Extreme temperatures and residential electricity reliability in China

IF 3.8 3区经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS

Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2025.102004

Tie Shi , Hanyi Chen , Yanzhen Liu

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Climate change is anticipated to influence the electricity reliability through rapidly intensifying extreme weather events. Changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme temperatures can therefore affect the probability of a power outage. This study examines the impact of extreme temperatures on electricity reliability. Our main findings are that: (1) Electricity reliability appears more vulnerable to extreme cold temperatures in the early decades of the 21st century, with a shift toward greater sensitivity to high temperatures in more recent periods. (2) Evidence indicates that extreme heat leads to prolonged and more frequent power outages for rural residents compared to their urban counterparts. The findings offer valuable insights for developing mitigation and adaptation strategies in the electricity sector in response to climate change risks.

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中国的极端温度和居民用电可靠性

预计气候变化将通过迅速加剧的极端天气事件影响电力可靠性。因此，极端温度的频率和强度的变化会影响停电的可能性。本研究考察了极端温度对电力可靠性的影响。我们的主要发现是：(1)在21世纪前几十年，电力可靠性似乎更容易受到极端低温的影响，而在最近的时期，电力可靠性对高温的敏感度更高。(2)有证据表明，与城市居民相比，极端高温导致农村居民停电时间更长、更频繁。这些发现为电力部门制定缓解和适应战略以应对气候变化风险提供了宝贵的见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

CiteScore

6.80

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

66 days

期刊介绍： Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.