Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium最新文献

{"title":"Development of Theoretical Foundations; A Set of Methods and Algorithms for Substantiating Decision-Making by a Management Organization in an Infrastructure-Complex Territory in the Interest of Reducing the Risk of the Possibility of Cascading Accidents Escalating into Intersystem Accidents","authors":"V. Avdotin, V. Plyushchikov, Julia Avdotina, M. Fatiev, E. Orujov","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.38","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.38","url":null,"abstract":"A new direction in the system analysis and decision making of the occurrence of cascade accidents escalating into intersystem accidents is successfully developing in the world. The aim of the article is to develop theoretical foundations, methods and algorithms to justify the most adequate decision-making by one of several independent managing organizations at the same time to manage the risk of cascading and intersystem accidents. Existing methodological approaches to risk analysis do not allow to fully solve the problems of substantiating a number of managerial decisions. For example, in the sphere of organizing the activities of managing organizations, it is important to justify the criteria and target levels of indicative indicators, to forecast the effectiveness and efficiency of activities using risk criteria. To solve problems of this kind, it is necessary, on the one hand, a conceptual framework for risk management, and on the other, a complex of methods and algorithms based on existing information arrays. The complexity of such management is determined by its cascading nature, as well as by the presence of several organizations independently managing the critical infrastructure of the territories of the organizations (energy systems, transport systems, housing and communal services systems, etc.),","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130823641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Application of Blockchain Technology and Cryptography Methods to Ensure Economic Security in the Transportation of Crude Oil","authors":"A. Makarov, E. Pisarenko, G. Vorobyev","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.95","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.95","url":null,"abstract":"Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 h11, h12, h13, h10, h14 – internal hashes of blocks BC11, BC12, BC13, BC14; h10 – the hash uniting blocks BC11, BC12, BC13; h14 – the internal generalizing hashof block BC14; hn – the hash of final block BC14; Hn-1 – the external hash of the previous block; Hn – the external hash number n of a new block of the network. The scheme illustrates the formation of an internal block for embedding it in an external network block. The accuracy of the information is fixed by the corresponding hash, which immediately changes when any bit of the BC1, BC2, BC3 blocks is changed, and, most importantly, the filling of the primary space and the tanks of tanker is fixed. Thus, the task of tracking the origin of crude oil, as well as equipment involved in the processes of production, transportation and processing, is solved. The scheme of the blocks of the external blockchain is shown in Fig. 2. Fig. 2. An example of an external network for generating Hn hashes based on internal hn Thus, the data in the blocks are connected by hash functions and in order to change them in the next block, it is necessary to change the hash functions of all previous blocks, and this is almost impossible. The fact thateach network member has the entire database does not allow it to be destroyed or modified. The considered schemes can be used as a basis for designing networks with a distributed registry (blockchain technologies) using cryptography methods to control all processes of crude oil tanker transportation.","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133365020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Regional Safety Issues; Setting Goals, Information and Regulatory Support","authors":"V. Moskvichev","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.8","url":null,"abstract":"Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 2. Recognizing the priority of the safety problem over other problems of socio-economic development. 3. The main types of potential hazards (national-state, regional, natural-technological, environmental, economic, etc.) are in direct interaction and cannot be eliminated separately. 