Sociological Methods & Research最新文献

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Bayesian Indirect Estimation of Historical Fertility in Europe and US Using Online Genealogical Data 使用在线家谱数据对欧洲和美国历史生育率的贝叶斯间接估计
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-06-30 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261463559
Riccardo Omenti, Monica Alexander, Nicola Barban
{"title":"Bayesian Indirect Estimation of Historical Fertility in Europe and US Using Online Genealogical Data","authors":"Riccardo Omenti, Monica Alexander, Nicola Barban","doi":"10.1177/00491241261463559","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261463559","url":null,"abstract":"A growing number of social scientists use online genealogical data as an alternative digital census of historical populations to study past demographic dynamics. However, the non-representativeness of this data source requires the development of bias-adjusting methods to obtain accurate demographic estimates. We address this challenge by proposing an indirect estimation framework to investigate fertility trends in seven European countries and the United States of America for the historical period 1751–1910, integrating data from the big genealogical database FamiLinx with more conventional data sources. The proposed methods allow for the indirect estimation of the total fertility rate using the number of women aged 15–49 and children under age 5, while accounting for child mortality, age-specific fertility patterns, and biases. Our methodological approaches demonstrate that, when combined with reliable demographic data, online genealogical data can be fruitfully used to examine fertility patterns in countries and periods lacking well-functioning national civil registration systems.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148355609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
SOCbot: Using Large Language Models to Dynamically Measure and Classify Occupations in Surveys SOCbot:使用大型语言模型在调查中动态测量和分类职业
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-06-29 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261461516
Patrick Sturgis, Thomas S. Robinson, Laura Fung, Caroline Roberts
{"title":"SOCbot: Using Large Language Models to Dynamically Measure and Classify Occupations in Surveys","authors":"Patrick Sturgis, Thomas S. Robinson, Laura Fung, Caroline Roberts","doi":"10.1177/00491241261461516","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261461516","url":null,"abstract":"We present the results of a new approach to measuring the occupations of respondents in surveys using Large Language Models (LLMs). In our new approach, which we call SOCbot, an LLM integrated in the questionnaire scripting software is used to code the job title to the occupational classification in real-time during the interview. Where the job title does not contain sufficient information to be coded with confidence, the LLM probes for further relevant details on job tasks, industry, qualifications, and so on. SOCbot can also be used offline on already collected response data. Our results demonstrate that the approach attains rates of coder reliability comparable to trained human coders, with consistent performance across four major commercial and open-weight model families. SOCbot can also be deployed using publicly available open-weight models with only a small but measurable accuracy penalty, allowing even users with stringent data-protection constraints to use it. We also demonstrate that the approach is feasible in large-scale survey operations and has significant potential to reduce respondent burden, lower costs, and yield more timely and accurate data.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"129 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148342037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Discovering Preference Structure Using Randomized Paired Comparisons in Surveys: A Topic Modeling Approach 在调查中使用随机配对比较发现偏好结构:主题建模方法
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-06-02 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261454236
Jeong-han Kang, Eunrang Kwon, Junmo Song
{"title":"Discovering Preference Structure Using Randomized Paired Comparisons in Surveys: A Topic Modeling Approach","authors":"Jeong-han Kang, Eunrang Kwon, Junmo Song","doi":"10.1177/00491241261454236","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261454236","url":null,"abstract":"Randomized paired comparisons (RPC) for social values have various advantages over a matrix format of multiple items; however, their use cannot exhaust all possible pairs if there are too many items to compare one-to-one. This article proposes (1) applying a dimension reduction method, structural topic modeling (STM), to RPC survey data by restructuring answers into ordered pairs to estimate latent answering patterns, (2) visualizing them into directed graphs, and (3) interpreting them as respondents’ preference structures among social values. For empirical validation, we randomly divided 920 respondents into RPC and matrix-format groups and asked about the seriousness of ten social problems. Our STM from the RPC group revealed five preference structures beyond a linear order among the 10 items, which are interpretable and incorporate statistical tests with respondents’ traits as covariates. We also discuss how to improve topic modeling with RPC and contribute to various research streams, such as cultural value networks and gamification, by pairwise wiki survey.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148285927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identification and Sensitivity Analysis for Teacher Bias Designs Based on Administrative Data 基于行政数据的教师偏见设计识别与敏感性分析
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261454305
Julian Schuessler
