Resources Policy最新文献

Projection of global copper demand in the context of energy transition

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105567

Aline Fernanda Soares , Renata Giovinazzo Spers , Ronaldo de Oliveira Santos Jhunior

{"title":"Projection of global copper demand in the context of energy transition","authors":"Aline Fernanda Soares , Renata Giovinazzo Spers , Ronaldo de Oliveira Santos Jhunior","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105567","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105567","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The energy transition, driven by the widespread adoption of renewable energy technologies and electric vehicles, is significantly influencing global copper demand due to copper's critical role in energy-efficient applications. This study employs an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to project global copper demand through 2030, incorporating key variables such as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, copper prices, and aluminum prices as a substitute. The analysis adjusts copper consumption data to account for the contributions of wind and solar energy systems and electric vehicles, highlighting their growing influence on demand. Results show that GDP growth remains the primary driver of copper demand, with a strong correlation between annual changes in GDP and demand fluctuations. Copper demand demonstrates a slow response to price variations, with significant lagged effects. While aluminum serves as the primary substitute for copper, its limited performance in critical applications underscores copper's continued dominance in energy-related technologies. The adjusted model reveals that traditional econometric approaches may underestimate the impact of clean energy technologies, projecting substantial increases in copper demand by 2030 under different energy transition scenarios. These findings highlight the importance of integrating emerging trends into projection models to guide policymakers and industry stakeholders in addressing supply constraints, market volatility, and sustainability challenges.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105567"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143738600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Refining zoning of artificially-drained mine subsidence areas: Relative elevation models and hydrological hazard frameworks as decision support tools for spatial planning and mitigation of flood-related geohazards and risks regardless of prevailing water regimes

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105572

Dariusz Ignacy

{"title":"Refining zoning of artificially-drained mine subsidence areas: Relative elevation models and hydrological hazard frameworks as decision support tools for spatial planning and mitigation of flood-related geohazards and risks regardless of prevailing water regimes","authors":"Dariusz Ignacy","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105572","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105572","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The extraction of minerals is the main reason for the permanent maintenance of forced flows of surface and ground waters in mining and post-mining areas. When natural water flows are restored the inundated areas most often may be many times larger than the hitherto existing ones. This requires rethinking of existing land use in artificially-drained mining areas by using tailor-made spatial planning policy to address future changes in water conditions. The main goal of this paper is to show that in such areas the current prevalent practice of classical hydrological modeling using only the base flood translates into inadequacies in spatial planning policies. To accurately model the hydrological hazard in such areas, water equal to or greater than the 500-year flood as well as other flood-related geohazards and risks must be taken into consideration. The current practice and omissions can now be precisely updated and satisfied by the author's site-specific decision support tools, namely (1) hydrological hazard frameworks based on (2) relative elevation models. This article is the first in a series describing the use of the author's tools in spatial planning policy. Regardless of the restoration of natural water flows, these tools conceptualize, simplify and optimize spatial planning and environmental policies for mitigation of flood-related geohazards and risks in artificially-drained mine subsidence areas and constitute the key research finding of this paper. Due to the massive extent of mining and post-mining areas around the world, these decision support tools for spatial planning policy are applicable globally and can bring tangible and far-reaching benefits to regional economies and local communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105572"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143748527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Technology adoption in the Canadian mining sector: A systematic scoping review

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105566

Mackenzie Crabbe , Joelena Leader , Heather M. Hall , Matthew Burdett

{"title":"Technology adoption in the Canadian mining sector: A systematic scoping review","authors":"Mackenzie Crabbe , Joelena Leader , Heather M. Hall , Matthew Burdett","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105566","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105566","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As the Canadian mining sector adopts new technologies, such as autonomous vehicles and artificial intelligence, there is the potential to reshape the future of work and the development of mining in Canada, impacting surrounding communities and regions. However, knowledge identified in the literature about the current trends, drivers, and barriers for the adoption of emerging technologies in the Canadian mining sector is limited and presents a clear research gap. This article reports on the findings of a non-traditional systematic scoping review focused on understanding current trends in technology adoption. More specifically, our team reviewed articles in the <em>Canadian Mining Journal</em>, a trade journal specific to our study area, to assess the main drivers, barriers, and opportunities for technology adoption in the Canadian context. Through this research, we have discovered that multiple drivers exist in the adoption of new technologies such as to increase productivity/efficiency, improve worker health and safety, and to increase sustainability. Although barriers were not as explicit, there were also concrete challenges to adopting new technologies identified such as mining culture and attitudes, technology and infrastructure challenges, and implementation challenges. Our research also highlights the need to adapt existing technology adoption theories to account for industry-specific factors such as the importance of health and safety. Additionally, this research provides insights for mining companies, technology providers, policymakers, and other stakeholders to develop strategies that support technology adoption and innovation in the mining sector.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105566"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143761274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Relative trust in critical minerals governance for just transitions in Ghana and Australia

