Global Change Biology最新文献

{"title":"The Once and Future Fish: Assessing a Millennium of Atlantic Herring Exploitation Through Mixed-Stock Analysis and Ancient DNA","authors":"Lane M. Atmore,&nbsp;Inge van der Jagt,&nbsp;Aurélie Boilard,&nbsp;Simone Häberle,&nbsp;Rachel Blevis,&nbsp;Katrien Dierickx,&nbsp;Liz M. Quinlan,&nbsp;David C. Orton,&nbsp;Anne Karin Hufthammer,&nbsp;James H. Barrett,&nbsp;Bastiaan Star","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70010","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70010","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Small pelagic fish support profitable fisheries and are important for food security around the world. Yet, their sustainable management can be hindered by the indiscriminate impacts of simultaneous exploitation of fish from multiple distinct biological populations over extended periods of time. The quantification of such impacts is greatly facilitated by recently developed molecular tools—including diagnostic single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) panels for mixed-stock analysis (MSA)—that can accurately detect the population identity of individual fish. However, the biological relevance of such tools over longer periods of time remains unknown. Here, we demonstrate that diagnostic SNP panels designed for contemporary MSA in Atlantic herring have a millennium-long biological relevance and applicability. We assign the population identity of ancient Atlantic herring specimens—obtained through famously profitable historic fisheries—up to 1300 years old from eight archaeological sites across Europe. Analyzing contemporary and ancient whole-genome data, we obtain evidence for the long-term mixed-stock exploitation of Atlantic herring. Despite such mixed-stock exploitation, we exclusively identify autumn-spawning herring amongst these archaeological remains, indicative of a specific biological availability or cultural preference for certain herring ecotypes in the past. Moreover, our results show that herring demographic patterns were relatively stable until the dramatic disruptions and stock collapses during the 20th century. We find small but significant reductions in genetic diversity over time, indicating long-term evolutionary consequences from 20th-century stock declines. The long-term applicability of diagnostic SNP panels underscores their biological relevance and cost-effective application for the genetic monitoring of herring stocks and highlights the utility of ancient DNA to obtain insights in herring ecology and population dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.70010","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142887235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact of Crop Type on Biodiversity Globally","authors":"Shunxiang Fan,&nbsp;Tim Newbold,&nbsp;Teja Tscharntke,&nbsp;Wenhui Tang,&nbsp;Zhenrong Yu,&nbsp;Yunhui Liu","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70005","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70005","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The negative impact of agricultural land on biodiversity is widely recognized. However, there remains a knowledge gap regarding the role of different crop types in maintaining biodiversity within the agricultural landscape. By extracting biodiversity data from global datasets and classifying different crop types, we quantified the contribution of different crop types to biodiversity. Our results indicate that biodiversity levels vary widely among crop types. We found a general loss of biodiversity when natural vegetation is converted to agricultural land, and highest losses in fiber crops, cereals and oil crops, and least in other crops (such as coffee or cocoa) and in mixed crops. In general, perennial crops retain more biodiversity than annual crops. Losses of biodiversity can be mitigated through mixed cropping of multiple crop types, especially by combining annual and perennial crops. The negative impact of converting natural vegetation to agriculture is greater in tropical than in nontropical areas, and hence, the import of commodities from these biodiversity-rich regions may be particularly detrimental. Given the ongoing increase in biodiversity losses from global intensification and expansion of agricultural land, maintaining or restoring natural vegetation, rating the crop-type-specific biodiversity, diversifying crops, and preferring perennial over annual crops, particularly in the tropics, need to be better considered and implemented in global agri-environmental schemes.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142874424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification Report on Rising Aridity Trends Globally and Associated Biological and Agricultural Implications","authors":"S. M. Vicente-Serrano,&nbsp;N. G. Pricope,&nbsp;A. Toreti,&nbsp;E. Morán-Tejeda,&nbsp;J. Spinoni,&nbsp;A. Ocampo-Melgar,&nbsp;E. Archer,&nbsp;A. Diedhiou,&nbsp;T. Mesbahzadeh,&nbsp;Nijavalli H. Ravindranath,&nbsp;R. S. Pulwarty,&nbsp;S. Alibakhshi","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70009","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70009","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Aridity, characterized by low precipitation and high evaporative demand, affects ecosystems, agriculture, and societies, posing critical challenges in a changing climate.