4. It is obligatory to adapt the legal regulation of the natural-technological safety requirements of the national level to the specifics of the functioning of the social-natural-technological sphere in regional conditions. Information and regulatory support. To solve the indicated problems and tasks, the concept of socialnatural-technogenic (S-N-Т) system (region, subject, municipality, industrial agglomeration) is used, for which the concept and structure of the information system of the territorial risk and safety management (ISTM RS “Region”) has been developed. As part of the implementation of ISTM RS, the following results are presented: ˗ a unitary hardware-software complex for collecting, processing and analysis of network and remote monitoring data of individual elements of S-N-T systems, crisis databases and initial filling of the monitoring data warehouse; ˗ models and methods for assessing the risks of C-N-T systems, the nomenclature of basic risks and their normative level; ˗ technologies for creating maps of territorial risks of municipalities with ranking of territories according to the degree of technogenic danger. ˗ Risk assessment in the architecture of ISTM RS is carried out according to three modules –“Ecosphere”, “Sociosphere” and “Technosphere”, which is the basis for solving safety management tasks and forecasting sustainable regional development. ˗ Based on the results obtained, a “Guidelines for assessing the development risks of municipalities of social, natural and technological systems” has been developed to: ˗ maintain an acceptable risk level of the negative impact of dangerous factors on the population and the environment; ˗ provide information support for decision-making in the field of protecting the population and territories from natural and man-made emergencies. The Guidelines is intended for expert risk assessment of the S-N-T system. The implementation of the developed recommendations allows us to give a comparative assessment of risks based on an analysis of all factors and dangers arising in the municipality territory. The document is a system of interconnected methodological materials that determine the procedure for assessing the risks of social-natural-technogenic systems. Risk analysis of S-N-Т systems was carried out for a number of subjects of the Siberian Federal District and municipalities, taking into account the threats typical for these territories. The results obtained make it possible to formulate programs and activities aimed at reducing risk levels, and develop recommendations for improving the efficiency of territorial management. Risk reduction ensures more stable functioning of t","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130038314","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Problems of Drinking Water Quality in the Western Regions of Ukraine","authors":"N. Huliieva, V. Pasternak","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.18","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.18","url":null,"abstract":"Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 pollution rainwater various salts: chloride, sulfate, sodium, magnesium, calcium and potassium. Industrial emissions pollute precipitation, mainly due to the organic solvents of the nitrogen and sulfur oxides, which cause deposition of \"acid rain\". Chemicals used in agriculture have a negative impact on water quality. Thus, the quality of drinking water is a critical factor of human life. It is necessary to further develop and implement measures to improve water quality for the population, taking part in the creation of projects to improve the environment and to prevent technogenic disasters. Assessment of drinking water quality in Ukraine is determined according to SSNR 2.1.3.2630-10 [2]. The consumption of drinking water from artesian and surface sources of centralized and decentralized water supply to ensure that the necessary filters are used in modern resource-saving and energy-saving purification technology based on natural and artificial materials. In particular, granular materials using activated carbon or their analogues are graphite sorbents, using natural minerals as a filter material (saponites, zeolites, clinoptilolites, etc.) [3]. They have the ability to delete from the source water 93-96% carcinogenic, anthropogenic compounds, petroleum products, detergents, pesticides, chlorinated and organic compounds. The most effective method of drinking water purification is the method of using the powder of permeable materials based on natural minerals – saponite [4]. The raw materials of natural mineral saponiteacquire on Taskivske and Varvarivske fields Khmelnitsky region (Ukraine). The sorption capacity of granular saponite is large enough: 60-200 mg/g, so they can be used for purification and purification of liquids. The mineral is also widely used for the purification of metal ions, for example, for the purification of galvanic effluents of heavy metal ions. At initial concentrations of heavy metal ions in (mg/dm3): copper – 38.5; nickel – 0.37; iron – 87.5; trivalent chromium – 9.6; hexavalent chromium – 2.1. After purification, the concentrations of metals in the purified water are found in small quantities and lie within the allowable level. The consumption of saponite powder is 2 kg/m3. The volatile organic matter from the saponite is removed by high-temperature desorption with air (120-140 °C), steam (200-300 °C) or flue gases (300-500 °C). Regeneration after absorption of heavy metals is carried out by heating in a stainless steel reactor at a temperature of 300 ° C for 4 h in an air stream. Saponite – titanium porous permeable materials made at the Lutsk National Technical University by powder metallurgy methods. Important steps in the manufacture of materials are the selection of the ratio of the charge, the mode of pressing, sintering (by the method of self-propagating high-temperature synthesis (SHS)), cooling