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Can the Republican Party Be Saved? Should It? 共和党还能得救吗?应该吗?
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2019-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3355729
Thomas Firey
{"title":"Can the Republican Party Be Saved? Should It?","authors":"Thomas Firey","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3355729","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3355729","url":null,"abstract":"The elevation of Donald Trump as head of the Republican Party and the coalescing of Republicans behind him marks a dramatic shift in the core ideologies of the Republican Party. This creates a dilemma for Republicans who continue to embrace the party's former right-of-center philosophy of free markets, limited government, liberalized migration, and skepticism of politicians and politics. They must decide whether to remain in a political party currently hostile to their political beliefs. This paper argues that it is unlikely the GOP will return to the center-right Republicanism of the past half-century, and that supporters of that type of Republicanism should seriously consider attempting to form a new party. Though the odds that such a party will succeed are uncertain, they are better than what is commonly believed.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122679722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
К выборам XXI Кнессета. Что в багаже у партий? Дополнительные и справочные материалы (XXI Knesset Elections. What These Parties Stand for, Really? Supplemental Materials and References)
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2019-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3327239
K. Yanovskiy, Ilia Zatcovetsky
{"title":"К выборам XXI Кнессета. Что в багаже у партий? Дополнительные и справочные материалы (XXI Knesset Elections. What These Parties Stand for, Really? Supplemental Materials and References)","authors":"K. Yanovskiy, Ilia Zatcovetsky","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3327239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3327239","url":null,"abstract":"<b>Russian Abstract:</b> Материалы содержат справки по новейшей экономической истории Израиля, краткие заметки по истории политических партий а также судебной системы Страны, необходимые для понимания текущей внутриполитической ситуации и политических дискуссий. Материалы дополняют основной доклад который будет подготовлен в формате аналогичном нашему докладу к выборам 2015 года.<br><br><b>English Abstract:</b>Supplemental materials contain short notes on the economic history of Israel, notes on the history of political parties and a short comment on the newest history of Judiciary. These materials could be useful for better understanding of political discussions and the current political developments before the XXI Knesset Elections. The materials serve as the Annex to the main piece (to be patterned as ours' 2015 Elections notes).","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"154 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123446301","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Policy Experimentation with Repeated Elections 反复选举的政策试验
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2018-12-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3171239
Ilwoo Hwang
{"title":"Policy Experimentation with Repeated Elections","authors":"Ilwoo Hwang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3171239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3171239","url":null,"abstract":"When does an incentive exist for an incumbent to experiment with a risky reform policy in the presence of future elections? To address this question, we study a dynamic game between two political parties with heterogeneous preferences and a voter. The voter elects a party that then chooses a policy from among a safe alternative with known payoffs and two risky ones with initially unknown expected payoffs. We show that under infrequent elections, the incumbent party experiments with its preferred reform policy even if its outlook is not promising, whereas with overly frequent elections, the incumbent stops experimentation prematurely because an imminent election increases the potential to lose power if he undertakes risky reform. While infrequent elections are not ideal for the voter, the degree of inefficiency from overly frequent elections is large enough that voters are worse than under a dictatorship. Efficiency can be restored by combining frequent elections with a voter’s strategy that advantages the incumbent party.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125076557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can Political Parties Improve Minority Welfare? Evidence from India's 'Silent Revolution' 政党能改善少数民族福利吗?来自印度“无声革命”的证据
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2018-10-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3327969
Abhay P. Aneja, S. Ritadhi
{"title":"Can Political Parties Improve Minority Welfare? Evidence from India's 'Silent Revolution'","authors":"Abhay P. Aneja, S. Ritadhi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3327969","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3327969","url":null,"abstract":"Electoral quotas guaranteeing a threshold level of political representation for women and underprivileged socio-ethnic/religious minorities have been adopted in over 100 countries. This paper examines how the interaction of such quotas with political party structures affect minority welfare. We examine this question in the context of India, which has a long-standing system of electoral quotas for the representation of historically underprivileged low caste groups, and also witnessed through the 1980s the emergence of caste-based ethnic political parties with an explicit commitment to low caste welfare. Exploiting the outcome of close state legislative assembly elections between caste-based and mainstream parties as a source of exogenous variation, we show that the marginal legislator representing caste-based parties increases low caste households' monthly consumption of subsidized food grains from India's largest safety net program by 4%. Highlighting the importance of political parties' varying interests in redistribution, we show that legislators elected through the electoral quotas -- and thereby hailing from a low caste community by design -- affect redistribution to low-caste households only when they represent caste-based parties; in contrast, legislators elected through the electoral quotas but representing India's other major mainstream parties have virtually no effect on low-caste redistribution. Our results thus highlight an important and under-emphasized role played by the policy preferences of political parties for substantive political representation of socio-ethnic minorities.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123442957","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Is It the Economic Policy, Stupid? Economic Policy, Political Parties & the Gubernatorial Incumbent Advantage 傻瓜，是经济政策的问题吗?经济政策、政党与州长在任优势
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2018-05-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3182697
D. Bennett, Jason T. Long
{"title":"Is It the Economic Policy, Stupid? Economic Policy, Political Parties & the Gubernatorial Incumbent Advantage","authors":"D. Bennett, Jason T. Long","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3182697","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3182697","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Incumbent politicians have a well-known advantage in seeking re-election. Using the Economic Freedom of North America dataset, we examine how changes in economic policy during an incumbent governor's tenure influence the probability of losing their re-election bid. Put simply, does economic policy matter for the incumbent advantage? The results suggest that a decrease in economic freedom increases the probability of an incumbent loss, regardless of the governor's party. A decomposition analysis indicates that these results are primarily driven by the government spending sub-index. Furthermore, a more granular analysis suggests that: (1) increases in government consumption spending and government employment are associated with a lower probability of re-election among Democratic incumbent governors, but a higher probability among Republicans; (2) increases in transfer payments relative to personal income reduce the likelihood of re-election, regardless of party; and (3) among Republican incumbents, increases of income taxation and of top marginal tax rates are associated with a higher and lower, respectively, probability of losing re-election. Finally, controlling for a variety of demographic, political and socioeconomic factors, we find that high unemployment increases the probability that an incumbent loses re-election, while increasing net population migration reduces it.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126636665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Economic Insecurity and Political Stability: A Case for Growth-Targeting Systemic Vote 经济不安全与政治稳定:以增长为目标的系统性投票
