{"title":"Predictors of fraud victimization among the older adults in China: A machine learning analysis","authors":"Liang Xu, Jiantao Xu, Yulong Tang, Hongting Li, Xiangming Wu","doi":"10.1111/lcrp.70008","DOIUrl":"10.1111/lcrp.70008","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Purpose</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Fraud victimization among older adults is a growing concern, yet the factors influencing susceptibility remain underexplored. This study examines the predictive role of individual factors in fraud victimization among 5499 older adults in China using machine learning (ML) techniques.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Data were drawn from a 2015 dataset, including 22 demographic, financial, and psychological variables. Random forest models were applied to identify key risk factors contributing to fraud susceptibility.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Random forest models showed that demographic characteristics, particularly income, consumption, education, and age, are the most significant predictors of fraud victimization. Additionally, factors, such as chronic illness, lack of pension benefits, financial knowledge, and psychological traits like risk appetite and generalized trust also influence victimization risk. Moreover, psychological traits, although predictive, exhibit weaker explanatory power than demographic variables in this study. Additional ML analyses showed that fraud type influences victimization, with telephone and SMS fraud associated with lower risk, while fraud by acquaintances in person increases susceptibility.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>These results suggest the necessity of multifaceted prevention strategies, including financial education programmes, targeted policy interventions, and social support mechanisms to mitigate fraud risks among older adults.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18022,"journal":{"name":"Legal and Criminological Psychology","volume":"31 1","pages":"185-201"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145931230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dara Mojtahedi, Thomas Williams, Danny Hunt, Maria Ioannou, John Synnott, Calli Tzani, Jasper J. van der Kemp
{"title":"Can metamemory judgements predict the risk of memory contamination for facial descriptions?","authors":"Dara Mojtahedi, Thomas Williams, Danny Hunt, Maria Ioannou, John Synnott, Calli Tzani, Jasper J. van der Kemp","doi":"10.1111/lcrp.12313","DOIUrl":"10.1111/lcrp.12313","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Purpose</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The current study examined the role of eyewitness metamemory in predicting participants’ memory accuracy and risk of misinformation acceptance when describing previously encountered faces.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In an online experiment, participants (<i>N</i> = 1036) observed the faces of a female and male target before completing the Eyewitness Metamemory Scale. Participants then encountered descriptions of the targets from previous participants which depending on the experimental condition, either contained misinformation about the target's features or did not include any misinformation. Participants were later asked to describe the targets’ facial appearances through free recall and closed questions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A misinformation acceptance effect was observed in closed questions and free recall memory reports of both targets, with a greater effect observed for additory misinformation. Weak predictive associations were observed between metamemory scores and misinformation acceptance, such that greater memory contentment was associated with misinformation acceptance. Additionally, data from the no-misinformation group suggested that metamemory was unable to predict general recall accuracy for faces.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Implications of the findings suggest that post-event information could potentially mislead witnesses and highlight the need for such risks to be detected during investigations.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18022,"journal":{"name":"Legal and Criminological Psychology","volume":"31 1","pages":"50-63"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/lcrp.12313","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145931068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fore! Does forewarning inoculate people against the false balance effect?","authors":"Tianshuang Han, Brent Snook, Martin V. Day","doi":"10.1111/lcrp.70004","DOIUrl":"10.1111/lcrp.70004","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Background & Aims</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We examined the effect of falsely balanced messages on perceptions of expert consensus about non-verbal lie detection and whether forewarning inoculates people against the fake debate strategy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Materials & Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Participants (<i>N</i> = 307) read a media report that revealed high consensus among experts (nearly 90%) that non-verbal cues are unreliable indicators of deception and were randomly exposed to (1) no comments from experts, (2) balanced comments (three comments from each expert on opposing sides), (3) evidentiary balanced comments (five comments from a deception detection expert and one comment from a contrarian expert), (4) balanced comments along with a forewarning about the ‘fake debate’ strategy, or (5) evidentiary balanced comments along with a forewarning about the ‘fake debate’ strategy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Results showed that participants intuitively believe that non-verbal cues are reliable indicators of deceit. Although participants were made aware that the consensus from scientists is that non-verbal lie detection is futile, the inclusion of balanced comments alongside the data still decreased perceived scientific consensus. Balanced comments also reduced people's policy support in favour of scientific consensus, and forewarning had minimal effect.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Discussion</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We discuss the implications of our findings for efforts to mitigate the fake debate strategy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18022,"journal":{"name":"Legal and Criminological Psychology","volume":"31 1","pages":"102-120"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145931126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reproducibility in lie detection research: A case study of the cue called complications","authors":"David A. Neequaye","doi":"10.1111/lcrp.12315","DOIUrl":"10.1111/lcrp.12315","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Purpose</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This review examined reproducibility in verbal lie detection research, wherein studies typically involve coding statements to identify deception cues. Such coding is prone to analytic flexibility that can invite false positives. I focused on the cue called complications as a case study. The variable emerged in the literature simultaneously with the availability of open science resources—providing a reasonable expectation that the relevant materials would be archived in accessible repositories if not in the publication.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>I reviewed 30 relevant publications to assess whether complications research is amenable to auditing.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The findings indicated sufficient consistency in the definitions of complications and little ambiguity regarding what the variable denotes. Additionally, numerical estimates indicated that the extant results in the literature might be replicable—but with a significant caveat. Such replicability entirely depends on acquiring the coding protocols and anonymized raw data of published studies. However, that critical information is <i>not</i> publicly available. I discuss the ramifications of this barrier to reproducibility: it prevents the auditing of published findings, which allows explaining null findings away with post hoc explanations that depend on inaccessible information.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>At a minimum, journal editors and reviewers must insist on the codebooks of coding protocols. Providing the corresponding anonymized raw data should also be a requirement unless specific obstructions like grant agreements prevent data sharing. The nature of verbal lie detection research necessitates this policy.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18022,"journal":{"name":"Legal and Criminological Psychology","volume":"31 1","pages":"20-49"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/lcrp.12315","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145931228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}