{"title":"Identification and Sensitivity Analysis for Teacher Bias Designs Based on Administrative Data","authors":"Julian Schuessler","doi":"10.1177/00491241261454305","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261454305","url":null,"abstract":"A series of papers uses administrative data on school students’ grades to assess whether teachers discriminate against certain demographic groups. Often, differences in teacher and test grades are regressed on student-level variables. However, it is unclear under what circumstances such an estimation strategy is valid. We conceptualize teacher bias as a direct causal effect of student-level attributes on teacher grades, fixing student ability. Standardized tests merely proxy for student ability; additionally, there may be confounders of ability and teacher grade. Accordingly, teacher bias is nonparametrically unidentified. However, we suggest substantive and parametric assumptions that ensure identification using difference-in-grades estimators. Estimators based on regression control for test grades are shown to be inconsistent even under these strong assumptions. We then develop a parametric sensitivity analysis that allows researchers to investigate the consequences of departures from critical assumptions. We illustrate our methodology using administrative data from Denmark.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148285957","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rationale and Methodologies for Surveying Vulnerable Neighborhoods: Lessons From Three Nordic Countries 调查弱势社区的基本原理和方法:来自三个北欧国家的经验教训
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-05-16 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261450123
Peter Esaiasson, Kim Mannemar Sønderskov, Henning Finseraas, Niels Nyholt, Oskar Rönnberg, Jacob Sohlberg, Mari Vaattovaara
{"title":"Rationale and Methodologies for Surveying Vulnerable Neighborhoods: Lessons From Three Nordic Countries","authors":"Peter Esaiasson, Kim Mannemar Sønderskov, Henning Finseraas, Niels Nyholt, Oskar Rönnberg, Jacob Sohlberg, Mari Vaattovaara","doi":"10.1177/00491241261450123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261450123","url":null,"abstract":"The paper argues for the value of conducting surveys in vulnerable neighborhoods and provides a detailed account of a cost-effective strategy for surveying a recognized hard-to-survey population. The approach is illustrated through insights from the Vulnerable Neighborhoods Survey, conducted in three Nordic countries. The strategy focuses on a small number of specific neighborhoods and implements a range of measures to lower participation barriers. A key component involves combining random and non-random sampling techniques to facilitate the recruitment of a broad segment of residents. According to comparisons with registry data, the strategy produces samples that resemble the population on multiple demographic factors.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148286132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Eliciting Legal Status Through Social Media Surveys Among Immigrants—Evidence from a List Experiment, Direct Question and Stepwise Exclusion 通过社交媒体调查获取移民的法律地位——来自清单实验、直接提问和逐步排除的证据
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-05-13 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261444957
Jasper Tjaden, Alejandra Rodríguez-Sánchez, Jennifer Van Hook, Hannah Persaud
{"title":"Eliciting Legal Status Through Social Media Surveys Among Immigrants—Evidence from a List Experiment, Direct Question and Stepwise Exclusion","authors":"Jasper Tjaden, Alejandra Rodríguez-Sánchez, Jennifer Van Hook, Hannah Persaud","doi":"10.1177/00491241261444957","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261444957","url":null,"abstract":"Estimating the size of the undocumented migrant population remains a critical challenge for researchers and policymakers. This study assesses the viability of using social media platforms, specifically Facebook and Instagram, to recruit a survey sample of migrants and elicit their status. The research focuses on Mexican and Venezuelan immigrants in Texas, Florida, Illinois, and California. Three methods for eliciting legal status are tested: direct questions, indirect sequential questions (stepwise exclusion), and a list experiment. The study ( <jats:italic toggle=\"yes\">N</jats:italic> = 2,027) finds that while social media recruitment is cost-effective and rapid, it faces challenges such as selection bias, misclassification, and platform-imposed restrictions. The list experiment suggests the presence of response bias in traditional surveys to sensitive legal status questions. Estimates of the share of undocumented migrants deviate considerably from available reference estimates. We argue that social media surveys are best applied in preparation for traditional surveys rather than in their place.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148286134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What Works for Measuring Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from a Series of List Experiments and Self-Administered Surveys 测量亲密伴侣暴力的方法:来自一系列列表实验和自我管理调查的证据
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-03-31 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261436407
Emil Kamalov, Ivetta Sergeeva
{"title":"What Works for Measuring Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from a Series of List Experiments and Self-Administered Surveys","authors":"Emil Kamalov, Ivetta Sergeeva","doi":"10.1177/00491241261436407","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261436407","url":null,"abstract":"This research evaluates methodologies to mitigate misreporting in intimate partner violence (IPV) data collection in a middle-income country. We conducted surveys in Russia involving three list experiments, a self-administered tablet questionnaire, a self-administered online survey, and conventional face-to-face interviews. Results show that list experiments yield lower disclosure rates for the complex IPV definitions suggested by the UN. The tablet-based self-administered questionnaire, conducted with an interviewer present, also did not increase IPV reporting. Conversely, the self-administered online survey increased lifetime IPV disclosures by 51% (physical) and 26% (psychological) compared to face-to-face interviews. Women showed greater sensitivity to the online survey mode. This increase is linked to the absence of interviewer bias, enhanced safety by minimizing potential perpetrators’ presence, and reduced cognitive burden. We argue that self-administered online surveys—using sampling bias mitigation—may thus be an optimal, low-cost method for surveying the general population in middle- and high-income countries.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"104 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147578403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Treatment Effect on the Association Between Outcomes 治疗效果对预后的影响
