{"title":"Transitioning Iran's electricity sector: A system dynamics analysis of renewable energy acceleration and carbon capture strategies to 2040","authors":"Mohammad-Mahdi Pazuki , Mohsen Salimi , Nasser Safaie , Majid Amidpour","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102062","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102062","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study develops a techno-economic-environmental system dynamics model to evaluate Iran's electricity sector through 2040. The model integrates renewable expansion, econometric demand forecasting, climate change feedbacks, and carbon capture policies to assess generation, demand, emissions, and economic outcomes. Under current policy, fossil fuel dependency remains 94 % and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions reach 220.11 Mt. Moderate renewable acceleration doubles renewable generation to 63,785 GWh/year, restores export income to 910.2 M USD, and cuts fossil fuel use by 8.7 %. Carbon capture achieves a 36 % emission reduction, bringing CO<sub>2</sub> below 2020 levels. Results provide a roadmap for balancing energy security, competitiveness, and climate mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102062"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145221488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-25DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102041
Rodrigo A. Cáceres González , Eduardo Zúñiga Leyton
{"title":"A game-theoretic framework to evaluate the strategic interaction of public and private desalination firms: A case study from Chile","authors":"Rodrigo A. Cáceres González , Eduardo Zúñiga Leyton","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102041","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102041","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article develops a game-theoretic model to analyze the strategic behavior of public and private desalination firms, motivated by the Chilean context. In a duopoly setting, we examine how these firms allocate water between residential and mining sectors, under government influence through subsidies and production requirements. The analysis explores how the share of public production and differences in plant efficiency affect equilibrium outcomes. Results show that the substantial volumetric difference between residential and mining demand is a key driver of equilibrium strategic behavior. The model is calibrated using real data from the Coquimbo region in Chile.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102041"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158820","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-25DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102059
Peter Heller , Tim Schittekatte , Roberto Barrella , Paolo Mastropietro , Carlos Batlle
{"title":"European and US approaches to energy poverty: Classifying and evaluating design strategies","authors":"Peter Heller , Tim Schittekatte , Roberto Barrella , Paolo Mastropietro , Carlos Batlle","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102059","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As climate change accelerates and recent health, energy, and inflation crises exacerbate broader inequality trends, ensuring adequate and affordable access to energy services is becoming increasingly important. In this paper, we conduct an in-depth review of energy poverty policy and program design in Europe and the United States. We classify and evaluate different approaches according to four categories of policy choices: assistance, targeting, funding, and governance. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the approaches adopted in both contexts, extract key lessons, and provide recommendations to improve the effectiveness of energy assistance policies. The taxonomy presented here is not intended as a tool for evaluating program effectiveness. Instead, it is meant to help us understand how specific design decisions may impact program outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102059"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102052
Carlos Motta Nunes , Rui Cunha Marques
{"title":"Privatization pathways in Brazilian water utilities: The role of financial standing","authors":"Carlos Motta Nunes , Rui Cunha Marques","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102052","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102052","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Since the 2020 reform of Brazil’s water supply and sanitation (WSS) sector, private provision of these services has expanded sharply. Major cities such as São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro are now served by private operators, primarily following the privatization of their state-owned companies, either by share sale or through concession contracts. Brazil is thus one of the most prominent markets for private WSS provision in the world. The objective of this study is to investigate the main factors associated with WSS privatization in Brazil, focusing on utility-level variables. While previous research has emphasized municipal-level factors such as fiscal health, economic efficiency, and party ideology, utility-level effects remain understudied. Drawing from the literature on privatization motivations, we hypothesize that municipalities served by utilities with greater investment needs, lower efficiency, and poorer service quality are more likely to privatize. Using a dataset covering 5397 municipalities from 2012 to 2023, we apply discrete-time duration analysis to account for time-varying factors. We find little evidence supporting our hypotheses. Instead, utility-level financial indicators emerge as the most relevant, suggesting privatization is more likely when its financial standing is strong. Our findings also confirm the importance of municipal-level factors. Using Kingdon’s Multiple Streams Framework, we argue that privatization in Brazil is more likely when there is a convergence of political, technical, and financial conditions, alongside private sector interest.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102052"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-23DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102061
Josefa Bravo , Gustavo Anriquez , Oscar Melo , Guillermo Donoso
{"title":"Beyond coverage: Unveiling income and spatial inequalities in access to water and sanitation services in Chile","authors":"Josefa Bravo , Gustavo Anriquez , Oscar Melo , Guillermo Donoso","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102061","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102061","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines income-related inequalities in access to drinking water and sanitation in Chile, with a focus on urban-rural disparities. Using data from the CASEN household surveys (1990–2017) and the Concentration Index (CI) as a distributional measure, the analysis reveals persistent structural inequities. Access deficits are disproportionately concentrated among low-income households, particularly in rural areas and non-concessioned urban zones. While national coverage rates have improved, these gains have not translated into equitable outcomes. Inequality intensified during the 1990s and early 2000s, and although modest reductions followed, significant disparities persist, especially in access to improved sources. The findings challenge prevailing assumptions that high national coverage equates to universal access, revealing the limitations of aggregate indicators. The study underscores the need for equity-sensitive monitoring systems and territorially differentiated policy responses. Policy must go beyond the current potable water program in rural areas to address dispersed populations and infrastructure constraints. In urban areas, extending services to marginalized, non-concessioned neighborhoods is essential. Addressing these inequities requires institutional innovation, participatory planning, and the integration of social equity into water governance frameworks. Chile can only advance toward fulfilling SDG 6 and ensuring the human right to water and sanitation through such measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102061"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-23DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102058
Paulo Vitor Souza de Souza , Allison Manoel de Sousa