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105568

Clement Sefa-Nyarko , Darren Sinclair , Joshua Matanzima , Jane Alver , Evan Hamman , Stephen Bartos , Roland Burke

{"title":"Relative trust in critical minerals governance for just transitions in Ghana and Australia","authors":"Clement Sefa-Nyarko , Darren Sinclair , Joshua Matanzima , Jane Alver , Evan Hamman , Stephen Bartos , Roland Burke","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105568","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105568","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the role of trust in the sustainable mining of critical minerals for a just transition across two complementary and contrasting cases, Ghana and Australia: the former being an emerging critical mineral economy and having a need to enforce social and environmental practices that depart from its history of non-critical minerals mining; the latter using domestic and international institutions to build trust in minerals governance at home and overseas. Based on an interdisciplinary exploratory and reflective methodology relying on four different data streams, this paper offers empirical research on how trust can be built and sustained in-country and through a combination of policies and practices, both on the part of mining companies and governments. We conceptualise trust in terms of confidence about a situation or entity based on experience and reasonable expectations. We found that in critical minerals mining communities, key predictors of trust are satisfaction, participation, social cohesion that is built on shared experiences of the past and present, and an adequate degree of social and economic independence for affected communities. The policy implications of the centrality of trust come at a crucial time when critiques of the role of the critical minerals industry in re-colonising and greenwashing are on the rise. This study finds government regulatory and policy settings can be used to promote trust in ways that are applicable to both developed and developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105568"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143734934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Examining the hidden effects of democracy and natural sources on ecological footprint in South Africa: Fourier NARDL approach

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105573

Umut Uzar , Kemal Eyuboglu

{"title":"Examining the hidden effects of democracy and natural sources on ecological footprint in South Africa: Fourier NARDL approach","authors":"Umut Uzar , Kemal Eyuboglu","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105573","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105573","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite a significant body of literature examining the drivers of environmental degradation, non-traditional political and economic factors have not been thoroughly investigated. In this context, there remains a gap in the literature regarding the asymmetric effects of less-studied factors such as democracy and natural resources. The key research question addressed by this study is: How do democracy and natural resources, as political and economic factors, impact the ecological footprint in South Africa? To answer this question, this study investigates the potential hidden impacts of democracy and natural resources on the ecological footprint in South Africa for the period 1970–2021 using the Fourier Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (FNARDL) model. This study thus positions itself as a pioneering work in examining the determinants of ecological pressure using the FNARDL method. While findings from the ARDL model indicate that these factors are statistically insignificant, the FNARDL model reveals that democracy and natural resources significantly reduce the ecological footprint under structural breaks. Furthermore, it has been found that economic growth, urbanization, and energy consumption positively impact the ecological footprint. These findings help inform policy by clarifying the complex links between politics, economics, and environmental sustainability in South Africa.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105573"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143734935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Simulating resource movements and markets: A continuous dynamical system with delays to model anthropogenic metal cycles

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105548

Nicola Gambaro , Pablo Brito-Parada , Simon Glöser-Chahoud , Yves Plancherel

引用次数: 0

Reclaiming homeland - An evaluation of traditional land use planning in oils sands mine closure and reclamation plans

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105552

Christine A. Daly , Ryan Grandjambe , Jean L’Hommecourt , Gillian Donald , Bori Arrobo , S. Craig Gerlach , Dan McCarthy , Don AhnAhnsisi McIntyre

{"title":"Reclaiming homeland - An evaluation of traditional land use planning in oils sands mine closure and reclamation plans","authors":"Christine A. Daly , Ryan Grandjambe , Jean L’Hommecourt , Gillian Donald , Bori Arrobo , S. Craig Gerlach , Dan McCarthy , Don AhnAhnsisi McIntyre","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105552","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105552","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a systematic review of traditional land use planning in mine closure and reclamation at seven oil sands mines operating in the traditional territory of Fort McKay First Nation, Alberta, Canada. Life of Mine Closure Plans lacked evidence that consultation and engagement with local Indigenous communities on mine closure and reclamation was guided by principles and actions towards truth and reconciliation. While all plans stated that traditional land use was one of the planned outcomes, there was limited evidence of planning for the renewal of cultural landscapes and relationships. A critical gap and opportunity for reclaiming Indigenous homelands is to align provincial mine closure and reclamation policy and law with national and international Indigenous rights law and policy. This is an essential step to sustain the community and culture of local Indigenous communities, like Fort McKay First Nation, who are interconnected with their traditional lands, waters, and practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105552"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143706443","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Greening the mines: Managing efficiency, environmental impact, and ecology in Chinese mining regions

