians have misled the public as both political parties have conspired to secretly borrow $100’s of billions from their pensions.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132437885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Replacement Effects and the Slow Cycle of Ideological Polarization in the U.S. House 替代效应与美国众议院意识形态两极分化的缓慢循环
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2010-08-19 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1662461
Thomas L. Brunell, B. Grofman, S. Merrill
{"title":"Replacement Effects and the Slow Cycle of Ideological Polarization in the U.S. House","authors":"Thomas L. Brunell, B. Grofman, S. Merrill","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.1662461","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.1662461","url":null,"abstract":"Ideological polarization and partisan enmity is arguably the driving force of the past several decades of U.S. electoral history. Today there is a vast ideological gulf between elected Democrats and elected Republicans in Congress and elsewhere. But this pattern is not unique in U.S. political history. McCarty, Poole and Rosenthal (2006), using the first dimension of DW-NOMINATE scores for the U.S. House, show compelling evidence for a cyclic pattern of ideological convergence and divergence over the period 1856-2006 that we call the accordion effect. Our interest is in the electoral mechanisms that must be in place to generate observed contemporary dynamics rather than in causality per se. First, in a model of one-dimensional ideological competition, for a fixed distribution of constituency medians, we model the gap between the mean Democratic and the mean Republican position in Congress as the product of two (potentially interrelated) factors: (1) the mean difference in roll call voting scores (first DW-NOMINATE dimension) when a Republican in a district is replaced by a Democrat (or conversely) and (2) the likelihood that districts of a given ideological stripe will elect Democrats (Republicans). We then formally model possible dynamics involving partisan replacement, leading to either increasing or reduced polarization. We suggest that one such dynamic, where each party “chases the tail” of the other party that is closest to its own position, has been the driving force in enhancing polarization since 1980. We suggest however, that a quite different replacement dynamic was found in much of the first half of the 20th century, one leading to considerable overlap in party ideologies by the 1950s that lasted through the 1970s.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"57 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2010-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134277901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Replacing Allowances for Canada's National Political Parties 替换加拿大国家政党津贴
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2010-01-13 DOI: 10.11575/SPPP.V3I0.42329
T. Flanagan, D. Coletto
{"title":"Replacing Allowances for Canada's National Political Parties","authors":"T. Flanagan, D. Coletto","doi":"10.11575/SPPP.V3I0.42329","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11575/SPPP.V3I0.42329","url":null,"abstract":"The Conservative government has repeatedly announced its desire to cancel the quarterly allowances paid by Elections Canada to political parties.  In this paper, we examine alternative party finance mechanisms to cope with the revenue loss caused by eliminating the quarterly allowances. American data suggest that introduction of a taxpayer check-off system, as proposed in the 2004 Conservative Party platform, would replace only a small fraction of the revenue lost by cancelling the allowances. Canadian data show that increasing donor limits would also have only a small positive impact. Cancelling the allowances will definitely constrain parties and may force them to limit campaign activities.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2010-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132766305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Sistemas Electorales Y Partidos Políticos En Colombia (Electoral Systems and Politics Parties in Colombia) 哥伦比亚的选举制度和政党
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2008-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2459624
Luis Velez
{"title":"Sistemas Electorales Y Partidos Políticos En Colombia (Electoral Systems and Politics Parties in Colombia)","authors":"Luis Velez","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2459624","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2459624","url":null,"abstract":"Spanish Abstract: Esta proliferacion partidista es completamente ajena a la tradicion politica del Pais y parece estar asociada a los cambios en el sistema electoral derivados de la Constitucion de 1991. Desde mediados del siglo XIX, epoca en la que se acostumbra situar el nacimiento de los partidos liberal y conservador, la vida politica colombiana estuvo dominada por un solido bipartidismo apenas perturbado por el republicanismo de Carlos E. Restrepo, el unirismo de Gaitan y el anapismo de Rojas Pinilla. La Constitucion del 91 introdujo cambios en el regimen politico y en el sistema electoral que, al parecer, modificaron la conducta de los agentes politicos y llevaron, consecuencia no buscada, a la fractura del bipartidismo y a la proliferacion partidista que alcanzo su maxima expresion en las elecciones legislativas de 2002.English Abstract: After the 1991 Constitution in Colombia, the country experienced a proliferation of political parties which was associated with the changes introduced by the new Constitution to de electoral system. Since the middle of XIX Century, time when is used to locate the creation of the two traditional parties, Liberals and Conservatives, the Colombian political life was characterized by a solid two-parties system lightly concerned by Carlos E. Restrepo’s Republicanism, Gaitan´s urinismo and Rojas Pinilla´s Anapismo. In consequence the changes introduced by 1991 Constitution modify political agents behavior, deriving on a non-foresee fracture of the traditional two-parties system and the political parties proliferations that reached its maximum on the legislative elections of 2002.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"82 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131506448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Party Identification and the Economy in Europe: A Literature Review 政党认同与欧洲经济:文献综述
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2200367
A. Luyten, C. Crombez
{"title":"Party Identification and the Economy in Europe: A Literature Review","authors":"A. Luyten, C. Crombez","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2200367","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2200367","url":null,"abstract":"As one of the strongest determinants of the vote choice of United States citizens, party identification has been the object of extensive scholarly attention. Despite fifty years of research, its place in the funnel of causality and its applicability outside the United States remains unclear. In this literature review, we discuss the most influential articles about these two unsolved questions. Furthermore, we evaluate whether propensity-to-vote data can enrich our understanding of European partisanship and its relationship with citizens’ evaluation of the economy.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"142 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123018075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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