{"title":"Financial statement comparability and earnings management under alternative standards: A study of Brazilian electrification cooperatives","authors":"Paulo Vitor Souza de Souza , Allison Manoel de Sousa","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102058","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102058","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the relationship between financial statement comparability, under regulatory and corporate standards, and earnings management in Brazilian electrification cooperatives. The sample includes 36 cooperatives analyzed from 2014 to 2022 using panel and quantile regression. Results show that higher comparability is associated with lower levels of earnings management, especially under regulatory standards, with a more substantial effect in cooperatives prone to manipulation. The study highlights the role of comparability in reporting standards and the relevance of reducing information asymmetry, benefiting cooperatives and creditors in financial resource allocation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102058"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145118754","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-19DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102042
Julian Puig , Leonardo Gasparini , Jorge Puig
{"title":"Measuring energy poverty in Argentina: The relevance of regional disparities and policies","authors":"Julian Puig , Leonardo Gasparini , Jorge Puig","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102042","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102042","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides new evidence on Energy Poverty (EP) in Argentina, a middle-income country with regional disparities and a complex history of energy subsidies. Using microdata from the three most recent waves of the National Household Expenditure Survey, EP is measured through the Ten Percent Rule Index (TPRI) and the Multidimensional Energy Poverty Index (MEPI). Results show a U-shaped trend in EP linked to shifts in energy subsidies, and highlight relevant regional heterogeneity driven by income, energy use, and price regulation. The study also examines links with monetary poverty, offering insights for equitable energy policy design.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102042"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145097494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-18DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102057
Pamella Gomes da Silva Farias , Maisa Mendonça Silva , Saulo de Tarso Marques Bezerra
{"title":"Evaluating the water quality of Brazilian distribution companies by the grey-TOPSIS method","authors":"Pamella Gomes da Silva Farias , Maisa Mendonça Silva , Saulo de Tarso Marques Bezerra","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article proposes the use of water quality indicators to evaluate water distribution companies employing a multicriteria analysis that encompasses the Grey theory and the TOPSIS method. The main benefit of the framework is the generation of a final comparative ranking, which may assist managers, regulatory agencies, investors, users, society, and providers themselves in visualizing the quality performance of the companies analyzed. The results of applying the proposed framework to Brazilian companies proved robust after a two-step sensitivity analysis, which involved varying weights and excluding criteria.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102057"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145097493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-17DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102023
Jinyi Chen, Jian Cao, Xiuyan Ma, Yuting Yan
{"title":"Parallel or cross implementation? Carbon emission trading and renewable portfolio standards in China","authors":"Jinyi Chen, Jian Cao, Xiuyan Ma, Yuting Yan","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102023","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102023","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Fossil fuel combustion significantly contributes to carbon emissions, making it crucial for countries to adopt both Carbon Emission Trading (CET) and Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS). These two policies overlap in terms of target objectives, implementation scope, and expected outcomes, necessitating a discussion on their coupling mechanisms and joint implementation approaches. Regarding the joint implementations of the two policies and the possible impacts of Chinese Certified Emission Reduction (CCER), the study constructs equilibrium models for four policy combinations: parallel, cross, parallel plus CCER, and cross plus CCER. Based on theoretical analysis, a system dynamics simulation is conducted to explore the relevant dynamic changes and development trends. There are several important results: Parallel implementation without CCER does not provide better environmental benefits while exerting higher cost pressures on conventional power plants; cross implementation is beneficial to the decline of carbon emissions in the long-term, although it may harm the incentives of conventional power plants to reduce emissions; the impact of CCER on the emission reduction inputs of conventional power plants depends on the setup of the offsetting ratio and tends to be more positive under high-emission scenarios; the joint implementation of CET and RPS has a decisive role in the Tradable Green Certificate (TGC) market: TGCs price will remain low for a long-term under parallel implementation, while it can remain relatively stable under cross implementation. The study focuses on the joint implementation of CET and RPS, which provides a reference for policy choices under the carbon peak goal.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102023"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145097492","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Utilities PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-12DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102039
Tesfaye Etensa , Tekie Alemu , Mengesha Yayo
{"title":"Modeling energy prices and inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Potential transmission pathways","authors":"Tesfaye Etensa , Tekie Alemu , Mengesha Yayo","doi":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102039","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jup.2025.102039","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Inclusive growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) faces persistent challenges from structural vulnerabilities and external shocks, notably volatile global energy prices. These shocks disrupt macroeconomic stability, hinder poverty reduction, and restrict access to essential services, and are further exacerbated by dependence on imported fuels. Despite the complex transmission of energy price shocks through indirect macroeconomic channels, empirical evidence on these pathways remains limited. This study examines the impact of global energy price fluctuations on inclusive growth in 33 SSA countries and six oil-exporting countries from 1996 to 2020, using two-step System GMM and Panel ARDL methods. An Inclusive Growth Index is constructed via composite PCA, encompassing eight dimensions and 34 indicators. Results indicate that rising energy prices reduce investment, household and government consumption, employment, shadow economy activity, and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, while increasing exchange rate depreciation and inflation, yielding a net negative impact in the short run (−0.0075 %) and the long run (−9.427 %). In oil-exporting SSA countries, energy prices negatively affect inclusive growth through investment, government spending, employment, shadow activity, and inflation, but positively influence it through exchange rates, household consumption, and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, resulting in a net negative effect (−0.049 %). Overall, inclusive growth in SSA follows an inverse-S trajectory with a negative net effect. The study recommends that oil-importing countries expand targeted subsidies, promote off-grid solar solutions, and encourage private sector participation through blended finance and public-private partnerships. Oil-exporting countries should strengthen sovereign wealth funds, allocate energy windfalls to industrial diversification, and boost clean energy investment. Channel-specific interventions are also proposed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23554,"journal":{"name":"Utilities Policy","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102039"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145047470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}