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261430340
Lai Wei
{"title":"Treatment Effect on the Association Between Outcomes","authors":"Lai Wei","doi":"10.1177/00491241261430340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261430340","url":null,"abstract":"This article introduces treatment effect on the association between outcomes (TEA), a new causal estimand that measures how a treatment influences the covariance between two post-treatment variables. TEA enables researchers to estimate how interventions affect associations that characterize social inequalities. I define TEA, provide identification results under standard causal inference assumptions, and outline estimation strategies including regression-imputation, weighting, and double machine learning estimators. I compare and contrast TEA with other common estimands in similar research settings, highlighting its unique use. I demonstrate the use of TEA through two applications: the effect of college completion on income gradient in health and the effect of college completion on issue alignment, using NLSY97 and GSS, respectively. By exploring how treatments modify associations between outcomes, TEA offers a valuable tool for sociological research on inequality, stratification, and public opinion, providing insights into the mechanisms sustaining social inequalities and informing policy interventions.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147465083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Measuring Social and Political Identities in Social Media Self-Descriptions 衡量社交媒体自我描述中的社会和政治身份
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261427726
Clara Vandeweerdt, Gregory Eady, Frederik Hjorth, Peter Thisted Dinesen
{"title":"Measuring Social and Political Identities in Social Media Self-Descriptions","authors":"Clara Vandeweerdt, Gregory Eady, Frederik Hjorth, Peter Thisted Dinesen","doi":"10.1177/00491241261427726","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261427726","url":null,"abstract":"Identities are fundamental to our understanding of social and political behavior, but are challenging to measure and are rarely observed in real-world settings. We introduce a method for measuring the identity-relevant aspects of brief self-descriptions regularly used online (e.g., on social media). Our approach combines the benefits of word embeddings for finding related identity terms with the ability of clustering algorithms to aggregate terms into discrete categories. To illustrate our approach, we apply it to daily observations of bios from millions of US Twitter/X users. We present three applications of our approach with substantive findings. First, we track users’ social and political identities over time and find, among other things, that direct expressions of political affiliations are rare. Second, we map the identities that are most characteristic of each US state. Third, we show that users’ political identities are highly predictable based on non-political identity markers. With the growing availability of user self-descriptions on social media platforms and elsewhere, our approach enables researchers to map and analyze expressions of identity at scale.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147393358","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Machine Learning Approach to Preferential Attachment and Status Advantage in a Hip-Hop Collaboration Network Hip-Hop合作网络中优先依恋和地位优势的机器学习方法
IF 6.3 2区 社会学
Sociological Methods & Research Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1177/00491241261420812
Jaemin Lee, Yujie Li
{"title":"A Machine Learning Approach to Preferential Attachment and Status Advantage in a Hip-Hop Collaboration Network","authors":"Jaemin Lee, Yujie Li","doi":"10.1177/00491241261420812","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00491241261420812","url":null,"abstract":"Status is central to understanding collaborative behavior, yet it is often difficult to measure in cultural fields where perceived standings are only partially observable. This study develops a scalable supervised machine learning approach to infer directed deference in collaboration networks using a partially observed status hierarchy derived from a ritualized site of status conferral (a televised competition series). Drawing on a longitudinal “featuring” network of more than 3,000 South Korean hip-hop artists, we train a classifier to learn how differences in status-relevant characteristics map onto observed deference patterns and then use it to estimate preferential attachment across all collaboration dyads. The resulting measure aligns closely with external expert assessments of artists’ relative standing. Applying this metric to streaming performance data, we show that collaboration improves listener engagement and that its effect varies nonlinearly with status distance: artists benefit both from partnering with higher-status collaborators and from featuring emerging talents.","PeriodicalId":21849,"journal":{"name":"Sociological Methods & Research","volume":"267 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147393357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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