\u0000 <figure>\u0000 <div><picture>\u0000 <source></source></picture><p></p>\u0000 </div>\u0000 </figure></p>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.70009","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142857709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Global Meta-Analysis of Individual and Combined Nitrogen Inhibitors: Enhancing Plant Productivity and Reducing Environmental Losses","authors":"Wenyu Wang,&nbsp;Yaqun Li,&nbsp;Wei Wang,&nbsp;Keren Ding,&nbsp;Kun Zhang,&nbsp;Yulan Zhang,&nbsp;Kai Liu,&nbsp;Jingyuan Li,&nbsp;Dongwei Li,&nbsp;Ruiyuan Lian,&nbsp;Daijia Li,&nbsp;Jian Gu,&nbsp;Jie Li","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70007","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70007","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Nitrogen (N) transformation inhibitors have been widely recognized as a promising strategy to enhance crop productivity and mitigate N losses. However, the effectiveness of individual or combined inhibitors can vary significantly across different agroecosystems. Using meta-analysis and cost–benefit analysis (CBA), we synthesized findings from 41 peer-reviewed studies (285 observations) globally to evaluate the efficacy of urease inhibitors (UIs), nitrification inhibitors (NIs), and combined inhibitors (UINIs). We assessed their influence on soil inorganic N transformations, greenhouse gas emissions, and crop productivity across diverse climates, soil types, cropping systems, and fertilization practices. Our results indicated that combined UINIs were the most efficient, increasing crop yields by 5% and mitigating gaseous emissions by 51% compared to UIs or NIs alone. UINIs achieved these benefits by enhancing crop ammonium (NH₄⁺) availability through regulating urea hydrolysis and prolonging NH₄⁺ retention by suppressing nitrification in the soil. The CBA revealed that the overall economic benefits of UINIs application outweighed the costs, resulting in a net monetary benefit of $23.36 ha⁻¹, equivalent to a 6.4% increase in revenue. Both meta-regression and random forest analyses suggested that UINIs performance was strongly influenced by factors such as N application rate, organic matter content, and soil pH. Notably, more substantial responses were observed in fine-textured soils and/or crops exposed to high N fertilization rates. Acidic soils (pH &lt; 6.5) exhibited the largest effect sizes, with increased crop productivity and reduced NH₃ volatilization due to specific inhibitory interactions. In conclusion, these findings highlight UINIs beneficial impacts on crop productivity and environmental conservation, achieving a “win-win” scenario by addressing various N-loss challenges while enhancing economic outcomes. Further exploration and optimization of the interaction between climate, soil, plant, and management systems and the use of appropriate inhibitors are crucial for maximizing their positive impact on global climate and reaping corresponding economic benefits.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142857710","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Predicting the Effects of Ozone on Long-Term Growth of Aspen Trees Using Response Functions Developed From Seedlings Grown in Field Chambers","authors":"Jeffrey D. Herrick,&nbsp;S. Douglas Kaylor,&nbsp;Jean-Jacques B. Dubois","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70003","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70003","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tropospheric ozone (O₃) is among the most pervasive and harmful air pollutants known to affect ecosystems. In the United States, the Environmental Protection Agency and other agencies are tasked with protecting plants and ecosystems from harmful O₃ exposures. Controlled exposure experiments conducted in field open-top chambers (OTCs) with small tree seedlings have been used to estimate empirical models of tree growth in response to O₃ exposure for more than 16 species. While this experimental method makes it possible to obtain detailed exposure-response data, it remains uncertain whether predictions of empirical models parameterized using those data are sufficiently accurate when applied to trees grown in uncontrolled natural environments for long periods. We used O₃ exposure-response relationships developed from several OTC studies of trembling aspen (<i>Populus tremuloides</i> Michx.) seedlings to predict the growth of the same species in the Aspen FACE “free-air” O₃ exposure experiment in Rhinelander, Wisconsin, over 11 years. We acquired individual tree growth data and hourly O₃ exposure from the ambient and elevated O₃ plots in the Aspen FACE experiment, computed annual exposure using the same metrics of O₃ exposure as were used in the OTC seedling experiments, and generated predictions of growth in the Aspen FACE exposures. A simple empirical model parameterized using the OTC seedling data accurately predicted the percent above-ground biomass loss due to O₃ exposure in the Aspen FACE trees for all 11 years. In the Aspen FACE experiment, the effect of O₃ exposure was established in early years and continued to be observed in later years without worsening. Our study suggests that O₃ exposure-response relationships obtained from OTC seedling studies can be used to make inferences about effects on larger trees. These results imply that researchers can use these relationships with confidence when estimating risks of O₃ pollution across the United States.