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2567834
Konstantinos Matakos, Dimitrios Xefteris
{"title":"Economic Insecurity and Political Stability: A Case for Growth-Targeting Systemic Vote","authors":"Konstantinos Matakos, Dimitrios Xefteris","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2567834","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2567834","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In this paper, we focus on the years before the Great Recession (1960–2007) and, after addressing possible issues of endogeneity, we study the effects of economic fluctuations on political stability. We find that when the economy is not in turmoil, there is a strong positive relationship between unemployment (i.e the major macroeconomic determinant of economic insecurity) and electoral support for systemic parties (i.e. parties with a serious aspiration to governing). That is, democratic politics respond to increasing economic insecurity by enhancing the prospects of political stability and, consequently, economic prosperity and growth.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127419194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Is Partisan Alignment Electorally Rewarding? Evidence from Village Council Elections in India 党派结盟对选举有利吗?来自印度村委会选举的证据
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2016-06-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2835536
S. Dey, K. Sen
{"title":"Is Partisan Alignment Electorally Rewarding? Evidence from Village Council Elections in India","authors":"S. Dey, K. Sen","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2835536","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2835536","url":null,"abstract":"Do ruling parties positively discriminate in favour of their own constituencies in allocating public resources? If they do, do they gain electorally in engaging in such a practice? This paper tests whether partisan alignment exists in the allocation of funds for India's largest social protection programme, the National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREGS) in the state of West Bengal in India, and whether incumbent local governments (village councils) gain electorally in the practice of partisan alignment. Using a quasi-experimental research design, we find that the village council level ruling-party spends significantly more in its own party constituencies as compared to opponent constituencies. We also find strong evidence of electoral rewards in the practice of partisan alignment. However, we find that the results differ between the two main ruling political parties at the village council level in the state.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"102 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132650782","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 27
Republican Presidents Always Disappoint 共和党总统总是令人失望
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2016-02-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2740077
B. Bartlett
{"title":"Republican Presidents Always Disappoint","authors":"B. Bartlett","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2740077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2740077","url":null,"abstract":"Much of the debate in Republican circles for the last several election cycles has been about how Republican presidents always disappoint in office, never stand strongly enough for conservative principles and compromise too much with Democrats. It is debatable whether a Republican president who really stood firmly for principle and refused to compromise could govern at all, let alone effectively. But there is no question that all the Republican presidents of the postwar era were far more liberal than the Republican base, especially today’s Republican base. Insofar as history is a guide, the next Republican president will also probably disappoint.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"67 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123849801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Political Party Switching: It's More Fun in the Philippines 政党转换:菲律宾更有趣
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2014-09-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2492913
R. Mendoza, J. F. Cruz, David Barua Yap II
{"title":"Political Party Switching: It's More Fun in the Philippines","authors":"R. Mendoza, J. F. Cruz, David Barua Yap II","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2492913","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2492913","url":null,"abstract":"Excessive party switching potentially weakens accountability and ideological coherence based on which party-based democracies operate. This study empirically analyzes party switching in the Philippine House of Representations, touching on issues at the macro-level (e.g. the legislative model) to the micro-level (e.g. regional socio-economic characteristics), from the institutional (e.g. the entrenched political dynasties) to the agency-oriented (e.g. voters’ perception). The initial analysis in this paper points to some of the possible factors affecting a legislator’s decision to change official party affiliation, including voters' perceptions (which often condone party switching) and timing (which suggests higher party switching during mid-term election years to maximize access to State resources). To the best of these authors' knowledge, this is among the first empirical studies of party switching patterns of members of the Philippine House of Representatives.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115331682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Ethnic Concentration and Extreme Right-Wing Voting Behavior in West Germany 西德的种族集中与极右翼投票行为
PSN: Political Parties (Topic) Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2303947
Verena Dill
{"title":"Ethnic Concentration and Extreme Right-Wing Voting Behavior in West Germany","authors":"Verena Dill","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2303947","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2303947","url":null,"abstract":"Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and administrative data from 1996 to 2009, I investigate thequestion whether or not right-wing extremism of German residents is affected by the ethnic concentration of foreigners living in the same residential area. My results show a positive but insignificant relationship between ethnic concentrationat county level and the probability of extreme right-wing voting behavior for West Germany. However, due to potential endogeneity issues, I additionally instrument the share of foreigners in a county with the share of foreigners in each federal state (following an approach of Dustmann/Preston 2001). I find evidence for the interethnic contact theory, predicting a negative relationship between foreigners' share and right-wing voting. Moreover, I analyze the moderating role of education and the influence of cultural traits on this relationship.","PeriodicalId":286096,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Political Parties (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128754958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
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