rate, thermal effect with the required preset structure and morphology of open pores t","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115673419","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Use of Drone in Risk Assessing of the Mining Works Performance Case Study","authors":"Branimir Farkaš, Ana Hrastov, Ivo Galić","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.6","url":null,"abstract":"mining works their as well as the assessment of possible of the in the important of is the of the works after since people's safety can be after due to the morphology and limited or even access to the it is not possible to capture all and collect data using classical surveying methods. In order to reduce the risk of any threat, it is necessary to monitor the mining works and evaluate the success of their performance in a safe manner, and this is possible using unmanned aerial vehicles data collection and risk analysis on the surface quarry located in the of in the western part of the peninsula, about km northwest of Pula. The in which a crushed building stone is mined is covering a total area of 3,79 ha and is wide 285 m and long 181 m. As a result of blasting in the south part of the quarry, too much rock was blasted in the form of rock material overcut on the highest bench. This compromised the stability of the bench, surrounding terrain and therefore the safety of people inside and outside of the quarry. The analysis of the mining works performance and risk Analysis of the risk assessment was made using two different models: a three-dimensional photogrammetric model and two-dimensional orthophoto model of the terrain and mining works. The risk analysis was performed after blasting on 30 x 150 m area located in the south part of the quarry. The analysed area is a part of the highest bench with a maximum height of 23 m in the eastern part, which decreases to only 5 m on the western part with designed bench slope of 70°.First analysis was carried out on the two-dimensional orthophoto model created from the collected aerial data. The area was analysed by plotting the peak parts of the bench after blasting and comparing them with the designed mining works contours. The analysis revealed that the mining works after blasting correlates to the design parameters and that they were performed with great precision. Measurement was conducted at regular intervals of 10 meters, and a total of 19 measurements were made. The average deviation of the performed mining works in relation to the mine design is 0,816 meters while the minimum deviation is 0,042 m and the maximum deviation is 3,497 m. Second analysis was carried out on the three-dimensional photogrammetric model. The 19 measurements were carried out at the same locations as well as on the two-dimensional orthophoto model in order to compare the results. Considering the three-dimensional model display capabilities, parts of the highest bench were observed, where a part of the rock mass was over blasted behind the designed slope and below the terrain. A mining works line was plotted on the parts of the bench toe where the maximum deviation from planned mining operation were assumed. The minimum deviation of the performed mining works from the planned state is 0,096 m, the maximum deviation is 4,686 m and the average deviation is 1,025 m. The continuous insight into the mining works performance in relati","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115845344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Tracing Buried Fracture Zones Using by Geological and Geophysical Methods in Microzoning: Kayakoy (Denizli-Turkey) Case","authors":"M. Hancer, E. Akyol, A. Aydin","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.44","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.44","url":null,"abstract":"Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 Figure 2. Fracture map of the region (yellow lines: faults, red lines: geophysical cross sections, white lines: opening structures) Figure 3. Geophysical cross sections (multielektrode of resistivity) Conclusions. Eight faults have been identified in the study area and ten geophysical multiple electrode method sections have been taken and interpreted to determine their routes. The invisible opening structures detected by geophysical cross sections 6 and 8. All of these structures form a basis for land use and settlement suitability. References Emre, Ö., Duman, T. Y., Özalp, S., Elmacı 2011, 1:250.000 Ölçekli Türkiye Diri Fay Haritası Serisi, Denizli (NJ 35-12) Paftası, Seri No:12, MadenTetkikveArama Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara-Türkiye. Hançer M. & Akyol E., 2019, Examination of Faults by Geophysical and Tectonic Methods and Paleoseismological Interpretation: Karahasanli-Kayakoy (Denizli-Turkey) Case. International Journal of Advances in Science, Engineering and Technology (IJASEAT), 7, 4/3, 4-7.","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123392713","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Earth Dams Risk Management Kura River Basin","authors":"V. Aliyev, G. Gavardashvili, A. Ujma, M. Yatsuk, E. Gafarov","doi":"10.21467/abstracts.93.56","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21467/abstracts.93.56","url":null,"abstract":"Book