</p>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.70003","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142867062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Winners and Losers From Climate Change: An Analysis of Climate Thresholds for Tree Growth and Survival for Roughly 150 Species Across the Contiguous United States","authors":"Christopher M. Clark,&nbsp;Justin G. Coughlin,&nbsp;Jennifer Phelan,&nbsp;Gray Martin,&nbsp;Kemen Austin,&nbsp;Marwa Salem,&nbsp;Robert D. Sabo,&nbsp;Kevin Horn,&nbsp;R. Quinn Thomas,&nbsp;Rebecca M. Dalton","doi":"10.1111/gcb.17597","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.17597","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Changes in temperature and precipitation are already influencing US forests and that will continue in the future even as we mitigate climate change. Using spatiotemporally matched data for mean annual temperature (MAT) and mean annual precipitation (MAP), we used simulated annealing to estimate critical thresholds for changes in the growth and survival of roughly 150 tree species (153 spp. for growth, 159 spp. for survival) across the conterminous United States (CONUS). We found that growth of nearly one-third of tree species assessed (44 spp.) decreased with any increase in MAT (42–49 species), whereas fewer responded negatively to projected regional trends in MAP (&lt; 20 species each in the east and west). Hypothetical increases in temperature (+1°C, +2°C) increased average annual growth in the Central East and Pacific Northwest and decreased growth over large areas of the Rockies and Southeast, while decadal survival generally decreased with temperature. Average annual growth and decadal survival had unfavorable associations with projected precipitation, generally decreasing with wetter conditions (+25%) in the east and decreasing with drier conditions (−25%) in the west. Beyond these averages, there were species that positively and negatively responded nearly everywhere across the CONUS, suggesting changes in forest composition are underway. We identified only eight species out of ~150 assessed that were tolerant to increases in temperature, and 24 species in the east and seven in the west were tolerant to regionally specific trends in precipitation (increases in the east and decreases in the west). We assessed confidence on a 5-point scale (1–5) for five aspects of uncertainty. Average confidence scores were generally high, though some species and metrics had low confidence scores especially for survival. These findings have significant implications for the future national forest carbon sink and for conservation efforts in the face of climate change.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142849498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Mineral and Microbial Properties Drive the Formation of Mineral-Associated Organic Matter and Its Response to Increased Temperature","authors":"Jianing Zhao,&nbsp;Xuehui Feng,&nbsp;Jie Hu,&nbsp;Mei He,&nbsp;Siyu Wang,&nbsp;Yuanhe Yang,&nbsp;Leiyi Chen","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70004","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70004","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A comprehensive understanding of the formation of mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM) is a prerequisite for the sustainable management of soil carbon (C) and the development of effective long-term strategies for C sequestration in soils. Nevertheless, the precise manner by which microbial and mineral properties drive MAOM formation efficiency and its subsequent response to elevated temperature at the regional scale remains unclear. Here, we employed isotopically labelled laboratory incubations (at 15°C and 25°C) with soil samples from a ~3000 km transect across the Tibetan Plateau to elucidate the mechanisms underlying MAOM formation and its temperature response. The results indicated that both mineral protection and microbial properties were critical predictors of MAOM formation across the geographic gradient. The efficiency of MAOM formation was found to increase with the content of iron (Fe) oxides and their reactivity [i.e., the ratio of poorly crystalline Fe oxides to total Fe oxides (Fe_o:Fe_d)] but to decrease with the relative abundance of <i>Gammaproteobacteria</i> and <i>Actinobacteria</i> across the plateau. Moreover, a notable decline in MAOM formation efficiency was observed under elevated temperatures, which was concomitant with a reduction in the content and reactivity of Fe oxides, as well as the microbial assimilation of the labelled substrate. The attenuation of mineral–organic associations was identified as the primary factor contributing to the warming-induced reduction in MAOM formation. These findings highlight the necessity of incorporating organo–mineral associations and microbial properties into Earth System Models to accurately project soil C dynamics under changing climate.