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105564

Cosimo Magazzino , Muhammad Haroon , Xian Zeo

{"title":"Greening the mines: Managing efficiency, environmental impact, and ecology in Chinese mining regions","authors":"Cosimo Magazzino , Muhammad Haroon , Xian Zeo","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105564","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105564","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research aims to devise a statistically sound method for evaluating the efficacy of green development in the mining industry across various Chinese regions while keeping environmental challenges and ecological conservation in view to identify potential challenges and opportunities for implementing green growth initiatives in the mining industry. A three-stage network structure is utilized for evaluation. By employing a dynamic network framework utilizing the Slacks-Based Measure (SBM) method, the research explores the progress of green development in the mining sector across 21 Chinese regions from 2005 to 2022. The Malmquist index examines the changing trends and internal efficiency of green development in mining. The outcomes suggest that productivity levels decreased initially in most provinces before improving over time. The efficiency of the overall process is closely linked to the enhancement of ecological efficiency, which is a direct outcome of adopting sustainable mining practices. Disparities in the pace and extent of environmentally friendly economic development are evident among provinces, with some experiencing annual development rates exceeding 25 %. Eastern regions like Hubei, Fujian, and Shandong show promising trends and opportunities. However, challenges persist in the Northeast and Xinjiang provinces, where inefficiencies may be recognized in several sub-processes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105564"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143704002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessing the dual impact of gold mining on local communities: Socio-economic benefits and environmental challenges

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105559

Muhammad Haroon, Muhammad Hayyat

{"title":"Assessing the dual impact of gold mining on local communities: Socio-economic benefits and environmental challenges","authors":"Muhammad Haroon, Muhammad Hayyat","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105559","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105559","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research evaluates the environmental and socio-economic effects of gold mining in the local community of Baiyun'ebo in China, where mining-induced economic growth is coupled with considerable environmental and social issues. This research combines quantitative environmental evaluations with qualitative socio-economic analysis to determine the dual consequences of gold mining. Research indicates significant environmental degradation, encompassing water contamination, soil erosion, and deforestation, with arsenic and cyanide concentrations in local rivers surpassing WHO and EPA safety limits. Socio-economic evaluations reveal that mining substantially enhances family incomes, accounting for up to 74 % of wages for artisanal miners; yet, these advantages are inequitably allocated. Community surveys reveal discontent with mining companies' practices, specifically insufficient corporate social responsibility efforts and neglect of environmental and social repercussions. Approximately 58 % of respondents had unfavorable attitudes toward mining owing to its environmental and infrastructural consequences. The research highlights the critical need for sustainable mining techniques, more stringent regulatory frameworks, and improved community involvement. Policy recommendations encompass the implementation of sophisticated environmental assessment techniques, the encouragement of alternative livelihoods, and the equitable allocation of resources to harmonize economic growth with environmental and social sustainability. Future studies should use longitudinal studies and comparative analysis across various mining locations to investigate the long-term effects and effectiveness of suggested remedies. This study offers practical insights for policymakers and stakeholders seeking to alleviate the negative impacts of gold mining while optimizing its advantages.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105559"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143697665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Critical minerals and structural oil shocks: Evidence from wavelet cross-quantile correlation

IF 10.2 2区经济学

Resources Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105570

Seyi Saint Akadiri , Oktay Ozkan

{"title":"Critical minerals and structural oil shocks: Evidence from wavelet cross-quantile correlation","authors":"Seyi Saint Akadiri , Oktay Ozkan","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105570","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105570","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past decade, the intersection of energy and mineral markets has emerged as a key research focus. Transitions to renewable energy drive economic growth, reduce environmental impacts, and enhance energy diversity. Critical minerals are integral to renewable energy technologies and mitigate fossil-fuel dependence. It is against this backdrop that this study examines the dynamic interconnections between critical minerals and structural oil shocks, specifically oil supply shocks (OSSs) and oil demand shocks (ODSs), using a novel Wavelet Cross-Quantile Correlation (WCQC) approach complemented by Cross-Quantile Coherency (CQC) for robustness. Analyzing monthly data from 1975 to 2024 reveals significant long-term relationships, particularly at low frequencies, with OSSs predominantly impacting minerals linked to energy infrastructure and ODSs influencing broader industrial and economic activities. Geopolitical risks amplify these interdependencies, emphasizing the critical role of resource security in a globally interconnected economy. Policy recommendations advocate resource diversification, sustainable extraction, and innovation to mitigate the adverse impacts of energy and resource market volatility, fostering resilience and economic stability in the face of global uncertainty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20970,"journal":{"name":"Resources Policy","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 105570"},"PeriodicalIF":10.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143679993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0