DOI: 10.21467/abstracts.93 Extreme water getting over the dam damaged its low slope. The big damage happened on population and private economy in large areas. The development of large hydraulic structures such as Mingecevir embankment dam should be undertaken within the broad context of water resources management as a whole. Such infrastructure clearly has an impact on downstream water resources in a wide variety of ways, and similarly, the management of water resources upstream will have an impact on the development under consideration. It is therefore not possible to adequately manage a Mingecevir cascade of dams as an isolated entity they must be integrated into the management of Kura river basin water resources as a whole. Natural or induced floods are of increasing concern to water managers and civil protection services for three main reasons. Firstly, a continuous and “unconscious” increase of social pressure in the flooding valleys amplifies flood vulnerabilities and consequently natural or induced flood risk. Secondly, the alarming forecasts of the impact of potential climate changes on water resources, in spite of the high uncertainty associated to these forecasts, points out to larger flood hazards. Thirdly, as mentioned above, dam-break induced accidents may occur more frequently due to infrastructure aging. The development of Transboundary Flood Emergency Warning System is an ideal opportunity to create open dialog and healthy relationships between the Kura river basin organizations of riparian States. A plan for high levels of participation should lead to responsibility and empowerment, which is ideal because of the sustainability factor and the goal of self-perpetuating activities within a Kura River watershed. The Soviet environmental legacy. All of the embankment dams in Kura River basin in Azerbaijan and Georgia were built in Soviet period, before the independence of these republics. The basic criterion of technical realization of such projects those years was the principle of their minimal cost. Thus issues of strategic risk, ecological safety and other, as a rule, at all did not take seriously. The choice of a building material and construction method of Mingecevir dam and others have been proved by this principle. Separate risk factors for the destruction of earthen dams considered: Probability of terrorist threats and military actions; Earthquakes; Sludge settling of reservoir; Prolonged periods of flooding and failure of upstream dams on the Kura river basin; Animal intrusions and probability of piping The dams on rivers belong to the critical infrastructure of countries. That is, they form part of functionally related objects, including building objects, devices, installations, crucial for the security of the country and its citizens, and serving to ensure efficient functioning of administration. Therefore, they must be subject to crisis management of countries. The creation of the dam management system on the Kura Riv","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124381445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Seismic Risk of Modern City","authors":"V. Zaalishvili, O. Burdzieva, A. Kanukov, D. Melkov","doi":"10.2174/1874836801913010308","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2174/1874836801913010308","url":null,"abstract":"The goal of the work was to develop and implement a methodology for the expected seismic risk assessment of a modern city on the example of a test area of Vladikavkaz city.The selected area is characterized by a variety of soil conditions typical for the entire territory of the city. At the same time, building stock includes almost all types of buildings that form the urban environment.Based on the differentiation of soil conditions, the test area was conditionally divided into 6 sites. Further, site effects of every site were estimated (seismic microzonation work was carried out). Expected seismic intensity (MSK-64) of the sites varied within 7-9 points. Each type of building is characterized by a certain vulnerability to a particular level of seismic impact.The work is focused on the implementation of simple and effective statistical concepts of the MSK-64 scale for the development of express seismic risk assessment methodology. Different soils and types of buildings in different combination caused a different level of expected economic losses. Further, on the basis of taking into account the expected damage in the building stock of Kuybyshev Street, the expected social losses were calculated. In this regard, it is of interest to analyze the seismic risk variations along Kuybyshev Street, which is actually a model of the city.The suggested methodology gives a rapid express assessment of seismic risk for decision making on buildings enforcement on a city level. Seismic risk methodology was corrected for new types of buildings (“Vesna” region) and it was shown that the MSK scale is effective but must be also actualized itself.","PeriodicalId":176768,"journal":{"name":"Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium","volume":"110 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123086984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}