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142849502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Artificial Light Increases Nighttime Prevalence of Predatory Fishes, Altering Community Composition on Coral Reefs","authors":"Emma Weschke,&nbsp;Jules Schligler,&nbsp;Isla Hely,&nbsp;Thibaut Roost,&nbsp;Jo-Ann Schies,&nbsp;Ben Williams,&nbsp;Bartosz Dworzanski,&nbsp;Suzanne C. Mills,&nbsp;Ricardo Beldade,&nbsp;Stephen D. Simpson,&nbsp;Andrew N. Radford","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70002","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70002","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Artificial light at night (ALAN) is an anthropogenic pollutant that is intensifying and expanding in marine environments, but experimental studies of community-level effects are generally lacking. The inshore, shallow, and clear-water locations of coral reefs and their diverse photosensitive inhabitants make these ecosystems highly susceptible to biological disturbances; at the same time, their biodiversity and accessibility make them model systems for wider insight. Here, we experimentally manipulated ALAN using underwater LED lights on a Polynesian reef system to investigate the influence on localised nighttime fish communities compared to control sites without ALAN. We collected infrared video censuses of baseline communities prior to manipulation, which we repeated following short-term (mean of three nights) and prolonged (mean of 25 nights) exposures to ALAN. Short-term ALAN exposure did not induce any significant alterations to the nighttime fish community, but prolonged ALAN exposure increased nighttime species richness. Species compositions exposed to prolonged ALAN were more dissimilar from their baseline compared to control sites. The difference between community compositions at prolonged ALAN exposure and control sites was not apparent at the family level; instead, it was observed from the composition of trait guilds. Following prolonged ALAN exposure, more diurnal and nocturnal predatory species (piscivores, invertivores, and planktivores)—particularly those that are site-attached or mobile within reefs—were present in nighttime assemblages. Our experimental findings show that coastal ALAN could cause trophic imbalances and circadian disturbances in localised nighttime reef fish communities. Given that community-wide consequences were only apparent after prolonged ALAN exposure suggests that management of the duration of artificial lighting could potentially be used to reduce impacts on marine ecosystems.</p>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.70002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142841813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Review of Theory: Comparing Invasion Ecology and Climate Change-Induced Range Shifting","authors":"Haley D. Flickinger,&nbsp;Jeffrey S. Dukes","doi":"10.1111/gcb.17612","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.17612","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Human actions have led to large-scale shifts in the distributions of species, which have accelerated over recent decades. Two contributing factors include the introduction of non-native species to new regions, and more recently, the shift of species into new ranges to track a human-altered climate. While the context of these species redistributions is different, we argue here that scientists studying the effects of either invasion or range shifting are interested in the same underlying mechanistic questions: (1) What traits make a species likely to survive in a new location? and (2) Which recipient ecosystems are likely to support a newly arrived species? A survey of the theoretical literature surrounding these topics demonstrates the usefulness of this comparison and highlights key differences between range shifting and invasion in factors including genetic diversity, climatic tolerance, local adaptation, and coevolutionary history. This review does not support the blanket application of an invasion framework to climate change-induced range shifts. However, we suggest the use of modified invasion theories, experimental designs, and risk assessments could aid in predicting outcomes and prioritizing management resources for climate-threatened species.</p>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.17612","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142825011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Warm Temperature is Associated With Reduced Body Mass and Diversification Rates While Increasing Extinction Risks in Cold-Adapted Seabirds","authors":"Ying Xiong,&nbsp;Liqing Fan,&nbsp;Yongbin Chang,&nbsp;Hongtao Xiao,&nbsp;Fumin Lei","doi":"10.1111/gcb.70000","DOIUrl":"10.1111/gcb.70000","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Anthropogenic rapid warming has caused decreases in richness and body mass of birds following the metabolic theory of ecology; yet, the pervasiveness of these shifts remains controversial among different taxa. Here, by combining phylogenetic methods and fossil data, we synthesized spatial patterns of richness and body mass for 328 seabird species belonging to two groups: Procellariimorphae (PM) and non-Procellariimorphae (NPM). We found that the relationship between body mass and richness, as well as diversification rate, exhibits distinct patterns in these two groups. Ancestral state reconstruction analyses indicate that smaller PM, as opposed to NPM seabirds, evolved in warmer waters from larger ancestors and exhibited a slower diversification rate. Different ancestral climatic origins explain the reduced influence of environmental factors on richness patterns among PM compared to NPM seabirds. Furthermore, whereas NPM seabirds in high latitudes face a high extinction risk, warmer sea temperatures positively correlate with a high extinction risk among PM seabirds. Our results indicate that PM seabirds, evolving from cold waters, have reduced body mass and diversification rate, making them more vulnerable to warmer temperature.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":175,"journal":{"name":"Global Change Biology","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142816312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}